（2025年11月14日） 国家统计局 10月份，在以习近平同志为核心的党中央坚强领导下，各地区各部门认真贯彻落实党中央、国务院决策部署，坚持稳中求进工作总基调，加力稳就业、稳企 业、稳市场、稳预期，纵深推进全国统一大市场建设，积极畅通国内国际双循环，生产供给基本平稳，就业总体稳定，物价有所改善，新动能培育壮大，国 民经济保持总体平稳、稳中有进发展态势。 一、工业生产持续增长，装备制造业和高技术制造业增势较好 10月份，全国规模以上工业增加值同比增长4.9%，环比增长0.17%。分三大门类看，采矿业增加值同比增长4.5%，制造业增长4.9%，电力、热力、燃气及水 生产和供应业增长5.4%。装备制造业增加值同比增长8.0%，高技术制造业增加值增长7.2%，分别快于全部规模以上工业增加值3.1和2.3个百分点。分经济类 型看，国有控股企业增加值同比增长6.7%；股份制企业增长5.2%，外商及港澳台投资企业增长4.0%；私营企业增长2.1%。分产品看，3D打印设备、新能源 汽车、工业机器人产品产量同比分别增长30.8%、19.3%、17.9%。1-10月份，全国规模以上工业增加值同比增长6.1%。10月份，制造业采 ...

Economic Overview - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that the national economy maintained a stable and progressive trend in the first three quarters of 2025, with effective policies supporting employment and economic stability [3]. GDP Performance - The GDP for the first three quarters reached 10,150.36 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.2% at constant prices [5][6]. Sector Contributions - Agricultural value added grew by 3.6% year-on-year [6]. - Industrial value added for large-scale enterprises increased by 6.2% year-on-year [6]. - The service sector's value added rose by 5.4% year-on-year [6]. Consumer and Investment Trends - The total retail sales of consumer goods amounted to 365.877 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 4.5% [7]. - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) was 371.535 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of 0.5%. However, excluding real estate development investment, fixed asset investment grew by 3.0% [7]. Trade and Price Levels - The total value of goods imports and exports reached 336.078 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 4.0% [8]. - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) saw a slight decline of 0.1% year-on-year [8].

编辑｜钉钉 | 固定资产 | | -0.5% | | --- | --- | --- | | 投资(不含农户) | | | | 房地产 开发投资 | | -13.9% | | 新建商品房 | | -5.5% | | 销售面积 | | | | 社会消费品 | 3.0% | 4.5% | | 零售总额 | | | | 货物进出口 总额 | 8.0% | 4.0% | | 全国城镇调查 | 5.2% | 5.2% | | 失业率 | (绝对值) | (平均值) | | СРІ | -0.3% | -0.1% | | PPI | -2.3% | -2.8% | | ● 居民人均 可支配收入 | | 5.2% | | *人均可支配收入同比数据为扣除价格因素实际增长数据 | | | | 200 | | 会老实源:国家统计局宣网 | 10月20日上午，国家统计局发布前三季度国民经济运行数据： GDP：前三季度国内生产总值1015036亿元，同比增长5.2%； 规模以上工业增加值：9月同比实际增长6.5%，环比增长0.64%；1 - 9月同比增长6.2%； 社会消费品零售总额：9月总额41971亿元，同比增长3.0%；1 - ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the upcoming events and announcements related to the Chinese economy and markets, including the release of economic data and changes in commodity prices [11][17][21] - It highlights the scheduled release of the trade balance for September and the impact of oil price adjustments on domestic fuel prices [9][12] - The article mentions the introduction of stock options for Pop Mart by the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, indicating a move towards more diverse financial instruments in the market [11] Group 2 - The National Bureau of Statistics is set to release data on the national economy for the first three quarters, which will provide insights into economic performance [17] - The article notes the significance of the upcoming Nobel Prize announcements and their potential impact on global markets [8][13] - It also references the ongoing developments in the real estate market, particularly the monthly report on urban residential sales prices [19]

Group 1 - The offshore RMB to USD exchange rate broke 7.1 for the first time since November 7, 2024, reaching a high of 7.0965 on September 17, with a 0.34% increase since the beginning of September [1] - The onshore RMB to USD exchange rate is also approaching the 7.1 mark, closing at 7.1056 on September 17, reflecting a 0.46% increase in September [1] - The appreciation of the RMB is attributed to market expectations of the Federal Reserve initiating a rate cut cycle, leading to a weaker USD and increased demand for RMB assets from foreign investors [1][3] Group 2 - China's economic fundamentals are a significant support for the RMB exchange rate, with macro policies being more proactive and the economy showing overall stability [2] - Despite external challenges, China's economy has maintained a steady and progressive development trend, supported by effective macro policies and the construction of a unified national market [2] - The chief macro analyst at Dongfang Jincheng noted that the recent rise in the RMB against the USD is driven by expectations of substantial Fed rate cuts and strong inflows of foreign capital into the domestic stock market [3]

Economic Overview - The national economy showed overall stability and progress in August 2025, with industrial production and service sectors experiencing growth [1][2] Industrial Production - In August, the industrial added value for large-scale enterprises increased by 5.2% year-on-year and 0.37% month-on-month [1] - The equipment manufacturing sector saw an 8.1% year-on-year increase, while high-tech manufacturing grew by 9.3%, outperforming the overall industrial growth by 2.9 and 4.1 percentage points respectively [1] - The manufacturing purchasing managers' index was at 49.4, a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month [1] Service Sector - The service production index rose by 5.6% year-on-year in August, with significant growth in information transmission, software, and financial services [2] - The business activity index for the service sector was at 50.5, indicating expansion, with a 0.5 percentage point increase from the previous month [2] Retail Sales - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 39,668 billion yuan in August, marking a 3.4% year-on-year increase [3] - Online retail sales amounted to 99,828 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 9.6%, accounting for 25% of total retail sales [3] Fixed Asset Investment - From January to August, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) was 326,111 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.5% [4] - Manufacturing investment grew by 5.1%, while real estate development investment declined by 12.9% [4] Trade Performance - In August, the total import and export value reached 38,744 billion yuan, with exports growing by 4.8% and imports by 1.7% [5][6] - The proportion of general trade in total trade was 63.9%, indicating a stable trade structure [6] Employment Situation - The urban surveyed unemployment rate was 5.3% in August, reflecting a seasonal increase [7] - The average weekly working hours for employees were reported at 48.5 hours [7] Price Trends - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.4% year-on-year in August, with food prices dropping significantly [8] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for industrial producers fell by 2.9% year-on-year, with a narrowing decline compared to the previous month [8]

Economic Overview - In August, the national economy maintained overall stability with a steady development trend, supported by stable production demand, employment, and prices, as well as the cultivation of new growth drivers [3][4] Industrial and Service Sector Performance - In August, the industrial added value for large-scale enterprises increased by 5.2% year-on-year and 0.37% month-on-month; the service production index grew by 5.6% year-on-year [3] Market Sales and Investment - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 39,668 billion yuan in August, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.4% and a month-on-month increase of 0.17% [3] - From January to August, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) totaled 326,111 billion yuan, up by 0.5% year-on-year; excluding real estate development investment, the growth rate was 4.2% [3] Trade Performance - In August, the total import and export value was 38,744 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 3.5%; exports were 23,035 billion yuan (up 4.8%), and imports were 15,709 billion yuan (up 1.7%) [3] Employment and Price Stability - The average urban survey unemployment rate from January to August was 5.2%; in August, it was 5.3%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, remaining stable compared to the same month last year [3] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in August decreased by 0.4% year-on-year, remaining flat month-on-month; the core CPI, excluding food and energy prices, rose by 0.9% year-on-year, with an increase of 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month [3] Policy and Future Outlook - The macroeconomic policies are working in coordination, contributing to the overall stability of the national economy, with steady progress in transformation and upgrading, and new achievements in high-quality development [4] - There are still many risks and challenges facing the economy due to external instability and uncertainty; future efforts will focus on stabilizing employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations, while deepening reform and opening up [4]

Core Viewpoint - The overall economic performance in August shows stability and progress, with macro policies continuing to exert positive effects on domestic demand expansion, supply optimization, circulation promotion, and momentum increase [1][6][7] Economic Indicators - Major economic indicators remain stable, with steady growth in production, employment, and prices. In August, the industrial added value for large-scale enterprises grew by 5.2% year-on-year, while the service production index increased by 5.6% [2][3] - Social retail sales in August rose by 3.4% year-on-year, indicating a continuous release of service consumption potential, particularly in tourism and leisure [2] - Fixed asset investment from January to August increased by 0.5% year-on-year, with manufacturing investment growing by 5.1%, significantly outpacing overall investment [2] Employment and Prices - The urban unemployment rate in August was 5.3%, slightly up due to seasonal factors, but overall employment remains stable compared to the previous year [3] - The unemployment rate for the 30-59 age group was 3.9%, indicating stability in the main labor demographic [3] Policy Effects and New Momentum - Policies aimed at boosting consumption and investment are showing positive results, with significant growth in retail sales of home appliances and furniture, both exceeding double-digit growth [4] - Equipment investment saw a year-on-year increase of 14.4% in the first eight months, contributing to a 2.1 percentage point rise in fixed asset investment [4] Economic Circulation and Market Activity - The logistics industry showed expansion, with increased railway freight volume and rapid growth in express delivery services, indicating improved circulation of production factors [5] - The manufacturing sectors for integrated circuits and electronic materials experienced growth rates exceeding 20% in August, reflecting enhanced economic momentum [5] Future Outlook - Despite external challenges, the long-term supportive conditions for economic growth remain intact, with ongoing macro policy effectiveness and deepening reforms expected to sustain stable economic performance [6][7] - Upcoming holidays are anticipated to further boost consumer spending, with policies aimed at enhancing consumer capacity and willingness being implemented [6]

Core Viewpoint - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that in August, production demand remained stable, employment and prices were generally stable, and new growth drivers were being cultivated, indicating that the national economy is maintaining a steady and progressive development trend [1]. Group 1 - Production demand in August was reported to be basically stable [1]. - Employment and prices showed overall stability during the same period [1]. - The cultivation of new growth drivers is strengthening, contributing to the overall stability of the national economy [1].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the national economy is operating steadily with coordinated macro policies, and there are new achievements in high-quality development and transformation upgrades [1] Group 2 - Industrial production has shown rapid growth, with the national industrial added value increasing by 5.2% year-on-year and 0.37% month-on-month. Notable growth in production includes 3D printing equipment (40.4%), new energy vehicles (22.7%), and industrial robots (14.4%) [2] Group 3 - The service industry is also experiencing rapid growth, with the national service production index increasing by 5.6% year-on-year. Specific sectors such as information transmission, software and IT services (12.1%), finance (9.2%), and leasing and business services (7.4%) are performing well [3] Group 4 - Retail sales are showing stable growth, with the total retail sales of consumer goods reaching 39,668 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.4% and a month-on-month increase of 0.17%. Categories such as daily necessities (7.7%), grain and oil products (5.8%), and sports and entertainment goods (16.9%) have seen significant retail growth [5] Group 5 - Fixed asset investment remains on the rise, with a total of 326,111 billion yuan in fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) from January to August, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.5% [8] Group 6 - The total value of goods import and export reached 38,744 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 3.5%, indicating a continuous growth in trade and an optimization of trade structure [9] Group 7 - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) remained stable month-on-month, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) saw a narrowing decline of 0.7% compared to the previous month. The core CPI, excluding food and energy prices, increased by 0.9% year-on-year, with a slight expansion of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month [10]