Core Insights - The article emphasizes the increasing demand for low-volatility, absolute return products in the current low-interest, high-volatility environment, with public FOFs (Fund of Funds) emerging as a key tool to meet this demand [1] - Liu Xin, the assistant general manager and head of asset allocation at Minsheng Jianyin Fund, is highlighted for his pragmatic investment philosophy that focuses on asset allocation rather than short-term market predictions [2][4] Investment Philosophy - Liu Xin's investment philosophy is characterized by "market reverence" and "weakness thinking," acknowledging the complexity of markets and the limitations of individual perception [2][3] - The focus is on addressing solvable investment issues, such as long-term asset patterns and risk correlation analysis, rather than attempting to predict short-term market movements [3] Asset Allocation Strategy - The essence of asset allocation is to "acknowledge uncertainty," aiming for sustainable investment returns through diversified portfolios that hedge against uncontrollable risks [4] - Liu Xin advocates for a "localized all-weather" FOF strategy that emphasizes multi-asset diversification rather than merely selecting top-performing funds [5][6] Performance Metrics - Under Liu Xin's leadership, the Minsheng Jianyin Kangning Stable Pension Target One-Year FOF has achieved a net value growth rate of nearly 8% since 2025, surpassing its performance benchmark by 3.51% with a maximum drawdown of -1.95%, indicating strong stability [1] Market Outlook - Liu Xin holds a relatively optimistic view on the A-share market, citing its reasonable valuation and sustainable upward trend, making it a core equity asset for strategic allocation over the next two to three years [9] - The A-share market is currently at a medium valuation level, providing a safety margin compared to other global markets [9] Bond Market Perspective - Bonds are viewed as a "stabilizer" in the portfolio, with a focus on interest rate bonds for risk hedging rather than yield generation, while credit bonds are selected through experienced active fund management [10] - The current bond market is characterized by low overall interest rates, but bonds still offer "insurance value" against economic downturns [10] New Fund Launch - A new fund, Minsheng Jianyin Multi-Dimensional Stable Allocation 3-Month Holding Period Mixed FOF, is set to be launched, which will implement the "localized all-weather" strategy and dynamically optimize asset allocation [11]

Core Viewpoint - The podcast episode titled "When the Big Cycle Fails, Where is the New Macro Coordinate?" hosted by fund manager Tang Jun from Zhongtai Asset Management has gained significant attention, with over 60,000 listeners in a week, indicating a strong interest among investors in learning about macroeconomic frameworks and investment strategies [2][5]. Group 1: Framework Construction - The background and reasons for the effectiveness and ineffectiveness of the Merrill Clock are discussed [5]. - The "Credit-Money" framework is introduced, explaining how to describe the current macroeconomic state based on this framework [5]. - The current macroeconomic state leads to specific asset allocation conclusions [5]. Group 2: Allocation and Portfolio Construction - The distinction between active and passive allocation is made, highlighting the problems that active allocation can solve [9]. - Preparations required for engaging in active allocation are outlined [9]. - The role of FOF (Fund of Funds) in addressing specific issues is examined [9]. - The execution of strategic and tactical layers in investment is discussed [9]. Group 3: Reflections on Human Nature - The importance of understanding human behavior in the context of investment allocation is emphasized, inviting listeners to engage in a professional and rigorous intellectual exchange [6]. Group 4: Risk and Return Concepts - The concept of risk budgeting and how to construct a portfolio within a given risk budget is explained [9]. - The notion of return streams and which assets can represent different return streams is analyzed, drawing lessons from Bridgewater's practices [9]. - The significance of having a framework in investment decision-making is highlighted [9]. - The meaning of logic in investment and the application of probabilistic thinking in market timing are discussed [9].

人民财讯11月14日电，11月14日交银施罗德基金公告显示，交银臻享多资产三个月持有期混合（FOF） 成立，募集规模23.67亿元，获9440户有效认购。根据统计，包括该FOF在内，今年以来成立规模在20 亿元以上的FOF已有11只，其中有5只成立于10月至今这段时间内。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the recovery of Fund of Funds (FOF) in 2023, with a positive average return of 14.29% for 477 FOFs established for over six months as of October 31 [1] - The total market size of FOFs reached 187.147 billion yuan by the end of Q3, reflecting an increase of 57 billion yuan compared to the end of the previous year, indicating a trend towards diversified asset allocation for investors [1] - Historical data shows low correlation among various asset classes, which supports the strategy of multi-asset allocation in FOFs to enhance returns and reduce volatility [1] Group 2 - The proposed FOFs, such as the Invesco Great Wall and Xie Wenjin's three-month holding period FOF, aim to balance risk and return by employing a "fixed income + multi-asset" strategy, with a focus on 90% fixed income and 10% equity assets [1] - The fund manager Jiang Hong emphasizes a "stability first, then diversification" approach, with a focus on risk control and volatility management, leading to a 6.52% increase in the bond-oriented FOF index over the past year [2] - Jiang Hong maintains a positive outlook on the equity market, suggesting a focus on sectors like technology, high-dividend stocks, pharmaceuticals, and turnaround opportunities, while also advocating for leveraging strategies in the bond market [2]

Core Insights - The current global economic landscape is undergoing significant adjustments, leading to increased market volatility and making single-asset investment models inadequate for investors seeking stable growth [1] - The asset management industry is experiencing structural changes, with the overall AUM in China projected to reach 170.13 trillion yuan by mid-2025, reflecting a growth of approximately 4.27% from the end of 2024 [1] Group 1: Asset Management Trends - The asset management industry is shifting from a "single track" approach to a "diverse collaboration" model, with asset allocation concepts becoming mainstream [1] - The diversification of investment products is evident, with bank wealth management products at 30.67 trillion yuan, public funds at 34.39 trillion yuan, and pension funds managed by fund companies at 6.10 trillion yuan [1] Group 2: Scientific Asset Allocation - Scientific asset allocation can effectively buffer the impact of single-asset volatility on overall investments, creating a "defensive net" for portfolios [2] - Dynamic adjustments in asset allocation allow for risk control while seizing investment opportunities across different markets and stages, balancing long-term risk and return [2] - FOF (Fund of Funds) is emerging as a crucial tool for investors to achieve scientific asset allocation, offering dual diversification across different funds and asset classes [2] Group 3: New Product Launch - Minsheng Jianyin Fund is set to launch a new product, Minsheng Jianyin Multi-Asset Stable Allocation 3-Month Holding Period Mixed FOF, from November 24 to December 8, aimed at meeting investor demand for stable allocation and flexible holding [3] - The new product will adopt a "multi-asset, multi-strategy" allocation approach, expanding beyond traditional stock and bond allocations to include overseas assets and commodities [3] - The product will implement dynamic risk hedging and portfolio optimization based on in-depth analysis of asset correlations, aiming to control volatility while enhancing long-term return potential [3]

Core Viewpoint - The global market is entering a critical policy window, with a focus on potential interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, while investors are exploring multi-asset allocation strategies to convert risks into wealth opportunities [1] Group 1: Market Outlook - Zhang Chuan, head of FOF business at Puyin Ansheng Fund, expresses a long-term positive outlook on A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, driven by AI computing power and industrial capital expenditure, despite potential short-term volatility [1][8] - The long-term liquidity of overseas equity assets may improve in the context of the Fed restarting its rate cut cycle, although the US stock market may enter a consolidation phase after continuous upward movement [1][9] - Gold is expected to face short-term upward pressure but is projected to rise in the long term due to global economic uncertainties, geopolitical conflicts, and ongoing central bank purchases [1][8] Group 2: Investment Philosophy - Zhang emphasizes a systematic investment philosophy focused on risk management before asset allocation, aiming to provide sustainable and stable returns in a low-interest-rate environment [2][5] - The transition from a "heroic era" of asset management to a systematic and industrialized approach is highlighted, with a focus on multi-asset allocation as a key growth area for asset management institutions [3][4] Group 3: Asset Allocation Framework - A four-step asset allocation framework is proposed: asset selection and positioning, strategic asset allocation, tactical adjustments, and attribution iteration, aimed at creating a transparent and efficient investment experience [7][8] - The framework categorizes assets into "winning assets" (e.g., bonds) that provide safety and "odds assets" that enhance portfolio sharpness, balancing volatility [6][8] Group 4: Current Market Positioning - The current market is viewed as a "period of resonance improvement" between Chinese and American liquidity, leading to an overweight position on A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, and overseas equities [8][9] - Caution is advised regarding bond assets, which are seen as lacking short-term directional opportunities, while US Treasuries are viewed with skepticism due to liquidity and quota constraints [9]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the importance of multi-asset allocation strategies in balancing holding experience and long-term returns, emphasizing a macro-quantitative framework and risk budgeting system as key components of effective asset allocation [1][2]. Asset Allocation Strategy - The asset allocation is divided into two levels: the first level focuses on major asset allocation, which establishes the foundational risk-return characteristics of the portfolio; the second level involves the selection of underlying funds and fund managers to achieve excess returns within the established framework [1][2]. - Strategic asset allocation sets the long-term risk-return characteristics and investment horizon, while tactical asset allocation involves adjustments based on market conditions using a "five-dimensional framework" that considers macro, fundamental, valuation, sentiment, and technical aspects [2]. Fund Selection Process - The fund selection process is broken down into four steps: fund classification, quantitative analysis, qualitative analysis, and fund selection. Fund classification is crucial for accurate analysis and avoids mixing funds with different styles [3]. - Quantitative analysis utilizes a self-built fund evaluation system to assess factors such as timing ability, stock selection capability, performance cost-effectiveness, excess returns, maximum drawdown, and Sharpe ratio, followed by qualitative analysis that considers the investment philosophy and stability of fund managers [3]. Team Strength and Product Performance - The strength of the team is highlighted as a foundation for effective execution of FOF strategies, with a comprehensive research framework covering various asset classes established since 2013 [5]. - As of September 22, all 22 FOF products managed by the company achieved positive returns over the past year, with an average return of 33.53%, and 12 products exceeding a 30% return [5]. Investment Outlook - The company suggests an overweight position in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, with specific sectors like technology, innovative pharmaceuticals, and new consumption showing structural opportunities [5]. - In the commodities sector, rare metals and gold are viewed positively due to rising prices and strategic importance in high-end manufacturing, alongside ongoing uncertainties that may drive gold prices higher [6].

Group 1 - The total number of fund advisory portfolios on the Tian Tian Fund APP reached 454 as of the end of August 2025, an increase of 4 from the previous month, with new portfolios in consumption, pharmaceuticals, dividends, and overseas strategies [9][10][11] - The performance of the fund advisory portfolios showed that the median return of the equity-debt balanced portfolios lagged behind similar FOF products over the past year, with all types of equity-debt balanced portfolios underperforming their benchmarks in the month [17][18] - The active equity funds saw significant increases in holdings, particularly in quantitative strategies, industry rotation strategies, and growth styles, indicating a shift towards more dynamic investment approaches [41][42] Group 2 - The performance of sector-specific portfolios indicated that all sector portfolios had positive median returns over the past year, with pharmaceuticals, new energy, consumption, dividends, and state-owned enterprises outperforming their benchmarks [23][27] - The regional portfolios, particularly those focused on Hong Kong stocks, outperformed their benchmarks over the past year, while overseas strategy portfolios underperformed in the same period [22][23] - The top-performing sector portfolios this year were concentrated in pharmaceuticals and technology, with the highest returns coming from the "Pharmaceutical Hamburger" and "China's Hard Technology" portfolios [25][27] Group 3 - The tracking of fund positions revealed that the conservative advisory portfolios reduced their holdings in index funds while increasing their allocation to mixed funds, reflecting a strategic shift in asset allocation [30][32] - The balanced advisory portfolios decreased their bond fund holdings and increased their mixed fund allocations, indicating a preference for more flexible investment strategies [32][35] - The aggressive advisory portfolios also reduced their stock fund holdings while increasing their allocations to active equity funds, suggesting a trend towards more active management in pursuit of higher returns [32][35]

1. Report Title and Information - The report is titled "Fund Analysis Special Report (In - depth): Counting the Semi - annual Report of Public Active Equity Funds in 2025 - Institutional Funds Focus on the Top, Market Activity and Fund Turnover Increase" [1] - The analysts are Wang Ziwei and Wang Dandan, and the report was released on September 5, 2025 [1] 2. Core View - In the first half of 2025, the A - share market recovered and became more active, but the total share of active equity funds decreased compared with last year. The proportion of institutional holdings increased, while that of individual holdings decreased slightly. Both individual and institutional investor funds were significantly concentrated in top - scale funds, with individual investors preferring larger - scale funds more than institutions [2] 3. Summary by Catalog 3.1 Holder Structure 3.1.1 Share/Proportion Changes - In the first half of 2025, the total share of active equity funds decreased compared with last year. The proportion of institutional holdings increased, and that of individual holdings decreased slightly. By the end of the first half of 2025, the institutional share of active equity funds was 424.585 billion shares, accounting for 15.51%, and the individual share was 2313.5 billion shares, accounting for 84.49%. The institutional holding ratio increased by 1.78% compared with the end of 2024 and 0.58% compared with the end of the first half of 2024. Among different investment categories, the ordinary stock - type funds had the highest institutional holding ratio at 23.59%, and the balanced hybrid - equity - oriented funds had the lowest at 11.50% [17] 3.1.2 Institutional/Individual Fund Distribution - In the first half of 2025, both individual and institutional investor funds were significantly concentrated in top - scale funds. By mid - 2025, 37.05% of institutional funds were concentrated in the top 5% of funds by scale, with the proportion increasing by 2.51% compared with the end of 2024 and 11.38% compared with the end of the first half of 2024. 38.16% of individual funds were concentrated in the top 5% of funds by scale, with the proportion decreasing by 0.66% compared with the end of 2024 but increasing by 1.27% compared with the end of the first half of 2024. Individual investors preferred larger - scale funds [22] 3.2 Institutional Positioning 3.2.1 Funds with Larger Holding Shares - As of the end of the first half of 2025, among the top ten ordinary stock - type funds held by institutions, 8 were increased in holdings and 2 were decreased. Among the partial - equity hybrid funds, 9 were increased and 1 were decreased. Among the flexible - allocation equity - oriented funds, 7 were increased and 3 were decreased. The ordinary stock - type, partial - equity hybrid, and flexible - allocation equity - oriented funds with the largest institutional holdings were "Invesco Great Wall Research Selection", "Changxin Jinli Trend", and "China Europe Dividend Premium", with holding shares of 3.465 billion, 9.571 billion, and 4.383 billion respectively, and the share changes in the past six months were 669 million, - 2.143 billion, and 2 billion respectively [26] 3.2.2 Funds with Larger Increased Holding Shares - In the first half of 2025, the ordinary stock - type fund with the largest increase in institutional holdings was "Fullgoal Consumption Selection 30" managed by Zhou Wenbo, with an increase of 1.755 billion shares. The partial - equity hybrid fund with the largest increase was "Fullgoal Steady Growth" managed by Fan Yan, with an increase of 5.108 billion shares. The flexible - allocation equity - oriented fund with the largest increase was "China Europe Dividend Premium" managed by Lan Xiaokang, with an increase of 2 billion shares [31][34][36] 3.2.3 Small - and Medium - Sized Funds with Faster - Rising Proportions - Among small - sized funds with a scale between 100 million and 500 million, the top ten funds with the fastest - rising institutional holding ratios were "Haitong Quantitative Forward", "Changxin Huizhi Quantitative Stock Selection", etc. Among small - sized funds with a scale between 500 million and 1 billion, the top ten funds with the fastest - rising institutional holding ratios were "China Europe High - end Equipment", "GF Balanced Growth", etc. [38][40] 3.3 FOF Positioning 3.3.1 Funds with Larger Holding Market Values - As of mid - 2025, the active partial - equity funds with the largest FOF holding market values were "Dacheng Gaoxin" with a holding market value of 896 million yuan. Other top - ten funds included "Fullgoal Steady Growth" (773 million yuan), "Xingquan Business Model Preferred" (568 million yuan), etc. [44] 3.3.2 Funds with Larger Increased Holding Shares - From the perspective of the share changes of FOF - held funds in the latest period, "Fullgoal Steady Growth" had the largest increase in FOF holdings, with an increase of 638 million shares. Other funds with large increases included "E Fund Strategic Emerging Industries", "E Fund Active Growth", etc. [47] 3.3.3 Funds with a Larger Number of Holders - As of mid - 2025, "Dacheng Gaoxin" was held by 169 FOFs. The second - and third - ranked funds were "Fullgoal Steady Growth" managed by Fan Yan and "Invesco Great Wall Quality Evergreen" managed by Nong Bingli, held by 132 and 88 FOFs respectively. Other top - ten funds included "Dongfanghong JD Big Data", "Boda Growth Zhihang", etc. [50] 3.4 Shareholding Characteristics 3.4.1 Fund Turnover - In the first half of 2025, the average turnover of all active partial - equity funds was 2.12, higher than that in the first half of 2024 (2.08) and the second half of 2024 (1.93). Among different types of active equity funds, the flexible - allocation equity - oriented funds had the highest turnover in the first half of 2025 at 2.26, followed by partial - equity hybrid funds and balanced hybrid - equity - oriented funds with turnovers of 2.11 and 1.98 respectively. The ordinary stock - type funds had the lowest turnover at 1.92 [53] 3.4.2 Market Value/Plate Changes - In terms of market - value style, active partial - equity funds were mainly allocated to small - and medium - cap stocks. By the end of the first half of 2025, stocks with a market value below 30 billion accounted for the highest proportion at 42.71%. Compared with the end of 2024, the proportion of large - cap stocks increased, while that of small - and medium - cap stocks decreased. By the end of the first half of 2025, among all the holdings of active partial - equity funds, the technology sector accounted for the highest proportion, and the financial sector accounted for the lowest. Compared with the end of 2024, the technology sector had the largest increase in market - value proportion, and the manufacturing sector had the largest decrease [64] 3.4.3 Industry Allocation Proportion Changes - At the sub - industry level, in the first half of 2025, the industries with a relatively large increase in shareholding market - value proportion were pharmaceutical biology, media, electronics, non - ferrous metals, and non - bank finance. The proportions of the power equipment, food and beverage, and household appliance industries decreased significantly. As of mid - 2025, the top three industries held by active equity funds were electronics, pharmaceutical biology, and power equipment, with their shareholding market - value proportions accounting for 17.03%, 12.12%, and 7.53% respectively [66] 3.4.4 "Hidden Heavy Positions" - In the first half of 2025, among the stocks with a heavy - position market value ranked below 50 in the second - quarter heavy - position holdings of active equity funds, the stock with the highest non - heavy - position market value calculated according to all shareholding details was Dongshan Precision, with a total shareholding market value of 922.9 million yuan, of which 380.2 million yuan was non - heavy - position holding. Among the stocks with a heavy - position market value ranked below 100, the stock with the highest non - heavy - position market value was Naxinwei [69] 3.4.5 Sub - Industry Changes - From the perspective of the market value of holdings in Shenwan primary industries, in the technology sector, the allocation proportions of the electronics and media industries increased significantly, and those of the communication and computer industries increased slightly. In the large - consumption sector, the pharmaceutical biology industry was booming in the first half of the year, while traditional consumption - related fields were reduced in holdings. In the cycle - manufacturing sector, except for a slight increase in the proportions of the national defense and military industry and the machinery equipment industry, other industries decreased, with the power equipment industry having the most significant decrease. In terms of resource products, the market - value proportion of the non - ferrous metals industry increased significantly [71][77]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" investment rating for the company [3][6]. Core Views - The company achieved a robust profit growth in H1 2025, with operating revenue of 1.83 billion yuan (YoY +20.20%) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 490 million yuan (YoY +21.41%) [1]. - The company has significantly improved its ranking in debt underwriting, completing 70 debt financing projects with a total underwriting amount of 25.274 billion yuan (YoY +296.64%), moving up 29 places to rank 26 in the industry [3]. - The asset management business has seen a total of 66.325 billion yuan in funds under management, an increase of 23.65% from the end of 2024, while public fund management has decreased by 5.72% to 596.15 billion yuan [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported net income from various business lines: brokerage at 230 million yuan (YoY +47%), investment banking at 140 million yuan (YoY +38%), asset management at 440 million yuan (YoY -6%), credit at 60 million yuan (YoY +22%), and proprietary trading at 690 million yuan (YoY +22%) [1]. Asset Management and Investment Banking - The company is focusing on ESG and FOF advantages in its asset management sector, with a notable increase in public fund management [2]. - The company has successfully filed for one IPO project on the Beijing Stock Exchange and has two projects under review as of H1 2025 [3]. Future Projections - The report forecasts EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 0.23 yuan, 0.24 yuan, and 0.26 yuan respectively, with a target price of 8.74 yuan based on a P/B ratio of 2.2x for 2025 [3].