Core Viewpoint - The gold stocks have generally rebounded, with notable increases in share prices for several companies in the sector, driven by a recent rise in spot gold prices and market expectations regarding U.S. government operations and economic data [1] Group 1: Company Performance - China Silver Group (00815) increased by 3.45%, reaching HKD 0.6 [1] - China Gold International (02099) rose by 2.83%, reaching HKD 127.2 [1] - Zijin Mining (02899) saw a 2.13% increase, reaching HKD 30.66 [1] - Zhaojin Mining (01818) grew by 1.87%, reaching HKD 28.36 [1] - Shandong Gold (01787) increased by 1.28%, reaching HKD 31.56 [1] Group 2: Market Analysis - On November 5, spot gold rebounded from a low, briefly surpassing USD 3970 per ounce [1] - CITIC Futures noted a continued fluctuation in precious metals due to declining global risk asset sentiment [1] - UBS analysts indicated that the current pullback in the gold market is temporary, with potential for gold prices to reach USD 4200 per ounce [1] - In optimistic scenarios, if geopolitical or market risks escalate, gold prices could potentially rise to USD 4700 per ounce [1]

Report Investment Rating - Gold: Neutral [8] - Silver: Neutral [8] - Arbitrage: Short the gold-silver ratio at high levels [8] - Options: On hold [9] Core View - The U.S. government shutdown has tied the historical record, and the precious metals market continues to oscillate weakly. With the fading of market risk aversion, the demand for gold investment may slightly decline. The gold price is expected to be in an oscillatory pattern, and the silver price is also showing an oscillatory situation. The Fed's interest rate cut path has widened in December, and short-term risk aversion catalysts have weakened [1][8]. Market Analysis - The U.S. federal government shutdown has entered the 35th day, tying the longest shutdown record in U.S. history. The Democrats and Republicans have been deadlocked, and the Senate has failed to pass a temporary appropriation bill in 13 votes. The U.S. Supreme Court will hear the case of whether Trump's tariff policy is legal this Wednesday, and the U.S. Treasury Secretary will go to the Supreme Court to emphasize the importance of tariffs [1]. Futures Quotes and Trading Volume - On November 4, 2025, the Shanghai gold main contract opened at 921.90 yuan/gram and closed at 915.58 yuan/gram, a change of -0.76% from the previous trading day's close. The trading volume was 41,087 lots, and the open interest was 129,725 lots. The night session closed at 908.92 yuan/gram, down 0.73% from the afternoon close. The Shanghai silver main contract opened at 11,455.00 yuan/kilogram and closed at 11,238.00 yuan/kilogram, a change of -1.89% from the previous trading day's close. The trading volume was 783,853 lots, and the open interest was 257,090 lots. The night session closed at 11,226 yuan/kilogram, down 0.11% from the afternoon close [2]. U.S. Treasury Yield and Spread Monitoring - On November 4, 2025, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.081%, a decrease of 2.91 BP from the previous trading day. The spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasuries was 0.511%, a change of +0.58 BP from the previous trading day [3]. Position and Trading Volume Changes of Gold and Silver on the SHFE - On November 4, 2025, on the Au2512 contract, the long position decreased by 5,262 lots compared to the previous day, and the short position decreased by 2,315 lots. The total trading volume of the Shanghai gold contract was 332,993 lots, a change of -2.42% from the previous trading day. On the Ag2512 contract, the long position decreased by 2,987 lots, and the short position decreased by 365 lots. The total trading volume of the silver contract was 783,853 lots, a change of 4.23% from the previous trading day [4]. Precious Metal ETF Position Tracking - The gold ETF position was 1,041.78 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day. The silver ETF position was 15,190 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day [5]. Precious Metal Arbitrage Tracking - On November 4, 2025, the domestic gold premium was 4.18 yuan/gram, and the domestic silver premium was -825.36 yuan/kilogram. The price ratio of the main gold and silver contracts on the SHFE was about 81.47, a change of 1.16% from the previous trading day. The overseas gold-silver ratio was 81.88, a change of -0.93% from the previous trading day [6]. Fundamental Analysis - On November 4, 2025, the trading volume of gold on the Shanghai Gold Exchange T+d market was 64,372 kilograms, a change of -4.71% from the previous trading day. The trading volume of silver was 659,480 kilograms, a change of 25.52% from the previous trading day. The gold delivery volume was 11,872 kilograms, and the silver delivery volume was 28,080 kilograms [7]. Strategy - Gold: The price is expected to oscillate, and the Au2512 contract's oscillation range may be between 890 yuan/gram and 940 yuan/gram [8]. - Silver: The price is oscillating, and the Ag2512 contract's oscillation range may be between 11,000 yuan/kilogram and 11,600 yuan/kilogram [8]. - Arbitrage: Short the gold-silver ratio at high levels [8].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the document Core View - The expectation of the Fed's December interest rate cut has decreased, and a one - year economic and trade agreement has been reached between China and the US. The liquidity in the US inter - bank market is tight, the US credit crisis has eased, and the debt of major global countries has decreased, which may put short - term pressure on precious metal prices. However, geopolitical risks in regions such as Russia - Ukraine, the Middle East, and the US - Venezuela are difficult to resolve, the expected expansion of fiscal deficits in many countries around the world, and the continuous gold purchases by central banks of many countries around the world support precious metal prices in the medium and long term [1] Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Precious Metal Market Data - **Shanghai Gold**: The closing price was 921.02 yuan/gram, with changes compared to previous days and weeks. The trading volume, open interest, inventory, and price spreads also had corresponding data [1] - **Spot Shanghai Gold T+D**: The trading volume was 54,322.00, and the open interest was 257,838.00, with changes compared to previous periods [1] - **Shanghai Silver**: The closing price was 213.00 yuan/ten - gram, and there were details about trading volume, open interest, inventory, and price spreads [1] - **Spot Shanghai Silver T+D**: The trading volume was 1,294,530.00, and the open interest was 360,214.00, with corresponding changes [1] - **COMEX Gold Futures**: The closing price was 4143.20, and data on trading volume, open interest, and inventory were provided [1] - **COMEX Silver Futures**: The closing price was 48.25, and there were details about trading volume, open interest, and inventory [1] - **International Gold**: The London Gold Spot price was 17.35 dollars/ounce, and the holdings of SPDR and iShare Gold ETFs also had corresponding data [1] - **International Silver**: The London Silver Spot price was 48.96 dollars/ounce, and the holdings of relevant ETFs were provided [1] 2. Price Ratios - The price ratios of Shanghai Gold to Shanghai Silver, Shanghai Gold Spot to Shanghai Silver Spot, New York Gold Futures to New York Silver Futures, and London Gold Spot to London Silver Spot were given, with their respective changes [1] 3. Other Commodity Markets - **Crude Oil**: INE Crude Oil was 458.70 yuan/barrel, ICE Brent Oil was - 1.38 dollars/barrel, and NYMEX Crude Oil was 60.88 dollars/barrel [1] - **Copper**: Shanghai Copper Futures was 87,010.00 yuan/ton, and LME Copper Spot was 10,891.50 dollars/ton [1] - **Steel and Iron Ore**: Shanghai Rebar was 3,106.00 yuan/ton, and Dalian Iron Ore was 802.50 yuan/ton [1] 4. Interest Rates and Exchange Rates - **Interest Rates**: SHIBOR, US 10 - year Treasury nominal yield, TIPS yield, and 10 - year Treasury break - even inflation rate had corresponding data [1] - **Exchange Rates**: The US dollar index was 98.9334, and the exchange rates of the US dollar to the Chinese yuan, euro to the Chinese yuan were provided [1] 5. Stock Index Markets - Major stock indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index, S&P 500, UK FTSE 100, French CAC40, German DAX, Nikkei 225, and South Korean Composite Index had their closing prices and changes [1] 6. Important Information - The US government shutdown is approaching the historical record, and the longer it lasts, the more cautious the Fed will be. Three Fed officials opposed the October interest rate cut, and Waller supports a December cut. There is a rare divergence within the Fed, and "Old Bond King" Gross short - sold US Treasuries [1] 7. Trading Strategy - Short - term: Lightly short the main contract at high prices. For London Gold, pay attention to the support level around 3580 - 3860 and the resistance level around 4180 - 4384. For Shanghai Gold, pay attention to the support level around 830 - 860 and the resistance level around 950 - 1000. For London Silver, pay attention to the support level around 39 - 42 and the resistance level around 50 - 55. For Shanghai Silver, pay attention to the support level around 9400 - 10000 and the resistance level around 11600 - 12400 [1]

Core Insights - The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point interest rate cut, adjusting the benchmark rate to 3.75%-4.00%, enhancing the appeal of precious metals as a safe-haven investment [1] - In October 2025, the precious metals market experienced a significant rebound, with gold prices surpassing $4000 per ounce, driven by geopolitical risks and loose monetary policies [3] - The demand for gold reserves from global central banks remains strong, with predictions of gold prices potentially reaching $5000 per ounce in the coming year [3] Precious Metals Market Trends - The precious metals market is seeing increased demand for safe-haven assets amid rising geopolitical tensions and monetary easing [3] - Silver and other precious metals are also showing potential for price increases due to tightening supply-demand dynamics [3] - Investment strategies suggest maintaining a 10%-20% allocation of precious metals in portfolios to hedge against inflation risks [3] Choosing a Reliable Trading Platform - Investors face challenges such as regulatory blind spots and opaque fees when selecting precious metal trading platforms [4] - Recommended platforms should hold AA class membership from the Hong Kong Gold Exchange to ensure transparency and independent fund custody [4] - Key criteria for platform selection include regulatory background, technical support, and customer service [4] Investment Entry Guide - New investors are advised to start with small amounts and utilize demo accounts to familiarize themselves with trading mechanisms [5] - A strategy of "continuous small amounts" is recommended, investing 5%-10% of funds monthly to mitigate volatility [5] - Setting stop-loss orders and utilizing K-line chart analysis for support levels are essential decision-making tools [5] Operational Support Features - Platforms like Jinseng Precious Metals offer features such as one-click order placement to enhance efficiency for novice traders [6] Guidelines for Selecting a Legitimate Trading Platform - Investors should verify the regulatory credentials of trading platforms to ensure safety and avoid hidden fees [7] - The selection process involves checking membership numbers, evaluating trading costs, and reviewing user agreements for withdrawal timelines [7] - Establishing a robust selection framework is crucial for safeguarding investments in uncertain markets [7]

Report Title - Weekly Report on Precious Metals (AU, AG): Precious Metals Fluctuate Widely and May Gradually Stabilize Subsequently [1] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints of the Report - After recent significant adjustments, precious metal prices have a certain demand for stabilization and repair. The support below lies in high market uncertainty and the Fed still being in an interest - rate cut cycle. However, due to the easing of Sino - US trade relations, a relatively strong US dollar index, and the possibility of marginal alleviation of the US government shutdown, the short - term unilateral upward space for precious metals may be limited. In the short term, precious metal prices may gradually stabilize and enter a range - bound pattern. It is recommended to focus on long - term allocation opportunities of buying on dips after stabilization [7]. - The underlying logic of the long - term bull market for precious metals remains solid. The continuous increase in the US federal government debt will intensify the long - term weakening risk of the US dollar's credit. Coupled with the Fed still being in an interest - rate cut cycle, complex global geopolitical situations, and continued gold purchases by global central banks, the price center of gold will continue to move up steadily [7]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs PART ONE: Market and Fundamental Indicator Tracking - **Price and Ratio**: Last week, precious metal prices dropped significantly and then stabilized, but gold still closed down on the weekly chart. London spot gold decreased from $4111.555/oz to $4002.690/oz, a weekly decline of 2.65%. London spot silver increased slightly from $48.6235/oz to $48.6562/oz, a weekly increase of 0.07%. The SHFE gold - silver ratio decreased by 2.66% to 80.58 [5][6]. - **ETF and CFC Holdings**: The gold SPDR - ETF持仓量 decreased by 7.73 tons to 1039.2 tons, a decline of 0.74%. The silver SLV - ETF持仓量 decreased by 230 tons to 15190 tons, a decline of 1.49%. COMEX gold non - commercial net long positions increased by 339 contracts to 266749 contracts, an increase of 0.13%. COMEX silver non - commercial net long positions increased by 738 contracts to 52276 contracts, an increase of 1.43% [6]. - **Inventory Data**: The SHFE gold inventory increased by 0.80 tons to 87.816 tons, an increase of 0.92%. The COMEX gold inventory decreased by 22.05 tons to 1187.16 tons, a decrease of 1.82%. The SHFE silver inventory increased by 0.57 tons to 666 tons, an increase of 0.09%. The COMEX silver inventory decreased by 451.26 tons to 15006 tons, a decrease of 2.92%. The SGE silver inventory decreased by 145.44 tons to 905 tons, a decrease of 13.84% [6]. PART TWO: Main Macroeconomic Indicator Tracking - **Exchange Rates and Interest Rates**: The US dollar index increased from 98.9417 to 99.7308, an increase of 0.80%. The US 2 - year Treasury yield increased from 3.4884% to 3.5736%, an increase of 2.44%. The US 10 - year Treasury yield increased from 4.0103% to 4.0833%, an increase of 1.82%. The US 10 - year real interest rate increased from 1.73% to 1.81%, an increase of 4.62% [6]. - **Economic Data**: The US GDP growth rate was strong, but the consumer confidence index declined again. The US manufacturing and service PMI both decreased. Retail sales data showed mixed performance. Employment cooled significantly, with the unemployment rate rising and wage growth slowing down. Inflation was relatively controllable, with core commodity inflation rising and core service inflation falling [58][59][60][65][70]. - **Eurozone Data**: The eurozone GDP bottomed out and rebounded. The eurozone manufacturing PMI rebounded, while the service PMI declined. Inflation data in the eurozone and the UK showed different trends [78][79]. - **Central Bank Gold Purchases**: The People's Bank of China has been increasing its gold reserves for 11 consecutive months. As of the end of September 2025, China's gold reserves reached 74.06 million ounces (about 2303.523 tons), an increase of 40,000 ounces (about 1.24 tons) month - on - month. In the first three quarters of 2025, global central banks and other institutions net - purchased about 633.6 tons of gold, a year - on - year decrease of about 12.1%. Although the pace of gold purchases by global central banks has slowed down, the demand for gold purchases is expected to remain [87].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoint The Sino - US negotiation has concluded, and the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected. The market is still skeptical about the tariff details. After the correction, precious metals rebounded. There is a divergence in the market regarding whether there will be an interest rate cut in December, and the expected end - point of this round of interest rate cuts has been lowered compared to the previous period. The Fed meeting minutes show that most officials believe it may be appropriate to further ease policies this year. The influence of Trump on the Fed's independence is emerging, and the US employment situation is slowing down. Although Powell said that changing economic risks give the Fed more reasons to cut interest rates, it is not certain that the Fed will further cut interest rates at the December monetary policy meeting. With the US economic data trending weaker and concerns about the US fiscal situation and the Fed's independence, it is expected that the medium - term prices of precious metals will still be supported, while the short - term prices are still in an adjustment state. It is recommended to pay attention to the US ADP employment data to be released this Wednesday [11]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review - **Gold**: Due to the conclusion of the Sino - US negotiation, market doubts about tariff details, and the Fed's 25 - basis - point interest rate cut, the price of US gold declined. As of last Friday, US gold closed at $4013 per ounce, down 2.8% for the week. The upper resistance level is $4100, and the lower support level is $3950 [6]. - **Silver**: Affected by the same factors, the price of US silver showed a weak oscillation. As of last Friday, it had a weekly decline of 0.3%, closing at $48.3 per ounce. The lower support level is $47, and the upper resistance level is $49.5 [9]. 3.2 Weekly Viewpoint The factors mentioned above led to the correction and subsequent rebound of precious metals. The market is divided on the December interest - rate cut, and the expected end - point of this round of cuts has been lowered. The Fed may further ease policies, but a December cut is not guaranteed. With the weakening US economic data and concerns about fiscal and Fed independence, precious metals are expected to be supported in the medium - term but are in short - term adjustment. Attention should be paid to the US ADP employment data on Wednesday [11]. 3.3 Overseas Macroeconomic Indicators The report presents multiple charts related to overseas macroeconomic indicators, including the US dollar index, euro - US dollar and pound - US dollar exchange rates, real interest rates, yield spreads, gold - silver ratio, Fed balance - sheet size, and WTI crude oil futures prices, but no specific analysis of these indicators is provided in the text [15][17][19]. 3.4 Important Economic Data of the Week The announced value of the US October Chicago PMI was 43.8, higher than the expected value of 42.3 and the previous value of 40.6 [26]. 3.5 Important Macroeconomic Events and Policies of the Week - **Sino - US Negotiation**: The US will cancel the 10% so - called "fentanyl tariff" on Chinese goods, and the 24% reciprocal tariff will be suspended for another year. China will adjust counter - measures accordingly. Both sides agree to extend some tariff exclusion measures. The US will suspend the implementation of the 50% penetration rule of export control announced on September 29 for one year, and China will suspend relevant export - control measures announced on October 9 for one year and study specific plans [27]. - **Fed**: The Fed cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 3.75 - 4.0% at the October FOMC meeting, in line with market expectations, and will end the balance - sheet reduction on December 1. Powell said that the government "shutdown" affects the economy, but the impact will reverse after the "shutdown" ends. A further interest - rate cut at the December meeting is not certain [27]. - **European Central Bank**: The ECB kept the deposit facility rate at 2.00%, the main refinancing rate at 2.15%, and the marginal lending rate at 2.40% at the interest - rate meeting. This is the third consecutive time it has kept rates unchanged. The last rate cut was in June when the euro - area inflation rate reached the 2% target [27]. 3.6 Inventory - **Gold**: COMEX inventory decreased by 22,053.63 kg to 1,187,159.84 kg, and SHFE inventory increased by 801 kg to 87,816 kg [13][31]. - **Silver**: COMEX inventory decreased by 451,258.42 kg to 15,005,532.25 kg, and SHFE inventory increased by 573 kg to 665,544 kg [13][31]. 3.7 Fund Holdings - **Gold**: The net long position of CFTC speculative funds was 259,261 contracts, an increase of 3,182 contracts from the previous week [13][36]. - **Silver**: The net long position of CFTC speculative funds was 49,507 contracts, an increase of 729 contracts from the previous week [13][36]. 3.8 Key Points to Watch This Week - On Monday (November 3), 23:00, the US October ISM Manufacturing PMI will be released. - On Wednesday (November 5), 21:15, the change in the US October ADP employment number will be announced [38].

Report Title - "Precious Metals Weekly Observation" [1] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The precious metals market is digesting differences through fluctuations after the landing of macro hot - spots. Gold and silver are expected to be in a volatile state. Gold has long - term strategic allocation advantages, and its fundamentals do not support a deep correction. The market needs to correct the "expectation - reality" pricing of macro hot - spot events and digest the fluctuations in the Fed's interest - rate cut rhythm. [1][12][13][14][15] Summary by Directory 1. This Week's Precious Metals Observation - **Price Fluctuation**: Precious metals fluctuated around the progress of Sino - US trade negotiations and the Fed's October interest - rate decision. The easing of Sino - US trade tensions in the first half of the week led to a decline in the safe - haven appeal of precious metals, triggering technical selling. After the Fed's October interest - rate cut and the decision to stop shrinking the balance sheet in December, the precious metals prices stopped falling and entered a volatile phase. [3] - **Fed's October Interest - Rate Decision**: The Fed cut interest rates by 25bp to 3.75% - 4.00% in October and will stop shrinking the balance sheet in December. The market has fully priced in the October interest - rate cut, and the focus is on the subsequent interest - rate cut path. It is considered that the Fed is still likely to cut interest rates in December due to factors such as the cooling of the US employment market and the approaching of PCE to the target. Before the end of the data vacuum period caused by the US government shutdown, the expectation of an interest - rate cut in December may fluctuate repeatedly. [3][4][6] - **Sino - US Trade Negotiations**: On October 30, Sino - US leaders met in Busan, South Korea, reaching a series of practical achievements and setting a one - year tactical easing period for Sino - US economic and trade relations. This will reduce the short - term volatility in the market caused by trade issues, but structural contradictions still exist, and future games will focus more on the fields of technology and security. [7][8] - **China's Gold Tax New Policy**: The new policy mainly affects institutional and corporate participants in the physical gold extraction (out - of - warehouse) link in the Shanghai Gold Exchange and the Shanghai Futures Exchange, without adding new taxes or increasing the tax burden on individuals. Its purposes include cracking down on tax arbitrage, strengthening compliance operations, and guiding the market direction. The impact on the domestic gold price is limited. [9][10][11] - **Strategies**: Gold and silver are both expected to be in a volatile state. Gold has long - term strategic allocation advantages, and the current adjustment may provide a good opportunity for layout after stabilization. It is recommended to pay attention to the US Supreme Court's tariff judgment at the beginning of November and the series of macro data after the US government resumes. [12][13] 2. Operating Logic and Views - **Medium - and Long - Term Logic**: In the context of the adjustment and reshaping of the global monetary system and high macro uncertainties, gold has long - term strategic allocation advantages due to factors such as the shaking of the US dollar's reserve currency status, high inflation expectations, and central banks' continuous gold purchases. [14] - **Short - Term Logic**: The one - year buffer period of Sino - US trade negotiations reduces short - term market volatility; the US government shutdown increases market concerns about the US economy; the Fed's October interest - rate cut and the possibility of a December cut make gold more attractive in a low - interest - rate environment; and geopolitical conflicts such as those in Russia - Ukraine and Venezuela still exist. [14] - **Views and Strategies**: Gold and silver are in a volatile state. Gold's long - term upward trend remains unchanged, and the current adjustment is a short - term phenomenon. The market needs to digest the impact of macro events and Fed's policies. [14][15] 3. Important Data and Charts - The report provides multiple charts, including those related to US Treasury bond interest rates, the relationship between US Treasury bond real yields and gold prices, precious metal ratios (such as gold - silver ratio, gold - copper ratio), and precious metal inventories and ETF holdings. [17][21][28][32]

Core Insights - The global precious metals market is experiencing significant fluctuations, with gold prices showing a notable decline in recent days [21][23] - Domestic gold and platinum prices are also reflecting these market changes, with various brands offering different pricing strategies [3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11] Group 1: Global Market Dynamics - On October 30, 2025, the London spot gold price closed at $3955 per ounce, while gold futures were at $3971 per ounce [2] - The London spot silver and silver futures prices were both at $47.2 per ounce [2] - Recent market volatility has seen gold prices drop nearly $500 within a week, with a peak of $4381.48 per ounce earlier in October [21][22] Group 2: Domestic Market Overview - The real-time gold price in the domestic market was reported at ¥901.3 per gram, with silver at ¥10.8 per gram and platinum at ¥360 per gram [3] - Various jewelry brands have different pricing for gold and platinum, with prices for gold ranging from ¥1160 to ¥1232 per gram across different stores [3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11] Group 3: Price Trends and Analysis - The current gold price in the domestic market has shown an increase of 1.20% from the previous day, with a closing price of ¥907.72 per gram [12] - The price of platinum has also increased by 1.22%, closing at ¥378.57 per gram [16] - Experts attribute the recent decline in gold prices to a decrease in short-term risk aversion and easing liquidity pressures in the silver market [23]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Today, precious metals rebounded from their lows, with the main Shanghai gold contract closing up 1.27% and the main Shanghai silver contract closing up 1.41%. The short - term core logic includes: the risk of trade war has eased, but geopolitical risks still exist; the risk of stagflation in the US economy has increased, employment has weakened, inflation is moderate, and the Fed's interest - rate cut expectations are being realized. [1] - The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, lowering the federal funds rate to 3.75% - 4.00%, the second rate cut this year, and announced the end of balance - sheet reduction starting from December 1st. [1] - It is expected that precious metals will be volatile and strong in the short term, oscillate at high levels in the medium term, and rise step - by - step in the long term. [1] - The price trend of gold is the anchor for the price of silver. In terms of capital, the net long position of CFTC silver and iShare silver ETF increased slightly. In terms of inventory, the recent visible inventory of silver decreased slightly. [5] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Gold - **Strategy**: Conservative investors should wait and see, while aggressive investors can buy low and sell high. It is recommended to manage positions well and set strict stop - loss and take - profit levels. [2] - **Data Summary**: - **International prices**: Comex gold's main contract closed at $4038.30 per ounce, up 2.45% from the previous day; London gold was at $3994.15 per ounce, down 0.31%. [2] - **Domestic prices**: The main Shanghai gold contract closed at 921.92 yuan per gram, up 1.07%; gold T + D closed at 921.02 yuan per gram, up 1.51%. [2] - **Positions and inventories**: Comex gold positions were 528,789 hands; Shanghai gold's main contract positions decreased by 4.11% from the previous day. LBMA gold inventory was 8,598 tons, and Comex gold inventory decreased by 1.08% from the previous week. [2] Silver - **Strategy**: Similar to gold, conservative investors should wait and see, and aggressive investors can buy low and sell high. Position management and strict stop - loss and take - profit are recommended. [6] - **Data Summary**: - **International prices**: Comex silver's main contract closed at $48.73 per ounce, up 3.08% from the previous day; London silver was at $48.18 per ounce, up 0.01%. [6] - **Domestic prices**: The main Shanghai silver contract closed at 11,441 yuan per kilogram, up 1.67%; silver T + D closed at 11,410 yuan per kilogram, up 1.90%. [6] - **Positions and inventories**: Comex silver positions were 165,805 hands; Shanghai silver's main contract positions decreased by 1.41% from the previous day. The total visible inventory decreased by 1.03% from the previous week. [6] Fundamental Key Data - **Fed - related data**: The upper limit of the federal funds target rate is 4.00%, the discount rate is 4.00%, the reserve balance rate (IORB) is 3.90%, and the Fed's total assets are $66,371.78 billion, down 0.00% from the previous week. [8] - **Economic indicators**: The ten - year US Treasury real yield is 2.35, the dollar index is 99.52, and the US Treasury yield spread (3 - month to 10 - year) is 0.31. [8] - **Inflation indicators**: CPI (year - on - year) is 3.00%, core CPI (year - on - year) is 3.00%, and PCE price index (year - on - year) is 2.74%. [10] - **Employment indicators**: The unemployment rate is 4.30%, and non - farm payrolls changed by 2.20 million. [10] - **Other indicators**: The geopolitical risk index is 188.52, the VIX index is 16.23, the CRB commodity index is 300.77, and the offshore RMB exchange rate is 7.0944. [11]

Group 1 - The article promotes a comprehensive course on precious metals, featuring 20 sessions led by a chief analyst from Guosen Futures, covering gold, silver, platinum, and palladium [1] - The course includes four private connection sessions and a three-month learning group for real-time insights [1] - Additional resources provided include technical analysis classes, knowledge mats for gold, silver, and platinum, and a framework poster for precious metal analysis [1]