【深圳商报讯】（首席记者谢惠茜）就在今年首次LPR下调当天，六大国有银行也集体宣布下调存款利 率，这是国有大行今年首轮存款降息。其中，各家国有银行活期存款利率下调至0.05%，1年期整存整 取定期存款利率均跌破"1字头"，下调至0.95%。随后，多家股份行也纷纷"跟进"。 5月21日，截至记者发稿时，已有9家股份制银行跟进下调了存款挂牌利率。除了招商银行已于5月20日 下调之外，平安银行、中信银行、兴业银行、光大银行、浦发银行、民生银行、广发银行、华夏银行共 8家股份制银行均已于5月21日开始执行新的存款挂牌利率。 具体来看，上述8家股份制银行将1年、2年定期利率均调降了15个基点。其中，1年定期存款利率均下调 至1.15%；2年定期存款利率普遍下调至1.20%，民生银行下调至1.15%。3年、5年定期存款利率均下调 了25个基点，分别下调至1.30%、1.35%。 苏商银行特约研究员武泽伟接受记者采访时表示，此次国有大行和股份行集中下调存款利率是政策引导 与市场联动的结果。一方面，央行通过下调LPR，释放适度宽松的政策信号，要求通过利率自律机制引 导商业银行跟进；另一方面，银行主动调整负债成本以缓解净息差压 ...

5月20日和21日，多家全国性股份制商业银行也主动对存款利率进行了调整。 招商银行（600036）是股份行中最先公告调整人民币存款挂牌利率的。从调整结果看，招商银行存款利率的调整幅度以及调整后的各期限存款利率水平均 与工商银行、农业银行、中国银行、建设银行、交通银行五家国有大行保持一致。 其中，活期存款年利率下调5个基点至0.05%； 定期存款整存整取三个月、半年期、一年期、二年期利率均下调15个基点，调整后分别为0.65%、0.85%、0.95%、1.05%； 定期存款整存整取三年期、五年期利率下调25个基点，调整后分别为1.25%、1.30%； 定期存款零存整取、整存零取、存本取息一年期、三年期、五年期利率均下调15个基点，调整后分别为0.65%、0.85%、0.85%； 7天通知存款挂牌利率下调15个基点至0.30%。 除招商银行外，浦发银行（600000）、中信银行（601998）、光大银行（601818）、华夏银行（600015）、民生银行（600016）、广发银行、兴业银行 （601166）、平安银行（000001）也于近两日内完成了对人民币存款挂牌利率的调整。 上述8家股份行存款利率的调整幅度和 ...

Core Viewpoint - Nine joint-stock banks in China have followed state-owned banks in rapidly lowering deposit interest rates, focusing on medium to long-term deposits, particularly three-year and five-year terms [2][4][5] Group 1: Deposit Rate Adjustments - As of May 21, seven banks including Ping An Bank and CITIC Bank have announced reductions in deposit rates, with three-year and five-year fixed deposit rates lowered by 25 basis points (BP) [2][4] - The adjusted rates for Ping An Bank are now 0.70% for three months, 0.95% for six months, 1.15% for one year, 1.20% for two years, and 1.30% for three years, reflecting a decrease of 15 BP for shorter terms and 25 BP for longer terms [3][4] - Minsheng Bank has also reduced its deposit rates, with similar decreases across various terms, including a 25 BP drop for three-year and five-year deposits [3][4] Group 2: Market Expectations and Reactions - Investors had anticipated the recent reductions in deposit rates, with no significant rush to lock in rates observed at bank branches [4][5] - The speed of the banks' responses to the need for lower deposit rates aligns with market expectations, indicating a proactive approach to stabilize net interest margins and support the real economy [5][6] Group 3: Implications for Banking Sector - The adjustments in deposit rates are seen as necessary to reduce financing costs for the real economy, with banks needing to lower their liability costs to maintain profitability [5][8] - The current trend shows that the reductions in deposit rates are larger than the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) decreases, which may help banks manage interest expenses and improve their financial performance [8]

华夏时报（www.chinatimes.net.cn）记者 卢梦雪 北京报道 各银行存款利率接续调降之下，仍有民营银行承担着"利率高地"的角色。 5月20日，新一轮存款降息落地，大额存单产品利率也即将全面迈入"1时代"，寻找高利率存款的储户们变得焦 灼。但《华夏时报》记者调查了解到，当前有民营银行仍存在半年综合收益率3.0%的大额存单，但仅限新用户， 需开"白名单"才能存到。 "错过了就不会再有了。"有储户向记者感慨道，他2024年才开始研究民营银行的存款，"太晚了，高利息的时代我 都错过了。" 有民营银行大额存单综合收益率能达到3% 利率调降，最敏感的是储户。 存款利率下行背景下，民营银行因调降较晚，且常常通过返现、礼品卡、加息券等措施"变相加息"，一度成为银 行存款的利率高地。但今年以来，中小银行、民营银行也在纷纷下调存款利率，记者注意到，在不少存款群里， 储户们焦虑的情绪开始蔓延。 有储户收到了此前购买的一款民营银行7天滚存存款产品调整的通知，他告诉记者，该产品为自动滚存，此前会按 照之前购买的较高利率进行不断续存。而近日，他收到银行通知，该产品到期后将不再续存，"再也买不到这样利 率的产品了，不过我心 ...

Core Viewpoint - A new round of interest rate cuts for large-denomination certificates of deposit (CDs) has begun, with some products' rates falling below 1% for the first time in recent years, indicating a significant shift in the banking sector's approach to deposit rates [1][9]. Summary by Category Interest Rate Changes - Major banks, including state-owned banks, have reduced the annualized interest rates for 1-month and 3-month large-denomination CDs to 0.9%, marking a historic low [1][3]. - The latest issuance by Bank of China shows a reduction of 25 basis points for 1-month, 3-month, 6-month, and 1-year products, while the 3-year product saw a reduction of 35 basis points [3][10]. - Other banks, such as Industrial and Agricultural Banks, have also lowered their rates to 0.9% for similar products [3][6]. Implications for the Banking Sector - The reduction in deposit rates is seen as a strategy to alleviate pressure on net interest margins, which have been declining [10][11]. - Analysts suggest that lowering deposit rates will help banks stabilize their net interest margins and reduce financing costs for the real economy [10][11]. Investor Guidance - Investors are advised to adjust their expectations regarding investment returns and consider a diversified asset allocation strategy in light of the declining interest rates [1][8][11]. - The trend of decreasing deposit rates is expected to continue, prompting investors to seek alternative investment options such as cash management products, money market funds, and government bonds [11].

每经编辑｜张锦河 5月21日，平安银行在官网发布公告称，我行自2025年5月21日起调整储蓄及单位人民币存款利率。 存款利率迎来新一轮下调。 在5月20日中国银行、中国工商银行、中国建设银行及招商银行等多家银行宣布下调人民币存款利率后，5月21日，平安银行、中信银行、兴业银行、浦发银 行、民生银行、广发银行、华夏银行7家银行也跟进下调存款利率。 上述7家股份制银行将1年、2年定期利率均调降了15个基点。其中，1年定期存款利率均下调至1.15%；2年定期存款利率普遍下调至1.20%，民生银行下调至 1.15%。3年、5年定期存款利率普遍下调了25个基点，分别下调至1.30%、1.35%。 | 适用日期: 2025-5-21 | | 单位:年利率% | | --- | --- | --- | | 期限 | 基准利率 | 挂牌利率 | | (一)活期存款 | 0.35 | 0.05 | | (二) 定期存款 | | | | 三个月 | 1.10 | 0.70 | | 未 年 | 1.30 | 0.95 | | 一 年 | 1.50 | 1.15 | | 二年 | 2.10 | 1.20 | | 三 年 | 2.75 ...

7家股份制银行跟进下调人民币存款利率 智通财经5月21日电，中国银行、工商银行、建设银行、招商银行等多家银行5月20日宣布下调人民币存 款利率后，5月21日，平安银行、中信银行、兴业银行、浦发银行、民生银行、广发银行、华夏银行7家 银行跟进下调存款利率，将1年、2年定期利率均下调15个基点。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Stock Index: Neutral [1] - Treasury Bonds: Bearish [1] 2. Core Viewpoints - April economic data declined compared to March but remained resilient under the tariff war. Social retail sales were up 5.1% year-on-year, supported by the "trade-in" policy. Social credit demand was weak in April, with cumulative new RMB loans reaching 10.06 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.86%, and M2 up 8% year-on-year. The China-US joint statement and subsequent policies are expected to boost the stock market [1]. - The internal policy push is the main theme for the stock index in 2025. The revenue growth rate of A-share listed companies has narrowed for three consecutive quarters, and the net profit has rebounded by about 4%. However, ROE is still at the bottoming stage. These measures will help companies repair their balance sheets and lift the stock market valuation [1]. - Treasury bond futures showed mixed performance, with the 30-year and 10-year contracts up 0.03%, the 5-year down 0.04%, and the 2-year down 0.03%. The central bank's reverse repurchase operation and other factors have changed the bond market environment, and the short-term bond market is expected to be weak [1][2]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Research Views - **Stock Index**: April economic data was resilient, and policies such as the central bank's reserve requirement ratio and interest rate cuts, and the entry of long-term funds into the market, are expected to support the stock market. The revenue and profit of A-share listed companies are showing signs of improvement, and the stock market valuation is expected to rise [1]. - **Treasury Bonds**: Treasury bond futures had mixed performance, and the bond market environment has changed due to policy and economic factors. The short-term bond market is expected to be weak [1][2]. 3.2 Daily Price Changes - **Stock Index Futures**: All major contracts of stock index futures declined, with IM down 1.56%, IC down 1.31%, IF down 0.89%, and IH down 0.53% [3]. - **Stock Indexes**: All major stock indexes declined, with the CSI 1000 down 1.68%, the CSI 500 down 1.45%, the SSE 50 down 0.49%, and the SSE 300 down 0.91% [3]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The 30-year and 10-year contracts rose, while the 5-year and 2-year contracts fell. The 30-year contract was up 0.15%, and the 10-year contract was up 0.02% [3]. - **Treasury Bond Yields**: The yields of 2-year, 5-year, 10-year, and 30-year treasury bonds showed different trends [3]. 3.3 Market News - In May, the 5-year LPR was 3.5%, down from 3.6% last month, and the 1-year LPR was 3%, down from 3.1% last month [4]. 3.4 Chart Analysis - **Stock Index Futures**: Charts show the trends of major contracts and their basis [6][7][9][10][11]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: Charts show the trends of major contracts, yields, basis, inter - period spreads, and cross - variety spreads [13][15][16][17]. - **Exchange Rates**: Charts show the trends of various currency exchange rates, including the US dollar, euro, pound, and yen against the RMB and other currencies [20][21][22][24][25]

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Iron ore: Short - term high - level allocation [2] - Coking coal and coke: Weak shock [2] - Rebar and wire rod: Shock [2] - Glass: Shock [2] - Soda ash: Shock [2] - CSI 300: Shock [4] - SSE 50: Rebound [2] - CSI 500: Upward [4] - CSI 1000: Upward [4] - 2 - year treasury bond: Shock [4] - 5 - year treasury bond: Shock [4] - 10 - year treasury bond: Decline [4] - Gold: High - level shock [4] - Silver: Strong - biased shock [4] - Pulp: Shock [6] - Logs: Shock [6] - Soybean oil: Shock [6] - Palm oil: Shock [6] - Rapeseed oil: Shock [6] - Soybean meal: Weak - biased shock [6] - Rapeseed meal: Weak - biased shock [6] - Soybean No. 2: Weak - biased shock [6] - Soybean No. 1: Shock [6] - Live pigs: Shock [8] - Rubber: Strong - biased shock [8] - PX: Wait - and - see [8] - PTA: Wait - and - see [9] - MEG: Wait - and - see [9] - PR: Wait - and - see [9] - PF: Wait - and - see [9] Core Viewpoints - The driving force for the previous policy - and - sentiment - driven rise in the black industry has gradually weakened, and it will return to fundamentals in the short term. The financial market is affected by factors such as LPR cuts and deposit rate cuts, and the precious metal market is influenced by multiple factors including central bank gold purchases and geopolitical risks. The light industry and agricultural product markets are facing different supply - and - demand situations, and the polyester industry is affected by factors such as oil prices and raw material supply [2][4][6][8] Summary by Related Catalogs Black Industry - **Iron ore**: The driving force for the previous policy - and - sentiment - driven rise has weakened. Supply is expected to increase, iron - water production has declined from a high level, port inventory is relatively high, and demand is the key. The improvement in steel - demand expectations due to the easing of the trade war is offset by the seasonal weakening of actual demand. Conservative investors can try long - short spreads, and aggressive investors can focus on short - selling opportunities in the far - month contracts [2] - **Coking coal and coke**: The supply - and - demand pattern of coking coal remains loose. Coking enterprises' profits have improved, but steel mills' procurement willingness has decreased, and coke supply has increased, with an overall supply - surplus pattern [2] - **Rebar**: The driving force for the previous rise has weakened, demand is falling slowly in the short term, inventory is still being depleted, but the rainy season may affect inventory depletion. Supply remains high, and attention should be paid to the impact of the suspension of a 24% tariff on exports [2] - **Glass**: Some production lines have resumed operation, daily output has fluctuated slightly, spot prices have fallen slightly, and inventory has increased significantly. The real - estate industry is in an adjustment period, and demand is difficult to recover significantly [2] Financial Market - **Stock index futures/options**: The previous trading day saw gains in major stock indexes. The latest LPR has been cut, and banks have lowered deposit rates. The Sino - US tariff issue has achieved phased results, and the market's risk - aversion sentiment has eased. Long positions in stock indexes can be held [4] - **Treasury bonds**: The yield of the 10 - year treasury bond has risen, and market interest rates are consolidating. The central bank has carried out reverse - repurchase operations, and long positions in treasury bonds can be held lightly [4] - **Gold**: The pricing mechanism of gold is shifting, and factors such as central bank gold purchases, currency credit, and geopolitical risks are affecting its price. The logic for the current price increase has not completely reversed, and the price is expected to be in a high - level shock [4] Light Industry and Agricultural Products - **Pulp**: Spot prices are stable, raw - material prices have fallen, the papermaking industry's profitability is low, and demand is in the off - season. Pulp prices are expected to be in a shock [6] - **Logs**: Downstream demand is in the off - season, supply pressure has weakened, and prices are expected to be in a bottom - level shock [6] - **Oils and fats**: Palm oil production is in a seasonal increase period, and inventory has risen. The supply of three major oils is abundant, and it is in the traditional consumption off - season, but pre - festival stocking has improved spot consumption. Prices are expected to be in a shock [6] - **Meals**: Sino - US trade relations have eased, US soybean inventories may tighten, and domestic soybean supply has become more abundant. Meal prices are expected to be in a weak - biased shock [6] - **Live pigs**: The average slaughter weight has increased slightly, demand from slaughter enterprises has decreased, and post - festival consumption has declined seasonally. However, secondary fattening demand provides support, and prices are expected to be in a shock [8] - **Rubber**: Domestic rubber output is stable, Thai raw - material prices are high, demand from tire enterprises is recovering, inventory accumulation has slowed down, and prices are expected to be in a strong - biased shock [8] Polyester Industry - **PX**: The acceleration of the Russia - Ukraine peace talks may suppress oil - price rebounds, PX load has recovered, and prices are expected to fluctuate with oil prices [8] - **PTA**: The acceleration of the Russia - Ukraine peace talks may suppress oil - price rebounds, PXN spreads are around $272/ton, and short - term supply and demand are in a de - stocking state, mainly affected by raw - material price fluctuations [9] - **MEG**: Domestic production load has decreased, ports are expected to de - stock, raw - material prices are weak, and the market fluctuates widely due to macro - sentiment fluctuations [9] - **PR**: Mainstream polyester factories may cut production, and prices may be adjusted downward due to cost factors [9] - **PF**: Although downstream buyers are cautious, international oil prices have risen, and supply - side factors are favorable. The market is expected to be in a narrow - range consolidation [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the banking industry, indicating a relative strength compared to the market benchmark index [6][7]. Core Insights - The banking sector is expected to benefit from a period of intensive policy implementation aimed at stabilizing growth, with monetary easing leading the way, followed by fiscal measures. This is anticipated to have a profound impact on the banking fundamentals in 2025 [2]. - The downward adjustment of deposit rates is expected to protect the banks' net interest margins, while the risk of deposit disintermediation is likely to be moderate [6]. - 2025 is projected to be a year of solidifying asset quality for banks, with improved risk expectations in real estate and urban investment properties underpinned by supportive policies [2]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - Focus on two main investment lines: 1. High dividend and core index weight banks such as Agricultural Bank of China (601288), Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (601398), China Merchants Bank (600036), and Industrial Bank (601166) [7]. 2. City commercial banks with strong fundamentals and regional advantages, including Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (601077), Chongqing Bank (601963), Jiangsu Bank (600919), Qingdao Bank (002948), and Shanghai Bank (601229) [7]. Interest Rate Adjustments - On May 20, 2025, the 1-year and 5-year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) was lowered by 10 basis points, and state-owned banks announced reductions in deposit rates across various terms [6]. - The first round of interest rate cuts in 2025 is expected to have a neutral impact on banks' net interest margins, with an estimated increase of 3.1 basis points for listed banks in 2025 due to the deposit rate adjustments [6][14]. Deposit Rate Trends - The report highlights a trend of decreasing deposit rates, with significant reductions observed since October 2024, particularly among smaller banks, which have been more aggressive in their rate cuts compared to larger banks [9][14]. - The overall decline in deposit rates is expected to lead to a more favorable structure for new deposits, thereby supporting banks' funding costs [6]. Asset Quality and Risk Management - The report anticipates a significant improvement in asset quality for banks in 2025, driven by policy support and better management of risks in key sectors such as real estate [2]. - The net interest margin for commercial banks was reported at 1.43% in Q1 2025, reflecting a smaller decline compared to previous years, indicating a potential stabilization in margins moving forward [6].