Group 1 - The S&P 500 futures rose by 0.57% at the end of trading on Thursday, September 18 [1] - The Dow futures increased by 0.37% [1] - The Nasdaq 100 futures saw a gain of 0.98% [1] - The Russell 2000 futures experienced a significant rise of 2.68% [1]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and the A - share major indices closed generally lower. Although the economic data in August was under pressure, the financial data showed that residents were shifting from excess savings to increased consumption. The RMB was under short - term pressure due to Powell's hawkish remarks, but the dot - plot indicated two more rate cuts this year, which would reduce the RMB depreciation pressure and provide room for domestic policy easing. Therefore, stock indices still have long - term upward potential, and it is recommended to buy on dips with a light position [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - **Futures Contract Prices**: The prices of IF, IH, IC, and IM main and sub - main contracts all declined. For example, the IF main contract (2509) dropped from the previous level to 4487.2, a decrease of 61.2 [2]. - **Futures Spreads**: All spreads such as IF - IH, IC - IF, etc. showed a downward trend. For instance, the IF - IH monthly contract spread decreased by 20.6 to 1576.4 [2]. - **Futures Seasonal - Monthly Spreads**: Most of the seasonal - monthly spreads for IF, IH, IC, and IM decreased, except for the IH seasonal - monthly spread which increased slightly [2]. - **Futures Position Holdings**: The net positions of the top 20 in IF, IH, IC, and IM all decreased. For example, the IF top 20 net position decreased by 3206 to - 24,119 [2]. 3.2 Spot Market - **Spot Index Prices**: The prices of the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300, Shanghai 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 all declined. For example, the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 dropped by 52.9 to 4498.11 [2]. - **Contract Basis**: The basis of IF, IH, IC, and IM main contracts all decreased [2]. 3.3 Market Sentiment - **Trading Volume and Balance**: A - share trading volume increased by 7637.19 billion yuan to 31,666.43 billion yuan, and the margin trading balance increased by 127.92 billion yuan to 24,054.44 billion yuan [2]. - **North - bound Trading and Repurchase**: North - bound trading volume increased slightly, and the reverse repurchase operation volume increased while the maturity volume decreased [2]. - **Other Indicators**: The proportion of rising stocks decreased, the Shibor increased, the closing price of the IO at - the - money call option decreased, the closing price of the IO at - the - money put option increased, and other indicators showed different trends [2]. 3.4 Market Strength - Weakness Analysis - The overall A - share market, technical, and capital aspects all showed a weakening trend in the Wind market strength - weakness analysis [2]. 3.5 Industry News - The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points for the first time this year and after a 9 - month pause. The A - share major indices closed generally lower, with small and medium - cap stocks outperforming large - cap blue - chip stocks. The domestic economic data in August was under pressure, and the M1 - M2 gap narrowed significantly [2].

Report Information - Report Title: Stock Index Futures Data Daily Report [1] - Report Date: September 18, 2025 [2] IM Futures Market Summary - Total open interest was 405,154 contracts, an increase of 25,806 contracts from the previous day [5] - The main contract was at a discount of 21.6 points, a decrease of 13.79 points from the previous day; the annualized basis rate was -52.88% [5] - The dividend impacts of the four contracts were 0.51 points, 3.27 points, 4.4 points, and 5.94 points respectively [5] Daily Quotes | Contract | Closing Price | Change | Volume | Volume Change | Turnover | Turnover Change | Open Interest | Open Interest Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | CSI 1000 | 7,476.40 | -1.04% | 39,860 | 32% | 65.4 billion | 33% | | | | IM2509 | 7,454.80 | -1.19% | 118,769 | -3% | 17.94 billion | -2% | 55,453 | -33,716 | | IM2510 | 7,370.20 | -1.44% | 72,033 | 98% | 10.77 billion | 99% | 80,608 | 22,685 | | IM2512 | 7,213.40 | -1.51% | 197,746 | 95% | 28.93 billion | 96% | 190,972 | 32,009 | | IM2603 | 7,000.00 | -1.68% | 40,425 | 56% | 5.76 billion | 57% | 78,121 | 4,828 | [3] Basis and Other Data - The cash index of CSI 1000 closed at 7,476.40. The current month contract (IM2509) was at a discount of 21.60 points, with an annualized basis rate of -52.9%. The next month contract (IM2510) was at a discount of 106.20 points, with an annualized basis rate of -17.5%. The first quarterly contract (IM2512) was at a discount of 263.00 points, with an annualized basis rate of -14.3%. The second quarterly contract (IM2603) was at a discount of 476.40 points, with an annualized basis rate of -13.5% [17] IF Futures Market Summary - Total trading volume of the four contracts was 220,019 lots, an increase of 57,520 lots from the previous day; total open interest was 288,603 lots, an increase of 14,691 lots from the previous day [27] - The main contract was at a discount of 10.91 points, a decrease of 13.09 points from the previous day; the annualized basis rate was -44.37% [27] - The dividend impacts of the four contracts were 0.05 points, 5.36 points, 8.56 points, and 16.4 points respectively [27] Daily Quotes | Contract | Closing Price | Change | Volume | Volume Change | Turnover | Turnover Change | Open Interest | Open Interest Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SSE 300 | 4,498.11 | -1.16% | 30,986 | 31% | 84 billion | 38% | | | | IF2509 | 4,487.20 | -1.35% | 65,747 | -10% | 8.94 billion | -10% | 39,525 | -22,028 | | IF2510 | 4,476.00 | -1.37% | 41,117 | 99% | 5.57 billion | 99% | 48,286 | 14,444 | | IF2512 | 4,448.20 | -1.47% | 95,637 | 66% | 12.88 billion | 66% | 152,375 | 18,854 | | IF2603 | 4,418.00 | -1.56% | 17,518 | 53% | 2.35 billion | 53% | 48,417 | 3,421 | [26] Basis and Other Data - The cash index of SSE 300 closed at 4,498.11. The current month contract (IF2509) was at a discount of 10.91 points, with an annualized basis rate of -44.4%. The next month contract (IF2510) was at a discount of 22.11 points, with an annualized basis rate of -6.0%. The first quarterly contract (IF2512) was at a discount of 49.91 points, with an annualized basis rate of -4.4%. The second quarterly contract (IF2603) was at a discount of 80.11 points, with an annualized basis rate of -3.6% [39] IC Futures Market Summary - Total trading volume of the four contracts was 236,268 lots, an increase of 72,444 lots from the previous day; total open interest was 271,127 lots, an increase of 19,056 lots from the previous day [49] - The main contract was at a discount of 28.28 points, a decrease of 20.64 points from the previous day; the annualized basis rate was -71.97% [49] - The dividend impacts of the four contracts were 0.31 points, 3.92 points, 5.8 points, and 10.55 points respectively [49] Daily Quotes | Contract | Closing Price | Change | Volume | Volume Change | Turnover | Turnover Change | Open Interest | Open Interest Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | CSI 500 | 7,199.88 | -0.83% | 34,859 | 35% | 60.42 billion | 36% | | | | IC2509 | 7,171.60 | -1.00% | 63,994 | -5% | 9.29 billion | -4% | 35,612 | -20,830 | | IC2510 | 7,114.40 | -1.00% | 46,677 | 94% | 6.71 billion | 96% | 57,570 | 17,427 | | IC2512 | 6,985.40 | -1.18% | 101,129 | 79% | 14.29 billion | 80% | 130,507 | 19,424 | | IC2603 | 6,819.60 | -1.23% | 24,468 | 50% | 3.38 billion | 51% | 47,438 | 3,035 | [48] Basis and Other Data - The cash index of CSI 500 closed at 7,199.88. The current month contract (IC2509) was at a discount of 28.28 points, with an annualized basis rate of -72.0%. The next month contract (IC2510) was at a discount of 85.48 points, with an annualized basis rate of -14.6%. The first quarterly contract (IC2512) was at a discount of 214.48 points, with an annualized basis rate of -12.1%. The second quarterly contract (IC2603) was at a discount of 380.28 points, with an annualized basis rate of -11.1% [55] IH Futures Market Summary - Total trading volume of the four contracts was 100,595 lots, an increase of 35,836 lots from the previous day; total open interest was 114,842 lots, an increase of 10,071 lots from the previous day [64] - The main contract was at a discount of 1.03 points, a decrease of 3.85 points from the previous day; the annualized basis rate was -0.43% [65] - The dividend impacts of the four contracts were 0 points, 5.25 points, 7.5 points, and 15.3 points respectively [65] Daily Quotes | Contract | Closing Price | Change | Volume | Volume Change | Turnover | Turnover Change | Open Interest | Open Interest Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SSE 50 | 2,912.83 | -1.35% | 7,486 | 32% | 22.58 billion | 46% | | | | IH2509 | 2,910.80 | -1.45% | 31,314 | 6% | 2.76 billion | 5% | 18,625 | -9,707 | | IH2510 | 2,911.80 | -1.36% | 18,385 | 118% | 1.62 billion | 117% | 20,104 | 7,313 | | IH2512 | 2,912.40 | -1.37% | 43,865 | 90% | 3.86 billion | 89% | 63,340 | 11,134 | | IH2603 | 2,912.60 | -1.47% | 7,031 | 94% | 0.62 billion | 93% | 12,773 | 1,331 | [64] Basis and Other Data - The cash index of SSE 50 closed at 2,912.83. The current month contract (IH2509) was at a discount of 2.03 points, with an annualized basis rate of -12.7%. The next month contract (IH2510) was at a discount of 1.03 points, with an annualized basis rate of -0.4%. The first quarterly contract (IH2512) was at a discount of 0.43 points, with an annualized basis rate of -0.1%. The second quarterly contract (IH2603) was at a discount of 0.23 points, with an annualized basis rate of 0.0% [75]

Report Overview - The report is a macro asset market analysis released by the research center's macro team on September 18, 2025, covering global asset market performance, including bond yields, exchange rates, stock indices, and trading data of stock index futures and treasury bond futures [2][3] Global Asset Market Performance Bond Yields - **10 - year Treasury Bond Yields**: Yields of major economies showed different trends. For example, the US 10 - year Treasury bond yield was 4.089 on September 17, 2025, with a latest change of 0.060, a one - week change of 0.042, a one - month change of - 0.203, and a one - year change of 0.388 [3] - **2 - year Treasury Bond Yields**: The US 2 - year Treasury bond yield was 3.540 on September 17, 2025, with a latest change of - 0.020, a one - week change of 0.050, and a one - year change of - 0.210 [3] Exchange Rates - **USD against Major Emerging Economies' Currencies**: The exchange rate of the US dollar against the Brazilian real was 5.305 on September 17, 2025, with a latest change of 0.14% and a one - month change of - 3.24% [3] - **Renminbi**: The on - shore RMB exchange rate was 7.104 on September 17, 2025, with a latest change of - 0.14%, a one - week change of - 0.24%, a one - month change of - 1.00%, and a one - year change of - 0.13% [3] Stock Indices - **Major Economies' Stock Indices**: The S&P 500 index was 6600.350 on September 17, 2025, with a latest change of - 0.10%, a one - week change of 1.05%, a one - month change of 3.20%, and a one - year change of 20.64% [3] - **Emerging Economies' Stock Indices**: The emerging economies' stock index was 1347.850 on September 17, 2025, with a latest change of 0.59%, a one - week change of 3.09%, a one - month change of 6.98%, and a one - year change of 26.74% [3] Credit Bond Indices - Different credit bond indices, such as the US investment - grade credit bond index (3528.030 on September 17, 2025) and the euro - zone high - yield credit bond index (407.110 on September 17, 2025), showed various trends in the latest, one - week, one - month, and one - year changes [3][4] Stock Index Futures Trading Data Index Performance - The A - share index closed at 3876.34 with a 0.37% increase, the CSI 300 index closed at 4551.02 with a 0.61% increase, etc. [5] Valuation - The PE (TTM) of the CSI 300 was 14.16 with a 0.07环比 change, and the PE (TTM) of the S&P 500 was 27.47 with a - 0.03环比 change [5] Risk Premium - The risk premium (1/PE - 10 - year interest rate) of the S&P 500 was - 0.45 with a - 0.06环比 change, and that of the German DAX was 2.52 with a 0.02环比 change [5] Fund Flows - The latest fund flow of A - shares was - 198.10, and the latest fund flow of the CSI 300 was 79.42 [5] Trading Volume - The latest trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 23767.38, and the latest trading volume of the CSI 300 was 6084.54 [5] Basis and Spread - The basis of IF was 2.18 with a 0.05% spread, the basis of IH was 3.42 with a 0.12% spread, and the basis of IC was - 7.64 with a - 0.11% spread [5] Treasury Bond Futures Trading Data - Treasury bond futures T00, TF00, T01, and TF01 closed at 108.155, 105.890, 107.855, and 105.760 respectively, with increases of 0.18%, 0.13%, 0.18%, and 0.14% [6] - The R001, R007, and SHIBOR - 3M in the money market were 1.5536%, 1.5493%, and 1.5540% respectively, with daily changes of 5.00 BP, 5.00 BP, and 0.00 BP [6]

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，周三（9月17日）纽约尾盘，标普500股指期货最终跌0.03%，道指期货涨0.59%，纳斯达 克100股指期货跌0.11%。罗素2000股指期货涨0.18%。 ...

Group 1 - Foreign capital has shown increasing interest in the Chinese market, with a net inflow of 1.1 billion yuan from actively managed foreign investments for four consecutive weeks, marking the highest duration of net inflow since 2024 [3][4] - In August, foreign investors allocated approximately 39 billion USD to Chinese stocks and bonds, with 28.3 billion USD flowing into Chinese bonds and 10.8 billion USD into Chinese stocks, contributing to a total net inflow of around 39 billion USD [4] - International investment banks, such as Morgan Stanley and UBS, have noted a significant rise in overseas investors' interest in Chinese assets, with over 90% of U.S. investors expressing willingness to increase their allocation to the Chinese market, the highest level since early 2021 [4][5] Group 2 - The investment interest is extending towards the A-share market, with U.S. investors beginning to focus on A-shares rather than just American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) and internet sectors [6] - Factors driving this investment interest include China's leading position in sectors like humanoid robotics and biotechnology, ongoing policy support for economic stability, improved market liquidity, and a growing need for portfolio diversification away from the U.S. market [6][7] - Despite the heightened interest, the inflow of U.S. funds into the Chinese market is still in its early stages, with many investors needing time to familiarize themselves with specific stocks, particularly in sectors lacking U.S. counterparts [7]

1. Report Information - Report Title: Stock Index Futures Data Daily Report [1] - Report Date: September 16, 2025 [2] 2. IM Futures 2.1 Daily Quotes - The main contract of IM rose 1.13% to close at 7,462 points. The total trading volume of the four IM contracts was 261,972 lots, an increase of 67,583 lots from the previous day; the total open interest was 379,927 lots, an increase of 23,224 lots from the previous day [4]. - The main contract of IM was at a discount of 21.63 points, up 25.34 points from the previous day; the annualized basis rate was -26.45%. The dividend impacts of the four IM contracts were 0.76 points, 3.32 points, 4.46 points, and 6.17 points respectively [5]. 2.2 Positions - The data shows the trading volume, long positions, and short positions of top - ranking member firms for different contracts such as IM2509, IM2512, and IM2603, along with their changes from the previous day [22][24][25]. 3. IF Futures 3.1 Daily Quotes - The main contract of IF fell 0.16% to close at 4,516.8 points. The total trading volume of the four IF contracts was 153,511 lots, an increase of 15,747 lots from the previous day; the total open interest was 276,592 lots, an increase of 9,133 lots from the previous day [27][28]. - The main contract of IF was at a discount of 6.54 points, down 1.28 points from the previous day; the annualized basis rate was -13.21%. The dividend impacts of the four IF contracts were 0.67 points, 5.68 points, 8.88 points, and 16.88 points respectively [28]. 3.2 Positions - The data presents the trading volume, long positions, and short positions of top - ranking member firms for different contracts such as IF2509, IF2512, and IF2603, along with their changes from the previous day [43][44][45]. 4. IC Futures 4.1 Daily Quotes - The main contract of IC rose 0.65% to close at 7,165.2 points. The total trading volume of the four IC contracts was 161,577 lots, an increase of 24,221 lots from the previous day; the total open interest was 262,891 lots, an increase of 13,259 lots from the previous day [48]. - The main contract of IC was at a discount of 25.79 points, down 2.63 points from the previous day; the annualized basis rate was -32.85%. The dividend impacts of the four IC contracts were 0.62 points, 3.91 points, 5.85 points, and 10.78 points respectively [48][49]. 3.2 Positions - The data shows the trading volume, long positions, and short positions of top - ranking member firms for different contracts such as IC2509, IC2512, and IC2603, along with their changes from the previous day [61][62][64]. 5. IH Futures 5.1 Daily Quotes - The main contract of IH fell 0.36% to close at 2,951.4 points. The total trading volume of the four IH contracts was 59,526 lots, an increase of 4,178 lots from the previous day; the total open interest was 100,750 lots, an increase of 2,226 lots from the previous day [67]. - The main contract of IH was at a premium of 3.58 points, up 3.4 points from the previous day; the annualized basis rate was 1.38%. The dividend impacts of the four IH contracts were 0.73 points, 5.89 points, 8.17 points, and 15.99 points respectively [68]. 3.2 Positions - The data presents the trading volume, long positions, and short positions of top - ranking member firms for different contracts such as IH2509, IH2512, and IH2603, along with their changes from the previous day [82][85][87].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Report's Core View - The overall view of the stock index futures is wide - range oscillation in the short - term, with an intraday view of oscillating strongly and a medium - term view of rising [1][5] - The core logic is the game between the short - term profit - taking intention of funds and the fermentation of medium - and long - term policy positive expectations [1][5] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Variety View Reference - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For IH2512, the short - term view is oscillation, the medium - term view is rising, the intraday view is oscillating strongly, and the reference view is wide - range oscillation. The core logic is the game between short - term profit - taking intention of funds and the fermentation of medium - and long - term policy positive expectations [1] Main Variety Price Market Driving Logic - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - The varieties are IF, IH, IC, IM. The intraday view is oscillating strongly, the medium - term view is rising, and the reference view is wide - range oscillation [5] - The core logic is that the stock indexes oscillated and consolidated yesterday. The full - day turnover of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets was 236.7 billion yuan, an increase of 6.39 billion yuan from the previous day. The credit data in August was weak, the consumption growth slowed down, and the inflation data was still weak, indicating weak demand in the real sector. There is a strong expectation of policies to stabilize demand, with the key window period for policy introduction expected to be in October. In terms of funds, incremental funds continue to flow into the stock market, as shown by the large increase in non - bank deposits in July and August and the high - level operation of margin trading balances. However, due to the significant increase in the valuation of some stocks, there is still an intention for profit - taking, leading to short - term technical adjustment pressure on the stock index. The subsequent focus is on the game between the profit - taking rhythm of funds and the fermentation of policy expectations [5]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core View of the Report - The stock index still has long - term upward potential, but poor economic data exerts short - term pressure on the market. It is recommended to wait and see for now [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Contract Prices - IF主力合约（2509）price is 4516.8, down 11.2; IH主力合约（2509）is 2950.6, down 10.6; IC主力合约（2509）is 7165.2, up 39.4; IM主力合约（2509）is 7462.0, up 75.6 [2] - IF次主力合约（2512）price is 4489.2, down 7.2; IH次主力合约（2512）is 2951.6, down 10.8; IC次主力合约（2512）is 6996.8, up 45.4; IM次主力合约（2512）is 7242.4, up 81.0 [2] 3.2 Futures Price Spreads - IF - IH当月合约价差is 1566.2, up 0.8; IC - IF当月合约价差is 2648.4, up 62.0; IM - IC当月合约价差is 296.8, up 42.4; IC - IH当月合约价差is 4214.6, up 62.8; IM - IF当月合约价差is 2945.2, up 104.4; IM - IH当月合约价差is 4511.4, up 105.2 [2] - IF当季 - 当月is - 27.6, up 3.2; IF下季 - 当月is - 50.8, up 6.8; IH当季 - 当月is 1.0, up 0.8; IH下季 - 当月is 4.4, up 2.8; IC当季 - 当月is - 168.4, up 6.4; IC下季 - 当月is - 333.2, up 0.8; IM当季 - 当月is - 219.6, up 5.8; IM下季 - 当月is - 428, up 5.8 [2] 3.3 Futures Net Positions - IF前20名净持仓is - 28,193.00, down 426.0; IH前20名净持仓is - 17,632.00, down 264.0; IC前20名净持仓is - 27,595.00, up 566.0; IM前20名净持仓is - 45,328.00, down 2252.0 [2] 3.4 Spot Prices and Basis - 沪深300price is 4523.34, down 9.7; IF主力合约基差is - 6.5, down 1.3; 上证50price is 2,947.8, down 14.8; IH主力合约基差is 2.8, up 3.0; 中证500price is 7,191.0, up 53.6; IC主力合约基差is - 25.8, down 2.6; 中证1000price is 7,483.6, up 68.1; IM主力合约基差is - 21.6, up 25.3 [2] 3.5 Market Sentiment - A股成交额（日，亿元）is 23,670.69, up 638.89; 两融余额（前一交易日，亿元）is 23,699.99, up 184.29; 北向成交合计（前一交易日，亿元）is 2873.06, down 239.77; 逆回购（到期量，操作量，亿元）is - 2470.0, up 2870.0; 主力资金（昨日，今日，亿元）is - 646.67, down 449.20; 上涨股票比例（日，%）is 66.84, up 31.56; Shibor（日，%）is 1.437, up 0.029; IO平值看涨期权收盘价（2509）is 45.60, down 8.00; IO平值看涨期权隐含波动率（%）is 17.78, up 1.28; IO平值看跌期权收盘价（2509）is 27.00, up 1.00; IO平值看跌期权隐含波动率（%）is 17.78, up 1.20; 沪深300指数20日波动率（%）is 19.75, down 0.07; 成交量PCR（%）is 62.89, up 7.92; 持仓量PCR（%）is 80.25, down 2.60 [2] 3.6 Wind Market Strength - Weakness Analysis - 全部A股is 6.70, up 2.10; 技术面is 6.70, up 3.20; 资金面is 6.60, up 0.90 [2] 3.7 Industry News - In August, the year - on - year actual growth of the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size was 5.2%, expected to be 5.7%, and the previous value was 5.7%. From a month - on - month perspective, it increased by 0.37% [2] - In August, the total retail sales of consumer goods were 39668 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.4%, expected to be 3.8%, and the previous value was 3.7%. From January to August, the total retail sales of consumer goods were 323906 billion yuan, an increase of 4.6% [2] - From January to August 2025, the national fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) was 326111 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 0.5%. Among them, private fixed - asset investment decreased by 2.3% year - on - year. From a month - on - month perspective, fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) in August decreased by 0.20% [2] - From January to August, China's real estate development investment was 60309 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 12.9%; the sales volume of newly built commercial housing was 55015 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.3%, among which the sales volume of residential housing decreased by 7.0%; the funds in place for real estate development enterprises were 64318 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 8.0%. In August, the real estate development climate index was 93.05 [2] - In August, the national urban surveyed unemployment rate was 5.3%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, the same as the same month last year [2] - A - share major indexes closed generally higher. The three major indexes opened higher in the morning and showed wide - range fluctuations. Small and medium - cap stocks were stronger than large - cap blue - chip stocks. As of the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.04%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.45%, and the ChiNext Index rose 0.68%. The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets increased slightly. More than 3600 stocks in the whole market rose. Most industry sectors rose, with the comprehensive, computer, and machinery equipment sectors leading the gains, and the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, and banking sectors leading the losses [2] - The Fed will hold an interest - rate meeting on September 16 - 17, Eastern Time. Affected by the weakening labor market, the market has fully priced in a Fed rate cut in September, and the external environmental constraints faced by A - shares are loosening [2] - Domestically, in terms of the economic fundamentals, in August, the growth rates of domestic social retail, fixed - asset investment, imports and exports, and the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size all declined significantly compared with the previous values and were weaker than market expectations. The real estate market also showed an accelerating weakening trend. In terms of financial data, at the end of August, M2 increased by 8.8% year - on - year, M1 increased by 6% year - on - year, and the M1 - M2 gap narrowed significantly, reaching the lowest value since June 2021, which may reflect the continuous improvement of residents' consumption willingness. In the trade sector, China and the US will hold talks on economic and trade issues in Madrid, Spain, from September 14 to 17 [2] 3.8 Key Data to Focus On - September 16, 20:30: US import and export price indexes, retail sales, and core retail sales for August [3] - September 18, 2:00: Fed interest - rate decision [3] - September 18, 19:00: Bank of England interest - rate decision [3] - September 19, 10:47: Bank of Japan interest - rate decision [3]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core View - A-shares' major indices mostly closed higher, with the market entering the macro data verification phase during the performance and policy vacuum period. August economic data remained under pressure, with real estate significantly dragging down fixed - asset investment and the marginal weakening of the trade - in policy pressuring social retail. However, previous financial data indicated a shift from excess savings to increased consumption, and the Fed's potential rate cut would provide room for domestic policy easing. Therefore, stock indices still have long - term upward potential, but poor economic data short - term pressures the market. It is recommended to wait and see for now [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Data - **Futures Contracts Prices**: IF main contract (2509) was at 4527.8 (+2.0↑), IC main contract (2509) at 7114.2 (-38.2↓), IH main contract (2509) at 2962.4 (-7.4↓), IM main contract (2509) at 7368.6 (-32.2↓) [2] - **Futures Spreads**: IF - IH current - month contract spread was 1565.4 (+10.8↑), IC - IF current - month contract spread was 2586.4 (-30.4↓) [2] - **Futures Seasonal Spreads**: IF current - season minus current - month was -30.8 (-4.6↓), IH current - season minus current - month was 0.2 (-0.6↓), IC current - season minus current - month was -174.8 (-23.6↓), IM current - season minus current - month was -225.4 (-6.2↓) [2] - **Futures Net Positions**: IF top 20 net positions were -28,938.00 (-1367.0↓), IH top 20 net positions were -18,383.00 (+136.0↑), IC top 20 net positions were -25,779.00 (+937.0↑), IM top 20 net positions were -47,196.00 (+58.0↑) [2] 3.2 Spot Market Data - **Underlying Index Prices**: CSI 300 was at 4533.06 (+11.1↑), SSE 50 was at 2962.6 (-5.9↓), CSI 500 was at 7137.4 (-10.4↓), CSI 1000 was at 7415.6 (-7.3↓) [2] - **Basis**: IF main contract basis was -5.3 (-6.5↓), IH main contract basis was -0.2 (-0.3↓), IC main contract basis was -23.2 (-15.4↓), IM main contract basis was -47.0 (-16.9↓) [2] 3.3 Market Sentiment Data - **Trading Volume and Balance**: A - share trading volume (daily) was 23,031.80 billion yuan (-2451.32↓), margin trading balance (previous trading day) was 23,515.70 billion yuan (+111.45↑), north - bound trading volume (previous trading day) was 3112.83 billion yuan (-39.84↓) [2] - **Other Indicators**: The proportion of rising stocks (daily) was 35.28% (-0.22↓), Shibor (daily) was 1.408% (+0.041↑), IO at - the - money call option closing price (2509) was 29.00 (-3.00↓), IO at - the - money put option closing price (2509) was 51.20 (-5.40↓) [2] 3.4 Industry News - **Economic Data**: In August, the year - on - year actual growth of above - scale industrial added value was 5.2% (expected 5.7%, previous 5.7%); social consumer goods retail sales were 39668 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.4% (expected 3.8%, previous 3.7%); from January to August, national fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) was 326111 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 0.5%, with private fixed - asset investment down 2.3% year - on - year; from January to August, real estate development investment was 60309 billion yuan, down 12.9% year - on - year; in August, the national urban survey unemployment rate was 5.3%, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month [2] - **Market Performance**: A - share major indices closed with mixed results. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.26%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.63%, and the ChiNext Index rose 1.51%. The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets significantly declined, and over 3300 stocks fell. Overseas, the US August PPI unexpectedly turned negative month - on - month, which supported the Fed's September rate cut [2] 3.5 Key Data to Watch - September 16, 20:30: US August import and export price indices, retail sales, and core retail sales - September 18, 2:00: Fed interest rate decision - September 18, 19:00: Bank of England interest rate decision - September 19, 10:47: Bank of Japan interest rate decision [3]