Group 1 - The article highlights a surge in demand for gold and silver products, particularly smaller weight gold bars and jewelry, as consumers flock to purchase amid fluctuating prices [4][5][7] - The price of gold at 菜百 is reported at 1370-1372 yuan per gram, with investment gold bars priced at 1011.80 yuan per gram, leading to a rush of customers buying gold bars, especially those weighing 300 grams and above [4][7] - Consumers are increasingly purchasing gold for long-term holding, with some expressing intentions to keep their investments rather than engage in short-term trading [8] Group 2 - The silver market has seen significant growth, with silver prices reaching historical highs, surpassing 83 USD per ounce, and daily sales of silver bars exceeding hundreds of kilograms [11][12] - Retail operations for silver have expanded as demand increases, with some stores reporting a doubling of prices for silver jewelry compared to the previous year [12][14] - The volatility in precious metal prices is attributed to market dynamics, including a tightening of dollar liquidity and speculative trading, leading to sharp price fluctuations [16][17] Group 3 - Analysts predict that the precious metals market may experience continued volatility, particularly for silver, which is expected to have higher price fluctuations compared to gold due to its speculative nature [17][18] - The upcoming New Year holiday may lead to reduced trading activity, with potential risks associated with liquidity and market expectations [18] - Investors are advised to consider reducing positions before the holiday period, as significant market movements could occur based on economic data or policy signals [17][18]

11月下旬以来，国内银价大涨，但是水贝市场现货非常紧张。第一财经记者实地探访深圳水贝市场了解 情况。在一家售卖银饰的店铺，工作人员告诉记者，虽然白银价格上升，销量也明显提升，但是目前在 市场上"一银难求"，购买不到白银板料，甚至需要加价购买银条来生产白银饰品。还有商家告诉记者， 因白银市场需求激增，白银料商供不应求，排单都需要接近一周。有业内人士表示，白银价格在月内接 近翻倍，目前白银市场90%以上的都是投机行为。更现场、更财经，一探究竟！ ...

最新消息： 金饰克价涨到1403元 金饰价一夜大涨36元 12月23日，COMEX黄金升破4500美元/盎司，现货黄金升破4468美元/盎司，均创历史新高。 记者查询国内品牌金价发现，周生生足金饰品标价1403元/克，较前一日1367元/克的价格上涨36元/克。老凤祥足金饰品标价1399元/克，较前一日1365元/ 克的价格上涨34元/克。 老庙黄金足金饰品标价1402元/克，较前一日1367元/克的价格上涨35元/克。 "铂金300多元没上车，短短半个月，竟然站上了500元的价格，结婚三金的价格又高了三分之一！" 22日傍晚，深圳水贝国际珠宝交易中心更新了最新的铂金价格，一位网友对比了价格后发现，不久前才300多元一克的铂金，涨到了502元。 12月22日，黄金、铂金、白银等贵金属集体大涨，多个品种创新高。其中，六福珠宝足铂金报价837元／克，周生生950铂金饰品价格破800元／克，报价 803元／克。 有人拖行李箱抢购 每人限购5件 12月19日，武汉一商场老铺黄金启动今年最大力度促销，引发新一轮抢购热潮。 顾客在店内选购饰品。 抢购黄金的顾客排到了商场的门外。 据介绍，19日当天，7点就有不少"老粉"来 ...

| 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | | 伦敦金现 | 4421.350 | 1.91% | | SPTAUUSDOZ.IDC | | | | 伦敦银现 | 68.952 | 2.84% | | SPTAGUSDOZ.IDC | | | | COMEX黄金 | 4453.5 | 1.51% | | GC.CMX | | | | COMEX白银 | 69.040 | 2.30% | | SI.CMX | | | 国内金饰方面，黄金珠宝品牌公布的境内足金首饰价格跟随国际金价创纪录涨势，多家涨超1400元/克，较昨日大幅上涨，续创历史新高。 周生生足金饰品标价1403元/克，较前一日1367元/克的价格上涨36元/克。 | | | 周生生 (how Sang Sang | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 周生生 PROMESSA | MINTYGREEN | EMPHASIS | MARCO BICEGO | 劳力士 | 帝舵表 | | | | | | | 最後更新时间: 2025-12-23 11:28:32 | | ...

当地时间5日，受投资者对美联储降息前景持乐观态度、白银ETF持仓增量等因素推动，国际白银价格 显著上涨。伦敦现货白银价格盘中一度突破每盎司59.33美元，刷新历史纪录。纽商所白银期货价格主 力合约价格当天一度逼近每盎司60美元大关，收盘报每盎司59.053美元，创历史新高，涨幅超过2.7%。 近期白银期货波动率上升，10月以来已多次出现单日涨跌幅超5%的走势。回顾2025年的国际银价，从1 月2日29.41美元/盎司的开盘价起步，银价一路狂飙，今年10月首次突破50美元/盎司，11月突破57美元/ 盎司，正强势逼近60美元/盎司的整数心理关口。 广东深圳：水贝市场白银投资趋于理性 12月5日，在深圳水贝市场，大屏上显示白银实时零售价格是16.4元每克，接近今年最高位。一家银饰 品的档口内，门店负责人表示，白银价格的上涨对于银饰品的销售影响较小，卖得好的产品依然销量不 错，客户更关注款式。 另外一家白银销售门店的负责人表示，虽然这波行情持续上涨，但是消费者并没有大量抢购，门店白银 的回收数量相比销售数量更多，大家对于白银投资明显理性了不少。 由于受黄金加税政策的影响，市场对于贵金属的投资范围选择更广，需求也更多 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025, affected by factors such as the Fed's interest - rate cuts, geopolitical crises, and central bank gold purchases, the prices of gold and silver showed significant upward trends. Looking ahead to 2026, the prospects for the precious metals market remain optimistic, with continued fiscal expansion in major countries, expected further interest - rate cuts by the Fed, and the existence of stagflation risks in the US, all of which may support investment demand for precious metals [2][158]. Summary According to the Directory Part I: Precious Metals Market Review - **Gold Market Review** - **Historical Gold Market Review**: Gold had three major bull markets in the past 60 years. From 1971 - 1980, the price rose from $35/ounce to $850/ounce; from 2001 - 2011, it increased from $255/ounce to $1920/ounce; and from 2016 - 2025, it reached over $4000/ounce [5][6][8]. - **2025 Gold Market Review**: COMEX gold futures rose from $2758/ounce at the end of 2024 to a high of $4398/ounce on October 20, a cumulative increase of over 59%. SHFE gold futures also reached a record high of 1005.08 yuan/gram on October 21 [2][12]. - **Silver Market Review** - **Historical Silver Market Review**: Over the past 60 years, silver prices have fluctuated significantly. From 1971 - 1980, they soared from $1.5/ounce to $49.45/ounce; from 2001 - 2011, they increased from $4/ounce to $49/ounce; and from 2021 - 2025, they broke through $50/ounce [17][19]. - **2025 Silver Market Review**: COMEX silver rose from $30.5/ounce at the end of 2024 to a high of $55.13/ounce on November 13, an increase of 78%. SHFE silver reached a high of 12664 yuan/kg on November 13, a maximum increase of 67% [21]. Part II: Analysis of the Impact of Macroeconomics and Geopolitics on Precious Metals Prices - **Impact of the US Economy on Precious Metals Prices** - **Impact of the US Interest - Rate Cut Cycle**: The expectation of the US interest - rate cut cycle supported the sharp rise in precious metals prices. In 2025, the Fed cut interest rates twice, which reduced the yield of traditional assets and increased the attractiveness of gold [29]. - **Impact of the US Economy**: In 2025, the US GDP was expected to grow by 2% year - on - year, with core CPI remaining around 3.1%. The unemployment rate rose to 4.4% in September, and the manufacturing PMI was below 50. The service industry drove the US economy to maintain resilience. The "big and beautiful" tax and expenditure bill worsened the US's medium - and long - term fiscal outlook, consolidating the bullish trend of gold [31][34]. - **Impact of the US Dollar Index Trend**: The US dollar index was negatively correlated with precious metals prices. In 2025, the weakening US dollar index supported precious metals prices, but in 2026, its support may weaken [43]. - **Impact of Central Bank Gold Purchases on Precious Metals Prices**: Global central banks continued to increase their gold reserves in 2025. In the third quarter, the net gold purchases reached 220 tons, a 28% increase from the second quarter and a 10% increase year - on - year. Most central banks still plan to increase their gold reserves in the future [44][48]. - **Impact of Geopolitical Crises on Precious Metals Prices**: Geopolitical conflicts such as the Middle East situation, the Russia - Ukraine conflict, and the Israel - Palestine conflict increased market uncertainty and risk - aversion sentiment, driving investors to turn to gold. These events also affected the supply and demand pattern of gold [53]. Part III: Precious Metals Supply and Demand Analysis - **Gold Supply and Demand Analysis** - **Gold Supply Analysis**: In the first three quarters of 2025, domestic raw - material gold production was 271.782 tons, a 1.39% increase year - on - year, and imported raw - material gold production was 121.149 tons, an 8.94% increase. The global total gold supply was 3717.4 tons [54]. - **Gold Demand Analysis**: In the first three quarters of 2025, the global total gold demand was 3717.4 tons, a slight increase. China's gold consumption was 682.730 tons, a 7.95% decrease year - on - year [60]. - **Gold Inventory Analysis**: In 2025, SHF gold inventory continued to rise, especially after September, while COMEX gold inventory was stable after the first - quarter increase and gradually declined slightly in October [66]. - **Silver Supply and Demand Analysis** - **Silver Supply Analysis**: It was expected that the global silver supply in 2025 would increase by 2% year - on - year to 1030.6 million ounces, mainly due to a 2% increase in mined silver [71]. - **Silver Demand Analysis**: It was expected that the global silver demand in 2025 would decrease by 1% year - on - year to 1148.3 million ounces, with a 0.5% decrease in industrial demand, a 6% decrease in jewelry demand, and a 7% increase in investment demand [74]. - **Silver Inventory Analysis**: SHFE silver inventory decreased from a high at the beginning of 2025, then increased significantly from late May to early July, and then decreased. COMEX silver inventory increased in the first quarter and then fluctuated. The Shanghai Gold Exchange's silver inventory also showed a downward trend [75]. Part IV: Precious Metals Market Arbitrage Analysis and Position Analysis - **Gold Market Arbitrage Analysis and Position Analysis** - **Domestic Gold Futures - Spot Arbitrage Analysis**: In 2025, the basis of SHFE gold futures active contracts was mostly negative, with positive spreads appearing in October, presenting arbitrage opportunities [84]. - **Gold Inter - Period Arbitrage Analysis**: The inter - period spread of SHFE gold futures active and continuous contracts was mostly positive, with opportunities for inter - period arbitrage when the spread decreased significantly [88]. - **Gold - Silver Ratio Analysis**: In 2025, the gold - silver ratio fluctuated sharply. After a significant decline from the high, its future direction was difficult to predict [89]. - **SHFE Gold Position and Capital Inflow Analysis**: In 2025, domestic institutional net positions in SHFE gold futures were mostly long. The net long positions decreased during the rapid rise in gold prices from September to October [94]. - **Silver Market Arbitrage Analysis and Position Analysis** - **Silver Basis Analysis**: In 2025, the basis of SHFE silver futures active contracts was mostly negative, with positive spreads appearing in October and then returning to negative [105]. - **Silver Inter - Period Spread Analysis**: The inter - period spread of SHFE silver futures active and continuous contracts was mostly positive, with significant fluctuations during the year [109]. - **SHFE Silver Position and Capital Inflow Analysis**: In 2025, domestic institutional net positions in SHFE silver futures were long. Capital inflow was obvious from January to mid - June, then fluctuated horizontally, and increased again from September to early October [114]. Part V: Precious Metals Options Analysis and Strategies - The implied volatility of gold and silver options has increased in the past two years. The put - call ratio of gold options indicates a bullish market, while the put - call ratio of silver options shows that investors may be more inclined to buy put options in October to avoid risks [126]. - Strategies include buying at - the - money call options when expecting price increases and increased volatility, selling out - of - the - money put options when expecting price increases but decreased volatility, selling strangles when implied volatility is high, and buying at - the - money straddles when expecting significant market fluctuations [127]. Part VI: Precious Metals Seasonal Analysis - Based on a five - year seasonal analysis, precious metals are more likely to rise in April and October and more likely to fall in June [144]. Part VII: Outlook on Factors Affecting Precious Metals Prices in 2026 and Technical Analysis - **Fed's 2026 Interest - Rate Cut Rhythm and Its Impact on Precious Metals Prices**: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 75 basis points in 2026, with two possible cuts in the first half of the year, which is beneficial to precious metals prices [154]. - **US Government Policy Orientation in 2026 and Its Impact on Precious Metals Prices**: The US economy is expected to grow in 2026, with a high fiscal deficit rate. If the impact of tariffs on inflation is one - time, inflation will have less restraint on interest - rate cuts [155]. - **Impact of Gold Supply - Demand Balance on Gold Prices**: In 2025, gold demand growth was mainly driven by investment demand. In the third quarter, investment demand increased by 47% year - on - year. In 2026, the gold market outlook remains optimistic [158]. - **Technical Analysis of Precious Metals Price Trends**: Technically, COMEX gold has strong support at $3500, and COMEX silver has strong support at $40. SHFE gold has support at 780 yuan, and SHFE silver has support at 9400 yuan [161]. Part VIII: Outlook on Precious Metals Prices in 2026 and Strategy Recommendations - In 2026, the global macro - game pattern remains unchanged. The continuous expansion of fiscal deficits in major economies, the Fed's interest - rate cuts, and geopolitical uncertainties are expected to support precious metals prices. Buying on dips can be considered as a trading strategy [174].

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in silver prices, driven by its financial attributes and industrial demand, has significantly impacted related industries and market dynamics [1][7]. Price Movement - On November 13, COMEX silver reached a peak of $54.415 per ounce, surpassing mid-October highs, while domestic silver futures in China hit a record high of 12,639 yuan per kilogram, with an intraday increase of nearly 6% [1][3]. Year-to-Date Performance - Since the beginning of the year, domestic silver futures have risen over 60%, outperforming gold futures, with a notable increase of over 40% in the second half of the year [3]. Market Demand and Consumer Behavior - In the Shenzhen jewelry market, silver jewelry prices are around 16.5 yuan per gram, and despite price fluctuations, the impact on end prices is minimal. Silver bars and ingots are also seeing increased sales [4][6]. Investment Insights - Silver investment can be categorized into virtual (futures and options) and physical investments (bars, coins, jewelry). Virtual tools offer high liquidity, while physical investments are suited for long-term asset preservation [4]. Industry Impact - The rise in silver prices has positively affected companies involved in silver mining, such as Hunan Silver, which reported a 59.56% increase in revenue year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025 [8]. - Companies using silver as a raw material face cost pressures but are implementing strategies to mitigate these impacts, such as adjusting production and procurement models [8][9]. Cost Management Strategies - Companies like Dike Co. and Weiteou have adopted hedging strategies and pricing agreements to manage the cost pressures from rising silver prices, ensuring profit stability [9].

Core Viewpoint - The National Day holiday has historically been a peak shopping period in China, and this year coincides with record-high gold prices, further fueling the demand for precious metals [1] Group 1: Gold Price Trends - The uncertainty caused by the U.S. government shutdown has heightened investors' risk aversion, leading to a continuous rise in international gold prices, which reached $3,885.66 per ounce on October 3, marking a year-to-date increase of approximately 48% [2] - Domestic gold jewelry prices have also surged, with brands like Chow Sang Sang and Chow Tai Fook reporting increases in gold prices per gram, reflecting the rising international gold prices [2][3] Group 2: Consumer Behavior - Many consumers believe that gold prices will continue to rise, leading to a "buy high, not low" mentality, which has kept the demand for gold jewelry strong during the holiday [2] - Young consumers are increasingly focused on design and affordability, opting for lighter gold items that meet their decorative needs without imposing significant financial pressure [2][3] - Some consumers are prioritizing "fixed-price" gold items, which are expected to increase in price by up to 30% starting in October, indicating a shift in purchasing behavior towards perceived value and design [3] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The rising gold prices have not significantly shifted demand towards platinum and silver, as consumers still prefer gold for its perceived investment value and design variety [5][6] - Although there is some interest in silver as a more affordable alternative, the overall demand remains limited compared to gold, which continues to dominate the wedding jewelry market [6]

Core Viewpoint - The rising gold prices during the National Day holiday have intensified consumer interest in gold jewelry, particularly among young couples preparing for weddings, despite the financial pressure it creates [1][2][4]. Group 1: Gold Price Trends - International gold prices reached a record high of $3,885.66 per ounce on October 3, with a year-to-date increase of approximately 48% [2]. - Domestic gold jewelry prices have also risen, with brands like Chow Sang Sang and Chow Tai Fook increasing their prices to 1,136 RMB and 1,129 RMB per gram, respectively, reflecting increases of 25 RMB and 21 RMB since September 30 [2][3]. Group 2: Consumer Behavior - Many consumers believe that gold prices will continue to rise, leading to a "buy high, not low" mentality, which has kept the demand for gold jewelry strong during the holiday [2][3]. - Young consumers are increasingly interested in affordable, stylish gold items, such as small pendants and thin bracelets, which meet their decorative needs without causing significant financial strain [2][3]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The demand for traditional wedding gold items remains robust, with many couples purchasing gold jewelry in advance due to anticipated price increases [2][4]. - There is a notable interest in "fixed-price" gold items, which are perceived as more suitable for consumers with limited budgets, as they focus on design rather than weight [3][4]. Group 4: Alternative Precious Metals - Silver and platinum are experiencing limited spillover effects as alternatives to gold, despite silver's significant price increase of approximately 66% year-to-date [5][6]. - Consumers still prioritize gold for wedding purchases due to its perceived value retention and the broader range of designs available compared to silver and platinum [6].

Group 1 - Precious metal prices have strengthened, with international gold prices rising for the fifth consecutive trading day, reaching a record high of $3553.8 per ounce on COMEX and spot gold surpassing $3480 per ounce, nearing the historical high set in April [1] - Spot silver prices have also broken the $40 per ounce mark for the first time since 2011, with a year-to-date increase of over 40%, currently reported at $40.574 per ounce, reflecting a 2.22% rise [1] Group 2 - Domestic gold stocks surged, with companies like Zhongjin Gold, Western Gold, and Hunan Gold hitting the daily limit, while Shandong Gold and Chifeng Gold rose over 7% [3] - Some gold jewelry brands have also seen price increases, with Chow Tai Fook and Luk Fook Jewelry's gold physical prices rising to 1027 yuan, an increase of 1.18% [3] Group 3 - Analysts indicate that the upward potential for gold remains significant, driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut and recent inflation data showing a 2.9% year-on-year increase in the core personal consumption expenditure price index [4] - In August, international gold prices saw a cumulative increase of over 5%, marking the best monthly performance since April [4] - Financial institutions suggest that the long-term outlook for gold remains positive due to ongoing global economic pressures and geopolitical risks, with recommendations for continued investment in gold [4] Group 4 - The market has seen a trend towards "gold substitutes," particularly silver and platinum, as consumers seek more affordable alternatives to gold jewelry amid rising gold prices [5] - Analysts believe that precious metals still have further upward potential, with silver and platinum maintaining long-term investment value, although short-term trading risks may increase [5][6] Group 5 - Silver possesses not only safe-haven and monetary attributes but also significant industrial properties, making it a more complex investment compared to gold [6] - The volatility of silver is higher than that of gold, which may increase investment difficulty, prompting experts to advise investors to clarify their investment objectives to avoid impulsive decisions [6]