Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the increasing exchange rate risks faced by companies engaged in cross-border e-commerce, particularly in emerging markets like Africa, due to significant currency fluctuations and the need for effective hedging strategies [1][2][8]. Group 1: Exchange Rate Risks in Cross-Border E-commerce - Companies are experiencing substantial profit losses due to currency depreciation, with some African currencies dropping over 5% in just a few days, leading to a profit reduction of over 70% for exporters [1][2]. - The traditional USD-centered global trade settlement system is shifting towards a more diversified model involving local currencies, complicating the exchange rate risk landscape for Chinese companies [1][8]. - A significant portion of cross-border e-commerce transactions now involves local currencies, increasing the complexity of exchange rate risks for Chinese exporters [1][8]. Group 2: Hedging Strategies - Companies are adopting forward foreign exchange swap transactions to lock in exchange rates and mitigate risks associated with currency fluctuations [1][6]. - The hedging strategies include locking in exchange rates for local currencies against USD and subsequently against RMB, which helps stabilize profits despite currency volatility [6][8]. - The effectiveness of these hedging strategies is contingent on accurately predicting currency trends, as misjudgments can lead to losses [6][8]. Group 3: Industry Trends and Challenges - The demand for foreign exchange risk management tools is increasing, with over 1.1 trillion USD utilized in foreign exchange derivatives for risk management in the first three quarters of the previous year [17]. - Financial institutions are enhancing their offerings of foreign exchange risk management products, including forward contracts and options, to support companies in managing their exposure [17][18]. - There is a growing recognition among companies of the need for a "neutral" approach to exchange rate risk management, focusing on cost and profit stabilization rather than speculative gains [17][22]. Group 4: Operational Pain Points - Companies face operational challenges in executing foreign exchange transactions due to lengthy processes involving multiple banks, which can take several days and expose them to currency fluctuations [3][6]. - Many companies lack clarity on which foreign exchange hedging tools are suitable for their specific needs, leading to ineffective risk management practices [18][19]. - Financial institutions are working to address these operational pain points by providing tailored solutions and educating companies on effective hedging strategies [18][23].

Core Insights - The euro has risen to a three-year high against the dollar, increasing over 9%, which is putting significant pressure on major European exporters [3] - Companies like SAP, Porsche, Heineken, and Schneider Electric have warned investors about potential performance declines due to the strong euro [3] - The appreciation of the euro reduces the value of dollar revenues when converted back to euros, directly impacting profit margins for these companies [3] Company Strategies - In response to the currency challenge, some European companies are adjusting their strategies by increasing local sourcing in the U.S. to create a natural hedge against currency fluctuations [3] - Other firms are seeking protection through the foreign exchange derivatives market, although this approach raises financial costs [3] Economic Context - The ongoing strength of the euro is attributed to the divergence in monetary policies between the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve, with expectations of potential rate cuts by the Fed later this year while the ECB maintains a hawkish stance [3] - Investors are advised to closely monitor upcoming earnings calls for these companies, as discussions on currency issues will be key indicators of their ability to cope with the challenges posed by the strong euro [3] - Mid-sized companies that heavily rely on U.S. market revenues and have limited currency hedging capabilities may face more severe challenges [3]

财报季警报 关税与美元颓势重创全球企业营收 金十数据4月24日讯，在这个财报季，不断上升的关税以及美元的走弱给全球各地公司的盈利预期蒙上 了一层阴影，预计在未来几个季度还会造成更多损害。随着美元兑欧元跌至三年来的低点，兑瑞士法郎 跌至十年来的低谷，欧洲各地的公司已然拉响了警报。对于正努力应对因特朗普总统的贸易政策而带来 的经济放缓风险的股市而言，这又是一个令人头疼的问题。欧洲市值最高的公司之一，思爱普就指出了 汇率问题带来的困扰。这家软件制造商的首席财务官向投资者表示，美元疲软是中期内影响公司盈利的 不利因素，随着货币套期保值措施开始到期，这种影响在明年将会变得十分明显。与此同时，对于荷兰 啤酒制造商喜力公司而言，欧元对一系列货币的走强预计将使该公司今年的营收减少17.2亿欧元。法国 医疗诊断公司生物梅里埃和英国零售商WH史密斯公司在其财报中也强调了汇率风险。龙柏资本宏观研 究主管弗洛里安・耶尔波表示："欧洲公司必须清醒地认识到，它们的价格竞争力不能再依赖于美元的 走强了。" ...

Core Viewpoint - Exchange rate risk, also known as foreign exchange risk, refers to the potential for loss (or gain) due to fluctuations in currency exchange rates affecting the value of assets, liabilities, income, or expenses denominated in foreign currencies [1][5]. Group 1: Types of Exchange Rate Risk - Transaction risk is the most common form of exchange rate risk, occurring during transactions priced in foreign currencies. For example, a Chinese export company expecting to receive 1 million USD may face a loss if the exchange rate changes unfavorably before payment is received [4]. - Translation risk, also known as accounting risk, arises when a company needs to convert its functional currency into its reporting currency for financial statements. A depreciation of the local currency against the reporting currency can lead to reduced asset and profit values in the consolidated financial statements [4]. - Economic risk, or operational risk, involves unexpected exchange rate changes that can affect a company's future revenues or cash flows by altering production costs, sales volumes, and pricing strategies. For instance, a sudden appreciation of the local currency can make exported products more expensive, potentially reducing sales [4]. Group 2: Impact and Management of Exchange Rate Risk - In the current international trade environment, exchange rate risk significantly impacts companies, particularly in foreign trade. For export-oriented firms, local currency appreciation can reduce price competitiveness and profit margins, while for import-oriented firms, local currency depreciation can increase costs [5]. - To assess and manage exchange rate risk, companies need to monitor factors influencing currency fluctuations, such as international balance of payments, foreign exchange reserves, interest rates, inflation, and political conditions. Financial instruments like foreign exchange forward contracts, futures, and options can be utilized for hedging [5]. - Companies should also optimize their choice of settlement currencies and adjust pricing strategies for imports and exports to mitigate the impact of exchange rate fluctuations [5].

Group 1 - Currency exchange plays a significant role in cross-border consumption, travel, and investment, with the current exchange rate of 1 Japanese Yen equating to approximately 0.0473 Chinese Yuan as of July 2024 [1][3] - The Bank of Japan has maintained an ultra-loose monetary policy, while the People's Bank of China adjusts its policies based on domestic economic conditions, impacting the value of the Yen [3][4] - The actual effective exchange rate index of the Yen is nearing historical lows, indicating a potential demand for value recovery [5] Group 2 - For small exchanges, digital banks with "flash exchange" features can facilitate quick transactions, while larger exchanges may benefit from "large amount preferential rates" offered by banks [4] - A 5% depreciation of the Yen could increase purchasing power by approximately 68 Yuan, while a 3% appreciation could reduce it by about 41 Yuan, highlighting the importance of monitoring exchange rate fluctuations [4] - Consumers are advised to operate when the exchange rate is within ±2% of the three-month average to minimize decision-making costs and should prioritize direct payments in Yen to avoid additional losses from currency conversion [5]

| 证券代码：002921 | 证券简称：联诚精密 | 公告编号：2025-006 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：128120 | 债券简称：联诚转债 | | 山东联诚精密制造股份有限公司 关于开展外汇衍生品交易业务的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 重要内容提示： 1、交易类型：山东联诚精密制造股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）拟开 展的外汇衍生品交易业务只限于从事与公司生产经营所使用的主要结算货币相 同的币种，主要外币币种有美元、欧元、日元等。公司进行的外汇衍生品交易业 务包括远期结售汇、外汇掉期、外汇期权等外汇衍生产品业务。 2、交易金额、交易保证金及权利金：根据公司实际业务发展需要，公司及 控股子公司拟开展的外汇衍生品交易业务交易金额不超过 5,000 万美元（或等值 其他币种），且期限内任意时点的交易金额不超过以上额度。业务期限自获公司 第三届董事会第十八次会议审议通过之日起 12 个月内有效，在额度范围内可循 环使用。 公司开展外汇衍生品交易业务，需占用一定比例的银行授信额度或保证金， 如需缴纳保证金将 ...