7月3日，工业和信息化部党组书记、部长李乐成主持召开第十五次制造业企业座谈会，聚焦光伏产业高 质量发展。李乐成强调，要依法依规、综合治理光伏行业低价无序竞争，引导企业提升产品品质，推动 落后产能有序退出，实现产业健康、可持续发展。 广州瑞锋企业管理有限公司董事长朱锐铿在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示，这一举措为处于"内 卷"困境中的光伏企业进一步指明了方向。众多企业已经行动起来，积极投身"反内卷"行动。 政策面指明方向 产业链积极响应 在工信部以及行业协会的引导下，光伏产业链上市公司积极响应"反内卷"号召，从技术研发、海外拓展 等方面着手，共同推动行业高质量发展。 在硅料环节，龙头公司通威股份（600438）有限公司通过优化产能结构和提升技术水平，在行业内带头 推动硅料环节整合。此外，协鑫集团公开表示，公司正与通威股份有限公司联手，全力以赴加快行业供 给侧结构性改革，推动行业整合产能去化。 近年来，虽然我国光伏产业发展迅猛，在全球占据领先地位，但也面临着严重的"内卷"问题。据 Infolink数据，截至2024年末，中国厂商的硅料、硅片、电池、组件四大主产业链产能分别为1360GW、 1154GW、1056G ...

Core Viewpoint - Leading photovoltaic glass companies are proactively reducing production to practice industry self-discipline and address "involution" competition, aiming to stabilize market order and adapt supply and demand [1][2] Industry Overview - Global photovoltaic supply-demand mismatch has led to component prices falling below cost, resulting in continued losses for leading companies in 2024. Proactive production cuts are expected to help restore supply-demand balance [1] - Domestic policies promoting the exit of outdated production capacity are expected to support the industry's efforts to adjust supply [1] Strategic Approaches - Photovoltaic companies should focus on technological iteration to build differentiated competitiveness. The rapid evolution of technology is key to breaking the current deadlock, with three main technology routes competing intensely: TOPCon, BC technology, and perovskite tandem technology [1][2] - Companies need to optimize capacity layout, balancing "capacity reduction" with "shortboard supplementation." Expanding production overseas can help avoid trade barriers and capture incremental demand in emerging markets [2] - Deepening industry chain collaboration is essential, transitioning from mere product suppliers to comprehensive energy service providers. Companies can adopt a "vertical integration" model to reduce costs and explore new application scenarios such as "distributed photovoltaics," "photovoltaics + energy storage," and "photovoltaic hydrogen production" [2]

开源证券在研报中指出，当前光伏行业多环节产品价格已跌破现金成本线，深化供给侧改革诉求迫切。 在此背景下，头部光伏玻璃企业计划自7月开始集体减产，头部硅料企业正主动推进多晶硅产能整合， 企业行为契合政策导向，推动行业供需结构改善。 实际上，自去年以来，主管部门、行业协会等密集发声，释放光伏产业"反内卷"信号。 2024年10月14日，中国光伏行业协会联合16家光伏头部企业召开"防止恶性竞争"座谈会，达成共识强化 行业自律；2025年2月25日，市场监管总局召开部分企业公平竞争座谈会，天合光能、晶澳科技 （002459）、隆基绿能（601012）等7家企业有关负责人围绕整治"内卷式"竞争进行深入交流。 近期，国内多个制造业领域掀起"反内卷"行动，光伏产业链企业也计划减产。 7月3日，中国有色金属工业协会硅业分会发文称，7月开始，主要硅片厂商计划降低开工率4成左右。因 此，在政策陆续落地和硅片企业减产挺价情形下，硅片价格有触底企稳动力。 据工信部网站，7月3日，工业和信息化部党组书记、部长李乐成主持召开第十五次制造业企业座谈会， 聚焦加快推动光伏产业高质量发展，听取光伏行业企业及行业协会情况介绍和意见建议。 会上， ...

前言 经实现转正。 《金牌纪要库》是财联社VIP倾力打造的一款高端会议纪要类产品，结合财联社的媒体资源和行业圈层 优势，为投资者提供全面、深入的市场及行业洞察，以及专业分析和解读。 ①光伏行业"反内卷"规格提升，这个环节是本轮行业自律行动的核心焦点，一旦市场供需关系改善，这些 企业的盈利水平将展现出较大的向上弹性；②行业基本面有望在2025年年末出现拐点，这个细分领域头部 公司计划联合减产30%，这家公司整体盈利状况和抗风险能力显著高于竞争对手；③具有差异化+溢价能 力的核心技术，为企业摆脱主流产品的同质化价格战提供了有效途径，代表公司一季度经营活动现金流已 ...

近期，钢铁、光伏等板块显著升温。市场情绪提振的背后，是各行业纷纷吹起"反内卷"号角。 伴随着中央财经委员会第六次会议直指"内卷式"竞争治理，强调"推动落后产能有序退出"，光伏、钢铁、水泥行业已迅速开展减产工作。 日前，国内头部光伏玻璃企业宣布自7月起集体减产30%，以缓解行业"内卷式"竞争。 7月3日，工业和信息化部党组书记、部长李乐成主持召开第十五次制造业企业座谈会，再次明确将引导光伏企业推动落后产能有序退出。 据悉，在此次座谈会上，共有14家光伏行业企业及光伏行业协会负责人作交流发言。 李乐成表示，近年来，在各部门积极扶持和产业界共同努力下，我国光伏产业坚持自力更生、技术创新、效率优先、市场主导，实现了从无到有、从弱到强 的转变，在产业规模、技术水平、应用市场等方面取得领先优势，成为中国制造的一张靓丽名片。 李乐成强调，工业和信息化部将综合治理光伏行业低价无序竞争，引导企业提升产品品质，推动落后产能有序退出，实现健康、可持续发展。 同时，行业企 业也要大力弘扬企业家精神，锚定正确方向，致力技术创新，坚守质量安全底线，加强国际合作，进一步拓展光伏应用的深度和广度，加快塑造我国下一代 光伏产品的竞争优势，努力 ...

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a downturn after a brief surge in demand due to policy incentives, with prices declining significantly across the supply chain [2][12]. Group 1: Market Trends - In the first half of the year, the photovoltaic industry saw a "rush to install" driven by policies like the "136 Document," but this has since subsided, leading to a decline in prices [2]. - As of July 2, the average trading price of dense silicon material is approximately 35 yuan/kg, down 2.7% month-on-month and over 10% compared to the beginning of the year, with a year-on-year decline of 46.2% [3]. - The average trading price of N-type 182-183.75mm silicon wafers is currently 0.88 yuan/piece, down 7.4% month-on-month and 58% compared to the beginning of the year [5][6]. Group 2: Supply Chain Dynamics - Major silicon material manufacturers are struggling to secure orders due to low prices, leading to a continuous decline in market averages [5]. - The "six giants" in the silicon material sector are reportedly considering a special fund to consolidate existing production capacity, indicating some progress in industry integration [5]. - The average trading price of N-type 182-183.75mm TOPCon battery cells is 0.23 yuan/W, reflecting an 8% month-on-month drop and a 51.1% decline since the beginning of the year [10]. Group 3: Industry Challenges - The photovoltaic industry is facing significant challenges, including overcapacity and a lack of clear policies following the "531 rush," which has led to a pessimistic outlook for downstream investment [12][14]. - The Central Financial Committee has emphasized the need to regulate low-price competition and promote the exit of outdated production capacity [14]. - The industry is urged to break the "involution" cycle to achieve high-quality development, as highlighted in recent discussions and reports [13][14].

推动无序产能出清预期强烈,多晶硅多合约涨停 中信期货研究所 有色与新材料团队 最新动态及原因 风险提示 风险因素:供应端超预期复产;供给端政策变动 研究员: 在宏观情绪带动下，多晶硅期货价格先御后扬，7月2日多合约旅停，主力合约收于36050元/吨。工业硅主力合约价格也上涨4.8%收盘至8210元/吨。7月1日召开的中央财经委员会第六次 会议强调要依法依规治理企业低价无序竞争，推动落后产能有序退出，市场对光伏行业"反内卷"和共龄则风草的关注再度升温。尽管短期内基本面示现直营改善，但政策信号激发市场情绪, 推动硅价大幅上扬。 基本面情况 从基本面来看，多晶硅供应端仍存在复产预期，西南地区已有部分产能恢复，内蒙古、新疆、青海部分产能亦可能陆续回归，0-7月目度供应或超10万吨。在政策未正式落地前，优势企 业或倾向通过技术路线增强竞争力，推动中小产能加速出清。需求方面，需关注光伏装机潜在走弱网验，1-5月装机同比大幅增长、抢装动能释放偏早；下半年若装机节奏放缓，将反向握影 硅抖需求。现货价格方面，硅料企业近期也基于自律符局统一上嗣报价，不过实际成交有限。整体来看，供增需弱的陷局未变，当前价格冲高速多受政策领取驱动， ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese photovoltaic industry is facing significant challenges, including overcapacity, price fluctuations, and losses, leading to a clearer path towards "production reduction to maintain prices" [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Challenges - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, with many companies facing financial losses. In the first quarter, 18 out of 21 listed companies reported net profit losses, with major manufacturers like Tongwei Co., Ltd. losing 2.61 billion yuan [1]. - The industry is under pressure to reduce production, with a projected decrease in operating rates by 10%-15% in the third quarter [1][2]. - The price of polysilicon has been declining due to weak downstream demand and significant price drops in silicon wafer products, leading to a challenging market environment [3]. Group 2: Regulatory Measures - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association is implementing measures to combat below-cost sales and promote self-discipline within the industry, including setting minimum price standards and enhancing technical standards [2]. - A third-party audit group will conduct comprehensive audits to identify and address low-price sales practices among companies [1][2]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - Recent data indicates that prices for 183N silicon wafers have fallen to around 0.9 to 0.91 yuan, with some quotes dropping below 0.9 yuan [2]. - The average prices for 183N and 210N battery cells have also decreased to 0.24 yuan and 0.255 yuan per watt, respectively [2]. - The number of polysilicon producers remains at 11, all operating at reduced capacity, but the market anticipates an increase in production due to capacity replacement [3].

Core Viewpoint - The solar industry is facing significant challenges due to overcapacity and price wars, leading to a consensus among leading companies that short-term profit-seeking and capacity expansion are not sustainable solutions [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Challenges - The solar industry is currently experiencing three main challenges: increasing international trade barriers, rapid capacity expansion leading to fierce price competition, and new requirements from national electricity market reforms [1][2]. - In 2024, production of polysilicon, silicon wafers, cells, and modules is expected to grow by over 10%, but prices across the supply chain have significantly declined, with polysilicon prices dropping over 39% and silicon wafer prices falling over 50% [2][3]. Group 2: Proposed Solutions - The chairman of GCL Group, Zhu Gongshan, suggests a collaborative approach between government and enterprises to address overcapacity through market-driven mergers, technology elimination mechanisms, and policy enforcement [2][3]. - Zhu emphasizes the need for unified capacity indicators within national planning, strict monitoring, and regulation to prevent unreasonable local protectionism and ensure effective capacity reduction [2][3]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - The solar industry is expected to undergo significant restructuring, with upstream materials beginning to consolidate excess capacity, which could restore prices to reasonable levels and improve overall industry profitability [3]. - Despite current challenges, the solar industry is projected to see substantial growth, with global new installations expected to exceed 600 GW in 2024, marking a 30% year-on-year increase [3][4].