Group 1 - Recent influx of over 320 billion in foreign investment into China, contrasting previous negative sentiments [1][3] - Deutsche Bank and Morgan Stanley have raised China's GDP growth forecasts to 4.7% and 4.5% respectively, indicating a shift in market perception [3][5] - Foreign companies are establishing a significant number of enterprises in China, with 18,800 new companies set up in the first four months of the year, a 12.5% increase year-on-year [5] Group 2 - China's overall exports grew by 7.2% in the first five months, despite a 35% drop in exports to the US, showing resilience in other markets [5][7] - Consumer spending is on the rise, with retail sales increasing by 6.4% year-on-year, reflecting a genuine shift from intention to action in consumer behavior [7][9] - The current economic environment is characterized by a focus on quality and sustainability rather than just speed, indicating a more stable economic outlook [9][11]

Economic Overview - In May, China's industrial added value above designated size grew by 5.8% year-on-year, while the service production index increased by 6.2% and retail sales of consumer goods rose by 6.4% [1][2] - The overall economic operation is stable, with some indicators continuing to improve, showcasing strong resilience and vitality in China's economy [1][5] Economic Characteristics - The industrial production saw a rapid increase due to supportive policies, with the added value of the equipment manufacturing industry growing by 9%, contributing 54.3% to industrial production [2] - Employment remained stable, with the urban unemployment rate at 5%, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month [2] - Consumer price index (CPI) showed a slight year-on-year decline, indicating stable market supply and demand [2] New Growth Drivers - High-tech manufacturing added value increased by 8.6%, and digital product manufacturing grew by 9.1%, both outpacing overall industrial growth [4] - Production of new energy vehicles and solar batteries surged by 31.7% and 27.8%, respectively, indicating robust growth in these sectors [4] Policy Impact - The implementation of proactive macro policies has effectively supported economic stability, with significant contributions to demand expansion and production growth [6] - Retail sales of home appliances and communication equipment saw substantial year-on-year growth, driven by policies encouraging consumption upgrades [6] - Investment in equipment and tools rose by 17.3% in the first five months, contributing 2.3 percentage points to overall investment growth [6] Economic Trends - Despite external challenges, China's economic foundation remains strong, with stable growth momentum and a commitment to high-quality development [8][9] - The first five months of 2023 saw a 9.5% year-on-year increase in high-tech manufacturing added value, with industrial robot production up by 32% [8] - The government has a robust policy toolkit to ensure economic stability and can dynamically adjust measures in response to changing conditions [8]

企业销售收入是一项能够直观反映中国经济运行情况的重要指标数据。销售收入提升，反映中国经济活 力提升。而国家统计局此前发布的5月制造业采购经理指数（PMI）也印证了经济向新向好发展的态 势。数据显示，5月份，制造业PMI为49.5%，比上月上升0.5个百分点。其中，高技术制造业延续较好 发展态势，装备制造业和消费品行业景气水平均有回升。从非制造业商务活动指数来看，仍保持在扩张 区间，其中，在节日效应带动下服务业略有回升，建筑业继续保持扩张。 在经济数据发布前夕，多家研究机构公布了预测数据。总的来看，市场普遍认为，在中美贸易谈判出现 积极信号的背景下，5月国内经济景气度有所改善，接下来应进一步落实好一揽子存量政策，积极部署 增量政策，以政策工具箱的灵活性来对冲不确定性，继续扩大内需，提振市场信心。 今年以来，面对外部冲击影响加大、内部困难挑战叠加的复杂局面，有关部门加紧实施更加积极有为的 宏观政策，有力有效应对外部冲击，我国主要经济指标运行在合理区间。 国家统计局将于6月16日（下周一）发布5月份宏观经济数据，介绍国民经济运行情况。近日，国家税务 总局发布的最新增值税发票数据显示，5月我国经济保持平稳增长，其中， ...

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the resilience and adaptability of Chinese enterprises in the face of external economic pressures, highlighting their efforts to explore new markets and upgrade their operations [5][4] - It discusses the importance of having clear goals and dreams for the future, as articulated by leaders like Xi Jinping, which serve as a guiding force for the economy [4][7] - The concept of "second breath" is introduced, illustrating how industries and companies can overcome challenges and enter new phases of growth [4][6] Group 2 - The article draws a parallel between the Chinese economy and a wheel, where the spokes represent various economic provinces and sectors working together to support overall growth [7][6] - It highlights the role of both state-owned and private enterprises in driving economic progress, emphasizing the complementary nature of different economic sectors [7][8] - The need for coordinated regional development and the establishment of new mechanisms for cross-regional cooperation is underscored as essential for economic stability and growth [7][4]

经济日报文章指出，联合国日前下调了今年全球增长预期，与此同时，摩根大通、高盛等国际机构纷纷 上调中国经济增长预期。中国经济的稳健与韧性，正成为稳定全球经济的关键力量，也为全球增长贡献 了稀缺资源。4月份外部冲击影响加大，是观察中国经济韧性的一个重要窗口。事实证明，中国经济迎 难而上，保持了平稳增长，彰显出强大韧性和国际竞争力。4月份，我国货物进出口总额增长5.6%，其 中出口增长9.3%；前4个月，我国货物进出口总额增长2.4%，比一季度加快1.1个百分点。这些数据表 明，中国经济在复杂环境中保持了相对稳定的增长势头，这种稳定性本身就是一种重要的全球公共产 品，有助于对冲全球市场不确定性。(经济日报) ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese economy has demonstrated resilience and stability in the face of significant external and internal pressures, with key economic indicators showing positive growth despite challenges [1][3]. External Pressures - The international environment has changed dramatically in the first four months of the year, yet China's goods import and export maintained growth, with April showing a year-on-year increase of 5.6% and a 2.4% increase from January to April [3]. - The stability in foreign trade is attributed to diversification, timely responses from private foreign trade enterprises, and a solid industrial foundation that allows for flexibility and resilience in the global supply chain [3][4]. Domestic Demand - Insufficient domestic demand is also a pressure point, but it is being transformed into an opportunity to expand domestic demand [4]. - The government has implemented major strategic initiatives and safety capability projects, with nearly 500 billion yuan allocated in the first four months of the year to support 1,465 key projects, enhancing infrastructure and improving public welfare [5][6]. Consumer Engagement - The "old for new" consumption initiative has revitalized consumer activity, with over 300 million applications for vehicle trade-ins and significant sales in home appliances and digital products, indicating strong consumer participation [5][6]. Economic Dynamics - The Chinese economy is likened to a resilient spring, with increasing pressure leading to greater potential for growth, supported by favorable economic data related to new productive forces [8]. - The ability to withstand pressure is rooted in the leadership of the Communist Party, institutional advantages, a vast market, and the creativity of the population [8][9]. Continuous Adaptation - The approach to managing pressure is not passive but involves proactive innovation and the implementation of effective strategies [9][10].

Group 1 - The book titled "The Logic of China's Economic Development" critiques mainstream economics and its applicability to China, arguing that traditional Western economic theories fail to explain China's unique economic context [1][3] - The authors emphasize that their understanding of China's economy has been a long-term process, reflecting on its distinctiveness and deep logic, which has remained relevant despite changing circumstances over the past five years [3][4] - The emergence of new concepts such as "high-quality development" and "Chinese-style modernization" has been integrated into the authors' existing theoretical framework without significant modifications, indicating the robustness of their analysis [4] Group 2 - The authors acknowledge the unforeseen global changes, particularly the advancements in artificial intelligence, which are expected to revolutionize various sectors, including intellectual labor [4][5] - The book is positioned as a "cross-era" work, anticipating that future literature will be heavily influenced by AI, enhancing the ability to observe, understand, and predict complex phenomena, including the Chinese economy [5] - The publication process involved contributions from various academic and research institutions, highlighting a collaborative effort in refining the book's content [5]

Core Viewpoint - The chief economist of JPMorgan in China, Zhu Haibin, emphasizes that while exports may weaken, consumption and investment are expected to strengthen due to policy support, highlighting the need for enhanced measures to boost consumption [1] Economic Policy Insights - Fiscal policy has room for expansion to support stable growth, with the central government expected to implement measures [1] - There is a necessity for further interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions, particularly after September 2024, with a focus on stabilizing the real estate and capital markets as part of financial stability policies [1] Economic Structure Rebalancing - Expanding domestic demand and consumption are prioritized as key tasks in economic work moving forward [1]

5月21日，外交部发言人毛宁主持例行记者会。 来源：澎湃新闻 责编：刘珺宇 校对：吕久彪 有记者提问，我们关注到联合国在日前发布的报告中指出，受到关税战等影响，2025年全球经济增速预计将 放缓至2.4%，比1月预测值低0.4个百分点。同时，中方也发布了4月份国民经济的运行情况。请问发言人， 如何看待关税等外部因素对中国经济的影响？是否担心中国经济会受到冲击？ 毛宁表示，国务院新闻办公室19日举行了新闻发布会，介绍了4月份国民经济运行的情况，我注意到国际媒体 纷纷用"超预期""有韧性"来评价中国经济的表现。特别值得一提的是，在面临高关税壁垒的情况下，中国外 贸保持平稳增长。今年前4个月货物进出口总额同比增长2.4%，其中出口增长7.5%，显示出过硬的国际竞争 力。 同时中国不断扩大开放，让外企在华的发展空间更大、预期更稳。这些情况都充分说明，中国完全有能力、有 条件、有底气应对各种风险挑战。 百万用户都在看 最新！特朗普，签了！ 突传利空！刚刚，暴跌超66%！ 突发！下调25个基点，直线跳水！ 突然！特朗普，重大宣布！ 利好来袭！芯片、特朗普，突传重磅！ 巴基斯坦，重大突发！ 违法和不良信息举报电话：0755 ...

是否担心关税战等外部因素冲击中国经济？外交部：有能力、有条件、有底气 5月21日，外交部发言人毛宁主持例行记者会。有记者提问，我们关注到联合国在日前发布的报告中指 出，受到关税战等影响，2025年全球经济增速预计将放缓至2.4%，比1月预测值低0.4个百分点。同时， 中方也发布了4月份国民经济的运行情况。请问发言人，如何看待关税等外部因素对中国经济的影响？ 是否担心中国经济会受到冲击？ 同时中国不断扩大开放，让外企在华的发展空间更大、预期更稳。这些情况都充分说明，中国完全有能 力、有条件、有底气应对各种风险挑战。 毛宁表示，国务院新闻办公室19日举行了新闻发布会，介绍了4月份国民经济运行的情况，我注意到国 际媒体纷纷用"超预期""有韧性"来评价中国经济的表现。特别值得一提的是，在面临高关税壁垒的情况 下，中国外贸保持平稳增长。今年前4个月货物进出口总额同比增长2.4%，其中出口增长7.5%，显示出 过硬的国际竞争力。 ...