12月16日热门路演速递丨前瞻2026：新质生产力、港股与商业航天如何 布局？ 01 核心看点： 2026年宏观经济"修复式增长"下如何实现再平衡？市场策略"攻守易形"将如何影响资产配置？金融工程 领域的基准库落地又怎样推动投资进入工具化新时代？本次策略会将从宏观、策略与金融工程三维度解 析新蓝图。 2026年宏观经济将如何影响指数化投资布局？创业板50ETF作为新质生产力代表具备哪些估值优 势？"黄金+"策略在当前利率环境下如何增强资产组合韧性？港股与海外市场又存在哪些结构性机会？ 嘉宾： 扫码预约 李超丨浙商证券首席经济学家、研究所联席所长 倪斌丨指数与量化投资部副总监、基金经理 苏卿云丨指数与量化投资部副总监，基金经理 许之彦丨华安基金总经理助理，首席指数投资官 王立新丨世界黄金协会中国区CEO 徐灵琳丨指数与量化投资部 分析师/主持人 02 西部证券 | 新蓝图 新突破 - 2026年度策略会年度策略报告巡礼之总量篇上午场 9:30-12:00 指数专场：指数赋能，积木星球（上） | 实力为鞍，乘势笃行——华安基金2026马年 投资嘉年华 09:00-11:30 核心看点： 嘉宾： 边泉水丨西部证券宏 ...

Domestic News - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is promoting the implementation of a long-term assessment mechanism for medium and long-term funds, aiming to develop equity public funds and promote high-quality development of index investment [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has granted approval for the first batch of L3-level conditional autonomous driving vehicles, marking a significant step towards commercial application in designated areas of Beijing and Chongqing [1] Economic Data - In November, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 43,898 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.3% but a month-on-month decrease of 0.42% [2] - From January to November, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) totaled 444,035 billion yuan, down 2.6% year-on-year, while excluding real estate development investment, it grew by 0.8% [2] - The total import and export value in November was 38,987 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 4.1%, accelerating by 4.0 percentage points compared to the previous month [2] Real Estate Market - In November, the sales prices of commercial residential properties in 70 large and medium-sized cities showed a month-on-month decline, with first-tier cities experiencing a 0.4% decrease in new residential prices and a 1.1% decrease in second-hand residential prices [2] - Year-on-year, new residential prices in first-tier cities fell by 1.2%, while second-hand residential prices dropped by 5.8%, with both declines widening compared to the previous month [2] Employment Data - The average urban survey unemployment rate from January to November was 5.2%, with November's rate at 5.1%, unchanged from the previous month [3] - The unemployment rate for local registered labor was 5.3%, while for migrant labor it was 4.7%, with agricultural migrant labor at 4.4% [3] Industry Standards - The China Gold Association has released a group standard for the "Gold Exchange for Old" business, marking a move towards a more standardized, professional, and transparent development phase [3] - The Shanghai Arbitration Commission is set to introduce new arbitration rules for securities and futures, with the official unveiling scheduled for December 26, 2024 [3]

Group 1: Autonomous Driving - China's first batch of L3 conditional autonomous driving vehicles has received approval for road testing in designated areas of Beijing and Chongqing, marking a significant step towards commercialization [1] - The two approved models include an electric sedan capable of 50 km/h in congested traffic and another capable of 80 km/h on highways and urban expressways, both limited to specific routes [1] Group 2: Financial Sector Reforms - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has initiated reforms to enhance the inclusivity and attractiveness of the capital market, focusing on the implementation of the "1+6" reform measures for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [3][10] - The CSRC aims to promote high-quality development in the private equity fund sector and expedite the pilot program for commercial real estate REITs [10] - A new round of corporate governance initiatives will be launched to encourage quality companies to increase dividend payouts and share buybacks [11] Group 3: Company Financials - Cambrian Technology plans to use approximately 2.78 billion yuan from its capital reserve to offset accumulated losses, with the aim of bringing its negative retained earnings to zero by the end of 2024 [8] - TCL Technology intends to acquire a 10.7656% stake in Shenzhen Huaxing Semiconductor for 6.045 billion yuan, increasing its ownership from 84.21% to 94.98%, to enhance its competitiveness in the semiconductor display industry [12] Group 4: Currency and Real Estate Market - The onshore and offshore RMB against the USD reached a 14-month high, with the onshore rate peaking at 7.0500 and the offshore rate at 7.046, indicating a favorable external environment for the RMB [13] - In November 2025, the sales prices of commercial residential properties in 70 major cities in China showed a month-on-month decline, with first-tier cities experiencing a 0.4% decrease in new residential prices [14]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the recent week, the TMT sector led the gains, and there were filings for three non - ferrous ETFs. The overall performance of ETFs in different markets and sectors varied, with some showing gains and others experiencing setbacks. The funds flowing into and out of different index - based ETFs also presented distinct trends [1][2]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Index Product Establishment, Fund - raising, and Filing - **Product Establishment and Listing**: In the recent week, 4 ETF products such as Dongcai CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF and Boshi CSI Bank ETF were listed, and 11 products including Baoying CSI A500 Index Enhancement A were established. Multiple CSI Science and Technology Innovation and Entrepreneurship Artificial Intelligence ETFs from Huatai - Ber瑞 and E Fund were recently established and listed [1][4][5]. - **Product Issuance Information**: In the coming week, 18 index products will end their fund - raising, including Changxin Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation Comprehensive Index Enhancement A. Nine index products will start fund - raising, such as GF China Securities Industrial Software Theme ETF [1][6]. - **Product Filing Information**: A total of 34 index products were filed in the recent week. With the upward trend of non - ferrous metals in the past few months, the attention on non - ferrous ETF products has further increased. Penghua, Boshi, and Invesco Great Wall filed for non - ferrous related ETFs [1][8]. 3.2 ETF Market Review - **Overall Market Performance**: In the recent week (2025/12/8 - 2025/12/12), the major broad - based A - share ETFs showed mixed performance. The Growth Enterprise Market 50ETF and Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF had relatively high gains of 2.92% and 1.86% respectively. The major broad - based Hong Kong and US ETFs slightly pulled back, with the Hang Seng ETF and Nasdaq ETF falling 1.00% and 1.92% respectively. Among commodity ETFs, the non - ferrous ETF rose 1.33%, while the energy and chemical ETF had a significant decline of - 3.31% [2][11]. - **Sector - Specific Performance**: The technology sector had the highest gains among major industries in the recent week. The communication ETF had the highest increase of 6.85%. In the broad - based category, the Growth Enterprise Market 50ETF rose 2.92%, and in the cyclical category, the coal ETF had a relatively high decline of - 3.88% [2][13]. 3.3 ETF Fund Flows - **Overall Scale**: As of December 12, 2025, there were 1304 ETFs in the entire market, with a latest total scale of 5662.825 billion yuan, an increase of 16.933 billion yuan compared to the previous week. The A - share and cross - border ETFs ranked first and second in terms of scale, with 3642.161 billion yuan and 935.749 billion yuan respectively [21]. - **Fund Inflows and Outflows**: Among non - monetary ETFs in the recent week, the ETFs targeting the CSI A500 had the largest net inflow of funds, reaching 9.694 billion yuan, while the ETFs targeting the Growth Enterprise Market Index had the largest net outflow of funds, amounting to 3.148 billion yuan [24].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The TMT sector led the gains on December 15, 2025, and three ETFs in the non - ferrous sector were filed for application. The performance and fund flow of ETFs showed significant differences across different markets and sectors [1] 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Index Product Establishment, Fund - raising, and Application - **Product Establishment and Listing**: In the past week, 4 ETF products such as Dongcai CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF and Bosera CSI Bank ETF were listed, and 11 products including Baoying CSI A500 Index Enhancement A were established. Many CSI Science and Technology Innovation and Entrepreneurship Artificial Intelligence ETFs were recently established and listed [1][5] - **Product Issuance Information**: In the coming week, 18 index products will end their fund - raising, including Changxin Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation Board Comprehensive Index Enhancement A. Nine index products will start fund - raising, such as GF Guozheng Industrial Software Theme ETF [1][7] - **Product Application Information**: A total of 34 index products were applied for in the past week. With the rising trend of non - ferrous metals in the past few months, the attention of non - ferrous ETF products has further increased. Three non - ferrous sector ETFs were applied for, including Penghua and Bosera's application for the CSI Industrial Non - ferrous Metals Theme ETF and Invesco Great Wall's application for the CSI Non - ferrous Metals Mining Theme ETF [1][9] 3.2 ETF Market Review - **Overall Market Performance**: In the past week (December 8 - 12, 2025), the main broad - based ETFs in the A - share market showed mixed performance. The Growth Enterprise Market 50ETF and the Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF had relatively high increases of 2.92% and 1.86% respectively. The main broad - based ETFs in the Hong Kong and US stock markets slightly corrected, with the Hang Seng ETF and the Nasdaq ETF falling 1.00% and 1.92% respectively. Among commodity ETFs, the non - ferrous ETF rose 1.33%, while the energy and chemical ETF fell 3.31% [2][11] - **Industry - based Performance**: The major industry ETFs also showed mixed performance. The technology category had the highest increase this week, with the communication ETF having the highest increase of 6.85%. Among the broad - based categories, the Growth Enterprise Market 50ETF rose 2.92%, and among the cyclical categories, the coal ETF had a relatively high decline of 3.88% [2][13] - **Cross - border ETF Performance**: In the past week, the main broad - based indices of cross - border markets showed mixed performance, with the Topix Index having the highest increase of 1.82%. Among global market - corresponding ETFs, the Huatai - Peregrine CSI KRX Korea - China Semiconductor ETF rose 1.59%, and the Huaan Germany 30 (DAX) ETF rose 1.13% [16] - **Non - currency ETF Performance**: Among non - currency ETFs, the Huaxia Growth Enterprise Market Artificial Intelligence ETF led the gains with a return of 7.40% in the past week, while the Huifutong Nasdaq 100ETF was relatively lagging with a return of - 4.67% [19] 3.3 ETF Fund Flow - **Overall ETF Scale**: As of December 12, 2025, there were 1,304 ETFs in the entire market, with a total scale of 5,662.825 billion yuan, an increase of 16.933 billion yuan from the previous week. The A - share and cross - border ETFs ranked top two in terms of scale, with values of 3,642.161 billion yuan and 935.749 billion yuan respectively. The scale of A - share ETFs increased by 100.95 billion yuan in the past week [21] - **Net Inflow and Outflow of Non - currency ETF Funds**: Among non - currency ETFs, the ETFs with the CSI A500 as the underlying had the largest net inflow of funds, with an inflow of 9.694 billion yuan. The ETFs tracking the Growth Enterprise Market Index had the largest net outflow, with a total outflow of 3.148 billion yuan [24] - **High - inflow and High - liquidity ETFs**: In the past week, the Southern CSI A500ETF and the Harvest CSI AAA Science and Technology Innovation Corporate Bond ETF had relatively high fund inflows of 3.771 billion yuan and 2.648 billion yuan respectively. The Haifutong CSI Short - term Financing ETF led in liquidity, with an average daily trading volume of 317.89 billion yuan in the past week, and the Huaxia Shanghai Stock Exchange Benchmark Market - making Treasury Bond ETF also had relatively high liquidity, with an average daily trading volume of 103.05 billion yuan [28]

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has outlined five key measures to enhance market stability and promote high-quality companies following the Central Economic Work Conference [1][2]. Group 1: Market Stability and Company Quality - The CSRC emphasizes the importance of strengthening the market's inherent stability and fostering a group of high-quality listed companies [1]. - A new round of corporate governance initiatives will be launched to encourage quality companies to increase dividend payouts and share buybacks [1]. - The implementation of a long-term assessment mechanism for medium and long-term funds will be promoted, alongside the development of equity public funds and high-quality index investment [1]. Group 2: Risk Monitoring and Policy Guidance - The CSRC will enhance cross-market, cross-industry, and cross-border risk monitoring and control, while reinforcing counter-cyclical adjustments and establishing a long-term market stabilization mechanism [1]. - There will be a focus on policy interpretation and expectation management, ensuring timely responses to market concerns and reinforcing the reputation management responsibilities of industry institutions and listed companies [1]. Group 3: Reform and Development - The CSRC is committed to reforming the capital market to improve its inclusiveness and attractiveness, including the implementation of deepened reforms for the ChiNext board and accelerating the rollout of the "1+6" reform measures for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [1]. - The development of the private equity fund industry will be promoted, with plans to launch pilot projects for commercial real estate REITs and research new key futures products [1]. Group 4: Regulatory Enhancement - The CSRC will enhance regulatory enforcement effectiveness, leveraging technology to combat financial fraud, insider trading, market manipulation, and misappropriation of private fund assets [2]. - New regulations for listed companies will be introduced, and efforts will be made to revise laws and regulations in key areas such as securities companies and investment funds [2].

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is focusing on enhancing market stability, promoting high-quality development of public funds, and improving regulatory effectiveness following the recent Central Economic Work Conference [1] Group 1: Market Stability - The CSRC aims to fully implement a long-term assessment mechanism for medium and long-term funds to enhance the inherent stability of the market [1] - There is a strong emphasis on the development of equity public funds and promoting high-quality development of index-based investments [1] Group 2: Reform and Attractiveness - The meeting highlighted the need to promote high-quality development in the private equity fund sector [1] - The CSRC plans to expedite the pilot program for commercial real estate REITs and explore the introduction of new key futures products [1] Group 3: Regulatory Effectiveness - The CSRC is committed to strengthening regulatory enforcement through technology and will continue to combat financial fraud, insider trading, market manipulation, and misappropriation of private equity fund assets [1] - There is a push to introduce new regulations for listed companies and actively cooperate in revising laws and regulations in key areas such as securities companies and investment funds [1]

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) emphasizes the importance of capital market work as highlighted in the recent Central Economic Work Conference, aiming for high-quality economic development and stability in employment, enterprises, and market expectations [1] Group 1: Strategic Planning - The CSRC will actively participate in the formulation of the national "14th Five-Year" plan and establish a systematic framework for the capital market's development goals and tasks over the next five years [1] Group 2: Market Stability - The focus will be on cultivating a high-quality group of listed companies and enhancing corporate governance, encouraging companies to increase dividend payouts and share buybacks [2] - The CSRC aims to strengthen long-term funding mechanisms and promote the development of equity public funds and index investments [2] - There will be an emphasis on cross-market and cross-border risk monitoring and management, as well as improving the long-term stability mechanisms of the market [2] Group 3: Reform Initiatives - The CSRC plans to implement reforms in the ChiNext board and accelerate the rollout of the "1+6" reform measures for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [2] - The development of private equity funds will be prioritized, along with the introduction of new key futures products and the pilot of commercial real estate REITs [2] - The CSRC will enhance the attractiveness of the capital market by optimizing the Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (QFII) system and improving the efficiency of overseas listing filings [2] Group 4: Regulatory Enhancements - The CSRC will leverage technology to enhance regulatory effectiveness and combat financial fraud, insider trading, and market manipulation [2] - New regulations for listed companies will be introduced, and revisions to laws governing securities companies and investment funds will be actively pursued [2] Group 5: Internal Governance - The CSRC is committed to strengthening party discipline and oversight within its system, ensuring the party's leadership in capital market operations [3] - There will be a focus on enhancing the accountability and supervision of public power in key areas [3] - The CSRC aims to build a robust regulatory team that balances strict management with incentives [3] Group 6: Year-End Focus - The CSRC is tasked with ensuring the successful completion of the "14th Five-Year" capital market initiatives while maintaining risk prevention and stability [3]

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is focusing on cultivating a high-quality group of listed companies and initiating a new round of corporate governance actions to enhance dividend and share buyback efforts among quality firms [1] Group 1: Corporate Governance and Quality Companies - The CSRC is launching a new round of corporate governance initiatives aimed at guiding quality companies to increase their dividend and share buyback activities [1] - There is an emphasis on the importance of long-term funding mechanisms and the development of equity public funds to support high-quality index investment [1] Group 2: Risk Monitoring and Market Stability - The CSRC is strengthening cross-market, cross-industry, and cross-border risk monitoring and control to enhance market stability [1] - There is a focus on reinforcing counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustments to establish a long-term market stabilization mechanism [1] Group 3: Policy Communication and Market Narrative - The CSRC aims to improve policy interpretation and expectation management, responding promptly to market concerns [1] - There is a commitment to holding industry institutions and listed companies accountable for reputation management and effectively communicating the "stock market narrative" [1]

本期《投资热点说》特别邀请到鹏华基金固收领域的专家——鹏华基金现金投资部副总经理张佳蕾、现 金投资部基金经理王中兴，深度拆解2026年债券投资新机遇和新选择！ （查看精彩直播回看） 访谈金句 2025年债券市场"稳健中藏机遇"，信用债不仅成为机构配置的"香饽饽"，个人投资者也纷纷加码。2025 年债市发生了哪些关键变化？2026年债券市场该怎么投？还能继续拥抱"稳稳的幸福"吗？今年火爆的科 创债ETF，普通投资者该怎么选？ 王中兴：我们认为2026年债券市场的核心机会将主要围绕"确定性"和"收益增厚"两条主线展开，具体体 现在以下三大领域：第一，中高等级信用债的票息价值领域。第二，具有政策红利的主题债券领域。第 三，利率债的波段交易性机会。 张佳蕾：与场外债券指数产品相比，科创债ETF在产品设计上具备一些特点和优势：交易便捷，申赎高 效。第二，持仓高度透明，便于穿透管理。第三，一键配置科创债主题。第四，可质押融资，资金使用 效率更高。 张佳蕾：我建议将债券指数产品作为长期配置的"压舱石"，而将优秀的主动型债基视为可能的收益增强 选择 王中兴：主动管理是"艺术"，依赖基金经理的智慧；指数化管理是"科学"，依赖严 ...