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刘长松、潘家华:“十五五”时期,我国该如何全面应对气候变化造成的安全挑战?
Zhong Guo Huan Jing Bao· 2025-10-20 23:15
Core Viewpoint - The global climate crisis is intensifying, with the average global temperature in 2024 surpassing the pre-industrial level increase of 1.5°C for the first time, posing severe challenges to urban safety and socio-economic development in China [1][2]. Group 1: Global Climate Situation - The global temperature is rising rapidly, with 2024 confirmed as the hottest year on record, exceeding the 1.5°C target [2]. - Nine out of sixteen climate tipping points have already been breached, including significant ice melt in Greenland and Antarctica, coral reef death, and thawing permafrost [2]. - The frequency and severity of climate disasters are increasing, with an average of 350 to 500 major disaster events occurring annually over the past 20 years, projected to rise to 560 by 2030 [3]. Group 2: Economic and Social Impact - Developing countries face greater losses from disasters, averaging 1% of GDP annually, compared to 0.1%-0.3% for developed countries, with the Asia-Pacific region experiencing the highest losses at 1.6% of GDP [3]. - Climate change is identified as the greatest development and security threat of the 21st century, affecting approximately 3.3 to 3.6 billion people living in highly vulnerable areas [3]. Group 3: International Cooperation Challenges - Geopolitical tensions and rising trade barriers hinder international climate cooperation, exacerbating the climate security situation [5]. - The EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and increased tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles are examples of unilateral measures that disrupt global trade and impact China's green transition [5]. Group 4: China's Climate Security Risks - China is in a climate-sensitive zone, facing risks to ecosystems, human health, and infrastructure due to climate change [6]. - Extreme weather events, such as heatwaves and floods, are increasing, with significant economic losses and impacts on key industries across all major regions [6][7]. - The risk of ecosystem degradation, urban environmental challenges, and public health threats are rising, with extreme heat and vector-borne diseases becoming more prevalent [7][8]. Group 5: Policy and Strategic Recommendations - A comprehensive climate security framework is needed, focusing on mitigation, adaptation, and safety strategies to address the escalating risks [10]. - Investment in climate resilience infrastructure and early warning systems is crucial to enhance adaptive capacity and reduce economic losses from extreme weather [12]. - Strengthening international collaboration and domestic climate governance is essential to effectively tackle climate security challenges [12][13].
透过“三季报”看中国经济稳步前行(经济新方位)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-10-20 22:10
Economic Overview - The GDP growth for the first three quarters is 5.2%, with a 4.8% growth in the third quarter, indicating a stable economic performance [4][10] - The economic increment reached ¥39,679 billion, which is an increase of ¥1,368 billion year-on-year [5] - The average urban unemployment rate for the first three quarters is 5.2%, remaining stable compared to the first half of the year [5][10] Consumption and Investment - Final consumption expenditure contributed 53.5% to economic growth, an increase of 9.0 percentage points compared to the previous year [7][8] - Investment in equipment and tools increased by 14%, contributing 2.0 percentage points to overall investment growth [7][8] - The retail sales of household appliances and audio-visual equipment, cultural office supplies, furniture, and communication equipment all maintained double-digit growth [8] Industry Performance - The added value of the lithium-ion battery manufacturing industry grew by 29.8%, while shipbuilding and related equipment manufacturing increased by 22.9% [8] - The high-tech manufacturing sector's added value accounted for 16.7% of the total industrial added value, indicating a shift towards high-quality development [6][11] - The production of new energy vehicles and electric bicycles saw significant increases of 29.7% and 27.1%, respectively [8] Trade and International Relations - The total import and export volume increased by 6.0% year-on-year, showcasing strong resilience in foreign trade [11] - Foreign exchange reserves remained above $3.3 trillion, with the RMB exchange rate showing stability [5][11] Policy Impact - The implementation of macroeconomic policies has effectively supported current economic stability and long-term growth potential [7][12] - The government has allocated ¥300 billion in special long-term bonds to stimulate consumer demand through trade-in programs [7][8] - The manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) has shown signs of recovery, indicating improved market conditions [9][11]
能源结构持续优化
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-10-20 22:01
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the stable growth of China's economy and energy consumption, with a significant increase in the share of non-fossil energy consumption [1] Group 2 - Energy production has steadily increased, with major energy products such as coal, oil, and gas showing growth. The industrial raw coal output reached 3.57 billion tons, a year-on-year increase of 2.0% [2] - Oil and gas production also saw moderate growth, with industrial crude oil output at 160 million tons (up 1.7%) and natural gas output at 194.9 billion cubic meters (up 6.4%) [2] - Electricity production was robust, with industrial power generation at 7.3 trillion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 1.6%. Notably, clean energy sources like nuclear, wind, and solar power saw significant growth rates of 9.2%, 10.1%, and 24.2% respectively [2] Group 3 - Energy supply security has improved, with a decrease in energy imports. Coal imports fell to 35 million tons, down 11.1%, while crude oil imports increased to 42 million tons, up 2.6% [3] - Natural gas imports decreased to 9.286 million tons, down 6.2%, indicating a narrowing decline compared to the first half of the year [3] - The electricity supply has been effective, with record-high national power loads and enhanced coordination among power sources, networks, and storage [3] Group 4 - The energy consumption structure is undergoing a green transition, with total energy consumption increasing by 3.7% year-on-year. The share of non-fossil energy in total energy consumption rose by 1.7 percentage points [4] - The share of clean energy sources in industrial power generation reached 35.3%, an increase of 1.9 percentage points compared to the previous year [4]
经济运行总体平稳稳中有进(锐财经)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-10-20 20:50
Economic Growth - China's GDP grew by 5.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters, ranking among the top major economies [1][2] - The economic increment reached 39,679 billion yuan, an increase of 1,368 billion yuan compared to the previous year [1][2] Employment and Prices - The average urban survey unemployment rate for the first three quarters was 5.2%, unchanged from the first half of the year [2] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) slightly decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, while the core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.6% [2] International Trade - China's foreign trade showed strong resilience, with import and export volumes reaching historical highs, and the growth rate rebounding quarter by quarter [2][3] - By the end of September, foreign exchange reserves remained above 3.3 trillion USD, with the RMB exchange rate showing stability and appreciation [2] High-Quality Development - The proportion of added value from equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing reached 35.9% and 16.7%, respectively [3] - Non-fossil energy consumption's share of total energy consumption increased by approximately 1.7 percentage points year-on-year [3] Policy Impact - A series of policies have effectively stabilized the economy and supported long-term development [4] - Final consumption expenditure contributed 53.5% to economic growth, an increase of 9.0 percentage points from the previous year [4] Investment Trends - Investment in equipment and tools increased by 14.0% year-on-year, contributing 2.0 percentage points to overall investment growth [4] - Specific sectors such as computer and office equipment manufacturing, general equipment manufacturing, and transportation equipment manufacturing saw significant investment growth [4] New Growth Drivers - Industries such as lithium-ion battery manufacturing, shipbuilding, and electric motor manufacturing experienced year-on-year value-added growth of 29.8%, 22.9%, and 17.1%, respectively [5] - The production of new energy vehicles and electric bicycles also saw substantial increases [5] Economic Stability - The third quarter GDP growth was 4.8%, reflecting a slight decline from the previous quarter but still higher than most major economies [7] - The total economic output for the third quarter reached 35.5 trillion yuan, surpassing the projected total for the third-largest economy in 2024 [7] Future Outlook - The stable growth in the first three quarters lays a solid foundation for achieving annual targets [8] - Emphasis will be placed on effectively leveraging policies to balance short-term growth with long-term development [8]
【新华解读】5.2%!前三季度我国经济稳的主基调没变
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-10-20 16:12
Core Viewpoint - China's GDP growth in the first three quarters of 2023 reached 5.2%, indicating stable economic performance despite external pressures and internal challenges [1][2]. Economic Performance - The GDP for the first three quarters was 1,015,036 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.2%, which is an increase of 0.2 and 0.4 percentage points compared to the previous year and the same period last year, respectively [2]. - The economic increment reached 39,679 billion yuan, which is 1,368 billion yuan more than the previous year [2]. External and Internal Challenges - The global economic environment is characterized by insufficient growth momentum, trade protectionism, geopolitical conflicts, and international trade frictions, which have intensified adverse impacts on China's economy [2][4]. - Despite these challenges, China's economy demonstrated resilience, achieving a growth rate that ranks among the top of major economies [2][4]. Economic Structure and Quality - The proportion of added value from high-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing in the industrial sector reached 35.9% and 16.7%, respectively [3]. - Non-fossil energy consumption as a share of total energy consumption increased by approximately 1.7 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The information transmission, software, and IT service sectors saw an 11.7% growth in added value, accelerating by 1.7 percentage points compared to the previous year [5]. Quarterly Economic Trends - The GDP growth rates for the first three quarters were 5.4%, 5.2%, and 4.8%, respectively, with the decline in the third quarter attributed to complex external conditions and domestic structural adjustments [4][6]. - The total economic output in the third quarter reached 35.5 trillion yuan, surpassing the projected total for the third-largest economy in 2024 [6]. Future Outlook - Experts suggest that achieving the annual economic growth target of around 5% remains feasible, supported by ample policy space and tools available for macroeconomic adjustments [7][8]. - The government is expected to enhance counter-cyclical economic policies, particularly through public investment to stimulate production and consumption [7].
中国经济高质量发展扎实推进的态势没有改变
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-20 15:02
Core Viewpoint - China's GDP growth for the first three quarters of the year is 5.2%, indicating a stable and progressive economic development despite various pressures [1][3][5]. Economic Performance - The GDP for the first three quarters is 10,150.36 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.2%, an acceleration of 0.4 percentage points compared to the previous year, and an economic increment of 396.79 billion yuan, which is 136.8 billion yuan more than the previous year [3]. - The industrial added value for large-scale industries increased by 6.2%, while the manufacturing sector grew by 6.8% [3]. - Retail sales of consumer goods reached 3,658.77 billion yuan, growing by 4.5%, with service retail sales increasing by 5.2% [3]. - Manufacturing investment saw a rapid growth of 4.0% year-on-year [3]. Employment and Prices - The urban survey unemployment rate remained stable compared to the first half of the year [3]. - The core Consumer Price Index (CPI) has seen an expanding growth for five consecutive months, indicating effective policies to expand domestic demand and promote consumption [3]. International Trade - China's foreign trade demonstrated resilience, with total goods trade value reaching 33.61 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4% [3]. - The exchange rate of the renminbi has remained stable and has shown an upward trend [3]. High-Quality Development - The proportion of added value from equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing in large-scale industries reached 35.9% and 16.7%, respectively [7]. - Non-fossil energy consumption as a percentage of total energy consumption increased by approximately 1.7 percentage points year-on-year [7]. - New export drivers have emerged, with double-digit growth in the export of "new three samples" products [7]. Consumer Behavior - Significant growth in cultural, tourism, and sports-related consumption was noted, with an estimated 888 million domestic trips during the Mid-Autumn and National Day holidays, showcasing the resilience and vitality of the economy [11].
国内首家绿色燃料电商平台上线运行
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-10-20 13:37
Core Insights - The first domestic green fuel e-commerce platform "Zhongxin Fuel" has been officially launched, spearheaded by the Biomass Energy Industry Branch of the China Industrial Development Promotion Association [1][2] - The platform aims to address the challenges of establishing a reliable green fuel supply chain amid the deepening "dual carbon" strategy, which is crucial for zero-carbon park construction, green transformation in aviation and shipping, and clean heating [1] - "Zhongxin Fuel" integrates resources across the biomass fuel industry chain, providing a one-stop solution for green fuel procurement, logistics, green certification, and management services, thereby facilitating the transition to a low-carbon economy [1] Industry Developments - The platform will expand its fuel categories from current biomass molded fuels to include biogas, bio-liquid fuels, and hydrogen-based synthetic fuels to meet the growing demand for green energy [2] - Continuous collaboration with various stakeholders will support rural revitalization, industrial decarbonization, green transportation, and carbon reduction in the construction sector, contributing to a comprehensive green transformation of the economy [2]
共绘黄河壮美画卷!沿黄各省区加快推动黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展
Xin Hua She· 2025-10-20 10:02
Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of ecological protection and green development in the Yellow River basin, highlighting efforts to transform the river into a "happy river" that benefits the people [1] - Local communities, such as the volunteer river patrol team in Qinghai, are actively participating in river protection, demonstrating a grassroots approach to environmental stewardship [2] - Various provinces along the Yellow River are implementing water-saving measures and promoting high-quality development in agriculture and industry, contributing to ecological sustainability [3] Group 2 - The article discusses the construction of flood control projects in the lower Yellow River, involving 42 counties in Henan and Shandong provinces, to mitigate flood risks for local communities [5] - New technologies, including drones and satellite monitoring, are being utilized to enhance flood management and river monitoring, providing a "smart" approach to river governance [6] - The relocation of 600,000 residents from flood-prone areas in Shandong has improved living conditions and safety for local populations, showcasing effective disaster management strategies [6]
前三季度国内生产总值同比增长5.2% 经济运行稳中有进
Yang Shi Xin Wen Ke Hu Duan· 2025-10-20 09:10
Economic Overview - The core viewpoint indicates that China's economy is maintaining a stable operation with a focus on high-quality development, as evidenced by a GDP growth of 5.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters, which is an acceleration of 0.2 and 0.4 percentage points compared to the previous year and the same period last year, respectively [1] - The urban survey unemployment rate has remained stable compared to the first half of the year, and the core CPI has seen an expanding growth for five consecutive months, reflecting the effectiveness of policies aimed at expanding domestic demand and promoting consumption [1] Industrial Performance - In the first three quarters, the added value of the equipment manufacturing industry and high-tech manufacturing industry accounted for 35.9% and 16.7% of the total industrial added value of enterprises above designated size, respectively [2] Energy Transition - Progress has been made in the green low-carbon transition, with the proportion of non-fossil energy consumption in total energy consumption increasing by approximately 1.7 percentage points year-on-year [3] Foreign Trade - A diversified market has become a strong support for export growth, with new driving forces in foreign trade, particularly the "new three samples" products experiencing double-digit growth in exports [4] Social Welfare - There has been effective and robust social welfare support, with the income gap between urban and rural residents continuing to narrow, showcasing the strong resilience and potential of the economy [5] - The 5.2% economic growth demonstrates China's strong ability to withstand pressures in an unstable and uncertain environment, positioning it as a significant driver of global economic growth [5]
前三季度中国经济“成绩单”现五大看点
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-10-20 08:14
今年前三季度中国经济数据20日公布。在外部挑战增多、不确定性上升之际,中国经济保持总体平稳、 稳中有进发展态势,呈现五大看点。 增速居前 GDP同比增长5.2% 据官方数据,前三季度,中国国内生产总值(GDP)同比增长5.2%,比上年全年和上年同期分别加快0.2、 0.4个百分点。 在总量稳步扩大的同时,中国经济结构也在优化升级。前三季度,中国规模以上高技术制造业增加值同 比增长9.6%,规模以上装备制造业、高技术制造业增加值占规模以上工业增加值的比重分别达到 35.9%、16.7%。绿色低碳转型取得新进展,非化石能源消费占能源消费总量的比重同比提高约1.7个百 分点。 发言人称,新质生产力发展将继续创造新的增长点,有效激发自主创新活力与产业升级动力,也有助于 对冲下行压力,增强上行动力。 释放潜力 消费拉动增长 前三季度,中国社会消费品零售总额365877亿元(人民币,下同),同比增长4.5%,增速比上年同期、上 年全年分别加快1.2个、1.0个百分点。最终消费支出对经济增长贡献率达53.5%,比上年全年提升9个百 分点,继续发挥经济增长主引擎作用。 近期宏观调控进一步加大支持力度,官方出台实施《关于扩大服 ...