入冬以来，全国能源保供工作进入关键期。面对迎峰度冬考验，中央企业积极研究部署，压紧压实责 任，切实发挥好"顶梁柱"和主力军作用，煤炭、天然气等传统能源稳产增供，风电、光伏等可再生能源 项目有序投产，全国电网高效运转，保障群众温暖度冬和经济平稳运行。 面对能源保供重任，国家能源集团将保持煤炭稳产高产作为首要任务，重点强化煤炭资源组织，加大外 采和储备力度，坚决落实"存煤15天以下动态清零"要求。蒙东、东北等关键区域稳步提升库存，全力保 障资源充足。在联动运输环节，以精细化管理深挖运输潜力、筑牢运输保障防线，一体化煤炭出区装车 量持续刷新纪录，依托煤电路一体化协同优势，为迎峰度冬能源保供筑牢坚实根基。 新能源是能源保供生力军。12月15日，我国离岸距离最远海上风电项目——三峡江苏大丰800兆瓦海上 风电项目实现全容量并网，标志着我国海上风电向深远海迈进取得了又一重大突破。项目预计年均发电 量可满足140万户家庭日常用电需求，相当于节约标准煤约86万吨，减少二氧化碳排放约237万吨。 "我们克服了离岸距离远、施工窗口期短、海上作业难度大等多重挑战，从首台风机起吊到98台机组全 部吊装完成仅用时半年，从全面开工到全容 ...

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of the mixed asset department at CICC Fund Management aims to create a differentiated and competitive "fixed income +" product matrix in a low interest rate environment, focusing on balancing risk and return for investors [1][2]. Group 1: Team Development and Strategy - The mixed asset department started with two members and has grown to four, managing nine products with an asset scale of approximately 3.8 billion yuan [1]. - The team has adopted a matrix development approach with different products targeting various goals and strategies, including secondary debt funds and flexible allocation products [2]. - The core value of mixed assets is to achieve a dynamic balance between diversified returns and controlled drawdowns, addressing the current market demand for stable yet higher returns [2]. Group 2: Investment Philosophy and Risk Management - The principle of "discipline over strategy, strategy over individual stocks" guides the investment approach, emphasizing strict risk budgeting and timely adjustments based on market conditions [3]. - A comprehensive research framework is established, integrating systematic thinking with an understanding of market cycles, competitive positioning, and pricing dynamics [4]. Group 3: Market Outlook and Future Opportunities - The outlook for the equity market in 2026 is optimistic, driven by ample liquidity, ongoing policy support, and recovering corporate earnings, which are expected to lead to a sustained upward trend [6]. - Specific investment opportunities for 2026 include undervalued high-dividend sectors, technology growth areas like AI and semiconductors, and the pharmaceutical sector, which is anticipated to stabilize and recover in valuation [6]. - For "fixed income +" products, equity assets will continue to be a significant source of enhanced returns, with bonds providing a safety net and equities offering flexibility [6].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of new productive forces driven by technological innovation in facilitating the upgrade of consumption and addressing the challenges of insufficient effective demand in China's economic development during the upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan" period [1]. Group 1: New Productive Forces and Consumption Upgrade - New productive forces, characterized by high quality and efficiency, are essential for industrial upgrading and driving new consumption patterns [1]. - The integration of new productive forces and new consumption is a necessary outcome of consumption upgrades and productive development, aligning with the economic principle of "supply creates demand, and demand drives supply" [1]. Group 2: Mechanisms of New Productive Forces Empowering New Consumption - Technological innovation redefines the consumption supply system, leading to comprehensive upgrades in product forms, service models, and supply efficiency [2]. - Breakthroughs in artificial intelligence and renewable energy technologies have significantly reduced costs and expanded the availability of smart and green products, enhancing new consumption supply [2]. - The deep integration of digital technology with the real economy enables flexible and customized production, effectively addressing the disconnect between traditional supply and consumer demand [2]. Group 3: Expanding Consumption Scenarios through Industrial Upgrading - New productive forces promote the construction of a modern industrial system, facilitating the integration of advanced manufacturing, modern services, and agriculture, thus creating innovative consumption scenarios [3]. - The development of low-altitude economy has led to new consumption scenarios such as low-altitude tourism and short-distance commuting [3]. - The integration of humanoid robotics with services like elderly care and education has created new consumption scenarios that cater to high-quality living service demands [3]. Group 4: Practical Pathways for Empowering New Consumption - Focusing on technological innovation is crucial for enhancing the supply capacity of new consumption, including breakthroughs in digital technologies and expanding the supply of green products [4]. - The integration of advanced manufacturing with modern services is essential for upgrading consumption from product-based to service-oriented consumption [4]. - Emphasizing demand-driven strategies will cultivate new consumption hotspots, such as promoting green and health-oriented consumption [4]. Group 5: Policy Support for New Consumption - Establishing a cross-departmental coordination mechanism is vital for integrating policies related to technology, industry, consumption, and finance to avoid fragmentation [5]. - Increasing financial support for technology innovation in the consumption sector is necessary to enhance residents' consumption capacity [5]. - Strengthening legal frameworks and market regulation in the new consumption sector will protect consumer rights and ensure fair market practices [6].

12月28日,我国西气东输主力气源地——中国石油（601857）塔里木油田年光伏发电量突破20亿千瓦时, 单日最高发电量超1000万千瓦时,创油田年发电量、日发电量历史新高,标志着塔克拉玛干沙漠周缘构建 起油、气、新能源协同发展新格局。近年来,塔里木油田推动新型能源体系构建,不断提高能源利用效率 和清洁能源占比。新华 ...

的申請版本 （「本公司」） （於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） 警告 本申請版本乃根據香港聯合交易所有限公司（「聯交所」）及證券及期貨事務監察委員會（「證監會」）的要求 而刊發，僅用作提供資訊予香港公眾人士。 本申請版本為草擬本，其內所載資訊並不完整，亦可能會作出重大變動。 閣下閱覽本文件，即代表 閣 下知悉、接納並向本公司、本公司的獨家保薦人、保薦人兼整體協調人、整體協調人、顧問或包銷團成員 表示同意： 香港聯合交易所有限公司與證券及期貨事務監察委員會對本申請版本的內容概不負責，對其準確性或完整 性亦不發表任何意見，並明確表示概不就因本申請版本全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引 致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 NSING TECHNOLOGIES INC. 國民技術股份有限公司 本文件為草擬本。其所載資料並不完整及可作更改。閱讀本文件有關資料時，必須一併細閱本文件首頁「警告」一節。 重要提示 閣下如對本文件的任何內容有任何疑問，應諮詢獨立專業意見。 NSING TECHNOLOGIES INC. 國民技術股份有限公司 （於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） [編纂] 倘於適當時候向香港公眾 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Last week (from December 22, 2025, to December 26, 2025), the median weekly return of equity ETFs was 2.75%. Among broad - based ETFs, the CSI 500ETF had the highest return with a median increase of 4.04%. By sector, the cyclical ETF had the highest return with a median of 5.37%. By theme, the new energy vehicle ETF had the highest return with a median of 7.17% [1][13]. - Last week, equity ETFs had a net subscription of 35.634 billion yuan, and the overall scale increased by 132.202 billion yuan. Among broad - based ETFs, the A500ETF had the largest net subscription of 49.322 billion yuan; by sector, the consumer ETF had the least net redemption of 580 million yuan; by hot theme, the pharmaceutical ETF had the largest net subscription of 408 million yuan [2][30][36]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs ETF Performance - The median weekly return of equity ETFs was 2.75%. Among broad - based ETFs, the CSI 500, STAR Market, ChiNext, CSI 1000, A500, SSE 50, and SSE 300 ETFs had median returns of 4.04%, 4.00%, 3.92%, 3.78%, 2.75%, 1.96%, and 1.41% respectively. The median returns of commodity, cross - border, bond, and money - market ETFs were 3.59%, 0.16%, 0.13%, and 0.02% respectively [13]. - By sector, the median returns of cyclical, technology, large - financial, and consumer - sector ETFs were 5.37%, 3.93%, 1.50%, and - 0.16% respectively. By theme, the new energy vehicle, military, and photovoltaic ETFs had relatively strong performance with median returns of 7.17%, 5.84%, and 5.38% respectively, while the bank, liquor, and pharmaceutical ETFs had relatively weak performance with median returns of - 0.89%, - 0.79%, and - 0.16% respectively [19]. ETF Scale Change and Net Subscription/Redeem - As of last Friday, the scales of equity, cross - border, and bond ETFs were 3.8155 trillion yuan, 970.1 billion yuan, and 804.6 billion yuan respectively. The scales of commodity and money - market ETFs were relatively small, at 257 billion yuan and 177.9 billion yuan respectively. Among broad - based ETFs, the SSE 300 and A500ETFs had larger scales of 1.1944 trillion yuan and 299.7 billion yuan respectively [21]. - By sector, the technology - sector ETF had a scale of 430.5 billion yuan, followed by the cyclical - sector ETF with a scale of 215.9 billion yuan. The large - financial and consumer ETFs had relatively smaller scales of 197.6 billion yuan and 185.5 billion yuan respectively. By hot theme, the chip, securities, and pharmaceutical ETFs had the highest scales of 148 billion yuan, 141 billion yuan, and 101.9 billion yuan respectively [24][25]. - Last week, equity ETFs had a net subscription of 35.634 billion yuan and the overall scale increased by 132.202 billion yuan; money - market ETFs had a net redemption of 8.324 billion yuan and the overall scale decreased by 8.307 billion yuan. Among broad - based ETFs, the A500ETF had the largest net subscription of 49.322 billion yuan, and its scale increased by 56.639 billion yuan; the SSE 300ETF had the largest net redemption of 5.897 billion yuan [30]. ETF Benchmark Index Valuation - As of last Friday, the price - to - earnings ratios of the SSE 50, SSE 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, ChiNext, and A500ETFs were at the 83.92%, 86.40%, 97.69%, 95.55%, 63.15%, and 97.86% quantiles respectively, and the price - to - book ratios were at the 64.26%, 72.88%, 99.59%, 65.46%, 63.64%, and 97.86% quantiles respectively. Compared with the previous week, the valuation quantiles of the A500ETF increased significantly [37]. - Among broad - based ETFs, the ChiNext - related ETFs had relatively low valuation quantiles; by sector, the consumer and large - financial ETFs had relatively moderate valuation quantiles; by sub - theme, the liquor and new energy vehicle ETFs had relatively low valuation quantiles [44]. ETF Margin Trading and Short Selling - As of last Thursday, the margin balance of equity ETFs increased from 47.637 billion yuan in the previous week to 47.882 billion yuan, and the short - selling volume decreased from 2.44 billion shares in the previous week to 2.433 billion shares. Among the top 10 ETFs in terms of average daily margin purchases and short - selling volumes, the STAR Market ETF and the securities ETF had relatively high average daily margin purchases, and the CSI 1000ETF and the SSE 300ETF had relatively high average daily short - selling volumes [4][45][52]. ETF Managers - As of last Friday, Huaxia, E Fund, and Huatai - Peregrine ranked in the top three in terms of the total scale of listed non - money ETFs. This week, two ETFs, GF SSE STAR Market Chip ETF and Huabao SSE STAR Market Chip ETF, will be issued [5][56].

华西策略李立峰团队称，岁末年初多头势力聚集，"春季躁动"行情有望抢跑。一方面，海外货币政策不确定性消退，后续国内春 节与"两会"召开时间较为接近，节前对两会的政策预期有望支撑风险偏好；另一方面，年初通常是保险、年金等绝对收益资金进 行新一轮配置的窗口期，在政策预期向好的背景下，增量资金入场意愿较强，近期国内机构资金、融资资金等已出现"抢跑"迹 象。 本周各家券商策略分析师整体依旧保持乐观。 | | 一周策略前瞻 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 芬商/分析师 结论 | 逻辑 | | 关注板块 | | 兴证策略 张启尧 言? | 要反映的是美元再度走弱叠加年末"结汇潮 人民币"破7"后，行业如何配 | | 人民币升值影响行业配置的四个逻辑: 盈利层面,1)人民币升值降低进口成 3）人民币升值提升国内居民购买力， | | | 近期人民币加速升值引发市场关注。背后主 | | | | | | | 本,原材料进口依赖度较高的行业受 | | | | | 益;2)人民币升值驱动外币负债成本 | | | " 带动下,人民币相对其他非美货币的"补 | | 下降,持有较多美元负债的行业受益; | ...

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating of the Industry The document does not mention the investment rating of the industry. 2. Core Viewpoints - Last week (from December 22, 2025, to December 26, 2025), the median weekly return of equity ETFs was 2.75%. Among broad - based ETFs, the CSI 500ETF had the highest return; among sector ETFs, the cyclical ETF had the highest return; among hot - topic ETFs, the new energy vehicle ETF had the highest return [1][13][59]. - Last week, equity ETFs had a net subscription of 35.634 billion yuan. Among broad - based ETFs, the A500ETF had the largest net subscription; among sector ETFs, the consumer ETF had the smallest net redemption; among theme ETFs, the pharmaceutical ETF had the largest net subscription [2][30][36][59]. - As of last Friday, Huaxia, E Fund, and Huatai - PineBridge ranked top three in the total scale of listed non - monetary ETFs. This week, two ETFs, GF Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation Chip ETF and Huabao Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation Chip ETF, will be issued [5][53][59]. 3. Summary by Directory ETF Performance - The median weekly return of equity ETFs was 2.75%. The median returns of CSI 500, STAR Market, ChiNext, CSI 1000, A500, SSE 50, and SSE 500 ETFs were 4.04%, 4.00%, 3.92%, 3.78%, 2.75%, 1.96%, and 1.41% respectively. The median returns of commodity, cross - border, bond, and money - market ETFs were 3.59%, 0.16%, 0.13%, and 0.02% respectively [1][13]. - By sector, the median returns of cyclical, technology, large - finance, and consumer sector ETFs last week were 5.37%, 3.93%, 1.50%, and - 0.16% respectively. By hot - topic classification, the median returns of new energy vehicle, military, and photovoltaic ETFs were 7.17%, 5.84%, and 5.38% respectively, showing relative strength, while those of bank, liquor, and pharmaceutical ETFs were - 0.89%, - 0.79%, and - 0.16% respectively, showing relative weakness [19]. ETF Scale Changes and Net Subscriptions/Redeemptions - As of last Friday, the scales of equity, cross - border, and bond ETFs were 3.8155 trillion yuan, 970.1 billion yuan, and 804.6 billion yuan respectively. Among broad - based ETFs, the SSE 500 and A500ETFs had relatively large scales [21]. - By sector, the scale of the technology sector ETF was 430.5 billion yuan, followed by the cyclical sector ETF with 215.9 billion yuan. The scales of large - finance and consumer ETFs were relatively small [24]. - By hot - topic, the scales of chip, securities, and pharmaceutical ETFs were the highest, reaching 148 billion yuan, 141 billion yuan, and 101.9 billion yuan respectively [25]. - Last week, equity ETFs had a net subscription of 35.634 billion yuan and a total scale increase of 132.202 billion yuan; money - market ETFs had a net redemption of 83.24 billion yuan and a total scale decrease of 83.07 billion yuan. Among broad - based ETFs, the A500ETF had the largest net subscription of 49.322 billion yuan, and the SSE 500ETF had the largest net redemption of 58.97 billion yuan [30]. - By sector, the consumer ETF had the smallest net redemption of 580 million yuan last week, and the technology ETF had the largest net redemption of 6.453 billion yuan. By hot - topic, the pharmaceutical ETF had the largest net subscription of 408 million yuan, and the chip ETF had the largest net redemption of 6.68 billion yuan [32][33]. ETF Benchmark Index Valuation - As of last Friday, the price - to - earnings ratios of the SSE 50, SSE 500, CSI 500, CSI 1000, ChiNext, and A500ETFs were at the 83.92%, 86.40%, 97.69%, 95.55%, 63.15%, and 97.86% quantile levels respectively, and the price - to - book ratios were at the 64.26%, 72.88%, 99.59%, 65.46%, 63.64%, and 97.86% quantile levels respectively. Compared with the previous week, the valuation quantile of the A500ETF increased significantly [37]. - As of last Friday, the price - to - earnings ratios of cyclical, large - finance, consumer, and technology sector ETFs were at the 81.53%, 31.82%, 28.61%, and 94.39% quantile levels respectively, and the price - to - book ratios were at the 77.91%, 56.60%, 35.86%, and 90.52% quantile levels respectively. Compared with the previous week, the valuation quantile of the cyclical ETF increased significantly [38]. - Overall, among broad - based ETFs, the ChiNext - related ETFs had relatively low valuation quantiles; among sectors, the consumer and large - finance ETFs had relatively moderate valuation quantiles; among sub - themes, the liquor and new energy vehicle ETFs had relatively low valuation quantiles [44]. ETF Margin Trading and Short Selling - As of last Thursday, the margin trading balance of equity ETFs increased from 47.637 billion yuan in the previous week to 47.882 billion yuan, and the short - selling volume decreased from 2.44 billion shares in the previous week to 2.433 billion shares. Among the top 10 ETFs with the highest average daily margin buying amount and short - selling volume, the STAR Market ETF and the securities ETF had relatively high average daily margin buying amounts, and the CSI 1000ETF and the SSE 500ETF had relatively high average daily short - selling volumes [45][50][51]. ETF Managers - As of last Friday, Huaxia, E Fund, and Huatai - PineBridge ranked top three in the total scale of listed non - monetary ETFs. Huaxia had high management scales in multiple sub - fields such as scale index ETFs, theme, style, and strategy index ETFs, and cross - border ETFs; E Fund had high management scales in scale index ETFs and cross - border ETFs; Huatai - PineBridge had high management scales in scale index ETFs and theme, style, and strategy index ETFs [53]. - Five new ETFs were established last week, and two ETFs, GF Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation Chip ETF and Huabao Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation Chip ETF, will be issued this week [56].

2025年12月28日 国泰君安期货研究周报-绿色金融与新能源 观点与策略 | 镍：资金与产业力量博弈，关注结构机会的出现 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 不锈钢：基本面约束弹性，但关注印尼政策风险 | 2 | | 工业硅：关注供应端扰动，情绪发酵或推高盘面 | 12 | | 多晶硅：震荡格局，关注市场情绪 | 12 | | 碳酸锂：基差背离待修正，正极厂启动检修 | 21 | 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 期货研究 商 品 研 究 二 〇 二 五 年 度 2025 年 12 月 28 日 镍：资金与产业力量博弈，关注结构机会的出现 不锈钢：基本面约束弹性，但关注印尼政策风险 张再宇 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0021479 zhangzaiyu@gtht.com 本轮资金面对镍与不锈钢的关注度提高，本质在于消息面的变化，主要包括：印尼镍矿配额的 2.5 亿 吨目标，以及考虑将伴生矿物，如钴，纳入计价和征税体系，具体来看： 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 1）配额事件：印尼政府敦促企业重新提交了 2026 年 RKAB 预算，市场公开消息称印尼希望可以削减 至 2.5 亿吨镍矿配额。根据我 ...

Group 1 - Precious metals and non-ferrous metals continue to rise, with COMEX silver and copper increasing by 18.0% and 6.2% respectively from December 19 to December 26, and annual increases of approximately 172% and 45% [1][2] - The rise in precious metals and non-ferrous metals is supported by a declining dollar cycle, changes in global liquidity, and increased demand from new industries such as renewable energy and electric vehicles [2][3] - Supply growth is constrained due to geopolitical risks, shrinking mine output, and rising ESG costs [3] Group 2 - The acceleration in silver and copper prices in December is attributed to the U.S. releasing a new critical minerals list, which includes these metals, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts [4] - Concerns regarding U.S. tax policies under the Trump administration have also influenced copper prices, while limited supply of silver for delivery has added upward pressure on prices [4] - The narrative surrounding precious and non-ferrous metals is expected to continue, with a focus on the weakening dollar and the restructuring of global supply chains [5] Group 3 - Global stock markets have shown a strong performance, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 indices rising by 1.22% and 1.40% respectively, supported by expectations of a soft landing for the U.S. economy [6][7] - Commodity prices are influenced by low inventory levels and tight supply, with silver and copper experiencing significant price increases [8] - The bond market has shown mild fluctuations, with U.S. Treasury yields declining slightly, reinforcing expectations of continued liquidity [9] Group 4 - The Chinese asset market is seeing a revival in technology narratives, with significant gains in sectors related to precious metals and new energy [10][12] - The A-share market has shown a notable increase, with the overall index rising by 2.78% and a significant uptick in trading volume [10] - Valuation metrics indicate a divergence in performance between growth and value stocks, with growth sectors leading the market [12] Group 5 - The U.S. economy continues to show signs of a soft landing, with Q3 GDP growth exceeding expectations at an annualized rate of 4.3% [13][14] - Consumer spending and net exports have been key contributors to GDP growth, while inflation remains a concern [15] - The Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates remains cautious, with ongoing discussions about the timing and extent of future rate cuts [18]