炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 仅歇1日，今日（12月24日）军工板块火速反弹，场内高人气军工ETF华宝（512810）盘中拔地而起， 直线冲高1.25%！ 商业航天概念大口回血，中国卫星涨超5%，上海瀚讯、航天发展等均大幅反弹。昨日20CM涨停的宏达 电子一度再涨超9%，股价续创3年新高！ 消息面，2025第三届商业航天发展大会暨第四届中关村商业航天大会今日在北京举行。企业层面，据证 监会网上办事服务平台披露，近日，蓝箭航天IPO辅导工作正式完成，辅导机构为中金公司。 开源证券认为，随着技术迭代与配套完善，太空算力和其他新兴应用有望推动商业航天迎来具备规模化 商业价值的产业变革。对标猎鹰9号火箭的发射价格及发射频次，2030年中国有望实现年发射100次、单 次成本约1亿元水平，火箭发射及卫星制造年产值有望达到850亿元。 就商业航天题材所在的军工板块，东方证券认为，军工行业已企稳向好，"十五五"军民贸有望共振。经 历了2023~2024年的行业需求不振，2025年军工行业企稳有所复苏，产业链营收重回增长，内部结构出 现分化的趋势有望延续。2026年是新五年规划的开局 ...

12月18日早盘，商业航天概念强势回归，带动国防军工板块领跑全市场！截至发稿，国防军工行业涨幅、主力净流入额均高居全行业首位！ | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 | 主力净流入额 ▼ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 801740 | 国防军工(申万) | 1805.22 | 1.88% | 80.75 Z | | 801880 | 汽车(申万) | 7600.14 | 0.11% | 49.82亿 | | 801050 | 有色全属(申万) | 7802.20 | 0.98% | 44.41亿 | 汇聚军工核心资产的国防军工ETF（512810）低开高走，盘中一度涨近2%再创近2个月新高！场内快速放量，成交超5600万元，接近上日全天 成交额。 数据来源：沪深交易所等。 所覆盖的商业航天相关成份股集体飙升，铂力特、中科星图涨12%，奥普光电一字板，中国卫星涨停。 风险提示：国防军工ETF被动跟踪中证军工指数，该指数基日为2004.12.31，发布于2013.12.26。文中提及个股仅为指数成份股客观展示列举， 不作为任何个股推荐，不代表基金管理人和基金投资方向。 ...

后续还有机会吗？分析人士指出，市场整体还是以震荡结构看待为宜，当前商业航天或仍处于密集催化 期，或可重点关注其所在的军工板块回调整理过程中的低吸机会。东方证券、中信建投、华泰证券等多 家机构最新策略均提及军工板块机遇。 东方证券认为，军工行业已企稳向好，"十五五"军民贸有望共振。经历了2023~2024年的行业需求不 振，2025年军工行业企稳有所复苏，产业链营收重回增长，内部结构出现分化的趋势有望延续。2026年 是新五年规划的开局年，有望实现军民贸需求共振。 【八一军工，大展宏图】代码有"八一"的军工ETF华宝（512810）（原国防军工ETF）覆盖"商业航天 + 可控核聚变 + 低空经济 + 大飞机 + 深海科技 + 军用AI "等诸多热门主题，同时是融资融券+互联互通标 的，是一键投资军工核心资产的高效工具。 数据来源：沪深交易所等。 连涨四日后，军工板块今日（12月23日）迎来回调，场内高人气军工ETF华宝（512810）收跌1.37%止 步四连阳，全天成交6396万元。昨日该ETF场内价格刚创下9月4日以来新高。 军工ETF华宝（512810）覆盖海陆空天核心军工资产，80只成份股65跌2平13涨 ...

Group 1 - The Long March 12A rocket successfully completed its maiden flight on December 23, achieving the secondary stage orbit goal, but the first stage recovery verification did not meet expectations [1] - Following the news, the secondary market reacted with mixed responses, leading to significant declines in commercial aerospace stocks, with Shanghai Hanxun dropping over 10% and China Satellite Communications and Aerospace Electronics falling over 9% [1] - The high-profile military ETF, Huabao (512810), which passively tracks the CSI Military Industry Index, saw a decline of 1.64% after reaching a peak of four consecutive gains, with real-time transactions exceeding 49 million yuan [1] Group 2 - Analysts suggest that the market should be viewed with a focus on a fluctuating structure, highlighting potential low-buy opportunities during the adjustment of popular themes [3] - The military industry is expected to benefit from multiple policies and strategic catalysts, including the 14th Five-Year Plan and the centenary of the military, with growth in both domestic and foreign demand anticipated between 2026 and 2027 [3] - Emerging themes such as commercial aerospace, AI intelligence, nuclear fusion, deep-sea technology, and unmanned systems are expected to drive the military industry towards high-end and intelligent development [3]

Core Viewpoint - The successful first flight of the Long March 12A rocket has led to mixed reactions in the commercial aerospace sector, with significant declines in related stocks despite achieving its second-stage orbital goal [1][7]. Market Reaction - Following the rocket's launch, stocks in the commercial aerospace sector experienced notable declines, with Shanghai Hanxun dropping over 10%, and China Satellite Communications and Aerospace Electronics falling more than 9% [1][7]. - The Huabao military ETF (512810), which passively tracks the CSI Military Index, saw a decline of 1.64% during the afternoon session, halting a four-day upward trend, with real-time transactions exceeding 49 million yuan [1][7]. Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the market should be viewed as having a fluctuating structure, with potential opportunities for low-cost acquisitions during the adjustment phase of popular themes [3][9]. - The military industry is expected to benefit from multiple policies and strategic catalysts, including the 14th Five-Year Plan and the centenary goals of the military, leading to synchronized growth in both domestic and foreign demand from 2026 to 2027 [3][9]. - Emerging themes such as commercial aerospace, AI intelligence, nuclear fusion, deep-sea technology, and unmanned systems are anticipated to drive the military industry towards higher-end and intelligent development [3][9]. Investment Tools - The Huabao military ETF (512810), previously known as the National Defense Military ETF, covers various popular themes including commercial aerospace, controllable nuclear fusion, low-altitude economy, large aircraft, deep-sea technology, and military AI, serving as an efficient tool for investing in core military assets [3][9].

Core Viewpoint - The military industry continues to rise, with the popular military ETF Huabao (512810) reaching a new high since September 4, with a 1.5% increase and a trading volume of 80.19 million yuan [1][9]. Group 1: Market Performance - The military ETF Huabao (512810) has shown a four-day consecutive increase, remaining above all moving averages, indicating strong bullish momentum as reflected by the MACD indicator [3][11]. - Commercial aerospace stocks are the main drivers of the market, with notable gains from companies like Highde Infrared and Beidou Star Communication, while China Satellite reached a 10-year high with an 8% increase [1][9]. Group 2: Funding Trends - There has been a continuous increase in leveraged funds in the military sector, with financing purchases rising for three consecutive weeks, indicating a positive outlook for future financing trends [3][12]. - Huafu Securities anticipates a strong demand recovery in the military industry by 2026, supporting the ongoing increase in financing purchases [3][12]. Group 3: Industry Developments - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing rapid growth due to policy support, with significant advancements in reusable rocket testing and satellite constellation networking [4][14]. - The Long March 12A reusable launch vehicle is scheduled for its historic first launch in December 2025, marking a significant milestone in China's aerospace capabilities [4][14]. Group 4: Strategic Insights - The military industry is expected to benefit from multiple policies and strategies, including the 14th Five-Year Plan and the centenary goals of the military, leading to synchronized growth in both domestic and international demand [5][14]. - Emerging themes such as commercial aerospace, AI intelligence, nuclear fusion, deep-sea technology, and unmanned systems are driving the military industry towards higher-end and intelligent development [5][14]. - Securities firms like Dongfang Securities and Huatai Securities are optimistic about the military sector, suggesting that investors should focus on this area as the new phase of equipment construction planning approaches [5][14][6].

Core Insights - The article discusses the development status and investment strategies of China's deep-sea technology industry, highlighting the competitive landscape and key players in the sector [1][6]. Company Overview - Major listed companies in the deep-sea technology sector include China Shipbuilding (600150.SH), China National Offshore Oil Corporation (601808.SH), and Zhenhua Heavy Industries (600320.SH), among others [1][2]. - These companies cover a wide range of areas including high-end equipment manufacturing, oil and gas exploration services, and underwater communication and detection [1][6]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, China Shipbuilding led the sector with over 100 billion RMB in revenue, although it faced low overall gross margins of 12.6% [5][13]. - Companies like China Haifang and ShenKai Co. demonstrated high gross margins exceeding 35%, indicating strong technical barriers in their niche markets [5][13]. - The financial metrics reveal that many companies have ROE (Return on Equity) concentrated around 3%-4%, while some, like Juyi Rigging and China Haifang, reported ROE below 2% [10][13]. Business Strategies - Companies are focusing on integrating advanced technologies such as AI, big data, and smart manufacturing into their operations [15][17]. - Leading firms are accelerating the intelligent upgrade and green transformation of deep-sea equipment, while smaller companies are innovating in underwater robotics and new marine materials [15][17]. Regional and Global Expansion - Most companies are strategically positioned along China's coast and are expanding their reach globally, particularly in Southeast Asia, Europe, and the Americas [6][7]. - This regional layout aligns with national strategies for marine power and international industrial development [6][7]. Future Development Plans - Companies are planning to invest in new technologies and expand their product lines, focusing on sustainable practices and international market penetration [16][17]. - For instance, China Shipbuilding aims to enhance its market share through mergers and acquisitions, while Zhongtian Technology is expanding its global footprint in submarine cable and marine communication systems [16][17].

来源：源达 投资要点 资讯要闻 2025年前十一个月社会融资规模增量累计为33.39万亿元，比上年同期多3.99万亿元。前十一个月人民币 贷款增加15.36万亿元。11月末，广义货币（M2）余额336.99万亿元，同比增长8%。狭义货币（M1） 余额112.89万亿元，同比增长4.9%。流通中货币（M0）余额13.74万亿元，同比增长10.6%。 12月14日，商务部、中国人民银行、金融监管总局联合印发《关于加强商务和金融协同更大力度提振消 费的通知》，聚焦消费重点领域加大支持力度，形成提振和扩大消费的更大工作合力。 12月18日，海南自由贸易港正式启动全岛封关，海南全岛8个对外开放口岸及10个"二线口岸"监管设施 悉数启用，标志着3万多平方公里的海南岛，正式成为海关监管特殊区域。 12月15日，国家统计局数据显示，11月份，一线城市新建商品住宅销售价格环比下降0.4%，降幅比上 月扩大0.1个百分点。同比下降1.2%，降幅比上月扩大0.4个百分点。 12月19日，日本央行将政策利率上调0.25个百分点至0.75%，创下自1995年9月以来的最高水平。 市场概览 国内证券市场主要指数表现不佳，其中上证50涨幅 ...

12月19日，商业航天概念继续躁，军工板块再度领市上涨！ 高人气军工核心标的——军工ETF华宝（512810）快速冲上2%，价格创近3个月新高！ 商业航天相关成份股领涨，航天智装一度暴拉逾10%，中国卫星涨超8%，铂力特、中科星图、臻镭科技3股股价续创历史新高！ 就配置工具而言，认准代码有"八一"的军工ETF华宝（512810）（原国防军工ETF）。该ETF覆盖『商业航天 +可控核聚变+ 低空经济+ 大飞机 + 深海科技 + 军用AI』等诸多热门主题，同时是融资融券+互联互通标的，是一键投资军工核心资产的高效工具。 数据来源：沪深交易所等。 风险提示：军工ETF华宝被动跟踪中证军工指数，该指数基日为2004.12.31，发布于2013.12.26。文中提及个股仅为指数成份股客观展示列举， 不作为任何个股推荐，不代表基金管理人和基金投资方向。任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任 何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，投资人须对任何自主决定的投资行为负责。另，本文中的任何观点、分析及预测不构成对阅读者任何形式的 投资建议，本公司亦不对因使用本文内容所引发的直接或间接损失负任何责任。投资 ...

12月19日，商业航天概念继续躁，军工板块再度领市上涨！ | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 | 主力净流入额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 801740 | 国防军工(申万) | 1823.19 | 1.98% | 36.82 Z | | 801770 | 通信(申万) | 5408.02 | 1.53% | 5.50 7, | | 801880 | 汽车(申万) | 7635.68 | 1.23% | 36.50亿 | 高人气军工核心标的——军工ETF华宝（512810）快速冲上2%，价格创近3个月新高！ 商业航天相关成份股领涨，航天智装一度暴拉逾10%，中国卫星涨超8%，铂力特、中科星图、臻镭科 技3股股价续创历史新高！ | | | 分时 多日 1分 5分 15分 30分 60分 · | | | | | F9 盘前盘后 强加 九转 画线 工具 3 2 > | | 军工ETF华宣 ① | | 512810 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | ...