该行指出，1月欧洲新能源车销售维持强劲，而电动车电池国标(今年6月起生效)更新将有利于优质制造 商敏实集团，两者均增强了花旗对敏实集团收入增长的信心。盈利预测方面，花旗轻微上调2026年预测 收入及纯利1%，2027年预测收入及纯利2%，新的2026年及2027年纯利预测分别33.31亿及37.76亿元人 民币。 智通财经APP获悉，花旗发布研报称，鉴于敏实集团(00425)在机器人、人工智能液体冷却及海外电动车 零部件方面取得稳步进展，该行轻微上调2026年及2027年预测收入及纯利1%至2%。为计入机器人及人 工智能液体冷却的机遇，该行将目标价由46港元上调至56港元，维持对敏实"买入"评级，指其交易于预 测今年市盈率13倍，低于三花智控(02050)H股的约30倍，并维持对敏实的90日上行催化剂观察(4月22日 截止)。 ...

花旗发布研报称，鉴于敏实集团(00425)在机器人、人工智能液体冷却及海外电动车零部件方面取得稳 步进展，该行轻微上调2026年及2027年预测收入及纯利1%至2%。为计入机器人及人工智能液体冷却的 机遇，该行将目标价由46港元上调至56港元，维持对敏实"买入"评级，指其交易于预测今年市盈率13 倍，低于三花智控（002050）(02050)H股的约30倍，并维持对敏实的90日上行催化剂观察(4月22日截 止)。 该行指出，1月欧洲新能源车销售维持强劲，而电动车电池国标(今年6月起生效)更新将有利于优质制造 商敏实集团，两者均增强了花旗对敏实集团收入增长的信心。盈利预测方面，花旗轻微上调2026年预测 收入及纯利1%，2027年预测收入及纯利2%，新的2026年及2027年纯利预测分别33.31亿及37.76亿元人 民币。 ...

今日早参 2026 年 3 月 03 日 易峘 首席宏观经济学家 邮箱：evayi@htsc.com 易峘 首席宏观经济学家 邮箱：evayi@htsc.com 今日热点 宏观：开年出行活跃、地产成交环比改善 春节假期居民消费、出行需求旺盛，个性化、体验性需求快速释放；节后复 工复产情况好于去年同期，上海发布楼市新政"沪七条"、率先拉开节后地 产政策调整序幕，地产成交（尤其是二手房）初现边际企稳迹象；外需方 面，1-2 月港口高频指标显示出口同比或较 12 月继续上行。出行及消费方 面，春运前 27 天（2 月 2-28 日）全社会跨区域人员流动量同比增长 5.9%， 其中铁路/公路/水路/民航发送人员同比增长 7.4%/5.7%/19.7%/6.3%；春节 假期国内居民旅游人次/收入同比增长 19%/18.7%，商务部数据显示智能眼 镜、具身智能机器人销售额同比分别增长 47.3%、32.7%，入境游产品订单 同比增长 18.4%。出口方面，高频指标显示偏高基数下 1-2 月出口同比增速 或较 12 月回升至 12%。节后复工复产进度好于同期：农历春节对齐后，百 年建筑网全国工地复工率/劳务上工率分别高于去 ...

河钢股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 4. 河钢集团旗下的其他资产是否有计划注入上市公司？ 现阶段河钢集团暂无将资产注入上市公司的计划。 5. 公司在提高产品盈利水平方面有哪些举措？ 编号：2026－01 | 投资者关系活动 | ☑特定对象调研 □分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | 类别 | □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 □新闻发布会 □路演活动 | | | □现场参观 | | | □其他 | | 活动参与人员 | 新华资产：严涛 | | | 河钢股份：王文多、梁柯英 | | 时间 | 年 月 日 2026 3 2 | | 地点 | 公司总部 | | 形式 | 现场调研 | | 1. | 介绍公司概况 | | | 河钢股份成立于 2010 年 1 月，是由原唐钢股份、邯郸钢铁和 | | | 承德钒钛三家上市公司通过证券市场吸收合并组建的特大型 | | | 钢铁企业。公司拥有世界钢铁行业领先的工艺技术装备，具备 | | | 年产 3000 万吨的精品钢材生产能力，同时在钒钛钢铁冶炼和 | | | 钒产品生产技术方面也处于世界领先地位。公司生产基地主要 | | | 在河北省，钢铁产品包括板材、棒材、线材、 ...

证券研究报告 公用环保 量化测算 Token 出海对中国电力的弹性 ——AI 能否带动电力提前跨越周期底部 II 华泰研究 2026 年 3 月 03 日│中国内地 深度研究 但随着硬件架构迭代，卡单 token 的成本下降，能源价格在全球 AI 竞争中 的重要性与日俱增。据我们测算，千万亿级全球日均 token 用量对中国电量 和电力或有 10%级别弹性，对绿证价格、容量电价甚至电量电价的拉动显 著。推荐：1）低估值的绿电，有望充分受益于 AIDC 清洁能耗需求；2）推 理时代电力瓶颈的出现大概率先于电量，容量电价市场化利好火电；3）重 申我们 1 月报告《中美电价剪刀差——中国电力股何时见底 I》的结论，2026 年开始电力供给侧降速，电力板块步入配置窗口，token 出海只是锦上添花。 推理时代，Token 出海对中国电量/电力的潜在拉动超过 10% 训练时代，海外大模型由于数据管制不会布局核心算力在中国，国内大模型 本土 AIDC 的需求增长又受制于国产芯片能力。推理时代，Anthropic/OpenAI 等海外企业部署边缘算力在中国的探索逐步成熟，而国内大模型的规模效应 与成本优势在 token 竞 ...

目 录 | | 每日报告精选（2026-02-27 09:00——2026-03-02 15:00） 3 | | | --- | --- | --- | |  | 宏观周报：《节后生产修复》2026-03-01 3 | | |  | 宏观周报：《中东冲突再起，通胀苗头初现》2026-03-01 3 | | |  | 策略专题报告：《资源品普涨与 Token 出海新叙事》2026-03-02 4 | | |  | 策略周报：《稳定是如今中国股市的底色》2026-03-01 5 | | |  | 策略观察：《资产概览：中东紧张局势推升贵金属/原油价格》2026-03-01 6 | | |  | 策略观察：《春节旅游景气提升，科技和资源涨价》2026-02-28 7 | | |  | 行业跟踪报告：钢铁《第一批引领性钢企公布》2026-03-02 8 | | |  | 行业周报：物流仓储《中蒙业务复苏，物流春意渐浓》2026-03-01 9 | | |  | 行业专题研究：海运《中东局势再度升级，关注油运灰色市场变化》2026-03-01 9 | | |  | 行业专题研究：基础化工《PVC 长 ...

当地时间3月2日（周一），美国三大股指收盘涨跌不一，道指跌0.15%，标普500指数涨0.04%，纳指涨 0.36%。 中东局势恶化引发油价暴涨、重燃通胀担忧，全球投资者抛售权益资产，股市承压下行。 欧洲市场普遍下跌，德国DAX指数和法国CAC40指数跌幅均超过2%，英国富时100指数跌超1%。 大型科技股多数上涨，英伟达涨近3%，甲骨文涨超2%，微软涨超1%，奈飞、苹果、特斯拉、美光科 技、Meta小幅上涨；谷歌跌超1%，英特尔、亚马逊小幅下跌。 当地时间周一，英伟达在官网宣布，与Lumentum和Coherent达成战略协议，将分别向这两家光学技术 公司投资20亿美元。英伟达表示，公司与Lumentum Holdings Inc．达成多年战略协议，以加速先进光学 技术的创新，包括研发，从而实现下一代人工智能（AI）基础设施和系统设计。英伟达称，与 Lumentum的非独家协议包括数十亿美元的采购承诺以及未来先进激光组件的产能使用权。此外，英伟 达向后者投资20亿美元，助力该公司在美国新建晶圆厂。 苹果公司在官网发布了新款入门级智能手机iPhone 17e，以及配备M4芯片的新款iPad Air，拉开了新品 ...

【导读】美股涨跌不一，黄金原油飙升，能源股普涨 中国基金报记者 赵刚 综合整理 美国总统特朗普表示，如果伊朗下一任领导人表现得务实，他可能会解除对伊朗的制裁。特朗普称，针 对伊朗的行动"远超原定计划进度"。 特朗普还表示，对伊朗的军事行动可能持续四周左右。美国中央司令部称美军实施大规模打击行动已摧 毁伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队总部。 美国国防部长赫格塞思否认了对伊战争将演变成特朗普连任时誓言要避免的那种"无休止冲突"的观点， 并表示"我们这一代人更清楚其中的利害"。 Miller Tabak + Co．首席市场策略师Matt Maley指出，股指收平表明投资者低估了伊朗冲突所带来的市 场风险，特别是在近期其他不利因素致使股市承压的情形下。 原油、黄金价格飙升 原油价格周一跃升逾6%，市场参与者担心美国和伊朗之间的战争将失控并导致重大供应中断。伊朗是 欧佩克第四大产油国。 美东时间3月2日（周一），美股涨跌不一，原油黄金飙升，能源股普遍上涨。航空股多数下跌，马士基 暂停部分中东地区订舱。英伟达将向两家光子技术公司投资40亿美元。 美股涨跌不一 道指跌73.14点，跌幅为0.15%，报48904.78点；纳指涨80.65 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2025, the company achieved a revenue growth of 60%, reaching $554 million, and Adjusted EBITDA increased to $227 million with a margin of approximately 41% [4][15] - The company exceeded its initial revenue guidance by 30% and nearly doubled its original EBITDA guidance, resulting in an 86% flow-through rate on top-line outperformance for the year [4][5] - Full-year Adjusted EBITDA grew 162%, significantly outpacing revenue growth, driven by gross margin expansion and operating leverage [5][20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company acquired 867,000 new members in Q4, a 13% year-over-year increase, with a customer acquisition cost (CAC) of $20 [6][14] - Originations for ExtraCash reached a record $2.2 billion, up 50% year-over-year, driven by a 19% increase in multi-transaction members and a 20% increase in average ExtraCash size to $214 [7][8] - High-margin subscription revenue grew 92% year-over-year, benefiting from the new $3 monthly subscription fee for new members [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has 2.9 million multi-transaction members (MTMs), which is a small fraction of the total addressable market (TAM) of 185 million customers [6] - The 28-day past due rate improved 12% sequentially to 1.89%, outperforming guidance of below 2.1% for the quarter [8][15] - The net monetization rate expanded to an all-time high of 4.8%, with average revenue per ExtraCash origination net of losses growing 27% year-over-year [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to sustain mid-teens member growth and low double-digit average revenue per user (ARPU) growth as part of its growth algorithm [5][22] - The strategy includes efficient member acquisition, engaging members with ExtraCash, and deepening engagement through the Dave Card [6][7] - The company plans to transition ExtraCash receivables to a new off-balance sheet funding structure, expected to unlock over $200 million in incremental liquidity [20][21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the durability of the growth algorithm and the potential for continued growth and profitability in 2026 [12][22] - The company anticipates revenue for 2026 to be in the range of $690 million to $710 million, representing year-over-year growth of approximately 25% to 28% [22][23] - Management noted that the current economic environment is stable, with no significant impacts from the tax refund season observed [71] Other Important Information - The company is currently in the discovery phase of a DOJ matter but believes it has been compliant with applicable laws [10] - The board approved an increase in the share repurchase authorization from $125 million to $300 million, reflecting confidence in the intrinsic value of shares [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: How close is the company to optimizing credit outcomes and gross profit growth? - Management indicated that there is still room for growth with CashAI v5.5, but testing for version 6.0 will begin later this year [26][28] Question: How much of members' monthly spend is currently captured by Dave? - The company captures about 30% of customers' ExtraCash spend, with expectations that the Pay in Four product will help drive incremental engagement [35][36] Question: Will the new subscription charges for Dave Card affect grandfathered accounts? - Current plans are to keep grandfathered accounts at $1 per month, with potential for future changes based on additional product value [46][52]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2025, the company achieved record revenue of $554 million, representing a 60% year-over-year growth. Adjusted EBITDA reached $227 million with a margin of approximately 41% [4][21] - The company exceeded its initial revenue guidance by 30% and nearly doubled its original EBITDA guidance, outperforming revenue by $129 million and EBITDA by $112 million [4][5] - Full year Adjusted EBITDA grew 162%, significantly outpacing revenue growth, driven by gross margin expansion and operating leverage [5][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company acquired 867,000 new members in Q4, a 13% increase year-over-year, with a customer acquisition cost (CAC) of $20 [6][7] - Originations for ExtraCash reached a record $2.2 billion, up 50% year-over-year, driven by a 19% increase in multi-transaction members and a 20% increase in average ExtraCash size to $214 [8][10] - High-margin subscription revenue grew 92% year-over-year, benefiting from the new $3 monthly subscription fee for new members [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has 2.9 million multi-transaction members (MTMs), which is a small fraction of the total addressable market (TAM) of 185 million customers [6] - The 28-day past due rate improved 12% sequentially to 1.89%, outperforming guidance of below 2.1% for the quarter [9][16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to sustain mid-teens member growth and low double-digit average revenue per user (ARPU) growth, with ARPU expanding 36% year-over-year [5][24] - The strategic pillars include efficient member acquisition, engaging members with ExtraCash, and deepening engagement through the Dave Card [6][10] - The company plans to transition ExtraCash receivables to a new off-balance sheet funding structure, expected to unlock over $200 million in incremental liquidity [21][22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the growth algorithm's durability, expecting revenue in the range of $690 million to $710 million for 2026, representing a year-over-year growth of approximately 25%-28% [24][25] - The company anticipates Adjusted EBITDA for 2026 to be in the range of $290 million to $305 million, with a focus on driving per-share value creation through opportunistic share repurchases [25][26] Other Important Information - The company is currently in the discovery phase of a DOJ matter, with no material updates [11] - Management believes that AI innovation will continue to benefit the business, enhancing product offerings and operational efficiency [12][13] Q&A Session Summary Question: How close is the company to optimizing credit outcomes and gross profit growth? - Management indicated that there is still room for growth in the current CashAI v5.5 model, with plans to test version 6.0 later this year [28][29] Question: How much of members' monthly spend is currently captured by Dave? - The company captures about 30% of customers' ExtraCash spend, with expectations that the Pay in Four product will help drive incremental engagement [37][38] Question: Will the Pay in Four product cannibalize ExtraCash? - Management anticipates some cannibalization but views the products as complementary, with expectations of higher lifetime value (LTV) for the Pay in Four product [45][46] Question: What is the current plan for subscription charges for Dave Card? - The current plan is to keep grandfathered accounts at $1 per month, with potential for future changes based on additional product value [47][50]