Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [3][5][18] Core Views - The company has demonstrated rapid growth in revenue and profit, with a projected revenue of 1.044 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 31.49%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 362 million yuan, up 22.22% [1][3][7] - The company is benefiting from the acceleration of information technology construction in sectors such as energy and transportation, leading to a significant increase in software licensing and operational service revenues [1][2] - The company is actively advancing its new database technology development in response to external pressures, particularly in the context of the ongoing US-China trade tensions [2][3] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and profit growth: In 2024, the company expects revenue of 1.044 billion yuan (+31.49%) and net profit of 362 million yuan (+22.22%). For Q4 alone, revenue is projected at 415 million yuan (+19.34%) and net profit at 188 million yuan (+5.43%) [1][7] - Software licensing and operational services: Software licensing revenue is anticipated to be 894 million yuan (+22.79%), while operational service revenue is expected to grow by 38.50% to 38 million yuan [1][2] - Cash flow performance: The company achieved a net cash flow from operating activities of 473 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 36.71% [2][17] Profitability Metrics - Gross margin: The overall gross margin for 2024 is projected to be 89.63%, a decrease of 61.8 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the rapid growth in data and industry solutions [2][12] - Expense ratios: The company has seen a decrease in expense ratios, with sales, management, and R&D expense ratios at 32.03%, 9.16%, and 19.79%, respectively [2][12] Future Projections - Revenue and profit forecasts: The company expects revenues of 1.268 billion yuan, 1.601 billion yuan, and 2.078 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. Net profits are projected to be 465 million yuan, 589 million yuan, and 733 million yuan for the same years [3][4][18] - Valuation metrics: The projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 57, 45, and 36, respectively [3][4][18]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][6] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 1.044 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 31.49%, and a net profit of 362 million yuan, up 22.22% year-on-year [3] - The company is positioned as a leading domestic database service provider, with a significant market share in the Chinese database management system sector [3] - The company has a strong focus on research and development, with R&D expenses reaching 207 million yuan in 2024, accounting for 19.79% of revenue [3] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 794 million yuan in 2023, 1.044 billion yuan in 2024, 1.337 billion yuan in 2025, 1.693 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.097 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 15%, 31%, 28%, 27%, and 24% respectively [1] - Net profit forecasts are 296 million yuan in 2023, 362 million yuan in 2024, 482 million yuan in 2025, 570 million yuan in 2026, and 659 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 10%, 22%, 33%, 18%, and 16% respectively [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 5.19 yuan in 2023, 4.76 yuan in 2024, 6.34 yuan in 2025, 7.50 yuan in 2026, and 8.67 yuan in 2027 [1] Market Position and Product Development - The company has maintained its leading position in the domestic database market, with multiple products passing security assessments [3] - The company’s products are widely used across various sectors, including finance, energy, transportation, and government, with a focus on expanding its market channels and deepening customer relationships [3] - The company has a robust R&D team with 503 personnel as of 2024, reflecting a commitment to innovation and product development [3]

Summary of Conference Call on China Great Wall Technology and Feiteng Company Industry and Company Overview - The conference focused on the operational situation of China Great Wall Technology and its subsidiary Feiteng Company in the context of the ongoing US-China tariff war [1][2] - China Great Wall is recognized as a pioneer in the domestic computer brand sector, having been involved in the self-research and development of computing technology for nearly 40 years [5][6] Key Points and Arguments - **Tariff Impact**: The current tariffs are seen as a phase in the broader US-China geopolitical competition, with no significant change in the overall industry trend expected [2][3] - **CPU Market**: The tariffs have a pronounced effect on the CPU market, particularly due to the high volume of semiconductor imports from the US, with Intel and AMD generating significant revenues in China [2][3] - **Feiteng's Position**: Feiteng is positioned as the third-largest player in China's server CPU market, with revenues reaching approximately 2 billion RMB last year. The company is expected to grow significantly with the launch of its S5000 series [3][4] - **Diverse Business Operations**: China Great Wall not only focuses on server systems but also has a substantial power supply business and military-related operations, indicating potential growth areas despite geopolitical tensions [4][5] - **State-Owned Enterprise Support**: The company is backed by China Electronics, which holds a 39.35% stake, providing a robust support system for its operations and strategic direction [6][7] Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue growth of approximately 19.27% year-on-year for the first three quarters, although it faced a net loss of 688 million RMB [8][12] - Future revenue projections for the company are estimated at 15.5 billion, 18.8 billion, and 21.7 billion RMB from 2024 to 2026, with expected profitability improving over time [15] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on expanding its business scope and enhancing profitability through a strategy that emphasizes integrated hardware and software solutions, particularly in the computing industry [8][9] - The ongoing demand for AI and computing power is expected to drive growth, with the company planning to develop a range of chips including CPU, GPU, and XPU [11][12] Risks and Challenges - Potential risks include macroeconomic impacts, increased market competition, supply chain uncertainties, and technological innovation challenges [15] Additional Insights - The conference highlighted the importance of the "self-controllable" narrative in the context of national policy and the push for domestic technology development [10][11] - The company is expected to benefit from the growing demand for computing power infrastructure, particularly in the AI sector, which remains a significant trend [11][12] This summary encapsulates the key discussions and insights from the conference call regarding China Great Wall Technology and its strategic positioning within the current geopolitical and economic landscape.

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the telecommunications industry [5][6]. Core Insights - The "reciprocal tariffs" have disrupted the global trade landscape, benefiting the domestic "self-controlled" and "trusted computing" industries, particularly in server and chip sectors [2][12]. - The exemption of certain technology products from tariffs, including optical modules, is expected to alleviate negative impacts from previous tariff increases [3][28]. - The report emphasizes the importance of the Beidou system's development, aiming for a self-controlled and secure infrastructure to enhance national security [33][36]. Summary by Sections Industry News Tracking - The U.S. government announced an increase in tariffs on Chinese imports to 125%, prompting a reciprocal response from China [12]. - The "self-controlled" technology sector is expected to thrive under these trade conditions, with a focus on reducing reliance on foreign technology [2][12]. Market Performance Review - The telecommunications index fell by 7.67%, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index decreased by 2.87%, resulting in a relative return of -4.8% [3][10]. - Key sectors such as satellite internet and military information technology showed relatively better performance [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in "self-controlled" technology and overseas optical communication enterprises, while also considering high dividend yields from major telecom operators [3][4]. - Specific companies recommended include Zhongji Xuchuang, ZTE Corporation, and China Mobile, which are expected to benefit from ongoing trends in AI and telecommunications infrastructure [4][5]. Key Company Earnings Forecast and Investment Ratings - China Mobile: Outperform rating, with an estimated EPS of 6.41 for 2024 and 6.75 for 2025 [5]. - Zhongji Xuchuang: Outperform rating, with an estimated EPS of 4.68 for 2024 and 8.08 for 2025 [5]. - ZTE Corporation: Outperform rating, with an estimated EPS of 1.76 for 2024 and 2.00 for 2025 [5].

Market Overview - The S&P 500 index rose by 5.7% for the week, marking its largest weekly gain in 2023, while the Nasdaq increased by over 7% [2] - Apple shares rose by over 4%, and Nvidia saw a weekly increase of nearly 18% [2] - Chinese stocks showed a near 2% increase in the China concept index, with Alibaba rising over 3% [2] Trade and Tariff Developments - The U.S. Commerce Department announced exemptions for certain products from "reciprocal tariffs," including computers, smartphones, and semiconductor manufacturing equipment [12][13] - Analysts suggest that without these exemptions, the U.S. tech industry could face significant setbacks [13] - The exemptions are seen as a small step in correcting the unilateral tariff policies of the U.S. government [12][11] Semiconductor and Technology Sector - The semiconductor industry is facing potential new tariffs, which could be implemented in the coming months, affecting products that were recently exempted [13] - The Chinese government is responding to U.S. tariffs by implementing new regulations on chip imports, which may disrupt U.S. chip manufacturing strategies [14] Economic Indicators - China's social financing increased by 5.89 trillion yuan in March, with new RMB loans amounting to 3.64 trillion yuan [15] - The M2-M1 gap has narrowed, indicating changes in liquidity conditions [15] Industry Insights - The semiconductor equipment sector is highlighted as having significant domestic replacement potential due to high market share of U.S. firms [23] - The scientific instruments sector is expected to see increased demand for domestic products as tariffs raise import costs [23] - The consumer sector, particularly food and beverage, is showing defensive characteristics amid rising external uncertainties [23]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the telecommunications industry [5][6]. Core Insights - The "reciprocal tariffs" have disrupted the global trade landscape, benefiting the domestic "Xinchuang" (self-controlled) industry, particularly in servers and chips [2][12]. - The U.S. has exempted certain technology products from tariffs, including communication devices like optical modules, which is expected to alleviate negative impacts from previous tariffs [3][28]. - The report suggests focusing on the Xinchuang sector and overseas optical communication companies while considering the high dividend value of telecom operators [3][4]. Summary by Sections Industry News Tracking - The U.S. government announced an increase in tariffs on Chinese imports to 125%, prompting a reciprocal response from China [12]. - The Xinchuang industry is expected to thrive as it helps state-owned enterprises reduce reliance on foreign technology, ensuring national strategic security [2][12]. Market Performance Review - The telecommunications index fell by 7.67%, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index decreased by 2.87%, resulting in a relative return of -4.8% [3][10]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies benefiting from the Xinchuang initiative and those involved in overseas optical communication, while also highlighting the high dividend potential of major telecom operators like China Mobile and China Telecom [3][4]. Key Company Earnings Forecast and Investment Ratings - China Mobile: Outperform, last close at 109.79 CNY, market cap 237 billion CNY, EPS forecast for 2024E at 6.41 CNY [5]. - Zhongji Xuchuang: Outperform, last close at 78.37 CNY, market cap 865.8 million CNY, EPS forecast for 2024E at 4.68 CNY [5]. - ZTE Corporation: Outperform, last close at 32.08 CNY, market cap 153.5 billion CNY, EPS forecast for 2024E at 1.76 CNY [5].

本周观点聚焦 周观点 把握超跌加仓机会，加力布局信创产业链 把握超跌加仓机会，布局绩优成长龙头。 受关税事件等影响，市场风险偏好下行，板块调整充分。从基本面来 看，计算机板块大部分公司和国内 G 端、 B 端支出关系更强，在国内政策发力，内需有望提振的背景下，受关 税影响较小，且将更受益于国产化产业趋势。伴随后续风险偏好企稳，板块估值修复可期。建议当下以长打短， 积极加仓，重点布局被错杀的超跌质优龙头。 点击上方"公众号"可订阅哦！ 兴业证券计算机小组 蒋佳霖/孙乾/陈鑫/杨本鸿/张旭光/杨海盟/桂杨 证券研究报告： 《 信创：国际环境变局下的成长之矛 》 对外发布时间： 2025 年 4 月 12 日 报告发布机构： 兴业证券股份有限公司（已获中国证监会许可的证券投资咨询业务资格） 本报告分析师 ： 蒋佳霖 SAC执业证书编号： S0190515050002 孙 乾 SAC执业证书编号：S0190518110001 陈 鑫 SAC执业证书编号：S0190522030001 杨本鸿 SAC执业证书编号：S0190522080001 张旭光 SAC执业证书编号：S0190523090002 杨海盟 SAC执业证 ...

点击上方"公众号"可订阅哦！ 兴业证券计算机小组 蒋佳霖/孙乾/陈鑫/杨本鸿/张旭光/杨海盟/桂杨 本周观点聚焦 1、本周 观 点： 把握超跌加仓机会，加力布局信创产业链 2、深度跟 踪 ：信创：国际环境变局下的成长之矛 周观点 把握超跌加仓机会，加力布局信创产业链 把握超跌加仓机会，布局绩优成长龙头。 受关税事件等影响，市场风险偏好下行，板块调整充分。从基本面来看，计算机板块大部分公司和国内 G 端、 B 端支出关系 更强，在国内政策发力，内需有望提振的背景下，受关税影响较小，且将更受益于国产化产业趋势。伴随后续风险偏好企稳，板块估值修复可期。建议当下以长打短， 积极加仓，重点布局被错杀的超跌质优龙头。 信创产业发展加速，加大板块布局力度。 本周，半导体协会发文定义半导体产品原产地认定规则，有望刺激国产硬科技自主可控进程加速。中物联呼吁锻造 " 自主链核 " ，优先采购国产尖端产品。经过长期的产业积累，国内基础软硬件产品已经具备了较强的竞争力，在海外环境倒逼的背景下，有望迎来更大的市场需求，更好的发展格 局，建议以长期视角审视板块发展逻辑，优选核心环节自主可控龙头公司大力布局。 本文第二章，对信创产业最新进 ...

以下文章来源于雷峰网 ，作者徐晓飞 雷峰网 . 洞见智能未来，共与产业变迁 将投中网设为"星标⭐"，第一时间收获最新推送 "这次，充当中间商的云大厂没能赚到差价。" 作者丨徐晓飞 编辑丨周蕾 来源丨雷锋网 "一天十几个客户电话进来，有的一打一个多小时，我中午饭都没顾上吃。"云大厂政企销售小顾哑 着嗓子告诉雷峰网，开源大模型DeepSeek出现后，市场反馈热烈，云大厂这边也接到不少客户来 电，咨询相关的API接入和线下部署方案。 不过小顾坦言，DeepSeek眼下这么火爆，主要是因为它帮国人把大模型的信心又找回来了，但最终 能转化成多少商业收益，能为云大厂带来多少拉动，还要打个问号。 面对DeepSeek引发的一体机热潮，跟还是不跟？ "几百个咨询里，能有一单成交就不错了。"眼下，手握DeepSeek一体机的云厂销售们正在经受 着"冰火两重天"的煎熬。 DeepSeek的出现，大幅降低大模型推理门槛，对热衷于私有化部署的国内政企用户们来说，可谓正 中下怀，于是便催生了DeepSeek一体机热潮。 然而，这一热潮是真正的价值机遇，还是昙花一现的浮躁之风，跟还是不跟？成为摆在云大厂面前的 一道难题。 雷峰网通过调研 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the year 2024, driven by a focus on strategic clients and advantageous business areas, while continuing to enhance its digital transformation and intelligent upgrade services [1][2][3] Financial Performance - The company achieved an operating revenue of 836 million yuan, representing an 11.60% increase compared to the previous year [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company reached 121 million yuan, marking a substantial growth of 95.06% year-on-year [1] Strategic Client Development - The company has strengthened its collaboration with traditional strategic clients such as China National Petroleum, Sinopec, and China National Offshore Oil Corporation, expanding the scope of business with these clients [1] - New strategic clients, including Sinochem and China Coal Energy, have been successfully incubated, increasing the total number of strategic clients [1] Business Expansion and R&D - The company is focusing on expanding its treasury and financial sharing services, achieving progress in projects like treasury data platforms and integrated financial management [2] - The company plans to continue productizing its ERP software and expand its professional business areas through a "productization + marketization" approach [2] - There is a shift in R&D focus from platform development to product and intelligent application development, with an emphasis on enhancing consulting capabilities [3] Dividend Policy - The company proposed a cash dividend of 1.5 yuan per 10 shares (including tax) and a capital reserve conversion of 4 shares for every 10 shares held [3] Market Impact - The company primarily serves large state-owned enterprises in China, and the recent global tariff issues have not impacted its business due to its domestic market focus [3]