Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the joint issuance of the "Guiding Opinions on Financial Support for New-Type Industrialization" by seven departments, including the People's Bank of China, aimed at accelerating the construction of a financial system that supports new-type industrialization and enhances the resilience of industrial chains [3][12]. Group 1: Financial Support for Key Industries - Financial institutions are encouraged to provide medium- and long-term financing for key manufacturing industries such as integrated circuits, industrial mother machines, medical equipment, servers, and advanced materials [4][14]. - The policy aims to enhance the financing accessibility for small and micro enterprises in the manufacturing sector [5][20]. Group 2: Support for Emerging Industries - The article highlights support for emerging industries like new-generation information technology, smart (connected) vehicles, and biomedicine to access multi-tiered capital markets for financing [6][18]. - It emphasizes the need for long-term capital and patient investment to accelerate the transformation of technological achievements into practical applications [15][18]. Group 3: Enhancing Financial Services for Traditional Manufacturing - Financial institutions are urged to optimize credit policies to support the high-end, intelligent, and green development of traditional manufacturing [17][19]. - The article suggests that banks should enhance their support for digital transformation in manufacturing, particularly for small and medium-sized enterprises [17][20]. Group 4: Promoting Green and Digital Finance - The article discusses the importance of green finance in supporting the low-carbon transformation of high-carbon industries, advocating for the development of green financial products [19][28]. - It also emphasizes the role of digital finance in improving the efficiency of financial services for the manufacturing sector, particularly through the use of big data and AI [20][28]. Group 5: Strengthening Policy Coordination - The article calls for enhanced coordination between financial policies and industrial policies to ensure effective implementation of the financial support measures [27][28]. - It highlights the need for a collaborative approach among various government departments to create a conducive environment for financing new-type industrialization [27][28].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the "Guiding Opinions on Financial Support for New-Type Industrialization" issued by multiple Chinese financial and regulatory authorities, emphasizing the importance of financial services in supporting the real economy and preventing financial risks, with a focus on advancing new industrialization and enhancing the financial system by 2027 [1][5]. Summary by Sections Overall Requirements - The guiding opinions are based on Xi Jinping's thoughts and aim to implement the spirit of the 20th National Congress, focusing on financial services for the real economy and risk prevention [5]. - By 2027, a mature financial system supporting high-end, intelligent, and green development in manufacturing is expected, with enhanced service adaptability [5]. Supporting Technological Innovation and Supply Chain Resilience - Financial policies will be optimized to support key technologies and products, encouraging banks to provide long-term financing for critical manufacturing sectors [6]. - Long-term capital and patient capital will be introduced to accelerate the transformation of technological achievements [7]. - Comprehensive financial services will be provided to key enterprises in the supply chain, supporting private enterprises in building a self-controlled industrial chain [8]. Modern Industrial System Construction - Traditional manufacturing financial services will be optimized to promote transformation and upgrading, with a focus on digitalization and green development [10]. - Financial institutions will be encouraged to develop diverse financial products to support emerging industries and future-oriented sectors [11]. Green Finance and Digital Economy - Green finance will play a crucial role in supporting low-carbon development, with a focus on creating a financial standard system for high-carbon industries transitioning to green [12]. - Digital finance will enhance the integration of the digital economy with the real economy, utilizing technologies like big data and AI to improve service efficiency [13]. Financial Policy and Industry Policy Coordination - A collaborative mechanism will be established among various regulatory bodies to ensure consistent macro policy orientation and optimize the environment for policy implementation [21]. - Local governments will be encouraged to create supportive financing environments for small and medium-sized enterprises [22]. Risk Prevention and Management - A joint risk assessment and early warning mechanism will be established to monitor financial and industrial risks, ensuring compliance with national industrial policies [23].

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China and seven other departments have jointly issued guidelines to support new industrialization through targeted financial measures aimed at enhancing technological innovation and supply chain resilience [2][4]. Financial Support for New Industrialization - The guidelines emphasize the importance of financial services for the real economy, aiming to deepen financial supply-side structural reforms and enhance the synergy between industrial and financial policies [2][6]. - By 2027, the financial system supporting the high-end, intelligent, and green development of the manufacturing industry is expected to be fundamentally mature [7]. Targeted Support Measures - Financial policy tools will be optimized to support key technological products and breakthroughs, with a focus on enhancing the innovation capabilities of industries and the resilience of supply chains [3][8]. - The guidelines propose the development of technology finance, green finance, and digital finance, among other initiatives, to support the transformation of traditional industries and the growth of emerging industries [3][12]. Enhancing Financial Services - Financial institutions are encouraged to create differentiated credit policies based on the characteristics of specific industries and the growth stages of enterprises [10][20]. - The guidelines call for the establishment of a long-term mechanism to improve financial service capabilities, ensuring that the manufacturing sector receives adequate investment [3][20]. Promoting Cross-Border Financial Services - The guidelines aim to facilitate cross-border financial services, enhancing the efficiency of trade settlements and capital management for enterprises engaged in international trade [16][18]. - Measures will be taken to expand the scale of cross-border trade settled in RMB, improving the financial environment for foreign trade [18][19]. Strengthening Policy Coordination - The guidelines highlight the need for enhanced coordination between financial and industrial policies, ensuring that financial institutions align their strategies with national development goals [22][24]. - A collaborative mechanism will be established to share information and coordinate efforts among various departments to support the implementation of the guidelines [22][24].

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China and six other departments have jointly issued guidelines to support the new industrialization process, focusing on enhancing technological innovation, supply chain resilience, and building a modern industrial system by 2027 [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Support for Manufacturing - The guidelines propose 18 measures to create a mature financial system that supports high-end, intelligent, and green development in manufacturing by 2027, ensuring that credit demand from manufacturing enterprises is fully met [1][2]. - Financial tools such as loans, bonds, equity, and insurance will be better integrated to enhance service adaptability while effectively preventing cross-financial risks [1][2]. Group 2: Technological Innovation and Supply Chain Resilience - The guidelines emphasize optimizing financial policy tools to support key technology and product breakthroughs in critical manufacturing sectors, including integrated circuits and advanced materials [1][2]. - Long-term funding and patient capital will be introduced to accelerate the transformation of technological achievements, with financial institutions encouraged to collaborate with technology intermediaries [1][2]. Group 3: Modern Industrial System Construction - The guidelines call for banks to optimize credit policies to support the high-end, intelligent, and green development of traditional manufacturing, particularly focusing on small and medium-sized enterprises [2]. - There is a specific emphasis on providing long-term loan support for digital infrastructure projects, including 5G and industrial internet [2]. Group 4: Financial Policy and Industry Policy Coordination - The guidelines highlight the need for coordinated implementation of monetary policies, such as re-loans and interest subsidies, to support key areas of new industrialization and the development of small and medium enterprises [3]. Group 5: Current Financial Support Status - As of July 18, over 3,100 financial and investment institutions have launched more than 800 financial products, with a cumulative financing scale exceeding 1.2 trillion yuan, benefiting enterprises with an average financing support of nearly 34 million yuan each [4]. - In the first half of the year, the A-share market raised 148.8 billion yuan for industrial enterprises, marking a year-on-year increase of 51.6% [4].

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China and several government departments have issued guidelines to support the new industrialization process, aiming for a mature financial system that supports high-end, intelligent, and green development in manufacturing by 2027 [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Support for Manufacturing - By 2027, the financial system will be mature, with a rich variety of financial products and tools such as loans, bonds, equity, and insurance, effectively preventing cross-financial risks while enhancing service adaptability [3][4]. - The effective credit demand of manufacturing enterprises will be fully met, with a continuous increase in the number and scale of bond issuances and a significant rise in equity financing levels [4][5]. Group 2: Enhancing Technological Innovation and Supply Chain Resilience - Structural monetary policy tools will be utilized to guide banks in providing medium to long-term financing for key industries such as integrated circuits and medical equipment [5][6]. - Long-term capital will be introduced to accelerate the transformation of scientific and technological achievements, with initiatives like "one month, one chain" investment roadshows to support specialized small and medium-sized enterprises [6][7]. Group 3: Comprehensive Financial Services for Key Enterprises - Financial institutions will be guided to use diverse tools to provide comprehensive financial services for key enterprises in the supply chain, supporting private enterprises in participating in self-controllable construction [7][8]. - Policies will be improved to support mergers and acquisitions, focusing on investments that enhance the supply chain [8][9]. Group 4: Modernizing the Industrial System - Traditional manufacturing financial services will be optimized to support the transformation and upgrading of industries, with a focus on high-end, intelligent, and green development [9][10]. - Financial support will be provided for digital transformation, particularly for small and medium-sized enterprises and digital transformation service providers [10][11]. Group 5: Promoting Green and Digital Finance - A financial standard system will be established to support the green and low-carbon transformation of high-carbon industries, enhancing the application of green financial tools [10][12]. - Financial institutions will be encouraged to leverage technologies like big data and blockchain to improve service efficiency for manufacturing, especially for small and medium-sized enterprises [12][13]. Group 6: Strengthening Policy Coordination - A collaborative mechanism will be established among various government departments to enhance the consistency of macro policies and optimize the environment for policy implementation [18][19]. - Local governments will be encouraged to create supportive mechanisms for financing projects, addressing issues like information asymmetry [19][20].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of financial support for new industrialization in China, aiming to enhance the financial system to better serve the manufacturing sector and promote high-quality economic development by 2027 [1][5][6]. Group 1: Overall Requirements - The guidance is rooted in Xi Jinping's thought and aims to align with the spirit of the 20th National Congress, focusing on financial services for the real economy and risk prevention [6]. - By 2027, a mature financial system supporting high-end, intelligent, and green development in manufacturing is expected, with improved service adaptability [6]. Group 2: Support for Technological Innovation and Supply Chain Resilience - Financial policies will be optimized to support key technologies and products, encouraging long-term financing for critical industries [7]. - The introduction of patient capital and diverse financing services will accelerate the transformation of technological achievements [8]. - Comprehensive financial services will be provided to key enterprises in the supply chain, promoting self-sufficiency and stability [9]. Group 3: Modern Industrial System Construction - Traditional manufacturing financial services will be optimized to support transformation and upgrading, focusing on high-end, intelligent, and green development [10]. - New industries will be nurtured through enhanced financial services, with a focus on emerging sectors like information technology and renewable energy [11]. Group 4: Green Finance and Digital Economy - Green finance will play a crucial role in supporting low-carbon and circular development in industries, with a focus on creating a financial standard system [12]. - Digital finance will enhance the integration of the digital economy with the real economy, improving efficiency for manufacturing, especially for SMEs [13]. Group 5: Financial Policy and Industry Policy Coordination - Strengthening the collaboration between financial and industrial policies is essential for effective implementation of the guidance [20]. - Local governments are encouraged to establish mechanisms for project financing support, addressing issues like information asymmetry [22]. Group 6: Risk Prevention and Management - A joint risk assessment and early warning mechanism will be established to monitor financial and industrial risks, ensuring compliance with national policies [18][21].

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology will promote the integration of technological innovation and industry in the second half of 2025, focusing on core technology breakthroughs and industrial chain security in high-end instruments and meters [2][4]. Group 1: Policy Directions - The first policy direction is to promote the integration of technological innovation and industry, with a focus on key core technology breakthroughs in high-end instruments and meters, such as high-precision sensors and intelligent detection equipment [5][6]. - The second direction involves improving the industrial policy system, which includes developing special support policies covering the entire R&D, production, and application chain, such as tax incentives and financial support [7][8]. - The third direction emphasizes strengthening industrial chain security, ensuring stable supply of strategic mineral resources necessary for high-end instrument manufacturing [9][10]. Group 2: Implementation Measures - The implementation measures include building technology innovation platforms and incubators to support high-end instrument startups with technology, funding, and market access [11]. - Financial and market support will be expanded through low-interest loans and government procurement policies to prioritize domestic high-end instruments [12]. - Digital transformation will be promoted by integrating artificial intelligence with manufacturing to develop new products and services [13][14]. - The establishment of standards and certification systems will enhance product quality consistency and support international certifications to improve export competitiveness [15][16].

Economic News - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology proposed to formulate financial support guidelines for new industrialization, emphasizing the importance of value creation and industry governance [1] - The State Council issued a plan for a childcare subsidy system, providing annual subsidies of 3600 yuan per child for those under three years old starting January 1, 2025 [1] - The National Energy Administration emphasized the need for monitoring electricity supply and demand, aiming to establish a unified national electricity market by the end of the year [1] - Malaysia revised its 2025 economic growth forecast down to between 4% and 4.8%, with inflation expectations adjusted to 1.5%-2.3% [1] - China and the U.S. held trade talks in Sweden to implement previous agreements and promote bilateral economic relations [1] - The Guangdong Paper Industry Association called for resisting low-price competition and maintaining market order in the paper industry [1] - The China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing reported a stable growth in social logistics, with a total of 171.3 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, a 5.6% increase year-on-year [1] Company News - Zhonghua International plans to acquire 100% equity of Nantong Xingchen from Bluestar Group through a share issuance, with the valuation and transaction price yet to be determined [5] - Huahua Co., Ltd. intends to raise up to 586 million yuan through a private placement for automation and information technology upgrades in its production lines [5] - China Tungsten High-Tech plans to acquire machinery and land use rights from Minmetals Tungsten for 123 million yuan to enhance production capacity [5] - Jidian Co. announced the full production of its integrated green hydrogen and ammonia project, which includes 700 MW of wind power and 100 MW of solar power [5] - Rejing Bio developed a rapid test kit for Chikungunya virus antibodies, although it has not yet received regulatory approval for medical use [5][6] Industry Analysis - Western Mining (601168.SH) reported a 26.59% increase in revenue to 31.619 billion yuan and a 15.35% increase in net profit to 1.869 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, indicating a new expansion cycle [7] - The company achieved significant growth in the production of various minerals, including copper (9.18 million tons, +7.65%), zinc (6.29 million tons, +18.61%), and lead (3.51 million tons, +24.63%) [8] - The copper segment remains the core business, contributing 76% of revenue and 67% of gross profit, with a notable increase in both volume and price [8] - The company’s smelting production also saw improvements, with copper production rising by 49.94% to 182,200 tons in the first half of 2025 [9] - The company maintained stable profitability, with a slight decrease in gross margin from 21.06% to 19.98% but an increase in ROE from 10.45% to 11.10% [10][11] - Future revenue projections estimate 56.03 billion yuan in 2025, 58.64 billion yuan in 2026, and 60.9 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 3.84 billion yuan, 4.11 billion yuan, and 4.53 billion yuan [11]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - For Treasury bonds, it's expected that there won't be a trending market, and caution is advised [6][7]. - Regarding stock indices, the long - term performance of Chinese equity assets is optimistic, and going long on stock index futures is considered [10][11]. - For precious metals, the long - term bull market trend is expected to continue, and going long on gold futures is considered [13][14]. - In the case of rebar and hot - rolled coils, investors can focus on low - position long opportunities after the correction [15]. - For iron ore, investors can look for low - position buying opportunities after the correction [17][18]. - For coking coal and coke, investors are advised to wait and see [20][21]. - Regarding ferroalloys, long - position exit opportunities can be considered when the market continues to rise, and long positions at low - support intervals can be considered if there is a decline [23]. - For crude oil, investors can focus on long opportunities in the main contract [26]. - For fuel oil, investors can focus on long opportunities in the main contract [28]. - For synthetic rubber, wait for the market to stabilize and then participate in the rebound [29][31]. - For natural rubber, it's expected to oscillate strongly [32][33]. - For PVC, it's expected to oscillate strongly in the short term [34][38]. - For urea, it will fluctuate in the short term and be bullish in the medium term [39][40]. - For PX, it may oscillate and adjust in the future, and investors should participate cautiously [42]. - For PTA, it may oscillate in the short term, and investors should participate in the range [43]. - For ethylene glycol, investors should be cautious about the upside space in the short term and participate in the range [44][45]. - For staple fiber, it may oscillate following the cost, and pay attention to cost changes and macro - policy adjustments [46]. - For bottle chips, it's expected to oscillate following the cost [47][48]. - For glass, continue to pay attention to spot trading and regional de - stocking; in the long - term, focus on the implementation of capacity clearance of old production lines [49][50]. - For caustic soda, the positive support is relatively limited, and it's affected by macro - sentiment recently [52]. - For pulp, the pulp price is expected to fluctuate and adjust, and pay attention to policy trends and actual spot transactions [54][55]. - For lithium carbonate, it's advisable to watch more and act less and control risks [56]. - For copper, there is still a basis for an upward trend [58]. - For tin, it's expected to oscillate [59]. - For nickel, it's expected to oscillate [60]. - For soybean oil and soybean meal, consider long opportunities in the support interval for soybean meal after adjustment; for soybean oil, consider call option opportunities in the support interval after the decline [62]. - For palm oil, consider long opportunities after the correction [64]. - For rapeseed meal and rapeseed oil, consider long opportunities [65]. - For cotton, it's recommended to short far - month contracts in batches at high prices [67][68]. - For sugar, it's recommended to wait and see [71]. - For apples, it's recommended to wait and see [75]. - For live pigs, consider holding previous short positions [77]. - For eggs, consider a 9 - 10 reverse spread [80]. - For corn and starch, consider virtual - value call option opportunities in the previous low - level interval for near - month corn contracts; corn starch follows the corn market [83]. - For logs, the market has returned to the actual spot situation [87]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs Treasury Bonds - Last trading day, treasury bond futures closed up across the board. The central bank conducted 495.8 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net investment of 325.1 billion yuan. The national parenting subsidy system implementation plan was announced [5]. - The current macro - economic recovery momentum needs to be strengthened, and the treasury bond yield is at a relatively low level [6]. Stock Indices - Last trading day, stock index futures showed mixed results. The national industrial and information technology conference emphasized measures to expand domestic demand [8][9]. - The domestic economic recovery momentum is weak, but asset valuations are low, and China's economy has resilience. The long - term performance of Chinese equity assets is optimistic [10]. Precious Metals - Last trading day, gold and silver futures closed down. The US and the EU reached a 15% tariff agreement [12]. - The global trade and financial environment is complex, and the long - term bull market trend of precious metals is expected to continue [13]. Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coils - Last trading day, rebar and hot - rolled coil futures fell sharply. Policy expectations dominate the market, and the actual supply - demand pattern is secondary [15]. Iron Ore - Last trading day, iron ore futures fell sharply. Policy expectations are the core influencing factor. The supply - demand pattern is still strong, but it may adjust in the short term [17]. Coking Coal and Coke - Last trading day, coking coal and coke futures hit the daily limit down. The direct cause was the position - limit measure, and the deep - seated reason was the excessive previous rise. The supply - contraction policy has become a reality [20]. Ferroalloys - Last trading day, manganese silicon and ferrosilicon futures closed down. The supply of manganese ore has increased, and the supply of ferroalloys is still high while the demand is weak [22][23]. Crude Oil - Last trading day, INE crude oil opened high and closed low. Fund managers reduced their net long positions, and the number of US oil rigs decreased. OPEC+ is unlikely to change the production plan [24][25]. Fuel Oil - Last trading day, fuel oil oscillated downward. The fuel oil inventory in Japan and Singapore has changed. The supply in the Asian market is sufficient, but trade agreements are beneficial to the shipping market [27]. Synthetic Rubber - Last trading day, synthetic rubber futures closed down. The raw material price has rebounded, and the supply and demand situation has changed. Wait for the market to stabilize [29][30]. Natural Rubber - Last trading day, natural rubber futures closed down. The supply is affected by rainfall, and the demand has recovered slightly. It's expected to oscillate strongly [32]. PVC - Last trading day, PVC futures closed down. The supply is excessive, but the downward space may be limited. It's expected to oscillate strongly in the short term [34]. Urea - Last trading day, urea futures closed down. The supply - demand situation has weakened recently, and it will fluctuate in the short term and be bullish in the medium term [39]. PX - Last trading day, PX futures rose. The supply load has decreased, and the import volume has changed. The short - term supply - demand balance is tight, and it may oscillate and adjust [41][42]. PTA - Last trading day, PTA futures fell. The supply and demand have changed little, and the cost has some support. It may oscillate in the short term [43]. Ethylene Glycol - Last trading day, ethylene glycol futures fell. The supply pressure has increased, but the inventory has decreased. Be cautious about the upside space in the short term [44]. Staple Fiber - Last trading day, staple fiber futures fell. The supply is high, and the demand is weak. It may oscillate following the cost [46]. Bottle Chips - Last trading day, bottle chips futures fell. The device maintenance has increased, and the demand has recovered. It's expected to oscillate following the cost [47]. Glass - Last trading day, glass futures fell. The inventory has decreased, and the price in some regions has risen. The market sentiment fluctuates, and the follow - up needs to focus on spot trading and de - stocking [49][50]. Caustic Soda - Last trading day, caustic soda futures fell. The production has increased, and the inventory has changed. The positive support is limited [51][52]. Pulp - Last trading day, pulp futures fell. The supply has an expansion tendency, and the demand is weak. The pulp price is expected to fluctuate and adjust [53][54]. Lithium Carbonate - Last trading day, lithium carbonate futures fell. The supply is abundant, and the demand has improved slightly, but the trading is inactive. Be cautious and control risks [56]. Copper - Last trading day, Shanghai copper oscillated downward. The spot premium is expected to remain weak, but there is still a basis for an upward trend [58]. Tin - Last trading day, Shanghai tin oscillated. The supply of tin ore is tight, and the consumption is weak. It's expected to oscillate [59]. Nickel - Last trading day, Shanghai nickel fell. The supply is excessive, and the consumption is not optimistic. It's expected to oscillate [60]. Soybean Oil and Soybean Meal - Last trading day, soybean oil and soybean meal futures closed down. The US soybean yield is expected to be good, and the domestic supply is relatively loose. Consider different investment opportunities for soybean oil and soybean meal [61][62]. Palm Oil - Malaysian palm oil fell. The export volume has decreased, and the domestic inventory has increased. Consider long opportunities after the correction [63][64]. Rapeseed Meal and Rapeseed Oil - Canadian rapeseed weakened. The domestic import volume has changed, and the inventory situation is different. Consider long opportunities [65]. Cotton - Last trading day, domestic cotton oscillated at a high level. The global supply - demand is expected to be loose, and it's recommended to short far - month contracts in batches at high prices [66][67][68]. Sugar - Last trading day, domestic sugar oscillated strongly. The Brazilian sugar production is lower than expected, and the domestic inventory and import volume have changed. It's recommended to wait and see [69][71]. Apples - Last trading day, domestic apple futures rose sharply and then fell. The expected production reduction has been falsified. It's recommended to wait and see [73][74][75]. Live Pigs - The national average price of live pigs fell. The supply is abundant, and the demand is average. Consider holding previous short positions [76][77]. Eggs - The average price of eggs in the main production and sales areas fell. The supply is increasing, and it's recommended to consider a 9 - 10 reverse spread [78][80]. Corn and Starch - Last trading day, corn and starch futures rose. The US corn yield is expected to be good, and the domestic supply - demand is approaching balance. Consider option opportunities for corn and follow the corn market for starch [81][83]. Logs - Last trading day, log futures rose. The supply has increased, and the inventory has decreased. The market has returned to the actual spot situation [84][85][87].

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - No industry investment ratings are provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - The main line of "anti - involution" in the stock index futures market is switching. The market has expectations for stimulus policies, and new main lines such as high - prosperity sectors in the semi - annual report and sectors related to demand - side policies are emerging. It is recommended to continue to allocate long positions in IM [3][9]. - In the stock index options market, the volatility has shown an inflection point, and the probability of short - term volatility decline is relatively high. It is advisable to build positions for short - volatility strategies. The certainty of volatility strategies is slightly stronger than that of directional strategies [4][10]. - In the treasury bond futures market, the sentiment has improved, but there are still many short - term disturbing factors, and the market is expected to be volatile [4][12]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Views 3.1.1 Stock Index Futures - **Market Performance**: On Monday, the Shanghai Composite Index rose and then fell, with narrow - range trading and shrinking volume. The market risk preference was at a relatively high level, and the main line showed signs of switching [3][9]. - **Reasons for Main - line Switching**: Firstly, the China - US tariff negotiation is in progress, and the market has expectations for stimulus policies. Secondly, the "anti - involution" theme has cooled down, and the coal and steel industries in the stock market led the decline on Monday. Thirdly, new main - line directions are emerging, such as high - prosperity sectors in the semi - annual report and sectors related to demand - side policies [3][9]. - **Operation Suggestion**: Hold long positions in IM with a half - position [9]. 3.1.2 Stock Index Options - **Volatility**: Last week, the "anti - involution" policy supported the volatility, but this week, the volatility of most varieties showed an inflection point in the morning and closed down in the afternoon. The short - term probability of volatility decline is high [4][10]. - **Sentiment Index**: Weak liquidity and the expiration of all current - month contracts suggest that trading - type funds are relatively conservative in the short term [4][10]. - **Operation Suggestion**: Focus on short - volatility strategies in the short term and continue to hold the medium - term covered - call strategy [4][10]. 3.1.3 Treasury Bond Futures - **Market Performance**: Treasury bond futures rose collectively, and the sentiment in the bond market improved. The T main contract opened higher and then fluctuated [4][10]. - **Reasons for Improvement**: Firstly, most commodity futures fell, and the speculative sentiment in the market cooled down. Secondly, the central bank's net investment in the open - market operation at the end of the month improved the capital situation. Thirdly, there was an obvious stock - bond seesaw effect in the intraday trading [4][10][12]. - **Short - term Outlook**: There are still many disturbing factors in the bond market, and it is expected to be volatile in the short term [4][12]. - **Operation Suggestion**: Be cautious in trend strategies, pay attention to short - hedging at low basis levels, appropriately focus on the basis convergence of the TL main contract, and the odds of steepening the curve in the medium term are higher [12]. 3.2 Economic Calendar - The economic indicators to be announced this week include the US July ADP employment number, the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision, and China's July official manufacturing PMI [14]. 3.3 Important Information and News Tracking - **Industry**: The National Conference of Heads of Industry and Information Technology Departments proposed to implement the strategy of expanding domestic demand, consolidate the industrial economy, and promote the development of emerging technologies [14]. - **Parenting Subsidy**: The national parenting subsidy system implementation plan was announced, providing subsidies for infants under 3 years old [15]. - **Trade Talks**: China hopes to promote the stable and healthy development of China - US economic and trade relations through dialogue and cooperation [15]. 3.4 Derivatives Market Monitoring - The report mentions to monitor data on stock index futures, stock index options, and treasury bond futures, but specific data is not provided in the summary part.