期货价差

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《金融》日报-20250618
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-18 01:25
| 股指期货价差日报 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Z0016628 | 叶倩宁 | 2025年6月18日 | 品种 | 最新值 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | | | | | | | | | | | 机关 | 较前一日变化 | 2.22 | IF期现价差 | -1.78 | 65.90% | 55.90% | | | | | | | | | | | H期现价差 | 3.46 | 38.90% | 42.70% | -3.15 | 期现价差 | 89.30% | 81.10% | IC期现价差 | -2.51 | 9.10 | -11.47 | IM期现价差 | 8.59 | 90.00% | 62.70% | | 1.20% | 次月-崇月 | -41.00 | 0.00 | 6.70% | 11.80% | 委員-录 ...
广发期货《金融》日报-20250616
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-16 08:39
Group 1: Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report Core View - Presents the latest values, changes from the previous day, and historical percentiles of various stock index futures spreads and cross - variety ratios [1] Summary by Directory - **Futures - Spot Spread**: IF is - 7.78 (41.80% 1 - year, 40.00% all - time), IH is - 11.23 (- 2.16 change, 25.40% 1 - year, 19.50% all - time), IC is - 11.24 (8.69 change, 77.00% 1 - year, 67.00% all - time), IM is - 21.81 (13.61 change, 90.00% 1 - year, 48.30% all - time) [1] - **Inter - Delivery Spread**: For different contracts like next - month vs. current - month, season - month vs. current - month, far - month vs. current - month, values and changes are provided for IF, IH, IC, and IM [1] - **Cross - Variety Ratio**: Such as CSI 500/CSI 300 = 1.4855 (- 0.0046 change, 60.20% 1 - year, 41.10% all - time), IC/IF = 1.4856 (- 0.0027 change, 64.70% 1 - year, 59.30% all - time), etc. [1] Group 2: Treasury Bond Futures Spread Daily Report Core View - Shows the latest values, changes from the previous trading day, and percentiles since listing of various treasury bond futures spreads and basis [4] Summary by Directory - **Basis**: TS basis has an IRR of 1.7719 (- 0.0506 change, 33.90% percentile), TF basis has an IRR of 1.8376 (- 0.0358 change, 51.80% percentile), etc. [4] - **Inter - Delivery Spread**: For different contracts like current - season vs. next - season, values and changes are provided for TS, TF, T, and TL [4] - **Cross - Variety Spread**: Such as TS - TF = - 3.7110 (- 0.0300 change, 2.00% percentile), TF - T = - 2.8450 (0.0250 change, 1.40% percentile), etc. [4] Group 3: Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report Core View - Provides information on domestic and foreign futures closing prices, spot prices, basis, price ratios, interest rates, exchange rates, inventory, and positions of precious metals [7] Summary by Directory - **Futures Closing Prices**: Domestic AU2508 contract is 794.36 yuan/g (1.17% increase), AG2508 contract is 8791 yuan/kg (- 0.32% decrease); foreign COMEX gold is 3452.60 dollars/ounce (1.36% increase), COMEX silver is 36.37 dollars/ounce (- 0.11% decrease) [7] - **Spot Prices**: London gold is 3433.35 dollars/ounce (1.40% increase), London silver is 36.29 dollars/ounce (- 0.13% decrease), etc. [7] - **Basis**: Gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract is - 3.50 (1.30 change, 12.40% 1 - year percentile), silver TD - Shanghai silver main contract is 2 (- 49 previous, 91.10% 1 - year percentile) [7] - **Price Ratios**: COMEX gold/silver is 94.93 (1.37 change, 1.47% increase), Shanghai Futures Exchange gold/silver is 90.36 (1.33 change, 1.49% increase) [7] - **Interest Rates and Exchange Rates**: 10 - year US Treasury yield is 4.41% (1.1% increase), 2 - year US Treasury yield is 3.96% (1.5% increase), etc. [7] - **Inventory and Positions**: Shanghai Futures Exchange gold inventory is 18177 kg (1.85% increase), COMEX silver inventory is 498460011 (0.05% increase), etc. [7] Group 4: Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report Core View - Displays spot quotes, index changes, futures prices, basis, and fundamental data of the container shipping industry [11][12] Summary by Directory - **Spot Quotes**: Shanghai - Europe future 6 - week freight rates for MAERSK is 2796 dollars/FEU (- 2.03% decrease), CMA is 3857 dollars/FEU (1.88% increase), etc. [12] - **Index Changes**: SCFIS (European route) is 1622.81 points (29.53% increase), SCFI comprehensive index is 2088.24 (- 6.79% decrease) [11] - **Futures Prices and Basis**: EC2602 is 1472.8 (2.07% increase), EC2508 (main contract) is 2068.0 (4.20% increase), basis (main contract) is - 315.1 (374.1 change, - 54.28% change) [11] - **Fundamental Data**: Global container shipping capacity supply is 3247.12 million TEU (0.00% change), Shanghai port on - time rate is 42.50 (46.45% increase), etc. [11] Group 5: Trading Calendar Core View - Lists overseas and domestic data and information sources and corresponding economic indicators or financial events [13] Summary by Directory - **Overseas Data/Info**: In the agricultural product sector, includes Brazil Secex weekly report, USDA crop growth and export inspection in the US, NOPA soybean crushing [13] - **Domestic Data/Info**: For macro data, includes 70 - city housing price report, national economic operation press conference, etc.; for different commodities like iron ore, black and non - ferrous metals, energy chemicals, etc., specific data such as shipments, inventories are provided [13]
《金融》日报-20250616
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-16 05:48
| 股指期货价差日报 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | 叶倩宁 | Z0016628 | | | 2025年6月16日 | | | | | | | 品种 | 价差 | | 最新值 | 较前一日变化 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | | 0.82 | | F期现价差 | -7.78 | | 41.80% | 40.00% | | H期现价差 | 期现价差 | | -11.23 | -2.16 | 25.40% | 19.50% | | IC期现价差 | | | -11.24 | 8.69 | 77.00% | 67.00% | | IM期现价差 | | | -21.81 | 13.61 | 90.00% | 48.30% | | 次月-当月 | | | -43.40 | -1.40 | 0.40% | 6.10% | | 季月-当月 | | | -72.40 | -1.00 | 8.60% | 13.60% | | 远月-当月 | | | -104. ...
广发期货《金融》日报-20250612
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-12 01:55
| 股指期货价差日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | | 2025年6月12日 | | | | 叶倩宁 | Z0016628 | | 价差 | 品种 | 最新值 | 较前一日变化 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | | | F期现价差 | -15.83 | 8.64 | 29.90% | 26.60% | | 期现价差 | H期现价差 | -9.74 | 6.66 | 26.60% | 23.10% | | | IC期现价差 | -31.75 | 8.05 | 38.10% | 39.20% | | | IM期现价差 | -42.51 | 5.38 | 90.00% | 29.00% | | | 次月-当月 | -39.40 | -2.60 | 2.80% | 7.40% | | | 季月-当月 | -66.60 | 0.60 | 13.10% | 16.30% | | | 远月-当月 | -93.00 | 2.80 | 16.80% | 20.50% | | ...
广发期货《金融》日报-20250610
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-10 05:22
| 股指期货价差日报 | | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 Z0016628 2025年6月10日 叶倩宁 | | 价号 品种 匿新值 历史1年分位数 全历史分位数 较前一日变化 | | IE潮ூ役装 -17.45 1.14 28.60% 24.40% | | 期现价差 IC開现价差 -39.25 -2.58 27.00% 30.70% | | 次月-当月 -35.60 1.80 7.30% 9 30% | | 零月-当月 -65.40 6.60 13.1096 16.60% 元月-景月 -97.80 11.60 15,50% 19.40% | | F跨期价差 李月-次月 -29.80 4.80 14.70% 21.80% | | 远月-次月 -62.20 9.80 27.00% 24.80% | | 远月-李月 -32.40 5,00 32.30% 26.20% | | 次月-当月 -30.60 0.20 6.10% 6.10% -35.20 2.00 13.90% 17.00% 李目-景月 | | 远月-崇月 -34.00 4.20 30.30% 34.30% H跨期价 ...
光大期货农产品日报(2025 年6月10日)-20250610
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-06-10 05:17
请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 EVERBRIGHT FUTURES 1 | | 虽然期货盘面价格上涨,但大豆盘面榨利差,油厂进口积极性低。期货的强势与 进口成本走高,远期供应担忧有关。操作上,豆粕 91、15 正套持有,单边多头 | | | --- | --- | --- | | | 思路。 | | | | 周一,BMD 棕榈油震荡运行,市场等待 MPOB 报告指引。之前一项调查显示, 尽管出口需求旺盛,但受到产量温和复苏推动,马来西亚 5 月棕榈油库存预计攀 升至 201 万吨,环比上涨 7.74%。其中产量环比增长 3%至 174 万吨。原油价格偏 | | | 油脂 | 强运行,因地缘紧张加剧和美国经济数据好于预期。国内方面,油脂期价偏强运 | 震荡 | | | 行。棕榈油和豆油的涨幅超过菜籽油,蛋白粕走势强于油脂。库存方面,油脂库 | | | | 存稳中增加,大豆压榨量增加是主要原因,其次是油脂需求平淡,国内供应宽松 | | | | 预期持续。操作上,短线参与,豆油和棕榈油买 9 卖 1。 | | | | 周一,鸡蛋期货下跌,主力 2507 合约下跌后低位震荡,尾盘小幅回收,日收跌 | | | | ...
广发期货《金融》日报-20250605
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-05 05:18
Report Summary 1. Investment Ratings - No investment ratings for the industries are provided in the reports. 2. Core Views - The reports present a comprehensive analysis of various financial products including stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metals futures, container shipping index futures, and provide relevant market data, such as price changes, spreads, ratios, and inventory information. 3. Summary by Category Stock Index Futures - **IF, IH, IC, IM期现价差**: The current - spot price spreads of IF, IH, IC, and IM are -26.34, -17.22, -50.21, and -69.17 respectively, with changes of 0.87, 1.47, 6.23, and 2.86 compared to the previous day [1]. - **跨期价差**: Different contracts' inter - period spreads show various changes, such as the IF's "次月 - 当月" spread being -39.20 with a change of -2.00 [1]. - **跨品种比值**: Ratios like "中证500/沪深300" are 1.4834 with a change of 0.0050 [1]. Treasury Bond Futures - **基差**: The basis of TS, TF, T, and TL are -0.0786, -0.0235, -0.0580, and 0.5351 respectively, with changes of -0.0045, -0.0060, -0.0811, and 0.1237 compared to the previous day [4]. - **跨期价差**: For example, the "当季 - 下季" spread of TS is -0.1480 with a change of -0.0200 [4]. - **跨品种价差**: The "TS - TF" spread is -3.6390 with a change of -0.0310 [4]. Precious Metals Futures - **期货收盘价**: The domestic AU2508 contract closed at 782.42 yuan/gram, down 0.09% from the previous day, and the AG2508 contract closed at 8463 yuan/kg, up 0.08% [8]. - **外盘期货收盘价**: COMEX gold closed at 3397.40 dollars/ounce, up 0.61%, and COMEX silver closed at 34.66, down 0.06% [8]. - **现货价格**: London gold was at 3371.89 dollars/ounce, up 0.57%, and London silver was at 34.46, down 0.12% [8]. - **基差 and 比价**: The "黄金TD - 沪金主力" basis is -2.74, and the "COMEX金/银" ratio is 98.03, up 0.67% [8]. Container Shipping Index Futures - **结算价指数**: SCFIS (European route) was 1252.82 points, up 0.46%, and SCFIS (US West route) was 1718.11, down 0.10% [12]. - **期货价格及基差**: The EC2508 (主力) contract closed at 2199.1, up 4.71%, and the basis (主力) was -717.5, down 10.88% [12]. - **基本面数据**: Global container shipping capacity supply remained unchanged at 3242.11 million TEU, and Shanghai's port punctuality rate decreased by 13.19% [12]. Data and Information - **海外数据/资讯**: It includes economic indicators such as the US initial jobless claims, trade balance, and European Central Bank's interest rates [15]. - **国内数据/资讯**: It covers China's Caixin Services PMI, steel production and inventory data, and energy and chemical industry indicators [15].
《金融》日报-20250603
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-03 09:56
| 股指期货价差日报 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | 叶倩宁 | Z0016628 | | 2025年6月3日 | | | | | 价差 品种 最新值 较前一日变化 | | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | | F期现价差 -17.83 | 8.07 | 27.00% | 24.00% | | H期现价差 -11.50 期现价差 | 5.80 | 23.70% | 19.10% | | -43.27 IC期现价差 | 8.04 | 22.10% | 26.50% | | IM期现价差 -60.56 | -1.98 | 85.00% | 18.70% | | 次月-当月 -36.80 | -1.60 | 4.90% | 8.70% | | 李月-当月 -70.40 远月-当月 -107.20 | -4.80 -7.20 | 8.10% 11.00% | 14.20% 16.70% | | IF跨期价差 李月-次月 -33.60 | -3.20 | 7.30% | 19.70% | | 元月-次月 -70.40 ...
广发期货《金融》日报-20250530
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-05-30 02:03
Report Investment Ratings - There is no information about the industry investment ratings in the reports Core Views - The reports provide daily updates on various futures markets including stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metal futures, and shipping container futures, presenting detailed data on price differences, ratios, and related indicators Summary by Category Stock Index Futures - **IF期现价差**: The latest value is -25.90, up 5.34 from the previous day, with a 1-year historical quantile of 22.50% and an all-time quantile of 16.20% [1] - **IH期现价差**: The latest value is -17.29, up 0.37 from the previous day, with a 1-year historical quantile of 18.00% and an all-time quantile of 10.90% [1] - **IC期现价差**: The latest value is -51.31, up 17.93 from the previous day, with a 1-year historical quantile of 16.80% and an all-time quantile of 19.00% [1] - **IM期现价差**: The latest value is -58.58, up 26.88 from the previous day, with a 1-year historical quantile of 90.00% and an all-time quantile of 19.60% [1] Treasury Bond Futures - **TS基差**: The latest value is -0.0794, up 0.0326 from the previous day, with an IRR of 1.8440 and a percentile of 39.90% since listing [4] - **TF基差**: The latest value is -0.0397, up 0.0202 from the previous day, with an IRR of 1.8378 [4] - **T基差**: The latest value is 0.3511, up 0.3723 from the previous day, with an IRR of 1.4639 and a percentile of 50.80% since listing [4] - **TL基差**: The latest value is 0.6679, up 0.3838 from the previous day, with an IRR of 1.1054 and a percentile of 27.20% since listing [4] Precious Metal Futures - **AU2508合约**: The closing price on May 29 was 764.32 yuan/gram, down 7.96 yuan or -1.03% from May 28 [8] - **AG2508合约**: The closing price on May 29 was 8224 yuan/kg, down 1 yuan or -0.01% from May 28 [8] - **COMEX黄金主力合约**: The closing price on May 29 was 3342.60 dollars/ounce, up 58.20 dollars or 1.77% from May 28 [8] - **COMEX白银主力合约**: The closing price on May 29 was 33.44 dollars, up 0.34 dollars or 1.04% from May 28 [8] Shipping Container Futures - **SCFI综合指数**: On May 23, it was 1586.12 points, up 106.7 points or 7.21% from February 16 [12] - **SCFI (欧洲)**: On May 23, it was 1317 dollars/TEU, up 163.0 dollars or 14.12% from February 16 [12] - **SCFI (美西)**: On May 23, it was 3275 dollars/FEU, up 184.0 dollars or 5.95% from February 16 [12] - **SCFI (美东)**: On May 23, it was 4284 dollars, up 215.0 dollars or 5.28% from February 16 [12]
《金融》日报-20250527
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-05-27 01:00
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the reports. 2. Report Core Views - The reports present comprehensive data on various futures, including stock index futures, Treasury bond futures, precious metal futures, and container shipping index futures, covering price differences, basis, and related economic indicators. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Stock Index Futures - **IF期现价差**: The latest value is 7.17, with a change of -28.91 from the previous day, at the 16.30% percentile in the past year and 13.20% percentile all - time [1]. - **IH期现价差**: The latest value is -15.02, with a change of 3.83, at the 19.60% percentile in the past year [1]. - **IC期现价差**: The latest value is -74.86, with a change of -103.79, at the 10.60% percentile in the past year and 7.60% percentile all - time [1]. - **IM期现价差**: The latest value is 13.89, at the 90.00% percentile in the past year [1]. Treasury Bond Futures - **TS基差**: The latest value is 1.9655, with a change of -0.1195, at the 50.60% percentile since listing [2]. - **TF基差**: The latest value is 1.8632, with a change of -0.0497, at the 52.60% percentile since listing [2]. - **T基差**: The latest value is 1.8783, with a change of 0.2230, at the 64.50% percentile since listing [2]. - **TL基差**: The latest value is 1.8294, with a change of 0.3786, at the 63.40% percentile since listing [2]. Precious Metal Futures - **Domestic Futures**: The AU2508 contract closed at 777.30 yuan/gram on May 26, down 0.36% from May 23; the AG2508 contract closed at 8280 yuan/kilogram, up 0.21% [5]. - **Foreign Futures**: The COMEX gold主力 contract closed at 3357.70 dollars/ounce on May 26, up 1.90% from May 23; the COMEX silver主力 contract closed at 33.64 dollars, up 1.39% [5]. - **Spot Prices**: London gold was at 3342.21 dollars/ounce on May 26, down 0.46% from May 23; London silver was at 33.48 dollars, unchanged [5]. Container Shipping Index Futures - **Spot Quotes**: MAERSK's Shanghai - Europe 6 - week future freight rate was 2252 dollars/FEU on May 27, up 1.03% from May 26 [8]. - **Container Shipping Indexes**: The SCFIS (European route) settlement price index was 1247.05 points on May 26, down 1.44% from May 19; the SCFIS (US West route) was 1719.79 points, up 18.90% [8]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: The EC2602 contract closed at 1405.0 on May 26, down 3.31% from May 23; the basis of the EC2508 (main contract) was -594.5, down 1.49% [8]. Overseas and Domestic Data/Information - **Overseas**: The euro - zone's May industrial and economic sentiment indexes will be released at 17:00; the US May Conference Board consumer confidence index will be released at 22:00 [9]. - **Domestic**: Data on manganese ore inventory and throughput in Qinzhou Port, iron ore port inventory, etc., will be updated [10].