Investment Rating - The investment rating for Postal Savings Bank is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The bank's 2024 total revenue increased by 1.8% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders rising by 0.2%. Interest income grew by 1.5%, while non-interest income saw a 3.2% increase. Investment income helped mitigate the decline in middle-income revenue [2][6]. - The bank's loan growth was 9.4% for the year, with retail products showing positive growth despite weak demand. Deposits increased by 9.5% [2][6]. - The net interest margin for the year was 1.87%, down 14 basis points year-on-year, while the deposit cost rate decreased by 9 basis points to 1.44%, expected to remain the lowest in the industry [2][6]. - The year-end non-performing loan ratio rose by 4 basis points to 0.90%, with a provision coverage ratio decreasing by 16 percentage points to 286% [2][6]. - The bank announced an active adjustment plan for savings agency fees, which is expected to effectively release future profits, estimating a reduction of 4.7% in pre-tax profit for 2025 due to a decrease in agency fee expenses by 4.5 billion yuan [2][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the bank's total revenue was 348.8 billion yuan, with a net profit of 86.5 billion yuan. Interest income was 286.1 billion yuan, and non-interest income was 25.3 billion yuan [27]. - The bank's total loans grew to 8.7 trillion yuan, with retail loans showing a growth rate of 9.4% [27]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio at year-end was 0.90%, with a new generation rate of 0.84% for the year. The provision coverage ratio was 286% [2][6]. - The bank's asset quality indicators remained strong despite some fluctuations in retail risk pressures [2][6]. Fee Adjustment Impact - The active adjustment of savings agency fees is projected to save 11.5 billion yuan in 2024 and 4.5 billion yuan in 2025, enhancing pre-tax profit by 4.7% [21][22]. - The comprehensive savings agency fee rate is expected to decrease from 1.15% to 1.04% following the adjustments [21][22]. Investment Outlook - The bank is expected to maintain a stable dividend payout ratio of 30% for 2024, with a projected dividend yield of 5.0% for A-shares and 5.7% for H-shares [2][6]. - The current price-to-book (PB) ratio is estimated at 0.58x for A-shares and 0.51x for H-shares, indicating a low valuation with high dividend yield advantages [2][6].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the financial performance of China Construction Bank (CCB) for the year 2024, highlighting a slight decline in revenue but an improvement in profit growth, alongside various operational metrics and trends [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - CCB reported a total revenue of 750.2 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 2.5%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 335.6 billion, with a growth rate of 0.9% [3]. - The annualized weighted average return on equity (ROAE) was 10.69%, down by 0.9 percentage points compared to the previous year [3]. Revenue and Profit Growth - The revenue decline has narrowed, with profit growth accelerating; the year-on-year growth rates for revenue, pre-provision profit, and net profit were -2.5%, -4%, and 0.9%, respectively, showing improvements compared to the first three quarters of 2024 [4]. - The net interest income and non-interest income growth rates were -4.4% and 5.1%, respectively, with changes of +1.5 and -1.7 percentage points compared to the previous quarters [4]. Credit and Loan Growth - By the end of 2024, CCB's interest-earning assets and loans grew by 5.8% and 8.3% year-on-year, although these growth rates decreased by 2.9 and 0.5 percentage points compared to the end of the third quarter [5]. Deposit Trends - CCB experienced a 5.7% year-on-year growth in interest-bearing liabilities and a 3.7% growth in deposits, with changes of -3.8 and +1.4 percentage points from the previous quarter [6]. - The total new deposits for the year were 1 trillion, which was a decrease of 1.6 trillion compared to the previous year, influenced by regulatory adjustments and interest rate cuts [6]. Net Interest Margin (NIM) - The NIM for the year was 1.51%, down by 19 basis points from 2023, but the rate of decline has slowed down, indicating a potential stabilization [7]. Non-Interest Income - CCB's non-interest income reached 160.3 billion, growing by 5.1% year-on-year, although the growth rate decreased by 1.7 percentage points compared to the previous quarters [8]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio and attention rate were 1.34% and 1.89%, respectively, showing a decline of 1 basis point and 18 basis points from mid-year [9]. - The new NPLs for the year totaled 19.4 billion, which was a decrease of 13 billion year-on-year, indicating improved asset quality [9]. Capital Adequacy - By the end of 2024, CCB's core tier 1, tier 1, and total capital adequacy ratios were 14.5%, 15.2%, and 19.7%, respectively, with increases of 38, 21, and 34 basis points from the end of the third quarter [10]. - The bank plans to distribute dividends of 100.75 billion, maintaining a payout ratio of 30% [10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Recommended" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the company's revenue decline has narrowed, with a year-on-year decrease of 2.5% in total revenue for 2024, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 0.9% year-on-year [5][8] - The bank's total assets reached 40.6 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.9%, with loans and deposits growing by 8.5% and 3.8% respectively [5][8] - The report emphasizes the resilience of net interest income, which showed a reduced decline of 4.4% year-on-year, and non-interest income increased by 5.1% [8][9] - The bank's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio decreased to 1.34%, indicating stable asset quality, although retail loan NPLs increased slightly [9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 750.2 billion yuan, with a net profit of 335.6 billion yuan, and a return on equity (ROE) of 10.69% [5][10] - The net interest margin for the year was 1.51%, down 19 basis points year-on-year, while the loan yield decreased to 3.43% [8][10] Asset Quality - The year-end NPL ratio was 1.34%, down 3 basis points year-on-year, with corporate loan NPLs decreasing to 1.65% [9][10] - The provision coverage ratio stood at 234%, indicating a strong buffer against potential loan losses [9] Future Projections - The report projects that the company's earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 will be 1.36, 1.40, and 1.46 yuan respectively, with corresponding profit growth rates of 1.1%, 3.0%, and 4.3% [8][12] - The bank's total assets are expected to grow at a rate of 5.9% in 2025, with loan growth projected at 8.0% [12]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5] Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 is reported at 135.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.05%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders is 41.7 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.22. The non-performing loan ratio and provision coverage ratio at the end of Q4 2024 are 1.25% and 180.59%, respectively, remaining stable and improving by 9.9 percentage points compared to the previous quarter [1][4] Summary by Sections Performance - The company's revenue growth rate for 2024 is -7.05%, with a marginal improvement of 1.7 percentage points compared to the first three quarters. The net profit growth rate is 2.22%, improving by 0.3 percentage points from the first three quarters. This improvement is attributed to a stabilization in interest margins, a reduced decline in middle-income, and growth in other non-interest income [2] - Net interest income for 2024 decreased by 10.06%, with a net interest margin of 1.54%, remaining stable compared to the first half of 2024. The year-on-year decline in net interest margin is 20 basis points, which is a smaller decline than the previous year [2][3] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio at the end of Q4 2024 is 1.25%, unchanged from the previous quarter. Leading indicators such as the attention rate and overdue rate have improved, decreasing by 15 basis points and 19 basis points, respectively, compared to Q2 2024. The provision coverage ratio has increased by 9.9 percentage points [4] - The non-performing loan generation rate for 2024 is 1.25%, a year-on-year decrease of 23 basis points. The total amount of non-performing loans is reported at 49.25 billion yuan, with a net increase of 1.7 billion yuan in corporate loans [4] Assets and Liabilities - As of the end of Q4 2024, total assets and loans amount to 6.96 trillion yuan and 3.93 trillion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 2.75% and 3.88%. The growth in total assets is primarily driven by a rapid increase in interbank assets [10] - Total deposits at the end of Q4 2024 are reported at 3.96 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.67%, mainly due to a net decrease in corporate demand deposits [10]

Core Viewpoints - The company reported a slight recovery in performance metrics for 2024, with operating income, PPOP, and net profit growth rates of -2.54%, -4.03%, and 0.88% respectively, showing marginal improvements compared to the first three quarters of 2024 [1] - The company experienced a decrease in net interest margin, but improvements in liability costs contributed to a stabilization of the margin in Q4 2024 [2] - Non-interest income saw significant growth, with a year-on-year increase of 50.56%, primarily driven by trading gains and realized income from investment accounts [2] Financial Performance - For Q4 2024, the company reported year-on-year growth rates of -0.09% for revenue, -3.26% for PPOP, and 3.37% for net profit, with quarter-on-quarter changes of +2.63pct, +1.24pct, and -0.42pct respectively [1] - The net interest margin for 2024 was 1.51%, with a slight decrease of 1 basis point compared to the first three quarters, while Q4 2024's estimated margin was 1.49%, reflecting a 4 basis point increase [2] - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio at the end of Q4 2024 was 1.34%, a decrease of 1 basis point, indicating stable asset quality [2] Asset and Liability Management - The company’s interest-earning assets grew by 5.75% year-on-year, with loans increasing by 8.33%, although growth rates for both corporate and retail loans showed a decline [3] - Deposit growth for 2024 was 3.8%, a significant decrease from 2023, as the company focused on proactive liability management and increased bond issuance [3] - The cost-to-income ratio for 2024 was 29.44%, up 1.24 percentage points from 2023, reflecting pressures on revenue [3] Risk and Outlook - The company noted that retail loan quality showed signs of stress, with the retail loan NPL ratio rising to 0.98%, an increase of 14 basis points [2] - Despite a slowdown in scale expansion, the company maintains a stable operational foundation, with expectations for improvement in key performance indicators in 2025 as economic policies take effect [3]

Core Viewpoint - CITIC Bank reported a net operating income of 213.65 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.8%, and a net profit of 68.58 billion yuan, up 2.3% year-on-year, indicating stable growth amidst a challenging banking environment [1][2]. Financial Performance - As of the end of 2024, CITIC Bank's total assets exceeded 9.5 trillion yuan, reflecting a growth of 5.31% compared to the previous year [1]. - The bank achieved a net interest margin (NIM) of 1.77%, a year-on-year decrease of 1 basis point, but outperformed the market by 16 basis points, supporting revenue growth [3]. Revenue Drivers - The growth in profit was attributed to revenue growth driven by stable net interest margins and a dual boost from fee income and other non-interest income [2]. - CITIC Bank's proactive management of liability costs, particularly through the growth of transaction settlement business, has been a key factor in maintaining stable net interest margins [4]. Asset and Liability Management - The bank has improved its deposit structure, with the proportion of demand deposits reaching 52% in corporate deposits, which is 9 percentage points higher than the industry average [4]. - On the asset side, CITIC Bank's loan-to-asset ratio increased to 63.9%, with a significant rise in personal loans, indicating a focus on enhancing asset yield stability [5]. Asset Quality - CITIC Bank's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio decreased to 1.16%, the lowest in 11 years, with a provision coverage ratio of 209.43%, marking the best level in over a decade [7]. - The bank's asset quality improvement is attributed to a focus on corporate asset quality and a dual strategy of controlling new risks while cleaning up historical risks [8]. Retail Credit Risk Management - The bank has implemented stringent risk management measures for retail assets, including tightening credit card customer access and enhancing mortgage loan controls [9]. - Despite improvements in retail asset quality, the bank acknowledges that retail credit risks are rising, reflecting a broader industry trend [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 630.1 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 1.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 237.8 billion yuan, up 2.6% year-on-year [4][9] - The report highlights a stable performance with a gradual improvement in asset quality, as evidenced by a decrease in the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio to 1.25% and an increase in the provision coverage ratio to 201% [4][12] - The company’s non-interest income grew by 15.9% year-on-year, although investment-related non-interest income saw a slowdown to 35% [6][9] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - The total revenue and net profit forecasts for the upcoming years are as follows: - 2025E Revenue: 641.1 billion yuan, growth of 1.75% - 2025E Net Profit: 245.8 billion yuan, growth of 3.34% [5] - The company’s cost-to-income ratio is projected to improve, contributing positively to profit growth [6][9] - The report anticipates a stable net interest margin (NIM) of 1.40% for 2024, supported by a decrease in deposit costs [6][10] Loan and Credit Quality - The company’s loan growth was 8.2% year-on-year, with significant contributions from corporate loans, particularly in manufacturing and infrastructure sectors [6][8] - The report notes a balanced contribution from various sectors, with corporate loans accounting for approximately 86% of new loans in the second half of 2024 [8][9] - Retail loan quality showed some volatility, with an increase in the NPL ratio for retail loans, particularly in mortgages and credit cards [9][12] Dividend and Shareholder Returns - The company maintained a stable dividend payout ratio of approximately 32%, supporting a high dividend yield of 6.52% [1][4] - The current share price corresponds to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.63 for 2025, indicating potential value for investors [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for CITIC Bank, expecting it to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [2][22]. Core Views - CITIC Bank's 2024 performance shows steady growth in revenue and profit, with total operating income reaching CNY 213.65 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.76%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at CNY 68.58 billion, up 2.33% year-on-year [2][7]. - The bank's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio decreased to 1.16%, while the provision coverage ratio fell to 209.4%, indicating stable asset quality [2][7]. - The bank's net interest margin (NIM) remained relatively stable, decreasing only 1 basis point to 1.77% compared to the end of 2023, supported by effective cost management on the liability side [7][10]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue and Profit Growth**: - Total operating income for 2024 is projected at CNY 213.65 billion, with a growth rate of 3.76% [8]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach CNY 68.58 billion, reflecting a growth of 2.33% [8]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - EPS for 2024 is estimated at CNY 1.23, with a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 5.87 [8][12]. - **Dividends**: - The annual dividend is projected at CNY 0.3547 per share, with a dividend payout ratio increasing to 30.5% [7][8]. Asset Quality and Risk Management - **Non-Performing Loan Ratio**: - The NPL ratio is reported at 1.16%, with a slight decrease from previous periods, indicating improved asset quality [7][10]. - **Provision Coverage Ratio**: - The provision coverage ratio stands at 209.4%, reflecting a robust buffer against potential loan losses [7][10]. - **Loan Growth**: - Total loans are expected to grow by approximately 4% annually, with a balanced distribution between corporate and retail loans [7][9]. Future Projections - **Revenue Growth Forecast**: - Revenue growth is projected at 3.6%, 4.1%, and 5.4% for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [7][8]. - **Net Profit Growth Forecast**: - Net profit growth is expected to be 3.4%, 4.6%, and 6.2% for the same years [7][8]. - **Target Price**: - The target price for CITIC Bank is set at CNY 7.98, with a corresponding price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.6x for 2025 [7][8].

公 司 报 告 招商银行(600036.SH) 营收韧性凸显，分红率稳中有升 强烈推荐（维持） 股价：45.09 元 主要数据 | 行业 | 银行 | | --- | --- | | 公司网址 | www.cmbchina.com | | 大股东/持股 | 香港中央结算(代理人)有限公司 | | | /18.06% | | 实际控制人 | | | 总股本(百万股) | 25,220 | | 流通 A 股(百万股) | 20,629 | | 流通 B/H 股(百万股) | 4,591 | | 总市值（亿元） | 11,351 | | 流通 A 股市值(亿元) | 9,302 | | 每股净资产(元) | 41.46 | | 资产负债率(%) | 89.8 | 行情走势图 银行 2025 年 3 月 26 日 相关研究报告 【平安证券】招商银行（600036.SH）*季报点评*盈利 负缺口收窄，资产质量保持稳健*强烈推荐20241030 证券分析师 | 袁喆奇 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | --- | --- | | | S1060520080003 | | | YUANZHEQI052@pingan.com.c ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company's revenue growth for the year 2024 is -0.5%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders shows a growth of +1.2%. The net interest income decreased by 1.6%, but the decline in interest margin in Q4 was better than expected. The year-end non-performing loan ratio stands at 0.95%, with a year-end provision coverage ratio of 412%, indicating a solid risk buffer while slightly reducing provisions to support profit growth [2][6][12]. Summary by Relevant Sections Performance - The company's revenue growth for 2024 is -0.5%, with a quarterly growth of +7.5% in Q4. The net profit attributable to shareholders increased by +1.2%, with a quarterly growth of +7.6% in Q4. The net interest margin for the year is 1.98%, down 17 basis points year-on-year, while the Q4 margin decreased by 3 basis points, which was better than expected [2][6][12]. Scale - Retail loans accelerated in Q4, with total loans growing by 5.8% for the year and a quarterly increase of 1.9% in Q4. Deposits grew by 11.5% for the year, with a quarterly growth of 4.2% in Q4. The year-end proportion of demand deposits rose to 52.2%, reflecting a recovery in the capital market [12][6]. Interest Margin - The net interest margin for the year is 1.98%, down 17 basis points year-on-year. The Q4 margin was 1.94%, reflecting a 3 basis point decrease. The decline in interest margin was primarily due to lower mortgage rates, while the cost of deposits improved significantly, with the annual deposit cost rate at 1.54%, down 8 basis points year-on-year [12][6]. Non-Interest Income - Non-interest income grew by 1.4% for the year, driven mainly by investment income. However, net fee income decreased by 14%. Wealth management fees dropped by 23%, although there was a 45% increase in income from selling financial products [12][6]. Asset Quality - The year-end non-performing loan ratio is 0.95%, stable compared to the beginning of the year. The new non-performing loan generation rate for retail loans was 1.60%, with a slight increase in credit card non-performing rates. The provision coverage ratio decreased by 20 percentage points to 412%, indicating a strong risk buffer while supporting profit growth [12][6]. Investment Recommendation - The company exhibits a high return on equity (ROE) of 14.5%, with a strong long-term growth advantage. The expected price-to-book ratios for A/H shares in 2025 are 0.97x and 0.95x, respectively, with a projected dividend yield of 4.8% for both. The report maintains a positive outlook on the valuation recovery of A/H shares and continues to recommend a "Buy" rating [12][6].