Core Insights - The real estate market in China has shifted dramatically, with a significant decline in property values and a prolonged downturn in the housing market, contradicting the previous belief that property prices would only rise [2][3] - A substantial portion of urban families, approximately 41.5%, own two or more properties, facing challenges due to asset depreciation and rising holding costs [2][3] Group 1: Market Decline - The average price of second-hand homes has been falling for 29 consecutive months, with listings exceeding 150,000 units [2] - In major cities like Shanghai, property values have dropped by over 30% from their peak, while some regions have experienced price reductions of up to 50% [3] - The average transaction period for second-hand homes has extended to 6.2 months, indicating a significant slowdown in market liquidity [3] Group 2: Rising Holding Costs - The costs associated with property ownership are increasing rapidly, with property management fees having doubled over the past two decades [4] - Home maintenance expenses, particularly for older buildings with elevators, can reach hundreds of thousands of yuan, creating financial strain for homeowners [4] - The potential introduction of a property tax at a rate of 1.2% poses an additional financial burden for families with multiple properties [4] Group 3: Challenges in Liquidation - The market has shifted from concerns about affordability to difficulties in selling properties, with listings in major cities surpassing 160,000 units [5] - Even with significant price reductions, many properties remain unsold, reflecting a drastic drop in market demand [5] - The rental market is also facing oversupply, making it increasingly difficult for landlords to cover mortgage payments through rental income [5] Group 4: Strategic Responses - Families are encouraged to conduct a thorough assessment of their asset portfolios and consider selling less competitive properties to focus on prime locations [7] - Optimizing debt structures and reducing monthly payment burdens are recommended strategies to alleviate financial pressure [7] - Maintaining a positive outlook is crucial, as the real estate market may take time to recover, and avoiding panic selling is advised [7]

曾经被视作炙手可热的香饽饽，人们争相抢购，恨不得倾囊所有的房产，如今却让许多拥有多套房产的家庭如坐针毡，措手不及。楼市风向的骤然转变，如 同突如其来的寒流，让这些家庭感受到了前所未有的压力。 回想当年，房价如日中天，购房者仿佛被甜蜜的汁液所吸引，即使背负沉重的债务，也依然干劲十足。然而，世事变迁，唯一不变的便是变化本身。当房价 下跌的趋势显现，心态也随之急转直下，每个月高昂的房贷不再是收益的来源，而变成了沉重的负担。闲置的房屋难以出售，出租的价格也远不如预期，再 加上每月必须缴纳的物业费，多重压力让人喘不过气。 事实上，房地产市场早已今非昔比，只涨不跌的神话已经彻底破灭。早在2018年，眼光独到的李嘉诚就曾预言，未来五年房价将面临一场大洗牌，告诫炒房 客们务必谨慎。然而，当时的市场一片火热，许多人对此不以为然。七年光阴荏苒，全国百城二手房价已连续29个月下跌，二手房挂牌量更是激增至15万套 以上，足以证明李嘉诚预言的准确性。 一组冰冷的数据揭示了残酷的现实：中国城镇家庭中，高达41.5%的家庭拥有两套及以上住房。这些家庭正无可避免地承受着三种令人难以接受的结局。 最重要的是保持积极乐观的心态。房地产市场的调整 ...

房价这样的下跌态势，让本就信心不太足的市场难受了。虽然说"止跌回稳"也并不是意味着房价就会一路上涨，但是如今出现连续几个月的下跌调整，就难 免会让人怀疑原本有走好迹象的市场是不是又变得不太乐观了。 今年4月份，房价走势出现波动是情有可原，原本以为调整一两个月就重拾上升通道，但没想到这一波动就是4个月，而且市场呈现出了明显的上行发力的特 征。如果这种态势不能得到扭转，接下的房价走势可能会更加难受了。 0 0 app 120 S PACE Van 最新公布的7月份的70个大中城市的房价变动情况，有点不容乐观。从4月份起，房价下跌范围在继续扩大，已经持续了4个月了。这是不是意味着自去年10 月份以来的房价止跌回涨的态势结束了？至少是暂停了吧！ 当然更重要的原因恐怕是未来新增的住房需求有限。住房的供应量还可以控制，但是住房需求面临萎缩的情况在短时间内是很难解决的。住房需求减少预期 的根本原因就是总人口进入了负增长，仅仅2022年-2024年，总人口已经是减少了432万人。如果总人口负增长的态势难以改变，未来总体的住房需求也会减 少，这对于房地产市场来说才是最难解决的事情，很多城市的房价都会面临着下跌的风险。 以上是对 ...

"2019年听销售忽悠买的房，现在成了我一生最沉重的决定。"同学聚会上，老刘的这句话让全场沉默。他掏出手机，翻出购房合同：首付50万，月供4800 元，两套"规划高铁站旁"的新房，如今房价跌了30%，入住率不足三成，物业费每月倒贴300元。他苦笑着自嘲："这哪是资产？是负债，是杀人不见血的枷 锁。" 老刘的故事不是孤例。过去二十年，房产是无数家庭的"财富密码"，但如今，它正变成"沉没成本"的代名词。房价下跌、资产缩水、变现困难……三大困境 交织，让近一半家庭陷入被动。马云的"房价如葱"预言，正在从调侃变成现实。 "当年咬牙上车，现在骑虎难下。"这是许多购房者的真实写照。 过去房价单边上涨时，贷款买房是"加杠杆赚钱"；如今房价下跌，同样的房子却成了"加杠杆负债"。以一套150万的房子为例：首付30%（45万），贷款105 万，30年月供近6000元，本息合计超260万，比本金多一倍。更扎心的是，房价跌了，欠银行的钱一分没少；首付亏光，利息还在"滴答"作响；租不出去， 还得自掏腰包供空房。 更严峻的是，房产税的"达摩克利斯之剑"正在落下。地方财政压力增大、土地收入断崖式下滑，征收房产税几乎成为必然。一旦实施，多套 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the negative consequences of speculative real estate investment in China, highlighting the plight of investors who face significant financial losses due to falling property prices and the risks associated with mortgage defaults [1][3][11]. Group 1: Investment Trends - In 2018, 58.2% of new home purchases were for investment purposes, while only 15.1% were for first-time homebuyers, indicating a significant shift towards speculative buying over the past decade [3]. - In 2008, first-time homebuyers accounted for 69.7% of purchases, with investment buyers at only 19.6%, showing a dramatic increase in speculative buying over ten years [3]. Group 2: Case Studies of Investors - A case study from 2017 describes an individual who purchased a property in Yanjiao for 3.5 million yuan, only to see its value plummet to 1.5 million yuan by 2021, resulting in a loss of over 2 million yuan [5]. - Another case involves a 35-year-old who bought a property for 4.26 million yuan in 2017, which dropped to around 2.3 million yuan, leading to a decision to default on the mortgage, resulting in additional financial burdens [7]. - A story from Chengdu highlights a buyer who invested 2.7 million yuan for a home, only to face job loss and a subsequent drop in property value to 1.6 million yuan, leading to severe financial distress [9]. Group 3: Consequences of Defaulting - Defaulting on a mortgage can lead to severe repercussions, including the property being auctioned at a low price, incurring various fees, and negatively impacting personal credit scores, which can affect family members as well [11]. - Experts suggest that lending to individuals who cannot afford homes may not be prudent, emphasizing the importance of financial capability in real estate investments [11].

PACE Van 0 0 app 120 S | 城市 | | 环比 | 同比 | | 1-7月平均 | | | 环比 | 同比 | 1-7月平均 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 上年同月 | | 上年同期 | 城市 | | | 上年同月 | 上年同期 | | | | 上月=100 | =100 | | =100 | | | 上月=100 | =100 | =100 | | 北 | 泉 | 100.0 | | 96.4 | 95.1 | 居 | 111 | 99.6 | 93.5 | 92.7 | | 天 | 漫 | 99.7 | | 98.1 | 97.9 | 奏 | 皇岛 | 99.5 | 94.4 | 93.4 | | | 石家庄 | 99.6 | | 96.9 | 96.5 | 何 | ग्रे- | 99.4 | 94.4 | 93.8 | | 太 | 原 | 99.8 | | 101.0 | 101.1 | 丹 | 东 | 99.8 | 95.5 | 94.5 | | 呼和浩 ...

凛冬已至，楼市的寒意比想象中更深。 先别急着下结论，让我们从几个读者粉丝的咨询说起。前些日子，不少朋友在后台留言，问题直指当下最敏感的话题——房产。北方某四线城市的小柳困 惑不已："高老师，我们这房价怎么像被冻住了一样，难道真的跌到谷底了吗？"另一边，身在海口的粉丝则诉说着砍价的无奈，想买房却始终谈不拢价 格。我问她怎么砍的，她说直接七七折，我算了算，这价格比海口房价巅峰时期低了足足四成六！这哪是砍价，简直是想让房东吐血。 今天，我们就来扒一扒这楼市的真相。 1. 数据不会撒谎：房价下跌的速度超乎想象 别被表面的平静迷惑，数据往往是最诚实的。翻开最新的7月楼市成绩单，触目惊心：70个大中城市房价环比下跌0.27%，这已是连续第28个月下跌，持 续刷新着下跌记录！ 一直以来，我最关注的都是二手房市场，因为这才是最真实的晴雨表。数据显示，7月份，一线城市二手房价格同比下降3.4%，而且降幅还在扩大，环比 增加了0.4个百分点。其中，北京、上海、广州、深圳分别下降了2.9%、2.2%、6.0%和2.5%。二三线城市的情况更不容乐观，二手房价格同比分别下降 5.6%和6.4%。 三组数据，背后是令人不安的信号： 一线 ...

Core Viewpoint - The real estate market is experiencing a significant downturn, with predictions for price stabilization in major cities being pushed back, indicating a prolonged period of low market activity [1] Group 1: Local Finance - The land finance model, which has supported local finances for over two decades, is now in jeopardy, with land transfer revenue dropping by 14% year-on-year in the first half of the year [3] - The difficulties faced by real estate companies have led to a lack of interest in the land market, exacerbating the financial strain on local governments [3] - This creates a vicious cycle where tight local finances hinder large-scale construction, leading to fewer projects and reduced tax revenue [3] Group 2: Secondary Housing Market - In Shanghai, over 40,000 newly restricted homes are set to be released in 2026, posing a risk of market collapse as prices for previously high-demand properties have plummeted [6] - The number of second-hand homes listed in Beijing and Shanghai has exceeded 160,000, with even a 20% price reduction failing to attract buyers [6] - A potential panic selling scenario could lead to a complete breakdown of the pricing system in the secondary housing market [6] Group 3: Real Estate Company Debt - By 2025, real estate companies will face nearly 3 trillion yuan in maturing debt, forcing developers to resort to drastic price cuts to sell properties [7] - The cycle of price reduction, mortgage defaults, and subsequent forced sales creates a downward spiral that is difficult to reverse [7] Group 4: Consumer Behavior - With real estate accounting for nearly 70% of household assets in China, the ongoing decline in property prices has severely impacted consumer wealth and spending intentions [8] - The perception of wealth has diminished, leading to a significant drop in consumer confidence and spending, as evidenced by reduced budgets for purchases like cars [8] Group 5: Market Confidence - The real estate market is trapped in a cycle of declining confidence, with new home prices falling for 39 consecutive months and second-hand home prices for 41 months [8] - The average sales cycle for homes in major cities has extended to 20 months, reflecting a lack of buyer interest [8] - The fundamental logic of the housing market has shifted, with an oversupply of housing and insufficient actual demand, indicating a return to the primary function of housing as a living space rather than a wealth symbol [8]

Core Insights - The ongoing moderate decline in London housing prices is viewed positively, as it may alleviate various burdens in the UK, including labor market and social mobility barriers [1][2] - The article highlights a shift in the housing market, with current house prices at six times the average annual income, down from eight times a decade ago, indicating a significant change [1][2] Group 1: Housing Market Trends - Several factors contributing to the decline in housing prices include the introduction of the buy-to-let tax in 2015, the Brexit referendum, and the rise of remote work during the COVID-19 pandemic [2] - Unlike previous housing market crashes, the current decline in London housing prices has not led to systemic financial shocks or negative impacts on other regions, with some areas potentially benefiting from changing housing demand patterns [2][3] Group 2: Regional Economic Performance - The Greater Manchester area has shown impressive economic growth and productivity, with its absolute productivity level now only 35% lower than London, down from nearly 50% [2][3] - Other regions, such as Rotherham in South Yorkshire, have also experienced significant productivity increases, indicating a potential for broader national growth if these trends can be replicated [3] Group 3: Policy and Structural Challenges - The article discusses persistent economic absurdities, such as the "triple lock" pension system, which requires pension increases to match inflation, wage growth, or 2.5%, highlighting the need for reform [3][4] - The necessity for decisive action from elected policymakers and civil servants is emphasized, suggesting that seemingly insurmountable economic challenges may be more manageable than perceived [3][4]

传统认知里，豪宅大多与"老钱"相配，但如今，涌入一线城市豪宅市场的面孔，正变得越来越年轻。 有数据统计显示，近五年，在深圳主流豪宅片区深圳湾板块，90后买家占比达到30%，00后也成了豪宅买家的生力军，最低买房年龄下 探到了20岁。而在上海，一些上千万元级别的楼盘交易中，95后"新贵"的认购占比甚至达到了5成以上。 在楼市整体低迷的当下，花大价钱在超一线城市买下更贵的房子，究竟意味着什么？我们和几位花1000多万甚至两三千万买房的年轻 人，聊了聊他们的经历。有人通过父母一代获得财富，像开盲盒一样打开豪宅大门；还有人踩中了时代风口，乘着行业东风实现阶层跃 升，从农村的自建房住进深圳豪宅。 更多的年轻人发现，开发商口中的豪宅很多时候要打上一个引号，尤其在北上广这样的一线城市，怀揣着对豪宅的期待，付出了不菲的 价格，很容易产生失望甚至被背刺的感觉。 以下是他们的讲述—— 文 | 王潇 编辑 | 西打 运营 | 芋头 "100多万的差价我来出，别贱卖了"金金 30岁坐标深圳，180平方米总价最高是3000多万，目前2700万 我的这套房子是2018年买的，2020年住了进去。从单价看，算是所谓的豪宅了，刚买时算上装修 ...