金十期货4月30日讯，南部半岛棕榈油压榨商协会（SPPOMA）数据显示，2025年4月1-25日马来西亚棕 榈油单产增加12.46%，出油率增加0.37%，产量增加14.74%。 ...

证券研究报告|行业研究报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 4 月 30 日 [Table_Title] Mt Marion 2025Q1 锂精矿产量同比减少 23%至 14 万吨，Mt Wodgina 2025Q1 锂精矿产量同比增加 29%至 12.6 万吨 2025Q1，公司权益锂精矿的加权平均实现价格为 844 美元 /吨 （折 SC6 锂精矿），环比上涨 2%。 2）MT MARION（100%基础） 2025Q1 锂精矿产量为 14 万吨，环比增长 21%，同比减少 23%。产量环比增长主要得益于当前矿井进料品质的提高，从 而显著提高了回收率。因此，Mt Marion 2025 财年的产量预期 已从 15 万-17 万吨 SC6 锂精矿上调至 18.5 -20 万吨 SC6 锂精 矿。 2025Q1 锂精矿发运量为 13.8 万吨，环比增长 25%，同比 减少 9%。发运锂精矿的平均品位为 4.4%，上一季度为 4.4%。 2025Q1 锂精矿发运量折 SC6 为 10.2 万吨，环比增长 24%，同 比减少 2%。 2025Q1 锂精矿销售量为 14 万吨，环比增长 25%。 [Tabl ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年04月30日 中国海油（600938.SH） 优于大市 油气产量稳增长，2025 年第一季度实现归母净利润 365 亿元 公司 2025 年第一季度实现归母净利润 365 亿元，盈利韧性凸显，业绩超预 期。公司 2025 年第一季度实现营业收入 1068.6 亿元（同比-4.1%，环比 +13.1%），归母净利润 365.3 亿元（同比-8.0%，环比+71.9%），扣非 归母净利润 370.3 亿元（同比-6.2%，环比+111.2%）。2025 年第一季度 布伦特原油期货均价为 75.0 美元/桶（同比-8.3%），公司受益于油气 产销量上升、降本增效、人民币贬值、实现气价上升等因素，部分抵销 了实现油价下跌的影响，业绩超预期。 公司油气净产量稳步增长，成本管控成效显著。公司 2025 年第一季度油气 销售收入为 882.7 亿元（同比-1.9%，环比+4.9%），油气净产量达到 188.8 百万桶油当量（同比+4.8%），其中国内净产量 130.8 百万桶油当量（同比 +6.2%），占比 69.3%，主要得益于渤中 19-6 等油气田贡献，海外净产量 58.0 百万桶油当量（ ...

今 日 早 评 重点品种： 【短评-黄金】美国财长贝森特表示，美将在接下来几周内 与至少17个合作伙伴进行会谈；有很大机会在税收法案中看到 所得税减免，关税收入或可用于减税；美国总统已会晤国内外 汽车制造商，希望给予汽车制造商创造就业的机会。评：关税 担忧或有所缓和，避险情绪有所减弱，市场回归美国经济基本 面和美联储降息进程方面。市场等待美国一季度GDP及3月PCE数 据指引。黄金短期上涨动力不足，黄金下方空间亦有限，黄金 中期高位震荡略偏多思路为宜。关注俄乌冲突谈判及美联储降 息预期。 【短评-烧碱】山东32%液碱780元/吨，价格暂稳；山东液 碱价格及液氯价格下调，氯碱利润414元/吨；烧碱周度产能利 用率82.1%，环比-0.2%；液碱样本企业周度库存40.85万吨，周 下降2.74%；下游氧化铝周开工79%，下降1%、粘胶短纤周开工 77.2%，下降1%。评：目前烧碱装置开工高位，企业库存高位下 降，下游氧化铝利润低，部分在检修产能预期恢复生产。山东 液碱市场供应充裕，下游企业采购谨慎，整体交投氛围低迷。 预计烧碱09合约短期震荡偏弱，上方压力2455一线，建议观 望。 投资咨询中心 2025年04月 ...

上 市 公 司 石油石化 2025 年 04 月 30 日 中国海油 (600938) ——业绩表现好于油价变化，降本增效成果显著 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 买入（维持） | 基础数据: | 2025 年 03 月 31 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 16.49 | | 资产负债率% | 28.74 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 47,530/2,990 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/44,540 | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： 04-29 05-29 06-29 07-29 08-29 09-29 10-29 11-29 12-29 01-29 02-28 03-31 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 中国海油 沪深300指数 (收益率) 相关研究 证券分析师 刘子栋 A0230523110002 liuzd@swsresearch.com 宋涛 A0230516070001 songtao@swsresearch.com 研究支持 陈悦 A0230524100003 chenyue@swsresearch.com 联系人 陈悦 (86 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company has demonstrated significant growth in revenue and profit due to rising gold prices and strict cost control measures, with a notable increase in gold production and sales efficiency [1][10]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 9 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 25%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.76 billion yuan, up 119% year-on-year [1]. - The gold mining business generated 8 billion yuan in revenue, accounting for 88% of total revenue, with a gross profit margin of 47%, an increase of 11 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The average selling price of gold was 524 yuan per gram, a 20% increase year-on-year, while the cost of gold sales decreased by 1% to 278 yuan per gram [3]. Production and Sales - The company produced 15.2 tons of gold in 2024, a 6% increase year-on-year, with sales also reaching 15.2 tons, up 5% year-on-year [2]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.4 billion yuan, a 30% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 480 million yuan, up 141% year-on-year [4]. Cost Management - The company successfully reduced gold sales costs despite rising operational costs in Q1 2025, with expectations of a return to normal cost levels in subsequent quarters [4][10]. - The cost of gold sales in Q1 2025 increased by 11.5% year-on-year, primarily due to increased mining efforts and lower ore grades [4]. Expansion and Exploration - The company is actively expanding production capacity and exploring new mining opportunities, with several key projects underway to enhance output [5][9]. - The company has initiated a three-year exploration plan to increase resource reserves across all mining sites, focusing on both internal exploration and potential acquisitions [9]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from rising gold prices and has significant potential for gold production growth, with projected net profits of 3.037 billion yuan, 3.791 billion yuan, and 4.246 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 72.11%, 24.86%, and 11.98% respectively [10].

Core Viewpoint - The Thai Ministry of Industry anticipates a slight increase in industrial production in April [1] Industry Summary - The industrial sector in Thailand is expected to show modest growth in production levels during the month of April, indicating a potential recovery or stabilization in manufacturing activities [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Zhongman Petroleum (603619.SH) is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that in Q1 2025, Zhongman Petroleum achieved a significant year-on-year revenue increase of 17%, reaching 943 million yuan, while the net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 34% to 230 million yuan [1][3] - The increase in profits is primarily attributed to the engineering segment, which saw a substantial recovery compared to the previous year [3] - The company’s oil and gas production increased by 28.51% year-on-year, totaling 277,200 tons, with crude oil production at 218,800 tons, reflecting a 10.62% increase [3] - The report anticipates continued strong performance for the company, projecting net profits of 903 million yuan, 1.181 billion yuan, and 1.697 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 24.5%, 30.8%, and 43.6% [3][4] Financial Summary - For Q1 2025, the company reported a gross margin of 45.98% and a net margin of 26.17%, with financial expenses turning negative at -22.63 million yuan compared to 39.27 million yuan in the same period last year [3] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.95 yuan, 2.56 yuan, and 3.67 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 8.03, 6.14, and 4.28 [3][4] - The report indicates that the company’s total revenue is expected to grow from 4.485 billion yuan in 2025 to 6.766 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 27.1% [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Zhongman Petroleum (603619.SH) is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that in Q1 2025, Zhongman Petroleum achieved a revenue of 943 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 17% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 12.96%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 230 million yuan, up 34% year-on-year and 301% quarter-on-quarter [1][3] - The report indicates that the increase in net profit is primarily driven by the engineering segment, which saw significant profit growth compared to the previous year when it faced challenges due to rig relocations [3] - The company’s oil and gas production totaled 277,200 tons in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 28.51%, with crude oil production at 218,800 tons, up 10.62% year-on-year [3] - The report notes that the development of the Iraq oil and gas blocks is progressing steadily, with the first joint management meeting for the EBN and MF projects completed, which is expected to positively impact future operational performance [3] Financial Summary - For the fiscal years 2023 to 2027, the total revenue is projected to grow from 3,732 million yuan in 2023 to 6,766 million yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 16.7%, 10.8%, 8.5%, 18.7%, and 27.1% respectively [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to increase from 812 million yuan in 2023 to 1,697 million yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 68.3%, -10.6%, 24.5%, 30.8%, and 43.6% [4] - The report projects the earnings per share (EPS) to rise from 1.76 yuan in 2023 to 3.67 yuan in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios decreasing from 8.94 to 4.28 [4][3]

Core Insights - The production of soda ash (sodium carbonate) in Jiangxi Province reached 68,000 tons in March 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.0% [1] - The growth rate for March 2025 is 0.5 percentage points lower than the same period last year and is 3.8 percentage points lower than the national average [1] - For the first three months of 2025, the total production of soda ash in Jiangxi Province was 195,000 tons, also showing a year-on-year increase of 4.0% [1] - The growth rate for the first quarter of 2025 is 1.6 percentage points higher than the same period last year, but still 0.2 percentage points lower than the national average [1] Production Statistics - March 2025 soda ash production: 68,000 tons, with a year-on-year growth of 4.0% [1] - First quarter 2025 soda ash production: 195,000 tons, with a year-on-year growth of 4.0% [1] - Jiangxi's share of national soda ash production in March 2025 was 1.9%, while the share for the first quarter was 2.0% [1] Comparative Analysis - The growth rate of soda ash production in Jiangxi Province is lower than the national average for both March and the first quarter of 2025 [1] - The production growth in March 2025 is a deceleration compared to the previous year, indicating a potential trend of slowing growth in the region [1]