2025.12. 13 本文字数：3133，阅读时长大约5分钟 作者 | 一财资讯 12月13日，2025-2026中国经济年会在中国国际经济交流中心举办，中央财办分管日常工作的副主 任、中央农办主任韩文秀表示，2025年我国主要经济指标表现好于预期，经济总量预计达到140万 亿元左右。2026年还将根据形势变化出台实施增量政策，要协同发挥存量政策和增量政策集成效 应，推动经济稳中向好。 我国主要经济指标表现好于预期 韩文秀表示，今年是中国式现代化进程中具有重要意义的一年，是很不平凡的一年。全年经济社会发 展主要预期目标将顺利实现，"十四五"即将圆满收官。一年来，我国经济顶压前行，向新向优发展， 展现出了强大的韧性和活力。主要经济指标表现好于预期，许多机构预测，全年经济增长5%左右， 我国仍然是全球经济增长的最大引擎。就业形势总体稳定，外贸较快增长，出口多元化成效明显，现 代化产业体系建设加快推进。新质生产力稳步发展，人工智能、生物医药、机器人等研发和应用处在 全球第一梯队。改革开放迈出新步伐。纵深推进全国统一大市场建设，综合整治内卷式竞争，光伏等 行业的供求关系和价格走势出现积极的变化，资本市场交投活跃，国 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese economy is expected to perform better than anticipated, with a projected GDP of approximately 140 trillion yuan for 2025, and policies will be implemented in 2026 to further stimulate economic growth [1][3]. Economic Performance - Major economic indicators in China are showing better-than-expected results, with a projected annual growth rate of around 5%, making China the largest engine of global economic growth [2]. - The economy has demonstrated resilience and vitality, with stable employment, rapid growth in foreign trade, and significant advancements in modern industrial systems [2]. Economic Projections - The GDP is expected to reach around 140 trillion yuan this year, marking a significant milestone in the "14th Five-Year Plan" [3]. - International institutions, including the IMF and Goldman Sachs, have raised their economic growth forecasts for China for the next two years [3]. Policy Implementation - In 2024, new incremental policies will be introduced based on changing circumstances, aiming to synergize existing and new policies to promote stable economic growth [4]. Risk Mitigation - Positive progress has been made in mitigating risks in key areas, including the orderly replacement of local government hidden debts and the completion of housing delivery tasks [5]. Economic Work Guidelines - The central economic work meeting outlined five essential principles for economic work under new circumstances, emphasizing the need to explore economic potential, combine policy support with reform, and ensure effective management [6][7][8]. Income and Economic Growth - In 2026, efforts will focus on synchronizing income growth with economic growth, maintaining stability in employment and prices, and implementing proactive fiscal policies [9]. Trade and Openness - China aims to expand both exports and imports, promoting sustainable foreign trade and enhancing service sector openness [10]. Innovation and Technology - The focus will be on innovation-driven growth, with plans to expand international science and technology innovation centers to foster original innovation [11]. Consumer Market Development - Policies will be optimized to stimulate consumption, including enhancing the supply of quality goods and services and improving the inbound consumption environment [12]. Corporate Debt Management - Measures will be taken to address corporate debt issues and ensure a healthy market order through regulatory actions [13]. Education and Employment - There will be an increase in high school enrollment and quality university admissions to adapt to demographic changes and improve employment quality [14]. Green Energy Initiatives - The construction of a new energy system will be accelerated, with a focus on expanding green electricity applications and promoting carbon emission control [15][16].

据央视新闻，今日，2025-2026中国经济年会在中国国际经济交流中心举办。会上，中央财办分管日常工作的副主任、中央农办主任韩文 秀发表讲话。其讲话主要内容如下： 我国主要经济指标表现好于预期 韩文秀表示，今年是中国式现代化进程中具有重要意义的一年，是很不平凡的一年。全年经济社会发展主要预期目标将顺利实现，"十四 五"即将圆满收官。韩文秀介绍，一年来，我国经济顶压前行，向新向优发展，展现出了强大的韧性和活力。主要经济指标表现好于预期， 许多机构预测，全年经济增长5%左右，我国仍然是全球经济增长的最大引擎。就业形势总体稳定，外贸较快增长，出口多元化成效明显， 现代化产业体系建设加快推进。新质生产力稳步发展，人工智能、生物医药、机器人等研发和应用处在全球第一梯队。改革开放迈出新步 伐。纵深推进全国统一大市场建设，综合整治内卷式竞争，光伏等行业的供求关系和价格走势出现积极的变化，资本市场交投活跃，国内外 投资者信心增强，自主开放有序推进。安全、稳定、自信、包容的中国形象展现在世界的面前。 今年我国经济总量预计达140万亿元左右 韩文秀表示，"十四五"规划纲要所确定的20项主要指标即将顺利完成，推动党和国家事业发展取 ...

12月13日，中国国际经济交流中心举办2025—2026中国经济年会。 中央财经委员会办公室分管日常工作的副主任、中央农村工作领导小组办公室主任韩文秀表示，2025年 我国主要经济指标表现好于预期，经济总量预计达到140万亿元左右。2026年还将根据形势变化出台实 施增量政策，要协同发挥存量政策和增量政策集成效应，推动经济稳中向好。 主要经济指标表现好于预期 韩文秀表示，近期国际货币基金组织等国际机构纷纷上调了今明两年我国经济增长的预测。回望"十四 五"，我们有效应对世纪疫情、脱钩断链、自然灾害等超乎寻常的冲击挑战。经济实力明显壮大，我国 经济总量连续跨过110万亿元、120万亿元、130万亿元的台阶，今年预计达到140万亿元左右。 明年将根据形势变化出台实施增量政策 韩文秀表示，按照中央经济工作会议的总体要求，明年要保持经济稳定增长，保持就业和物价总体稳 定，保持国际收支基本平衡，促进居民收入增长和经济增长同步。做好明年经济工作要坚持稳中求进、 提质增效，加大逆周期和跨周期调整，切实提升宏观经济治理效能。 宏观政策方面，将继续实施更加积极的财政政策，继续实施适度宽松的货币政策，增强宏观政策取向的 一致性和有 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that China's major economic indicators are expected to perform better than anticipated, with the economy projected to reach approximately 140 trillion yuan by 2025, and outlines plans for incremental policies to support economic stability and growth in the coming years [1][3][4]. Economic Performance - The year is highlighted as significant for China's modernization process, with expectations to achieve major social and economic development goals, including a projected economic growth rate of around 5% [3]. - China's economy has shown resilience and vitality, with stable employment and rapid growth in foreign trade, particularly in diversified exports [3]. - International organizations, including the IMF, have raised their economic growth forecasts for China for the next two years [3]. Policy Implementation - The government plans to maintain stable economic growth, employment, and price levels while promoting income growth alongside economic expansion [5]. - A more proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy will continue, with an emphasis on the integration of existing and new policies to enhance economic stability [6]. Consumption and Investment - The article discusses the importance of domestic demand, with initiatives like the "old-for-new" consumption policy driving sales growth in related sectors [8]. - There is a focus on increasing investment in urbanization, technological innovation, and improving living standards, with plans to raise the scale of central budget investments [9]. Innovation and Entrepreneurship - The government aims to strengthen the role of leading venture capital institutions and technology enterprises, supporting innovation and the application of new technologies [11]. - A comprehensive plan for education and talent development in technology is to be established, alongside measures to protect intellectual property in emerging fields [11]. Market Regulation - The article mentions the need for a unified national market and the establishment of guidelines for local government investment promotion, aiming to create a fair competitive environment [13]. - There will be efforts to deepen reforms in state-owned enterprises and improve regulations to support the private economy [14]. Trade and Foreign Investment - The government plans to expand both exports and imports, promoting sustainable foreign trade development and enhancing the "Invest in China" brand [16][17]. - Continuous optimization of the business environment and reforms to encourage foreign investment are also highlighted [17]. Environmental Goals - The article outlines plans for a green transition, including measures to achieve carbon peak and promote new energy sources like hydrogen and green fuels [21]. Employment and Risk Management - Employment is emphasized as a key priority, with policies aimed at stabilizing job markets and addressing risks in the real estate sector [23]. - The government will focus on managing local government debt risks and preventing the emergence of hidden debts [23].

（文章来源：北京商报） 北京商报讯（记者程靓）12月13日，据央视新闻消息，在中国国际经济交流中心举办的2025-2026中国 经济年会上，中央财办分管日常工作的副主任、中央农办主任韩文秀表示，绿色发展是高质量发展的底 色，要制定能源强国建设规划纲要，加快新型能源体系建设，加强化石能源清洁高效利用，扩大绿电应 用。明年是从能耗双控全面转向碳排放双控的第一年，要积极稳妥推进碳达峰，深入推进重点行业节能 降碳改造，加强全国碳排放权交易市场建设，培育氢能、绿色燃料等新的增长点，建设一批零碳园区、 零碳工厂。 ...

北京商报讯（记者 程靓）12月13日，据央视新闻消息，在中国国际经济交流中心举办的2025-2026中国 经济年会上，中央财办分管日常工作的副主任、中央农办主任韩文秀表示，绿色发展是高质量发展的底 色，要制定能源强国建设规划纲要，加快新型能源体系建设，加强化石能源清洁高效利用，扩大绿电应 用。明年是从能耗双控全面转向碳排放双控的第一年，要积极稳妥推进碳达峰，深入推进重点行业节能 降碳改造，加强全国碳排放权交易市场建设，培育氢能、绿色燃料等新的增长点，建设一批零碳园区、 零碳工厂。 ...

责编:王时丹 | 审核:李震 | 监审:古筝 （总台央视记者 宋菀 杨曜语） 今天（13日），在中国国际经济交流中心举办的2025-2026中国经济年会上，中央财办分管日常工作的 副主任、中央农办主任韩文秀表示，明年是从能耗双控全面转向碳排放双控的第一年，要坚持"双碳"引 领，推动全面绿色转型。 韩文秀表示，绿色发展是高质量发展的底色，要制定能源强国建设规划纲要，加快新型能源体系建设， 加强化石能源清洁高效利用，扩大绿电应用。明年是从能耗双控全面转向碳排放双控的第一年，要积极 稳妥推进碳达峰，深入推进重点行业节能降碳改造，加强全国碳排放权交易市场建设，培育氢能、绿色 燃料等新的增长点，建设一批零碳园区、零碳工厂。 ...

（总台央视记者 宋菀 杨曜语） 2025中央广播电视总台版权所有。未经许可，请勿转载使用。 今天（13日），在中国国际经济交流中心举办的2025-2026中国经济年会上，中央财办分管日常工作的 副主任、中央农办主任韩文秀表示，明年是从能耗双控全面转向碳排放双控的第一年，要坚持"双碳"引 领，推动全面绿色转型。 韩文秀表示，绿色发展是高质量发展的底色，要制定能源强国建设规划纲要，加快新型能源体系建设， 加强化石能源清洁高效利用，扩大绿电应用。明年是从能耗双控全面转向碳排放双控的第一年，要积极 稳妥推进碳达峰，深入推进重点行业节能降碳改造，加强全国碳排放权交易市场建设，培育氢能、绿色 燃料等新的增长点，建设一批零碳园区、零碳工厂。 ...

Core Insights - The report discusses the acceleration of green electricity consumption in China's steel industry, highlighting its significance in the sector's low-carbon transition and the challenges it faces [1][11]. Group 1: Acceleration of Green Electricity Consumption - The steel industry, being a high energy-consuming and high carbon-emitting sector, is focusing on green electricity consumption as a core pathway for low-carbon transformation [1]. - The acceleration is driven by multiple factors, including policy shifts from energy consumption control to carbon emission control, clear compliance directions for green electricity consumption, and increasing demand for low-carbon steel from downstream industries like automotive and construction [1][12]. - Major steel companies are integrating green electricity consumption into their long-term strategies, responding to both regulatory requirements and market demands [1][12]. Group 2: Consumption Models - Three mainstream models of green electricity consumption have emerged: green electricity trading, green certificate trading, and self-built/invested renewable energy projects [2][14]. - Green electricity trading requires no initial investment and can lock in power supply and environmental value, with companies like Baowu Steel and Hebei Steel engaging in large-scale transactions [2]. - Self-built renewable energy projects, while having higher initial costs, can optimize long-term energy costs, as seen with companies like Ansteel and Jiugang [2][14]. Group 3: Long-term Value and Challenges - Green electricity consumption brings multiple long-term benefits, including enhanced green competitiveness, compliance with domestic and international regulations, and the development of the green certificate market [2][12]. - Challenges include mismatches between steel industry locations and renewable energy-rich areas, unclear cost-sharing mechanisms for green electricity premiums, and the need for clearer policy connections and compliance details [2][12]. Group 4: Policy and Corporate Recommendations - To promote sustainable development in green electricity consumption, the report suggests improving incentive mechanisms, fostering industry collaboration, and enhancing energy management levels within companies [3][15]. - Companies are encouraged to set green electricity consumption targets, develop diversified consumption strategies, and advance technology integration with core production processes [3][15]. Group 5: Market Dynamics and Downstream Demand - The demand for low-carbon steel from key downstream sectors, such as construction and automotive, is increasing, influencing steel companies' energy consumption decisions [2][41]. - Major automotive manufacturers are setting carbon reduction targets that directly impact their steel suppliers, creating a supply chain responsibility that drives steel companies to enhance their green electricity consumption [2][41]. Group 6: Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the synergy between renewable energy development and the steel industry will expand, with green electricity consumption facilitating deeper decarbonization and structural transformation in the steel sector [1][17]. - The ongoing evolution of policies and market mechanisms will provide robust support for the steel industry's transition to green electricity consumption [20][31].