Semiconductor Wafer Manufacturing Materials - The global photoresist market is projected to reach approximately $15 billion by 2030, with the domestic market expected to grow to 30 billion RMB [4] - The current domestic photoresist localization rate is around 10%, with high-end products heavily reliant on imports [4] - Major foreign companies in the photoresist market include Tokyo Ohka Kogyo, Dow Chemical, and Sumitomo Chemical, which dominate the market shares [5] Silicon Wafers - The global semiconductor silicon wafer market is estimated to exceed $20 billion by 2030, with the domestic market projected to reach about 50 billion RMB [10] - The current localization rate for silicon wafers is approximately 15%, with significant progress in small-sized wafers [11] - Key domestic players include Shanghai Silicon Industry and Zhonghuan Semiconductor, with substantial monthly production capacities [12] Electronic Specialty Gases - The global electronic specialty gas market is expected to reach $12 billion by 2030, with the domestic market projected to grow to 35 billion RMB [14] - The localization rate for electronic specialty gases is around 20%, with some conventional gases showing progress in domestic production [13] - Major foreign companies include Air Products, Linde, and Air Liquide, which hold over 70% of the global market share [13] Target Materials - The global target materials market is projected to exceed $20 billion by 2030, with the domestic market expected to reach 40 billion RMB [15] - The current localization rate for target materials is about 30%, with high-end products still dependent on imports [16] - Leading foreign companies include JX Nippon Mining & Metals and Honeywell, which dominate the market [16] Chemical Mechanical Polishing (CMP) Materials - The global CMP materials market is expected to grow to $4 billion by 2030, with the domestic market projected to reach 7 billion RMB [21] - The current localization rate for CMP materials is around 15%, with domestic companies making strides in the mid-to-low-end market [22] - Major foreign suppliers include Cabot and Hitachi, which hold significant market shares [23] Wet Electronic Chemicals - The global wet electronic chemicals market is projected to reach $9 billion by 2030, with the domestic market expected to grow to 20 billion RMB [24] - The localization rate for wet electronic chemicals is approximately 35%, with better progress in mid-to-low-end products [24] - Key foreign players include BASF and Merck, which dominate the market [24] Photomasks - The global photomask market is expected to exceed $7 billion by 2030, with the domestic market projected to grow to over 12 billion RMB [28] - The current localization rate for photomasks is around 20%, with high-end products still heavily reliant on imports [27] - Major foreign companies include Toppan and Photronics, which hold a significant market share [27] Gallium Nitride (GaN) Materials - The global GaN materials market is projected to reach $5 billion by 2030, with the domestic market expected to grow to 8 billion RMB [30] - The current localization rate for GaN materials is about 30%, with progress in power device applications [30] - Leading foreign companies include Cree and Sumitomo Electric, which dominate the market [30] Silicon Carbide (SiC) Materials - The global SiC materials market is expected to reach $3.5 billion by 2030, with the domestic market projected to grow to 6 billion RMB [31] - The current localization rate for SiC materials is around 25%, with high-end products still dependent on imports [31] - Key foreign players include Cree and II-VI, which hold significant market shares [31] Semiconductor ALD/CVD Precursors - The global ALD/CVD precursors market is projected to exceed $3 billion by 2030, with the domestic market expected to reach 6 billion RMB [32] - The current localization rate for ALD/CVD precursors is about 10%, with high-end products dominated by foreign companies [32] - Major foreign companies include SK Materials and Merck, which hold a significant market share [32]

存储行业调研 20251229 摘要 预计 2026 年 NAND 闪存价格涨幅将逐步收敛，国内供应商涨幅或略低 于国际同行，大客户议价能力较强，散单客户面临较大涨价压力。关注 价格变动对交易策略的影响。 国产 NAND 产品在消费电子等领域市占率已达 30%-40%，但高端 UFS 产品仍依赖海外品牌。技术虽达标，市占率提升仍需努力。关注国产替 代进程。 国内 NAND 总产能约为 15 万片/月，受良率和稼动率影响，实际产出减 少。预计明年年底扩产完成，总产能增加 20%。关注产能扩张进度。 原材料供应限制是提升稼动率的关键制约因素，尤其是硅片和光刻胶。 国产光刻胶验证尚未完全通过，需提升质量。关注材料瓶颈。 国内手机制造商等大客户议价权有限，只能被动接受存储器价格上涨。 关注下游客户的盈利能力。 公司已成立三厂，预计 2027 年底形成新产能。目前月产能 20 万片， 与全球 200 多万片相比差距较大。关注产能扩张对市场份额的影响。 企业级服务器和 AI 数据中心领域，国产存储产品已能完全适配，性能质 量达到甚至超越国际水平。关注国产替代带来的投资机会。 Q&A 当前 NAND 市场的价格涨幅和节奏是 ...

每周 一 景 ： 云南长江第一湾 金沙江 点击右上角菜单，收听朗读版 【食饮】白酒探底，乳制品国产替代有望加速 投资建议：成长为主线、重视供需出清下的拐点机会。 1）首选具有价格弹性标的，以及有望陆续出清标的；2）饮料结构性高增，重视低估值高股息；3） 零食及食品原料成长标的；4）啤酒；5）调味品平稳、牧业产能去化，餐供有望恢复。 白酒：加速探底，迈向供需平衡。 25Q3以来白酒行业加速探底，报表出清有助于降低渠道库存压力，展望2026年，龙头茅、五批价下行有望激发动销，从 而实现量价平衡。近期宏观及政策层面对消费板块预期形成积极催化，白酒作为顺周期资产，此前已进入加速调整阶段，板块估值分位偏低、股息率具备一定 吸引力，且对宏观环境变化较为敏感，我们认为在政策预期的引导下，股价有望先于基本面见底。 大众品：乳制品国产替代有望提速。 近期商务部对欧盟乳制品实施临时反补贴措施，涉及品类主要为乳酪和稀奶油，有望加速相关产品的国产替代过程，同 时有望增加耗奶量，加速行业周期反转。 风险提示： 宏观经济波动加大、行业竞争加剧、食品安全风险。 【产业】脑机接口元年：政策先行 临床验证 未来终至 我们认为2025年为国内脑 ...

证券日报网讯 12月29日，龙图光罩在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司近期的股价波动受宏观经 济、行业周期、市场情绪等多重因素综合影响，截至目前公司生产经营正常，无应披露而未披露的重大 事项，后续亦将严格按照法规要求履行信息披露义务。2025年一季度以来公司业绩出现波动，主要源于 市场竞争格局的变化，公司为提升市场份额对部分客户采取了策略性降价，以及珠海新工厂投产后产能 尚在爬坡阶段，固定资产折旧增加所致，这些是公司产能扩张与市场开拓的阶段性现象。公司的募集资 金均严格按照披露用途投入于"高端半导体芯片掩模版制造基地"和"高端半导体芯片掩模版研发中心"项 目，珠海工厂已于2025年第二季度实现小规模量产，正稳步推进产能释放与客户验证。公司始终坚信， 坚实的技术底蕴、稳步推进的产能建设以及对国产替代趋势的准确把握是公司长期价值的坚实基础。公 司上市前后所有财务数据均经严格审计，真实、准确、完整。未来，管理层将继续专注于提升核心竞争 力，优化经营效率，力争以更好的业绩回报各位投资者的信任。 ...

证券日报网讯 12月29日，路维光电在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司的愿景是希望路芯半导体 项目有条不紊发展，不断推进制程节点走向先进，获得更多下游晶圆厂客户、存储厂客户的验证及订 单，希望为半导体掩膜版领域的国产替代贡献力量。公司会结合市场需求及公司战略规划综合考虑后续 的股权安排事宜，后续如有相关重大事项，公司将严格按照相关法律法规的要求进行信息披露。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Huabao Fund is facing a labor dispute lawsuit filed by Chen Long, with the case accepted by the Shanghai Pudong New District People's Court, scheduled for a hearing on January 19, 2026 [1][2]. Group 1: Legal Proceedings - The lawsuit against Huabao Fund is categorized as a labor dispute, with the case number being (2025) Hu 0115 Min [2]. - The hearing is set for January 19, 2026, at 14:30 [2]. Group 2: Chen Long's Tenure and Performance - Chen Long worked at Huabao Fund from September 2018 and managed products from September 2, 2021, until his resignation on April 9, 2024, with a total tenure of 3 years and 62 days [3]. - During his management, the net asset values of the funds he managed decreased significantly, with Huabao Green Theme Mixed Fund dropping by 54.8% and Huabao Competitive Advantage Mixed Fund by 46.75% [3]. - The Huabao Green Theme Mixed Fund was liquidated due to its net asset value falling below 50 million RMB for 60 consecutive working days, shrinking from approximately 56 million RMB to 13 million RMB during Chen Long's management [4]. Group 3: Fund Performance and Management Changes - In 2024, Huabao Fund had a total of 9 products liquidated, with most of them showing negative returns since inception; in the current year, 9 products have also been liquidated, with 3 having negative returns [4]. - Huabao Fund currently employs 43 fund managers, significantly exceeding the industry average of about 24, with an average tenure of 3 years and 84 days [4]. - The recent two years saw only 4 fund managers leaving Huabao Fund, while 3 new hires were made [4]. Group 4: Current Fund Performance - As of the third quarter, Huabao Fund manages a total of 161 products with a combined scale of 401.25 billion RMB, ranking 28th in the industry [5]. - The fund's performance has improved in 2024, with several products achieving returns exceeding 100%, while some equity funds have reported negative returns [5]. - Over a three-year period, several actively managed equity funds from Huabao Fund have underperformed against their benchmarks, with declines exceeding 20% in net value for some products [6].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the unexpected trend of rising smartphone prices, which contradicts Moore's Law that suggests prices should decrease as technology improves. This price increase is attributed to significant cost hikes in memory components, driven by supply shortages and increased demand from AI servers [1][2]. Group 1: Price Increases in Smartphones - Xiaomi's new model, the Xiaomi 17 Ultra, has a starting price of 6,999 yuan, which is an increase of 500 yuan from the previous model. The price hike is attributed to substantial increases in the costs of key components such as processors, cameras, and memory [2]. - Other major smartphone manufacturers like OPPO and vivo have also raised prices for their flagship models compared to previous generations, indicating a broader trend in the industry [2]. Group 2: Memory Supply Shortages - The supply of LPDDR4X memory has seen a shortage of approximately 15%-20% due to a shift in production lines, particularly affecting low-capacity products [4]. - The demand for LPDDR5X memory has surpassed 50% penetration in global smartphones, while LPDDR4X is primarily used in mid-range devices. The tightening supply of LPDDR4X is expected to drive prices up and accelerate the transition to LPDDR5X in the smartphone industry [4]. Group 3: Impact of AI on Memory Supply - AI servers are increasingly consuming memory production capacity that was previously allocated to smartphones and computers, leading to supply constraints in the non-server market [6][7]. - OpenAI's partnership with Samsung and SK Hynix for AI data centers is expected to significantly increase memory demand, with projections of up to 900,000 DRAM wafers needed monthly [7]. Group 4: Domestic Manufacturers' Opportunities - The shift of major manufacturers towards high-margin AI storage has created opportunities for domestic DRAM manufacturers, with the storage index rising over 70% this year [9][11]. - Domestic firms are positioned to fill the supply gap in standard DDR5/RDDR5, with expectations of a 15%-20% supply shortfall by 2026. They can leverage lower technical barriers and cost advantages to provide competitive solutions in the PC and server markets [11][12].

Core Viewpoint - Japanese companies are facing significant challenges in the Chinese market, leading to closures and exits from various sectors, but they are simultaneously increasing investments in high-end technology within China [1][9][23]. Group 1: Company Closures and Exits - Canon has closed its printer production base in Zhongshan, which was once a significant employment hub, producing millions of laser printers and generating nearly 3.2 billion in industrial output in 2022 [1][4]. - Nissan announced the closure of its Wuhan factory, which had a production capacity of 300,000 vehicles per year but struggled with low sales, achieving only 3% utilization [5]. - Mitsubishi has completely exited the Chinese automotive market after over 40 years, ceasing its joint engine project and halting vehicle production [5][7]. - Sony has officially withdrawn its Xperia smartphone business from China, and Yakult has closed its first factory in Guangzhou due to a significant drop in sales [6][7]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Competition - The decline of Japanese brands in China is attributed to the rapid advancement of domestic brands, which have overtaken their Japanese counterparts in market share [9][11]. - Japanese companies have been slow to adapt to market changes, relying heavily on brand reputation and quality premiums, which have diminished due to various scandals [13][15]. - The market share of Japanese cars in China has dropped from nearly 25% in 2020 to 11.2% last year, while domestic brands dominate the appliance and electronics sectors [12]. Group 3: Strategic Shifts and Investments - Despite the closures, Japanese investment in China has surged, with a 55.5% year-on-year increase in the first three quarters of this year, indicating a strategic pivot towards high-end technology [17][23]. - Toyota has invested $2 billion to establish a wholly-owned electric vehicle company in Shanghai, marking a shift from joint ventures to direct investment in high-end technology [19]. - Panasonic is focusing on semiconductor packaging materials in Shanghai, reflecting a commitment to the Chinese market as a critical battleground for global electronics manufacturing [22]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The current situation represents a significant restructuring of Japanese companies in China, moving away from low-end production towards high-end sectors, indicating a fundamental strategic shift [23][24]. - Companies that can innovate and localize effectively are likely to thrive in the competitive Chinese market, which is seen as a global strategic high ground rather than just a low-cost manufacturing base [24][25].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the first time [2]. Core Insights - The company is driven by dual engines of "building materials" and "new economic investments," indicating a promising future [4][36]. - The cement business remains robust, with industry-leading profitability metrics, providing a solid performance foundation [4][13]. - The company has entered a harvest phase for its equity investments, particularly in semiconductor, new energy, and new materials sectors, which are expected to mitigate cyclical risks and foster new growth engines [30][36]. - The company has shown a significant recovery in performance, with net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 reaching 5.51 billion, a year-on-year increase of 45.9% [37]. - The company maintains a generous dividend policy, with a commitment to distribute at least 35% of net profit as cash dividends, translating to a dividend yield of approximately 3.47% based on current market capitalization [42]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Gansu Shafeng Cement Co., Ltd. primarily engages in the production and sale of cement and related building materials, with a focus on optimizing resources and expanding into related industries [11]. Cement Business Stability and Profitability - The traditional cement business, despite facing industry cycles, has maintained high gross margins and return on equity (ROE), positioning the company favorably within the industry [4][13]. - In 2024, cement and related materials accounted for 96.72% of total revenue, with cement alone contributing 70.55% [13]. Equity Investment Harvest Phase - The company has strategically invested over 1.7 billion in key technology sectors, with equity investments contributing approximately 31% to net profit in the first three quarters of 2025 [30][36]. Performance Recovery - The company reported a net profit of 5.51 billion for the first three quarters of 2025, marking a significant recovery from previous years [37]. Generous Dividend Policy - The company has a history of consistent dividend payouts, with a planned minimum cash dividend of 4 billion annually for 2025-2026, reflecting a strong commitment to shareholder returns [42]. Investment Outlook - The report forecasts earnings per share (EPS) of 0.72, 0.87, and 0.92 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a positive growth trajectory [43].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the machinery equipment industry is "Positive" [2] Core Views - The report maintains a positive outlook on humanoid robots, AI infrastructure, and engineering machinery [2] - The demand for AI-related infrastructure remains strong, with significant investments expected in the sector [13] - The engineering machinery sector is showing signs of recovery, with increasing sales across various equipment types [12][63] Company Summaries 1) Rili Technology - Rili Technology is a leading supplier of industrial X-ray intelligent detection equipment and core components, establishing significant technological barriers [3] - The company saw a nearly 100% year-on-year increase in new orders in the first half of the year, with a 44.01% increase in revenue and an 18.83% increase in net profit for the first three quarters [3][14] - The profit growth is expected to improve as the impact of new production base construction and other costs diminishes [3] 2) Konstar - Konstar focuses on the research and sales of digital testing instruments, facing challenges due to tariffs [4] - The company reported a significant recovery in Q3, with revenue, net profit, and net profit excluding non-recurring items increasing by 22.24%, 30.66%, and 36.2% respectively [4][15] - The resilience of international business under tariff pressures and strong domestic performance are noted as positive indicators for future growth [4] 3) Newray Co., Ltd. - Newray's main products include hard alloys and tools, with Q3 revenue, net profit, and net profit excluding non-recurring items growing by 38.02%, 75.40%, and 94.83% respectively [5][16] - The company has successfully passed on rising raw material costs to downstream customers, enhancing profitability [5] Industry Trends - In November, excavator sales reached 20,027 units, a year-on-year increase of 13.9%, with domestic sales up 9.1% and exports up 18.8% [12][63] - The demand for engineering machinery is expanding beyond excavators, with significant growth in loader and crane sales [12][70] - The AI infrastructure sector is expected to benefit from substantial investments, with companies like NVIDIA planning to deliver AI chips to Chinese clients [13][58] Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the rapidly developing humanoid robot sector, the ongoing AI infrastructure boom, and the improving performance of engineering machinery and tool sectors [14][58]