Core Insights - The article discusses the rapid growth and development of China's large tow carbon fiber industry, highlighting its transition from technology catch-up to leading in scale and systematization [1] - The demand for large tow carbon fiber in China is projected to reach approximately 20,700 tons by 2024, indicating a historic growth phase for the industry [1] - The competitive landscape globally is characterized by a "one leader + multiple strong players + challengers" structure, with Toray (including Zoltek) leading the first tier, followed by Hexcel, SGL, Mitsubishi Chemical, and others in the second tier [1] Industry Overview - Large tow carbon fiber, defined as fibers with 24K and above, is primarily used in industrial applications such as textiles, healthcare, electromechanical, civil engineering, transportation, and energy [1] - The main driver for the industry's growth is downstream demand, particularly from the wind power sector, where the need for high rigidity and lightweight materials for wind turbine blades presents significant opportunities [1] - The industry has achieved a milestone with the mass production of 48K carbon fiber in 2022, and plans for expansion and energy-efficient production are set for 2025 [1]

Group 1 - The chemical industry is transitioning towards high-quality development, facing challenges such as rising cost pressures and weak downstream demand, with some companies nearing losses [1] - The global push for carbon neutrality is accelerating the chemical industry's shift towards green, low-carbon, and sustainable practices, driven by innovations in synthetic biology and circular economy technologies [2] - The next decade will see a significant transformation in the chemical industry through the integration of process revolution and AI applications, reshaping the industry's foundational logic [2] Group 2 - Hydrogen energy is identified as a key representative of new energy, with a focus on building a green hydrogen industrial system and advancing green hydrogen technologies [3] - Breakthroughs in advanced polymer materials and various chemical new materials are expected in 2024, with significant progress already made in domestic production of polyethylene and lithium battery materials [3] - The establishment of demonstration facilities in critical technology areas has broken the long-standing foreign monopoly, providing strong support for related manufacturing industries [3]

Core Viewpoint - The carbon fiber market in China is experiencing price stability, with expectations for future breakthroughs in production technology to enhance competitiveness [2][4]. Price Summary - As of July 11, 2025, the average price of carbon fiber in China is 83.75 yuan per kilogram, with specific prices for different grades: - Domestic T300 grade: 12K specifications priced between 80 to 90 yuan/kg, while 24/25K bundles range from 70 to 80 yuan/kg [1]. - Domestic T700 grade: 12K products priced between 90 to 120 yuan/kg, and 24K products range from 85 to 120 yuan/kg [1]. - Domestic T800 grade: 12K specifications priced between 180 to 240 yuan/kg [1]. Market Dynamics - T800 grade products command significantly higher prices due to their advanced technology and high-end applications, while smaller bundles (e.g., 12K) are priced higher than larger bundles (e.g., 48/50K) within the same grade due to complexity and performance advantages [2]. - The carbon fiber market is currently in a stagnant phase without major positive stimuli, but advancements in raw silk technology and production processes may lead to cost reductions and improved competitiveness in the future [2]. Technological Developments - A collaborative research project involving Jilin Chemical Fiber Group and several leading enterprises has successfully developed key technologies for the large-scale manufacturing of large bundle carbon fibers and composite materials, achieving stable production of high-performance 35K and above large bundle carbon fibers [3]. - The project has established a simulation model for the pultrusion process of large bundle carbon fibers and developed specialized high-efficiency pultrusion processes and equipment, enabling the stable mass production of high-performance pultruded plates [3]. Future Market Potential - The carbon fiber market is expected to benefit from applications in hydrogen storage and transportation, global wind turbine blade recovery, photovoltaic thermal carbon-carbon composites, low-altitude economy, and the domestic large aircraft supply chain [4].

Group 1: Historical and Cultural Significance - Jilin City, known as "the northern Jiangnan," is rich in historical and cultural heritage, with the Songhua River serving as a central axis for its development [3][5] - The city has numerous historical sites, including the Dong and Xi Tuan Mountain sites and the Longtan Mountain City, showcasing its long-standing cultural lineage [3][5] - Jilin City is recognized as a birthplace of the Manchu culture and has a deep-rooted cultural confidence stemming from its historical significance [5][6] Group 2: Industrial Development - Jilin City has a strong industrial base, with significant projects established during the early years of New China, including the first bag of fertilizer and the first barrel of dye [7][10] - The city is undergoing a transformation with the relocation and modernization of its industrial zones, such as the Hada Bay Industrial Area, which is shifting from traditional industries to creative and modern sectors [12][14] - The construction of a new 1.2 million tons/year ethylene project is set to enhance Jilin's chemical industry, marking a significant transition from a fuel-based to a product-oriented economy [14][15] Group 3: Winter Sports and Tourism - Jilin City is leveraging its rich ice and snow resources to promote winter sports, becoming a hub for skiing and related activities [19][21] - The city is actively hosting international events, such as the World Cold Region Ice and Snow Economy Conference, to boost its profile in the global ice and snow industry [21][22] - The development of facilities and infrastructure for winter sports is contributing to the city's ambition to become a world-class ice and snow industry base [21][22]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The market is transitioning from "weak reality, weak expectations" to "stable reality, strong expectations," with a focus on EPS and PE dynamics. The current trading logic reflects a typical "Davis Double Play" scenario, where PE fluctuations are crucial for market performance [5] - The report suggests that the cyclical recovery is expected to be sustainable, with potential policy support for domestic demand, particularly in consumption and manufacturing sectors. This is seen as a more favorable and sustainable choice compared to traditional investments [5] - The report emphasizes that the current market conditions indicate a turning point for many cyclical products, with EPS expected to bottom out before supply and demand, leading to a potential recovery in performance [5] Summary by Sections 1. Sector Tracking - The construction materials index (Shenwan) decreased by 2.1%, with sub-sectors like cement and glass fiber also showing declines of 2.2% and 2.8% respectively. Notable stock performances included Sichuan Jinding (+13.3%) and Hanjian Heshan (+8.0%) [9] 1.2. Industry Dynamics - In the first four months of 2025, top 100 real estate companies spent 360.8 billion yuan on land, a year-on-year increase of 26.6%. However, their sales totaled 1,119.86 billion yuan, down 10.2% year-on-year [16] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is promoting energy-saving and carbon-reduction technologies across various sectors, including construction materials [16] 2. Data Tracking 2.1. Cement - The average price of 42.5 cement is 387.7 yuan/ton, down 3.2 yuan/ton month-on-month but up 29.7 yuan/ton year-on-year. The cement inventory ratio is 61.7%, down 0.1 percentage points month-on-month [17] 2.2. Float Glass - The average price of 5mm float glass is 1,423.0 yuan/ton, up 1.3 yuan/ton month-on-month but down 393.7 yuan/ton year-on-year. Inventory levels have increased by 0.1% month-on-month [32] 2.3. Photovoltaic Glass - The average price for 2.0mm coated photovoltaic glass is 14.3 yuan/sqm, stable month-on-month but down 4.1 yuan/sqm year-on-year. The production capacity is 98,690 tons/day, up 2.1% month-on-month [37] 2.4. Glass Fiber - The average price of alkali-free glass fiber yarn is 4,705.0 yuan/ton, down 40.0 yuan/ton month-on-month but up 525.0 yuan/ton year-on-year [44] 2.5. Carbon Fiber - The average price for large tow carbon fiber is 72.5 yuan/kg, stable month-on-month but down 2.0 yuan/kg year-on-year. The average operating rate for carbon fiber companies is 60.62%, up 0.43 percentage points month-on-month [47] 3. Key Company Valuation Table - The report includes a valuation table for key companies, highlighting stock prices, market capitalization, EPS, PE, and PB ratios for various firms in the construction materials sector [54]

Core Viewpoint - China Petrochemical Corporation (Sinopec) has officially commenced the construction of a 30,000-ton carbon fiber project in Ordos, Inner Mongolia, which aims to enhance the new materials industry in China [1] Group 1: Project Details - The project will utilize Sinopec's proprietary large tow carbon fiber technology and the abundant green electricity resources in Inner Mongolia [1] - It will consist of 10 energy-efficient production lines, expected to be fully operational by 2027 [1] Group 2: Industry Impact - Once operational, the project will supply large tow carbon fiber materials for sectors such as wind power, energy storage, and low-altitude industries [1] - This initiative is positioned to provide critical material support for the new energy industry, contributing to the upgrade and development of China's new materials sector [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic circulation and cyclical investment opportunities in response to the current economic challenges and geopolitical tensions [4] - It suggests that the central government's recent policy adjustments indicate a shift towards prioritizing domestic demand and infrastructure investment as a more stable and controllable option compared to external factors [4] - The report anticipates that local government bond policies will accelerate, providing liquidity support for the economy, and predicts a potential early turnaround in cyclical sectors [4] Summary by Sections 1. Sector Tracking - The construction materials index rose by 0.2%, while the cement and glass fiber indices experienced declines of 1.0% and increases of 1.8% respectively [8] - Notable stock performances included gains from companies like Jianfeng Group (+14.1%) and losses from companies like Jingang Photovoltaic (-11.7%) [8] 2. Data Tracking 2.1 Cement - The average price of 42.5 cement nationwide is 390.8 RMB/ton, down 1.8 RMB/ton month-on-month but up 35.7% year-on-year [15] - The cement inventory ratio stands at 61.8%, unchanged month-on-month but down 6.6 percentage points year-on-year [15] - The cement shipment rate is 47.6%, down 1.4 percentage points month-on-month and 2.4 percentage points year-on-year [15] 2.2 Float Glass - The average price of 5mm float glass is 1421.7 RMB/ton, up 0.7 RMB/ton month-on-month but down 402.5 RMB/ton year-on-year [31] - The total inventory of key production enterprises in 13 provinces is 5.618 million heavy boxes, down 0.1% month-on-month but up 2.4% year-on-year [31] 2.3 Photovoltaic Glass - The average price for 2.0mm coated photovoltaic glass is 14.3 RMB/sqm, unchanged month-on-month but down 4.1 RMB/sqm year-on-year [36] - The inventory days for photovoltaic glass have increased to 26.85 days, up 3.1% month-on-month and 44.7% year-on-year [36] 2.4 Glass Fiber - The average price of alkali-free glass fiber yarn is 4745.0 RMB/ton, unchanged month-on-month but up 715.0 RMB/ton year-on-year [43] - The average price of electronic yarn is 9100.0 RMB/ton, unchanged month-on-month but up 1750.0 RMB/ton year-on-year [43] 2.5 Carbon Fiber - The average price of large tow carbon fiber is 72.5 RMB/kg, unchanged month-on-month but down 2.0 RMB/kg year-on-year [46] - The average operating rate of carbon fiber enterprises is 60.19%, up 1.09 percentage points month-on-month and 11.45 percentage points year-on-year [46] 3. Industry Dynamics - The report highlights ongoing efforts in various regions to stabilize the real estate market, including new housing plans in Qingdao and government initiatives in Guangdong [14] - The Central Political Bureau's meeting emphasized the need to maintain stability in the real estate market and capital markets, indicating a proactive approach to economic management [14]