Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the shift in the stock market from high-end liquor and new energy to AI computing power and robotics, highlighting the challenges and opportunities in growth investing amidst high volatility and the presence of "pseudo-growth" stocks [1][2]. Group 1: Growth Investment Landscape - The current market has seen a doubling in the performance of active equity funds since 2025, with a focus on themes like humanoid robots, innovative pharmaceuticals, and computing power [3]. - Among these, three funds managed by Chen Peng from Anxin Fund have shown strong performance with maximum drawdowns of less than 17% this year, indicating a balanced approach to growth investing [3][6]. Group 2: Investment Strategy and Philosophy - Chen Peng emphasizes the importance of identifying "true growth" companies that resonate with major economic trends and maintain sustained earnings growth, contrasting with "pseudo-growth" strategies that mislead investors [6][12]. - The investment team at Anxin Fund focuses on sectors with strong growth potential, such as technology, consumption, and high-end manufacturing, while ensuring a rigorous value assessment to form their portfolios [7][12]. Group 3: Research and Team Dynamics - The success of growth investing relies heavily on a dynamic and capable research team, which is essential for understanding the fundamentals of companies and their growth potential [8][12]. - Anxin Fund has established a robust research team with over 20 dedicated researchers, ensuring comprehensive coverage of key growth sectors and fostering continuous learning [12]. Group 4: Risk Management and Investor Experience - Anxin Fund adopts a balanced approach in portfolio management, maintaining 3-5 favored sectors to mitigate volatility and enhance investor experience [14][15]. - The fund's strategy includes careful timing for buying and selling stocks, focusing on maintaining a favorable risk-reward ratio and ensuring that investors can "hold on" to their investments through market fluctuations [15][16]. Group 5: Market Conditions and Growth Strategies - Different market environments require distinct strategies for growth investing, with bull markets allowing for some tolerance of valuation bubbles, while bear markets necessitate a more cautious approach [16][17]. - Anxin Fund's research team continuously assesses market risks and adjusts strategies accordingly, aiming to enhance investor satisfaction and performance [16][17].

回顾历史每一轮牛市，我们都可以发现一些"伪成长股"，短期股价涨幅名列前茅，但由于后续缺乏业绩支撑沦为"一地鸡毛"。因此，在投资组合构建中， 陈鹏领衔的安信基金成长投资团队将价值投资理念作为基础，寻找与经济运行主要趋势共振、景气上行能维持一年以上、业绩持续增长的"真成长"公司。 股市再现激情澎湃的成长行情。只是这回的主角，从五年前的高端白酒、新能源，变成如今的AI算力、机器人。对于广大投资者而言，或许有人赚得盆 满钵满，但多数人可能在谨慎观望。毕竟，成长股天然具有高收益与高波动性的特征，难以让人安心；大量主题炒作为主的"伪成长股"泡沫巨大，不易给 人信心。 价值投资强调的安全边际与基本面深度分析，恰好能解决成长投资的"不安"与"难信"。有这么一家基金公司，他们在五年前的成长牛市中低调修炼内功， 以价值投资的强项去重构成长投资体系。而今年，成长阵营中也迎来了一批回报回撤兼优、配置相对均衡的基金，它们有一个共同的前缀——"安信"。 价值投资辨析成长真伪 成长基金，是牛市战局里锋利的矛。截至9月26日，整个市场2025年以来涨幅翻倍的主动权益基金有31只，多数为人形机器人、创新药、算力等主题基 金，只有少数是全市场选 ...

Group 1 - The article highlights a significant market differentiation where emerging growth stocks, particularly in AI and semiconductors, are thriving, while traditional low-valuation dividend stocks are declining [1][2] - This market style change reflects a structural shift in investment preferences, with younger investors favoring innovation and older investors adhering to value [1][2] - The differentiation is not coincidental but closely linked to national industrial policy and technological development cycles, showcasing generational differences in risk appetite and investment philosophy [2][3] Group 2 - Recent market trends illustrate a clear divide between growth and value stocks, with dividend strategies and banking sectors experiencing adjustments, while sectors like optical modules and AI applications perform well [2][3] - The macroeconomic environment and a reassessment of growth paths contribute to this differentiation, with low interest rates diminishing the appeal of traditional value stocks [2][3] - The essence of investment is being re-evaluated, recognizing that value and growth investing are not opposing forces but different perspectives on assessing a company's value [3][4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [3] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of long-term demand expectations as a key driver for valuation and performance in the lithium battery and photovoltaic sectors [24][28] - It highlights the significant impact of short-term marginal conditions, particularly pricing and production/output data, on market sentiment and stock performance [41][48] Summary by Sections 1. Stock Price Review - The lithium battery market began its upward trend in late 2019, driven by European carbon emission assessments and the rise of new energy vehicle consumption in China [11] - The photovoltaic market saw significant growth from 2020 to 2021 due to global carbon reduction targets and supply constraints, leading to a surge in prices and stock performance [15] - The inverter segment experienced explosive growth driven by demand from energy storage solutions, but faced a sharp decline in 2023 due to inventory issues [19] 2. Key Drivers - **Long-term Demand Expectations - Lithium Batteries** - The report notes that the adjustment of long-term demand expectations directly influences performance and valuation, with significant growth observed in 2020 due to rising demand for new energy vehicles [24] - **Long-term Demand Expectations - Photovoltaics** - The report indicates that from 2020 to 2021, demand expectations for photovoltaics were revised upwards, leading to a bullish market sentiment, but concerns about peak demand in 2023 led to a decline in valuations [29] - **Long-term Demand Expectations - Inverters** - The inverter market's performance was closely tied to demand expectations, with significant growth in 2022 driven by European energy needs, but a subsequent drop in orders in 2023 [33] 3. Short-term Marginal Conditions - **Pricing** - The report highlights that price changes in lithium and silicon materials significantly affect stock prices, with stock prices often leading material price increases [41] - **Production/Output** - Monthly production and shipment data are critical indicators for stock performance, particularly in the energy storage sector, where visibility is limited [48] - **Quarterly Profit Growth Expectations** - Market participants often use quarterly profit growth expectations to gauge industry health, with stock prices typically peaking ahead of profit expectations [49] 4. Other Insights - The report notes that valuation levels are not the primary indicators of market peaks, as fundamental expectations play a more crucial role in determining market trends [59] 5. Outlook - The report expresses optimism for the energy storage market, projecting significant growth in global installations driven by improved demand expectations and favorable market conditions [62][65]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the ability to achieve stable returns in a volatile A-share market, with the fund managed by Shen Li showing over 66% return year-to-date as of September 18, 2023 [1] - Shen Li's investment strategy focuses on a unique balance between growth and value, avoiding the extremes of short-term speculation and static low valuations [1][2] - The strategy involves a two-layer screening mechanism, focusing on industry stability and key factors such as profitability and risk-reward ratio [1] Group 2 - The market is currently in a recovery phase, with sentiment indicators returning to normal levels and showing optimism without overheating [2] - Key sectors to watch include AI, which is expected to attract significant capital inflows, particularly in hardware, as the industry shows strong internal momentum [3] - The semiconductor industry is entering a new upcycle, characterized by improved quality compared to previous cycles, with surviving companies demonstrating product competitiveness [3][4] Group 3 - High-quality manufacturing companies that have expanded overseas have undergone a value reassessment, establishing new barriers to entry in global capacity [4] - The trend of consumer de-leveraging is expected to create structural opportunities for consumption recovery, with a focus on high-cost-performance products [4] - In the traditional liquor sector, leading companies with channel optimization and market share enhancement capabilities are anticipated to see valuation recovery post-industry consolidation [4]

Group 1 - The article discusses the ongoing debate between different investment styles, particularly the contrast between "Old Deng" (value investors) and "Young Deng" (growth investors) [5][7] - A significant point of contention arose when Ling Peng, chairman of Wilderness Investment, questioned the market's forecast for Zhongji Xuchuang's net profit exceeding 25 billion yuan by 2027, arguing that such projections for component manufacturing companies are unrealistic [6] - The response from sell-side analysts highlighted the potential benefits for Zhongji Xuchuang as a leading company in the optical module sector, especially with the increasing importance of communication driven by AI advancements [6] Group 2 - The article notes a clear divergence in performance between value and growth investment styles, with the CSI Dividend Index down 0.92% this year, while the ChiNext Index surged by 41.04% [8] - The discussion reflects a broader sentiment among investors, with some expressing skepticism towards traditional value investments, while others emphasize the importance of maintaining a disciplined investment approach [10][12] - The debate also touches on the cyclical nature of markets, with some investors advocating for a cautious approach based on historical market cycles and the potential for significant losses during downturns [17]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the enduring relevance of value investing, particularly in the context of the A-share market, and highlights the importance of patience in investment strategies [10][20][54]. Group 1: Value Investing Principles - Graham, known as the father of value investing, has significantly influenced investment philosophies, including the low valuation investment approach [4][5]. - His notable works include "The Intelligent Investor" and "Security Analysis," with the latter being more technical [6][7]. - The updated version of "Security Analysis" includes refreshed case studies, making it relevant for contemporary investors [8]. Group 2: Effectiveness in A-share Market - Value investing strategies, such as those derived from Graham's principles, have proven effective in the A-share market, despite concerns about their applicability [10][20]. - The 300 Value Index, which selects the lowest P/E and P/B stocks from the CSI 300, has shown significant returns, rising from 1,000 points to 9,147 points (approximately 814% increase) from the end of 2004 to the end of 2024 [18]. - In comparison, the CSI 300 Total Return Index increased by 464% during the same period, indicating that value strategies can outperform broader market indices [19]. Group 3: Challenges of Value Investing - The main challenge of value investing lies not in its effectiveness but in the lack of patience among investors, leading to low adoption rates of value-focused index funds [23][24]. - Despite the long-term success of value strategies, many investors abandon them during periods of underperformance, as seen during the growth market phase from 2019 to 2021 [30][32]. - The article notes that while both value and growth strategies can be effective, they do not perform well simultaneously, requiring investors to maintain a long-term perspective [40][42]. Group 4: Conclusion on Investment Patience - The article concludes that the lack of patience among most investors is a key reason why value investing remains effective, as it allows those with patience to benefit from the market's inefficiencies [54][50]. - It highlights that investment is fundamentally a transfer of assets from the impatient to the patient [54].

Core Insights - The public fund industry in China is witnessing a significant presence of experienced fund managers who have been in the industry for over ten years, demonstrating robust performance and investment capabilities across market cycles [1][2] - These seasoned managers embody a long-term investment culture supported by a systematic and platform-based research and investment ecosystem, which includes talent cultivation, collaborative platforms, and incentive designs aligned with investor interests [1][3] Group 1: Long-term Investment Strategies - The emergence of "double ten" fund managers, who have over ten years of experience and an annualized return exceeding 10%, highlights the effectiveness of long-term investment strategies in the public fund sector [1][2] - Value-oriented fund managers focus on undervalued assets and prioritize intrinsic value and safety margins, particularly in traditional sectors like finance and utilities, emphasizing the importance of low valuations for long-term returns [2][3] - Growth-oriented fund managers target high-growth sectors such as technology and renewable energy, utilizing independent and forward-thinking investment approaches to navigate market style shifts successfully [2][3] Group 2: Talent Development and Team Structure - Fund companies are increasingly investing in cultivating their research and investment talent, establishing clear growth paths from junior to senior roles to ensure alignment with corporate culture and long-term investment philosophies [4][5] - A systematic approach to talent development, including mentorship programs and collaborative management structures, is being adopted to foster a culture of shared growth and innovation within investment teams [4][5] Group 3: Performance Evaluation and Incentives - The industry consensus is shifting towards long-term performance evaluation mechanisms that prioritize multi-year performance metrics and incorporate non-financial indicators to enhance the focus on sustainable investment outcomes [5][6] - Fund companies are implementing compensation structures that tie performance incentives to long-term results, ensuring that fund managers are aligned with the interests of investors over extended periods [6][7] - The emphasis on long-term evaluation is complemented by mechanisms that allow for flexibility in assessing fund managers' performance during market mismatches, promoting stability in investment strategies [6][7] Group 4: Industry Development and Challenges - The public fund industry is transitioning from rapid growth to a focus on high-quality development, emphasizing investor interests, core research capabilities, and improved performance evaluation mechanisms [7][8] - The industry faces challenges such as significant short-term performance volatility and the need for enhanced investor satisfaction, necessitating a shift towards sustainable growth and responsible investment practices [7][8]

Core Insights - The Shanghai Composite Index has surpassed 3800 points, reaching its highest level in over ten years, with investor sentiment shifting towards cautious optimism [1][15][20] - A survey of over 50,000 fund investors indicates a significant portion are adopting defensive strategies while maintaining a long-term optimistic outlook on the market [1][18][21] Investor Sentiment and Behavior - Approximately 49.7% of investors are opting to reduce their positions or lower risk, while 70% believe the market will continue to break through resistance levels [18][20] - The majority of investors (57.6%) have 1-5 years of investment experience, indicating a relatively inexperienced investor base [5][3] - Fund investments are the primary choice for 62.5% of respondents, highlighting a preference for mutual funds over other asset classes [8] Investment Strategies - A mix of investment strategies is evident, with 45.8% favoring swing trading and 39.9% opting for long-term holding [28] - The use of leverage is divided, with 35.2% of investors employing it, while 51.1% avoid it altogether, reflecting varied risk appetites [27] Sector Preferences - Over 50% of investors are optimistic about the technology sector, with significant interest also in consumer and financial sectors [25][26] - A notable 90.3% of investors plan to adjust their portfolio structures, with a strong inclination towards value stocks [26] Information Sources and Decision-Making - Investors primarily rely on financial media (62.0%) and social platforms (53.8%) for investment information, indicating a shift towards more accessible information sources [29] - Company financial reports and macroeconomic data are the most critical factors influencing investment decisions, with 53.6% and 40.7% of investors respectively prioritizing these [30] Trends in Fund Management - The preference for index funds and ETFs has risen, with 51% of investors favoring these over actively managed funds [33][34] - The influence of star fund managers is waning, with 55% of investors viewing their insights as merely reference points rather than definitive guidance [35][36] Investor Concerns and Suggestions - Economic downturns are the primary concern for 46.9% of investors, followed by liquidity tightening and policy shifts [24] - Investors express a desire for lower fees and improved transparency in fund management, reflecting a growing demand for better investment practices [38]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the positive performance of the Hong Kong stock market in the first half of 2025, with significant gains across major indices, reflecting investor optimism and market vitality [2][5] - The Hang Seng High Dividend Yield Index has shown superior long-term returns, indicating a recognition of long-term value investing within the Hong Kong market [2][5] - Southbound funds are increasingly favoring high-quality stocks, with stable exposure to quality factors and marginal improvements in exposure to undervalued and high-dividend stocks over the past three years [2][18] Group 2 - The article discusses various active quantitative strategies in the Hong Kong stock market, including value, dividend, quality, and growth strategies, all of which have demonstrated effective stock selection capabilities [3][22] - The value strategy, focusing on risk resilience, has achieved an annualized return of 19.9% since 2012, while the Hong Kong Stock Connect value strategy has realized a 15.6% annualized return since 2016, outperforming the Hang Seng Stock Connect Index by 11.4% [3][42] - The dividend strategy has yielded an annualized return of 19.1% since 2012, with a 7.7% excess return, while the quality strategy has achieved a 16.2% annualized return since 2016, with a 12.3% excess return over the Hang Seng Stock Connect Index [3][42] Group 3 - The growth strategy has achieved a 17.1% annualized return since 2016, with a remarkable 47.2% return this year, showing stable excess returns compared to the Hang Seng Stock Connect Index [4][22] - The article highlights the high proportion of "penny stocks" in the Hong Kong market, which exceeds 50%, necessitating the exclusion of these stocks for effective stock selection [6][45] - The average market capitalization of stocks within the Stock Connect is significantly higher, with a median of approximately HKD 20 billion, compared to below HKD 10 billion for the overall market [6][45] Group 4 - The article presents the performance of various factors within the Stock Connect, noting that value, dividend, quality, and growth factors have shown strong stock selection capabilities, with an average IC of 3.30% for the ROE factor [15][16] - The quality factor has demonstrated stable performance, maintaining an advantage even during periods when growth factors were dominant [15][16] - The article also discusses the correlation between major factors, indicating a high correlation among factors such as net profit growth and operating profit growth [37][38] Group 5 - The value strategy is constructed based on a "PB-ROE" framework, focusing on undervalued stocks with strong risk resilience, achieving significant long-term excess returns [24][39] - The article emphasizes the importance of cash flow stability in avoiding "value traps" when selecting undervalued stocks [36][39] - The value strategy's holdings are predominantly in large-cap stocks, with a recent concentration in the healthcare sector [45][47]