Core Viewpoint - FTSE Russell announced changes to the FTSE China 50 Index and related indices, effective after market close on December 19, 2025, which will impact the inclusion and exclusion of certain stocks [1][4]. Group 1: Index Changes - The FTSE China A50 Index will include Luoyang Molybdenum (603993) and Sungrow Power Supply (300274), while excluding Jiangsu Bank (600919) and SF Holding (002352) [1]. - The list of potential candidates for inclusion includes Jiangsu Bank, SF Holding, Siasun Robot & Automation (601127), Shenghong Technology (300476), and Wanhua Chemical (600309) [1]. Group 2: Company Performance - Luoyang Molybdenum reported a net profit of 5.608 billion yuan for Q3, a 96.4% year-on-year increase, attributed to strong copper production and sales, along with rising copper prices [1]. - Sungrow Power Supply has seen its stock price increase by over 140% this year, while Luoyang Molybdenum's stock has risen nearly 165%, with Luoyang Molybdenum reaching a historical high recently [1]. Group 3: Market Outlook - Foreign institutions are optimistic about the A-share market in 2024, with UBS forecasting an increase in overall A-share earnings growth from 6% this year to 8% in 2026 [5]. - Investment themes for 2026 include technological self-reliance and consumer spending, with a focus on high-potential sectors amid ongoing "anti-involution" trends [6]. - Significant foreign capital inflow into the Chinese stock market has been observed, with $50.6 billion flowing in during the first ten months of 2025, surpassing the total for 2024 [6].

Core Insights - The payment industry is experiencing a mixed performance, with some companies achieving revenue growth through diversified strategies while others face pressure from declining transaction volumes in card acquiring business [1][2][3] - The implementation of the 259 Document by the People's Bank of China is impacting transaction volumes, particularly in card acquiring, leading to a strategic shift towards cross-border payment services [1][5] Financial Performance - Haike Rongtong's parent company, Cuiwei Co., achieved a revenue of 1.71 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.86%, but reported a net loss of 311 million yuan [2] - Guotong Xingyi's parent company, Newland, reported a revenue of 6.244 billion yuan, a 12.04% increase, with a net profit of 937 million yuan, up 14.03% [2] - Lakala reported a revenue of 4.068 billion yuan, a decline of 7.32%, and a net profit of 339 million yuan, down 33.90% [3][4] Impact of Regulatory Changes - The 259 Document restricts card acquiring operations, leading to a decrease in transaction volumes and impacting revenue for many payment institutions [5] - The regulation aims to eliminate illegal practices in card acquiring, which has resulted in a contraction of transaction volumes across the industry [5] Growth in Cross-Border Payments - Cross-border payment services are emerging as a significant growth area for payment institutions, with companies like Lakala reporting a cross-border payment volume of 60.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 71.91% [6] - Newland's overseas payment device revenue grew over 26%, and the company is expanding its cross-border payment operations [6] - Companies are increasingly focusing on global market expansion, with Newland planning to issue H-shares to enhance its international strategy [6] Market Trends - The global payment market is projected to grow significantly, with offline payment volumes expected to exceed 42.6 trillion USD by 2027, indicating a robust demand for cross-border payment solutions [7] - The demand for localized payment solutions is rising as Chinese companies expand overseas, with significant growth in cross-border payment transaction volumes reported by various companies [8]

12月2日早盘，A股小幅低开后涨跌分化，中证石化产业指数震荡上行，现涨约0.55%，成分股恒逸 石化、彤程新材、杭氧股份等领涨。相关ETF方面，石化ETF（159731）近10天合计"吸金"2386万元， 资金布局特征明显。 近日，瑞银证券中国股票策略分析师孟磊发表中国股票策略观点，认为2026年全部A股盈利增速有 望从今年的6%进一步升至8%。主要支撑因素包括：名义GDP增速提升、企业营收增长、支持政策持续 出台，以及"反内卷"的推进带动利润率复苏。投资主题方面，可关注科技、"反内卷"以及中国企业出 海，下半年可择机布局消费复苏。 石化ETF（159731）及其联接基金（017855/017856）紧密跟踪中证石化产业指数，从申万一级行 业分布来看，基础化工行业占比为60.4%，石油石化行业占比为32.7%，有望充分受益于反内卷、调结 构和淘汰落后产能等政策。 每日经济新闻 （责任编辑：董萍萍 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_c ...

外资持续"做多"中国资产。 站在当前时点，多家外资机构对中国股票2026年的展望愈发乐观。12月1日，瑞银证券中国股票策略分析师孟 磊表示，2026年A股市场料更上一层楼，全部A股盈利增速有望从今年的6%进一步升至8%。 在此之前，摩根士丹利也指出，在盈利温和增长、估值在更高水平上企稳的背景下，中国在全球科技竞赛中站 稳脚跟，相关指数整体仍具备相对温和的上行空间。摩根大通则将中国股票评级上调为"超配"。 从资金流向来看，国际金融协会数据显示，2025年前10个月，境外资金流入中国股市规模达506亿美元，这一 数字已远超2024年全年的114亿美元。另据申万宏源策略的最新数据，截止到2025年11月26日，过去一周来 看，内资和外资均大幅流入中国股市。 外资巨头最新发声 12月1日，瑞银证券中国股票策略分析师孟磊发表中国股票策略观点，认为2026年全部A股盈利增速有望从今 年的6%进一步升至8%。 孟磊预计，由于名义GDP增速提升和PPI跌幅收窄推升企业营收增速，且支持政策的推出以及"反内卷"的推进 带动利润率复苏，2026年全部A股盈利增速有望从今年的6%进一步升至8%。 孟磊称，中期来看，增量的宏观政策、A ...

相关研究 证券分析师 2025 年 12 月 01 日 扬帆出海，2026 关注哪些方向？ 2026 年出海展望 陆灏川 A0230520080001 luhc@swsresearch.com 王雪蓉 A0230523070003 wangxr@swsresearch.com 刘建伟 A0230521100003 liujw@swsresearch.com 马天一 A0230525040004 maty@swsresearch.com 戴文杰 A0230522100006 daiwj@swsresearch.com 刘正 A0230518100001 liuzheng@swsresearch.com 屠亦婷 A0230512080003 tuyt@swsresearch.com 邵靖宇 A0230524080001 shaojy@swsresearch.com 马焰明 A0230523090003 maym@swsresearch.com 任杰 A0230522070003 renjie@swsresearch.com 王立平 A0230511040052 wanglp@swsresearch.com 周文远 ...

在风格配置方面，他认为由于市场中期展望向好，"成长"风格可能跑赢"价值"风格。随着"反内卷"的持 续推进推动PPI跌幅收窄且工业企业利润提速，"周期"风格有望跑赢"防御"风格。在大小盘方面，两者 会在明年维持一个相对均衡的态势。市场成交额进一步大幅跃升的可能性较低，因此小盘股难以获得超 额流动性进一步的加持，而ETF大规模发展也有利于市值较大的行业龙头。在行业偏好方面，在战术上 看好受益于中国创新火花、充足的市场流动性以及PPI跌幅收窄的行业。 他提及，由于全球科技板块自高点有所回落、A股投资者在科创相关主题的投资拥挤度在三季度末达到 高位、接近年底部分投资者有获利了结的需求等因素，近期A股市场因一些短期因素而有所回调，不 过，以上短线顾虑并不改变中期估值提升的趋势。"瑞银全球策略团队认为明年全球科技股有望进一步 上行。此外，近期大科技的交易占比已回落至今年均值水平以下，且融资规模有所下滑，显示科技板块 交易拥挤的担忧已得到缓解。" 孟磊进一步分析，以下投资主题或在2026年值得关注：科技自立自强；全年来看企业盈利提速将逐步带 动居民收入和销售费用提升，下半年可择时布局消费；在"反内卷"的持续推进下优选板块； ...

Core Viewpoint - UBS Securities predicts that the A-share market in China will see significant growth by 2026, with total A-share profit growth expected to rise to 8% from 6% this year [1]. Group 1: Market Outlook - The anticipated increase in profit growth is driven by an improvement in nominal GDP growth and a narrowing decline in the Producer Price Index (PPI), which will boost corporate revenue growth [1]. - Supportive policies and the promotion of "anti-involution" are expected to contribute to a recovery in profit margins [1]. - UBS believes that macro policies, accelerated A-share profit growth, declining risk-free interest rates, continuous net inflow of long-term capital into the stock market, and ongoing market capitalization management reforms will further enhance A-share market valuations [1]. Group 2: Short-term Market Dynamics - Recent short-term factors have led to a pullback in the A-share market; however, this does not alter the medium-term trend of valuation improvement [1]. - The UBS global strategy team anticipates that global technology stocks are likely to rise further next year [1]. - The trading proportion of the technology sector has recently returned to below the average level for the year, and the scale of financing has decreased, indicating that concerns about overcrowding in technology sector trading have eased [1]. Group 3: Investment Themes - Key investment themes to watch in 2026 include technology, consumption, "anti-involution," and the international expansion of Chinese enterprises [2].

12月1日市场早盘震荡拉升，深成指、创业板指盘中均涨超1%，沪指重返3900点上方。沪深两市半日成交额1.23万亿，较上个交易日放量2504亿。盘面上 热点快速轮动，全市场超3600只个股上涨。 从板块来看，消费电子方向集体大涨，中兴通讯、天音控股（000829）、道明光学（002632）等10余股涨停。有色金属板块表现活跃，白银有色 （601212）、闽发铝业（002578）涨停。商业航天概念延续强势，航天发展（000547）12天8板。下跌方面，风电板块走势较弱，三一重能跌超6%板块方 面，消费电子、有色金属等板块涨幅居前，保险、中船系、风电设备等板块跌幅居前。截至午盘收盘，沪指涨0.42%，深成指涨0.95%，创业板指涨 0.9%。 中兴通讯涨停，字节回应与中兴手机合作 中兴通讯A股、港股今日双双大涨。 A股中兴通讯开盘后持续走高，截至发稿已触及涨停，最新股价报46.3元/股。港股中兴通讯同样大幅上涨，截至发稿，最新股价报34.62港元/股，涨超 10%。 消息面上，今日上午，中兴通讯发布消息称，目前，搭载豆包手机助手技术预览版的工程样机努比亚M153少量发售，供开发者和感兴趣的朋友体验豆包 手机助手。 ...

Market Overview - The market experienced a strong upward trend on December 1, with the Shenzhen Component Index and ChiNext Index both rising over 1%, and the Shanghai Composite Index returning above 3900 points. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.23 trillion yuan, an increase of 250.4 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day. Over 3600 stocks in the market saw gains [1]. Sector Performance - The consumer electronics sector saw significant gains, with companies like ZTE Corporation, Tianyin Holdings, and Daoming Optics hitting the daily limit. The non-ferrous metals sector was also active, with Silver Nonferrous and Minfa Aluminum reaching the daily limit. The commercial aerospace concept continued its strong performance, with Aerospace Development achieving 8 limit-up days in 12 days. Conversely, the wind power sector showed weakness, with Sany Renewable Energy dropping over 6% [1]. ZTE Corporation - ZTE Corporation's stock surged, reaching the daily limit in both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks. The A-share price hit 46.3 yuan per share, while the Hong Kong stock price reached 34.62 HKD, an increase of over 10% [3]. Beanbag Mobile Assistant - ZTE announced the limited release of the Nubia M153, which features the Beanbag Mobile Assistant technology preview version. The device is priced at 3499 yuan and includes a Snapdragon 8 Gen 2 processor, a 6.78-inch screen, and a 6000mAh battery. The Beanbag Mobile Assistant aims to enhance user interaction and experience through collaboration with mobile manufacturers [5][7]. Tianfeng Securities - Tianfeng Securities experienced a significant drop of nearly 7%, with over 500,000 shareholders affected. The decline followed the company's receipt of a notice from the China Securities Regulatory Commission regarding an investigation into alleged information disclosure violations. The stock price fell by 6.63% as of the latest report [10][11]. A-Share Earnings Growth Forecast - UBS Securities' analyst Meng Lei projected that the overall A-share earnings growth rate could rise from 6% this year to 8% by 2026. Factors contributing to this outlook include macro policy support, accelerated earnings growth, declining risk-free interest rates, and sustained inflows of long-term capital into the stock market [12]. Investment Themes - Investment themes suggested include focusing on technology self-sufficiency, the "anti-involution" concept, and Chinese companies expanding overseas. The growth style is expected to outperform the value style in the medium term, while the cyclical style may outperform defensive styles due to ongoing "anti-involution" policies [13].

Core Viewpoint - The global ESG regulations are reshaping the competitive landscape for Chinese companies going abroad, making ESG requirements a key consideration for core competitiveness in overseas markets [1][2]. Group 1: ESG Challenges and Opportunities - Chinese companies are transitioning from simple product exports to strategic global supply chain layouts, with ESG requirements becoming critical in this process [1]. - A private leader in the renewable energy sector faces multiple challenges such as compliance, taxation, and sustainability while expanding internationally, necessitating risk assessments and actionable strategies [1]. - The construction of a waste-to-energy plant in Southeast Asia illustrates the need for Chinese companies to understand strict ESG requirements tied to multilateral bank loans to ensure project funding and progress [2]. Group 2: Global Market Dynamics - The global market is forming new competitive rules centered around ESG principles, with over half of industries expected to have more than 10% of their revenue from overseas by 2024 [2]. - The EU and ASEAN are developing differentiated regulatory frameworks that impose both rigid and flexible constraints on Chinese companies, affecting their international operations [3]. - The EU employs a three-tiered regulatory framework focusing on disclosure, action, and access restrictions, while ASEAN adopts a localized approach to ESG policy development [3]. Group 3: Strategic Planning for International Expansion - The transition of Chinese companies going abroad has evolved from product export to global strategic industry chain layout, significantly increasing overseas profit contributions [3]. - Companies face three main risks in their international ventures: blind expansion, the need for systematic planning, and increased compliance pressures related to ESG [4]. - Strategic planning for global layouts, operational systems, supply chains, and international talent development is essential for successful international expansion [4].