Market Overview - The main indices showed significant movements today, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 1.65%, the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 3.36%, and the ChiNext Index up by 5.15% [1] - In terms of industry performance, the top-performing sectors included Communication, Electronics, and Computers, while Transportation, Pharmaceutical Biology, and Food & Beverage lagged behind [1] - Concept sectors performed variably, with Circuit Boards, Stock Trading Software, and Photoresist showing relatively strong performance, whereas CRO, Medical Services, and Gold & Jewelry concepts performed poorly [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the report predicts the trend of various futures on September 4, 2025, including股指期货,国债期货, and commodity futures [2]. Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market Overview - On September 3, 2025, the stock market showed a differentiated trend. The ChiNext Index strengthened, while most other indices declined. The A - share trading volume decreased. The Hong Kong stock market also declined, but the inflow of south - bound funds reached a record high. Global stock markets showed mixed trends [14][15][17]. - On September 3, 2025, the bond market was generally positive. Treasury bond futures closed higher, and most bond yields declined. The global long - term bond selling wave intensified, but on September 4, US bond yields generally fell [38][40][43]. - On September 3, 2025, most international precious metal futures closed higher, and base metal futures showed mixed trends. Crude oil futures declined [10][11]. Specific Futures Predictions Stock Index Futures - Expected to be in a volatile consolidation on September 4, 2025. For example, IF2509 has resistance levels at 4441 and 4481 points and support levels at 4392 and 4360 points [2]. - In September 2025, the IF, IH, IC, and IM main contracts are expected to have a relatively strong and wide - range oscillation [18]. Treasury Bond Futures - The ten - year Treasury bond futures main contract T2512 on September 4, 2025, is likely to have a relatively strong and wide - range oscillation, with resistance levels at 108.30 and 108.43 yuan and support levels at 108.00 and 107.91 yuan [39]. - The thirty - year Treasury bond futures main contract TL2512 on September 4, 2025, is likely to have a relatively strong and wide - range oscillation, with resistance levels at 117.4 and 117.7 yuan and support levels at 116.7 and 116.5 yuan [43]. Commodity Futures - **Precious Metals**: Gold and silver futures are expected to be relatively strong on September 4, 2025. The silver futures main contract AG2510 may reach a new high since its listing [2][3]. - **Base Metals**: Copper futures are expected to be relatively strong, while alumina and nickel futures show different trends. The alumina futures main contract AO2601 is likely to be weakly volatile, and the nickel futures main contract NI2510 is expected to be in a volatile consolidation [3][58][63]. - **Energy and Chemicals**: Crude oil, PTA, and PVC futures are expected to be weakly volatile on September 4, 2025. The crude oil futures main contract SC2510 is likely to decline slightly [6]. - **Building Materials**: Rebar, glass, and soda ash futures are expected to be weakly volatile on September 4, 2025 [6]. Macro - Information and Trading Alerts - 12 provinces have raised the minimum wage standard this year, with an increase of about 8% - 12% in most provinces [7]. - The joint working group of the Ministry of Finance and the central bank held a meeting to discuss issues related to the bond market and promote its stable and healthy development [7]. - China's Ministry of Commerce imposed anti - dumping duties on US fiber optic producers, with rates ranging from 33.3% to 78.2% [7]. - The Fed's Beige Book shows that economic activity in most parts of the US has hardly changed recently, and consumer spending is flat or declining [8]. - The number of job openings in the US in July decreased to 7.181 million, the lowest in 10 months [8]. - Fed officials have different views on interest rate cuts. One believes that interest rates should be cut this month, while the other thinks the current rate is appropriate [8]. - The eurozone's August composite PMI final value slightly increased, but the service industry PMI declined [8].

Group 1 - The three major indices opened lower but the Shenzhen Component Index and ChiNext Index quickly turned positive, with the Huakun Zhenyu Index and high share transfer concepts leading the gains, while rare earth and GPU sectors declined [1] - As of 10:12 AM, the financial technology ETF Huaxia (516100) turned positive with a 0.36% increase, driven by a more than 8% rise in its holding, Runhe Software, and strong performances from Ronglian Technology, Guiding Compass, and Yinxin Technology, accumulating a net subscription of 344 million over the past six trading days [1] - The brokerage ETF fund (515010) fell by 0.52%, with its holding, Xiangcai Shares, hitting the daily limit, while Longjiang Securities and Guoxin Securities saw their gains retreat [1] Group 2 - On August 21, 2025, DeepSeek officially launched its next-generation large model, DeepSeek V3.1, which significantly improved the efficiency of handling complex tasks and reduced the usage threshold and total ownership cost through an open-source strategy, promoting the large-scale application of AI in enterprise scenarios and potentially enhancing corporate profitability [1] - The financial technology ETF Huaxia (516100) tracks the CSI Financial Technology Theme Index, covering industries such as stock trading software, software development, digital currency, and digital security, combining financial attributes with technological innovation, with stablecoin content at 22.59%, digital currency content at 40.15%, and stock trading software content at 26.5%, all ranking first among market ETFs, likely benefiting from a market recovery and dual catalysts from AI [1]

Core Insights - The three major indices experienced a pullback after an initial rise, with the financial technology ETF Huaxia (516100) narrowing its gains to 0.49% as of the report, while its holdings such as Yinjijie surged over 11% and Shenzhou Information hit the daily limit [1] - Over the past five trading days, the financial technology ETF Huaxia (516100) has seen a net inflow of nearly 250 million yuan [1] - The brokerage ETF fund (515010) turned down by 0.26% during the day, with its holdings like Xiangcai Shares hitting the daily limit, while other stocks such as Changjiang Securities and Guosen Securities saw their gains retract [1] - Since the 924 market rally last year, the CSI Financial Technology Index has accumulated a gain of 159.17% as of August 22, compared to a 61.5% increase in the Securities Company Index (399975), highlighting the high growth and high elasticity characteristics of the financial technology sector [1] - The financial technology ETF Huaxia (516100) tracks the CSI Financial Technology Theme Index, which includes sectors such as software development, internet finance, and the digital currency industry chain, combining both financial and technological attributes [1] - Key stocks in the index include industry leaders like Tonghuashun, Dongfang Caifu, and Hengsheng Electronics, as well as popular stablecoin concept stocks like Lakala and Sifang Jichuang, with the stablecoin concept accounting for 22.59% and stock trading software accounting for 26.55% of the index according to Huaxia Fund [1]

- The report does not contain any quantitative models or factors for analysis [1][2][3]

Market Overview - The main indices showed positive performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 1.45%, the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 2.07%, and the ChiNext Index gaining 3.36% [1] - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, electronics, communications, and computers performed well, while oil and petrochemicals, steel, and agriculture showed weaker performance [1] - Concept sectors overall saw good performance in continuous boards, stock trading software, and self-controllable concepts, whereas aviation transport, Tibet revitalization, and animal vaccine concepts lagged behind [1]

Group 1 - The stock market reached a new high on August 22, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking 3800 points during the afternoon session [1] - Key sectors leading the market include GPU, servers, stock trading software, and optical communication, while sectors such as pet economy and air transportation experienced significant declines [1] - Despite the index reaching a new high, individual stock performance showed significant divergence, with a general trend of "more declines than gains" across the market [1] Group 2 - The "hard technology" sector saw a comprehensive surge, with the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index rising over 5% [1] - Notably, Cambrian's stock surged over 16% during the session, pushing its total market capitalization above 500 billion yuan [1]

Core Insights - The China Securities Financial Technology Theme Index has shown significant performance, with a rise of 149.08% since September 2022, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and the Securities Company Index [3] - The Huaxia Financial Technology ETF (516100) has experienced continuous net inflows, totaling 154 million yuan over the past three days, with a peak single-day inflow of 55.73 million yuan [3] - Key stocks in the financial technology sector include industry leaders such as Tonghuashun, Dongfang Caifu, Runhe Software, and Hengsheng Electronics, which are part of the index that tracks the financial technology theme [3] Financial Technology ETF Performance - The Huaxia Financial Technology ETF has increased by 0.95% as of 14:30 on August 21, 2025 [3] - The ETF closely tracks the China Securities Financial Technology Theme Index, which includes sectors like stock trading software, software development, cross-border payments, and the digital currency industry [3] Stock Performance Summary - Notable stock performances include: - Dongfang Caifu: -1.11% with a weight of 9.23% - Tonghuashun: -1.68% with a weight of 8.50% - Hengsheng Electronics: +0.94% with a weight of 7.31% - Runhe Software: -0.68% with a weight of 5.87% - Sifang Precision: +6.40% with a weight of 3.11% [5]

- The report does not contain any quantitative models or factors for analysis

Market Overview - The main indices showed positive performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 1.04%, the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 0.89%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.23% [1] - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, the best performers were Beauty Care, Oil & Petrochemicals, and Electronics, while Environmental Protection, Building Decoration, and Public Utilities lagged behind [1] Concept Sector Performance - Overall, the Baijiu, Smart Speaker, and Chemical Fiber concepts performed relatively well, whereas Stock Trading Software, CRO, and Rare Earth concepts showed weaker performance [1]