政策利率

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瑞典央行副行长扬松:当前维持政策利率不变是明智之举,应等待更多信息,以便更清楚地了解经济活动和通胀前景。
news flash· 2025-05-14 07:35
瑞典央行副行长扬松:当前维持政策利率不变是明智之举,应等待更多信息,以便更清楚地了解经济活 动和通胀前景。 ...
瑞典央行副行长扬松:当前的政策利率处于一个良好的水平,能够帮助我们应对未来经济和通胀的上行和下行意外。
news flash· 2025-05-14 07:35
瑞典央行副行长扬松:当前的政策利率处于一个良好的水平,能够帮助我们应对未来经济和通胀的上行 和下行意外。 ...
瑞典央行行长特登:如果不将政策利率降至低于目前水平,瑞典中期通胀率将会低于2%的目标。
news flash· 2025-05-14 07:35
瑞典央行行长特登:如果不将政策利率降至低于目前水平,瑞典中期通胀率将会低于2%的目标。 ...
美联储理事Cook:预计特朗普政府的贸易政策和相关的不确定性将在短期内拖累生产率的增长,这可能促使美联储在更长时间内维持政策利率不变。由于生产率下降,潜在经济增速的下滑将带来更大的通胀压力。在其他条件相同的情况下,较低的生产率可能会促使我支持在更长时间内将利率保持在较高水平。由于企业不知道关税的最终水平或持续时间,贸易政策的不确定性可能会减少商业投资,从而影响生产率。如果保护主义贸易政策支持效率较低的公司,或者如果这些变化导致供应链中断,生产率也可能受到影响。人工智能可以在未来几年提高美国的生产率,潜在地抵
news flash· 2025-05-10 00:10
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve Governor Cook anticipates that the trade policies and related uncertainties of the Trump administration will dampen productivity growth in the short term, potentially leading the Fed to maintain policy interest rates unchanged for a longer period [1] Group 1: Economic Impact - A decline in productivity and a slowdown in potential economic growth will likely increase inflationary pressures [1] - Lower productivity, under unchanged conditions, may lead to support for keeping interest rates elevated for an extended duration [1] Group 2: Trade Policy Uncertainty - Uncertainty regarding the final levels and duration of tariffs may reduce business investment, thereby impacting productivity [1] - If protectionist trade policies favor less efficient companies or disrupt supply chains, productivity could also be adversely affected [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - Artificial intelligence has the potential to enhance U.S. productivity in the coming years, potentially offsetting the negative impacts of trade policies [1]
美联储主席潜在候选人:美联储归咎外部因素致通胀担忧实为自损信誉
news flash· 2025-05-09 18:37
美联储主席潜在候选人:美联储归咎外部因素致通胀担忧实为自损信誉 金十数据5月10日讯,被认为是明年美联储主席潜在候选人的凯文·沃什表示,美联储对"关税加征可能 阻碍通胀管控"的担忧属于自损信誉。沃什称:"当美联储断言通胀会因价格水平的外部变化而受到影 响,那么他们在某种程度上就是在承认一些有损自身利益的事情。他们是在承认自身信誉已经受 损。"沃什另指出,庞大且经常不断扩大的美联储资产负债表可能会与设定短期借贷利率的主要政策杠 杆相互矛盾,但"如果印钞机能够安静下来,我们就可以降低政策利率"。 ...
前美联储理事沃什:如果美联储缩减资产负债表,政策利率可能更低。
news flash· 2025-05-09 16:45
Core Viewpoint - Former Federal Reserve Governor Walsh suggests that if the Federal Reserve reduces its balance sheet, the policy interest rates could potentially be lower [1] Group 1 - The reduction of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet may lead to a decrease in policy interest rates [1]
挪威央行:通胀仍高于目标。如果提前降低政策利率,物价可能会继续快速上涨。
news flash· 2025-05-08 08:07
挪威央行:通胀仍高于目标。如果提前降低政策利率,物价可能会继续快速上涨。 ...
有望带动LPR调降!7天逆回购操作利率今起下调
Guang Zhou Ri Bao· 2025-05-08 07:24
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 158.6 billion yuan on May 8, with the operation rate adjusted from 1.50% to 1.40%, resulting in a net injection of 158.6 billion yuan as there were no reverse repos maturing that day [1] - PBOC Governor Pan Gongsheng indicated that the market-driven interest rate transmission is expected to lead to a 0.1 percentage point decrease in the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) starting from May 8, which will also guide commercial banks to lower deposit rates accordingly [1] - Analysts believe that the reduction in the 7-day reverse repurchase rate aims to lower the LPR, thereby reducing financing costs for the real economy and enhancing financial support for economic growth [2] Group 2 - The LPR has remained unchanged for six consecutive months as of April 21, indicating a period of stability in lending rates prior to the recent adjustments [2]
冠通期货早盘速递-20250508
Guan Tong Qi Huo· 2025-05-08 01:20
Group 1: Hot News - The People's Bank of China announced on May 7th to cut the deposit - reserve ratio by 0.5 percentage points, providing about 1 trillion yuan of long - term liquidity to the market, and lower the deposit - reserve ratio of auto finance companies and financial leasing companies from 5% to 0% [2] - The PBOC decided to cut the personal housing provident fund loan interest rate by 0.25 percentage points starting from May 8th, 2025 [2] - The PBOC decided to cut the re - loan interest rate by 0.25 percentage points starting from May 7th, 2025 [2] - Vice - Premier He Lifeng will visit Switzerland from May 9th - 12th and hold talks with the US side. The talks are held at the US request, and China's stance against US tariff abuse remains unchanged [3] - The Fed kept the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25% - 4.50%, in line with market expectations. Traders still expect three rate cuts this year [3] Group 2: Sector Performance - Key sectors to focus on: glass, soda ash, asphalt, coking coal, urea [4] - Night - session performance: non - metallic building materials rose 2.58%, precious metals rose 31.40%, oilseeds and oils rose 11.78%, soft commodities rose 2.71%, non - ferrous metals rose 19.66%, coal - coking - steel - minerals rose 12.63%, energy rose 2.51%, chemicals rose 12.07%, grains rose 1.85%, and agricultural and sideline products rose 2.81% [4] Group 3: Asset Performance - Equity: Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.80% daily, 1.94% monthly, and - 0.27% year - to - date; S&P 500 rose 0.43% daily, 1.12% monthly, and - 4.26% year - to - date; Hang Seng Index rose 0.13% daily, 2.59% monthly, and 13.12% year - to - date [7] - Fixed - income: 10 - year Treasury bond futures fell 0.19% daily, - 0.14% monthly, and - 0.07% year - to - date; 5 - year Treasury bond futures fell 0.08% daily, - 0.10% monthly, and - 0.51% year - to - date [7] - Commodities: CRB commodity index fell 0.85% daily, 0.34% monthly, and - 2.35% year - to - date; WTI crude oil fell 1.84% daily, - 0.33% monthly, and - 19.35% year - to - date; London spot gold fell 1.95% daily, 2.31% monthly, and 28.20% year - to - date [7] - Others: US dollar index was flat daily, - 0.38% monthly, and - 8.50% year - to - date; CBOE volatility was flat daily, 0.24% monthly, and 42.71% year - to - date [7]
时间定了!央行明日降息,你的存款利率会受到影响吗
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-07 13:35
5月7日,中国人民银行宣布推出一揽子货币政策措施,旨在稳定市场预期和提振经济活力。其中,公开市场7天期逆回购操作 利率将于5月8日起由1.50%调整为1.40%,下降幅度为0.1个百分点。 7天逆回购操作利率是央行政策利率之一。目前我国市场基准利率以政策利率为中枢运行,并通过银行体系传导至贷款利率。 这也意味着,在本次降息后,包括个人住房按揭贷款在内的银行贷款利率,乃至多层次的市场主体融资成本都会进一步下降。 值得注意的是,商业银行维持稳健经营、防范金融风险,需要保持合理利润和净息差水平。在政策利率下行背景下,商业银行 净息差目前已降至历史最低水平,截至去年四季度末为1.52%。 调降存款利率是商业银行维持合理净息差水平的方式之一。金融监管政策专家周毅钦对《每日经济新闻》记者表示,此次降息 后,存款利率仍有下降空间,以维持净息差水平。此外,考虑到当前经济形势、中美贸易关系和货币政策目标,预计今年在必 要时,政策利率仍存在进一步下行的可能性。 历年来7天期逆回购操作利率走势 降低政策利率0.1个百分点,预计带动LPR同幅度下行 5月7日早间,中国人民银行发布公开市场业务公告(2025)第1号。 公告显示,为实施 ...