日前，国家发展改革委印发《教育强国和就业促进专项企业实训基地领域中央预算内投资专项管理办 法》。 办法指出，企业实训基地项目应由企业主导建设，重点支持技能人才缺口大的新兴领域以及吸纳就业能 力强的传统行业，主要向本企业、产业链上下游企业职工开展技能实训，并积极拓展社会培训功能。 企业实训基地项目重点支持建设实训场地、实训设施设备以及必要的辅助设施，支持利用现有培训场 所、闲置土地、厂房仓库等场所改扩建。不支持一般性企业生产线或生产设备，宿舍、食堂等辅助设施 以及其他与实训无关的设施设备。 办法明确，本专项安排的中央预算内投资，根据实际情况采取投资补助、贴息等方式。采用投资补助方 式的，支持比例为项目核定总投资的20%，单个项目的支持上限为1亿元。采用贴息方式的，贴息资金 总额根据项目符合贴息条件的贷款总额、当年贴息率和贴息年限计算确定。年度投资计划安排到具体项 目。国家另有规定的， 执行相关规定。 来看办法全文—— 教育强国和就业促进专项企业实训基地领域中央预算内投资专项管理办法 第六条 本专项中央预算内投资应当用于前期手续齐全、具备开工条件的计划新开工或在建项目，不得 用于已完工（含试运行）项目。改扩建项目 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that special bonds are crucial for driving effective investment, with a cumulative issuance of 11.35 trillion yuan since the 20th National Congress, supporting around 90,000 projects in areas like infrastructure and public welfare [1] - As of August 2, 2023, local governments have issued a total of 21,710.65 billion yuan in new local bonds this year, with special bonds accounting for 17,772.69 billion yuan, representing 45.57% of the annual quota of 39,000 billion yuan [1] - Compared to the same period last year, the issuance of new local bonds has slowed down, with last year's total at 30,504.62 billion yuan, where special bonds made up 25,708.30 billion yuan, or 67.65% of the annual quota of 38,000 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The Ministry of Finance aims to accelerate the issuance and utilization of special bonds, focusing on new infrastructure and industries, with allocations favoring regions with well-prepared projects [2] - A recent meeting of the Political Bureau of the Central Committee emphasized the need to speed up the issuance of special bonds and utilize long-term special treasury bonds to support major national strategies and enhance safety capabilities in key areas [2] - It is expected that the issuance of local government bonds will significantly accelerate in the next three months, with an estimated issuance of around 20,000 billion yuan in August and September, maintaining levels similar to the previous year [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significance of the Phoenix Neck Pump Station in the Yangtze River Water Diversion Project, which is part of China's major water conservation and supply initiatives [1] Group 1: Project Overview - The Yangtze River Water Diversion Project is one of China's 172 major water conservancy projects aimed at water conservation and supply [1] - The project integrates multiple functions including water supply, navigation, and ecological preservation [1] Group 2: Infrastructure Details - The Phoenix Neck Pump Station is located in Wuhu City, Anhui Province, and serves as a key hub for the West Zhaohua Line of the water diversion project [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the spot prices of coking coal continued to rise, with the price of Mongolian 5 raw coal quoted at 1050 - 1100 yuan/ton and the price of Anze low - sulfur prime coking coal at 1400 - 1450 yuan/ton. The third round of price increases for coke spot was implemented, and the fourth round was initiated on Sunday, expected to be officially implemented on Monday. The coking coal and coke futures experienced sharp fluctuations during the week, with significant changes in price and spreads [4]. - The coking coal market: Domestically, coal mines that had reduced or suspended production due to environmental protection and inventory issues are gradually resuming production, but at a slow pace. The daily customs clearance volume of Mongolian coal at ports has returned to normal, and the import profit of overseas coal is continuously improving, which is expected to be reflected in the arrival volume in 1 - 2 months. The rebound in the futures market has driven the speculative demand for spot coking coal, leading to a rapid price increase and stimulating downstream coking plants to replenish raw material inventories. The short - term demand for coking coal has been boosted, and the inventory structure has improved significantly [4]. - The coke market: Due to the sharp increase in the price of coking coal, the losses of coking plants have widened, and their production enthusiasm is average. With the implementation of the third - round price increase and the ongoing pursuit of the fourth round, and considering the high profits of steel products, coke has a basis for further price increases. The demand for coke is strong, with high iron - making water production, rigid procurement demand from steel mills, and active participation of futures - cash traders in the market [5]. - After the Dalian Commodity Exchange restricted the daily opening volume of coking coal futures on Friday night, the coking coal futures market experienced a sharp decline, and related industrial futures also tumbled. If the speculative demand that entered the market earlier is unwound, the outflow of off - balance - sheet inventory will impact the spot market. Coking plants are currently in a wait - and - see mode, with insufficient motivation to continue replenishing inventories. Further price increases require the introduction of more than expected macro - policies. It is recommended to wait and see for unilateral trading and focus on the reverse spread of coking coal 9 - 1 for arbitrage [6]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Weekly Balance Sheet - **Coking Coal**: The total supply of coking coal has shown certain fluctuations. In Week 27 (2025/7/25), the coking coal production was 977.08 million tons, and the net import was 190 million tons, with a total supply of 1167.08 million tons. The theoretical iron - making water supply and the actual iron - making water production also had differences, and the explicit inventory decreased by 69.57 million tons compared to the previous week [8]. - **Coke**: The total supply of coke also fluctuated. In Week 27 (2025/7/25), the coke production was 782.32 million tons, and the net export was 10.88 million tons, with a total domestic supply of 771.44 million tons. The theoretical iron - making water supply and the actual iron - making water production had differences, and the explicit inventory decreased by 7.42 million tons compared to the previous week [8]. 3.2 Key News This Week - **Macro News**: China's Politburo member and Vice - Premier He Lifeng will hold economic and trade talks with the US in Sweden from July 27 - 30. The National Development and Reform Commission and the State Administration for Market Regulation are soliciting opinions on the revised draft of the Price Law [11]. - **Industry News**: Shagang raised the price of scrap steel by 50 yuan/ton. The third - round price increase of coke was fully implemented. Steel enterprises at the Shaanxi - Shanxi - Sichuan - Gansu Steel Enterprises Summit Forum agreed to strengthen industry self - discipline. The Dalian Commodity Exchange restricted the daily opening volume of coking coal futures [13][14]. 3.3 Data Overview - **Coking Coal and Coke Weekly Data**: The operating rate of 523 coking coal mines increased by 0.83 percentage points to 86.9%, and the daily average raw coal production increased by 1.86 million tons to 194.74 million tons. The operating rate of 110 coal - washing plants decreased by 0.54 percentage points to 62.31%, and the daily average cleaned coal production decreased by 1.23 million tons to 52.145 million tons. The total inventory of coking coal decreased by 69.57 million tons to 2982.88 million tons. The total inventory of coke decreased by 7.42 million tons to 918.23 million tons [16]. - **Coking Coal and Coke Futures Prices**: The basis and spreads of coking coal and coke futures showed significant changes. For example, the basis of coking coal (Tangshan Mongolian 5) decreased by 203 yuan/ton compared to the previous week, and the 9 - 1 spread decreased by 10 yuan/ton [18]. - **Coking Coal and Coke Spot Prices**: The spot prices of coking coal and coke generally increased. For example, the ex - factory price of Anze low - sulfur prime coking coal increased by 150 yuan/ton to 1450 yuan/ton, and the ex - factory price of Luliang quasi - first - grade wet coke increased by 100 yuan/ton to 1130 yuan/ton [19]. - **Price, Profit, and Spread**: The coking profit was negative, and the import profit of some coking coals improved. The ratio of coking coal to thermal coal increased from 2.0732 to 2.4123 [20]. 3.4 Coking Coal Supply and Inventory - Mines: The capacity utilization rate of 523 coking coal mines was 86.9%, with an increase of 0.8 percentage points. The daily average raw coal production was 194.7 million tons, an increase of 1.9 million tons, and the raw coal inventory decreased by 79.3 million tons to 536.0 million tons. The daily average cleaned coal production was 77.7 million tons, an increase of 0.7 million tons, and the cleaned coal inventory decreased by 60.6 million tons to 278.4 million tons [63]. - Coal - washing Plants: The operating rate of 110 coal - washing plants was 62.31%, a decrease of 0.55 percentage points. The daily average production was 52.15 million tons, a decrease of 1.23 million tons. The raw coal inventory decreased by 6.16 million tons to 292.53 million tons, and the cleaned coal inventory decreased by 15.93 million tons to 175.61 million tons [65]. - Ports: The inventory of imported coking coal at 16 ports decreased by 41.46 million tons to 512.04 million tons [65]. 3.5 Coke Supply and Inventory - Independent Coking Plants: The capacity utilization rate was 73.45%, an increase of 0.44 percentage points. The daily average coke production was 64.60 million tons, an increase of 0.39 million tons, and the coke inventory decreased by 7.43 million tons to 80.12 million tons. The total coking coal inventory increased by 56.27 million tons to 985.38 million tons [96]. - Steel Mills: The daily average coke production was 47.16 million tons, an increase of 0.07 million tons. The coke inventory increased by 0.99 million tons to 639.98 million tons. The coking coal inventory increased by 8.41 million tons to 799.51 million tons [96]. - Ports: The inventory of coke at 18 ports decreased by 2.38 million tons to 250.33 million tons [96]. 3.6 Steel Production and Inventory - 247 steel mills: The blast furnace operating rate was 83.46%, remaining unchanged from the previous week, and the iron - making capacity utilization rate was 90.81%, a decrease of 0.08 percentage points. The daily average iron - making water production was 242.23 million tons, a decrease of 0.21 million tons [130]. - Steel Supply and Demand: The production of five major steel products was 866.97 million tons, a decrease of 0.1%. The total steel inventory was 1336.5 million tons, a decrease of 0.1%. The steel consumption was 868.13 million tons, with an increase of 2.7% in building material consumption and a decrease of 1.7% in plate consumption [130]. 3.7 Coal and Coke Import and Export - Coking Coal Import: The import volume of coking coal showed certain fluctuations, and the import structure also changed. The import volume from Mongolia, Russia, and other countries had different trends [169]. - Coke Export: The export volume of coke and semi - coke also showed seasonal changes, and the export profit also fluctuated [180][194].

Group 1: Central Budget Investment - The central budget investment of 735 billion yuan has been largely allocated, focusing on modern industrial systems, infrastructure, new urbanization, rural revitalization, regional development, green development, and social welfare projects [1] - This year's investment direction has been optimized, increasing support for social welfare and reducing the financial burden on local governments [1][2] - The early allocation of central budget investment reflects a proactive fiscal policy in response to economic pressures, particularly in the real estate sector and insufficient domestic demand [1] Group 2: Economic Performance of Central Provinces - The economic performance of six central provinces shows a positive trend, with five provinces exceeding the national growth rate of 5.3% [3] - Hubei province leads with a GDP growth rate of 6.2%, while Henan follows at 5.7%, indicating strong investment, consumption, and export activities [3][4] - The economic disparity among these provinces is notable, with Shanxi facing challenges due to its reliance on coal and a less favorable business environment [4] Group 3: U.S. Manufacturing and Services Sector - The U.S. Markit manufacturing PMI fell to 49.5, indicating contraction, while the services PMI rose to 55.2, reflecting a divergence in economic performance [5][6] - The overall economic growth in the U.S. is uneven, with the services sector supporting growth despite manufacturing challenges [7] Group 4: Bank Deposit Rates - Average interest rates for short-term deposits have dropped significantly, with 3-month deposit rates entering the "0" range [8] - The decline in deposit rates is linked to a broader trend of decreasing loan rates, impacting banks' profitability [9] Group 5: Intel's Financial Performance - Intel reported a second-quarter revenue of $12.9 billion but faced a significant loss of $2.9 billion, a 81% increase in losses year-over-year [10] - The new CEO has shifted the company's strategy away from aggressive expansion, focusing on confirmed customer orders for future investments [10][11] Group 6: Country Garden's Debt Restructuring - Country Garden is expected to complete its overseas debt restructuring by the end of the year, having reached an agreement with bondholders for a $178 million compensation payment [12][13] - The restructuring plan has gained support from over 75% of bondholders, providing the company with a critical opportunity to alleviate its debt burden [13] Group 7: Chinese Companies Listing in the U.S. - There has been a significant increase in Chinese companies listing in the U.S., with 50 companies going public this year, a 78.57% increase from last year [14][15] - Despite the increase in listings, the total fundraising amount has decreased by 57.91%, indicating a shift in the fundraising landscape [14] Group 8: Stock Market Performance - The stock market experienced fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing down 0.33% amid mixed sector performance [16][17] - The market is showing signs of increased activity, with a notable rise in trading volume and a rotation of sector performance [17]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The domestic economy continued to recover in the first half of the year, with GDP growing by 5.3% year-on-year and a 1.1% quarter-on-quarter increase in Q2, providing strong support for the full - year GDP growth target of around 5%. In June, industrial production increased slightly, while fixed - asset investment and social retail sales declined slightly, and the unemployment rate remained stable at a low level. However, the price level was under pressure, with PPI in the negative growth range for seven consecutive months, indicating insufficient demand and supply - demand imbalance. In terms of financial data, social financing grew more than expected, credit demand improved marginally, and deposit activation increased. Against the backdrop of the stable economic development in the first half of the year, the urgency of large - scale incremental policies in the second half may decrease [93]. - In the overseas market, the US July S&P Global Composite PMI rebounded more than expected, with strong growth in the service sector, indicating that the economy's internal momentum remains resilient. The labor market is stable, with the number of initial jobless claims reaching the lowest level since April. Trade tensions have eased, with recent trade agreements between the US and Japan and progress in US - EU tariff negotiations. However, the independence of US policies is challenged as the US president visited the Fed to pressure for interest rate cuts, increasing concerns about the politicization of monetary policy. Given the strong economic data, the probability of an interest rate cut in the short term is further reduced, and policy path uncertainty may increase [93]. - Affected by policy themes such as "anti - involution" and Yajiang Water Conservancy Project construction, the equity market continued to strengthen, and the bond market continued to adjust, with long - term bonds performing significantly worse than short - term bonds. If the relevant details of the "anti - involution" policy are further introduced, it will continue to put pressure on the bond market in the short term. Due to the weak economic recovery and loose liquidity, the adjustment space for long - term bonds may be limited, and interest - rate bonds are likely to continue the pattern of weakening in a volatile manner. It is necessary to focus on the sustainability of the strong performance of risk assets. Operationally, it is recommended to observe the adjustment of Treasury bond futures in the short term and allocate after the market stabilizes [94]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1. Market Review - **Weekly Data**: The 30 - year, 10 - year, 5 - year, and 2 - year Treasury bond futures main contracts fell by 2.05%, 0.61%, 0.43%, and 0.13% respectively. The trading volumes of the main contracts of TS, TF, T, and TL all decreased, as did their open interests [11][15][30]. - **Treasury Bond Futures Market Review**: The trading volumes and open interests of the main contracts of TS, TF, T, and TL all decreased [30]. 3.2. News Review and Analysis - **Key News Review**: As of the end of Q2, the balance of RMB real - estate loans was 53.33 trillion yuan, with a year - on - year increase of 0.4%. The balance of individual housing loans was 37.74 trillion yuan, with a year - on - year decrease of 0.1%. Foreign investment in RMB bonds increased, with the total amount of foreign - held RMB bonds exceeding $600 billion. Foreign investment in domestic stocks improved, with a net increase of $10.1 billion in stocks and funds in H1, and a net increase of $18.8 billion in May and June. Vice - Premier He Lifeng will go to Sweden for Sino - US economic and trade talks from July 27 - 30. The 2025 central budgetary investment of 735 billion yuan has been basically allocated, focusing on modern industrial systems, infrastructure, new urbanization, and rural revitalization. The Ministry of Commerce will take measures to combat strategic mineral smuggling. The US - Japan trade agreement was reached, with the US reducing the "reciprocal tariff" on Japan from 25% to 15%, and Japan increasing US rice imports and investing $550 billion in the US. The US July S&P Global Manufacturing PMI dropped to 49.5, while the service and composite PMIs reached new highs since December 2024 [33][34]. 3.3. Chart Analysis - **Spread Changes**: The spread between 10 - year and 5 - year yields, and between 10 - year and 1 - year yields widened slightly. The spread between 2 - year and 5 - year main contracts widened, while the spread between 5 - year and 10 - year main contracts narrowed. The 10 - year contract's inter - period spread widened slightly, the 30 - year contract's inter - period spread narrowed slightly, and the 2 - year and 5 - year contracts' inter - period spreads widened [42][46][52]. - **Treasury Bond Futures Main Position Changes**: The net long positions of the top 20 holders of the T main contract increased slightly [62]. - **Interest Rate Changes**: Overnight Shibor, 1 - week, 2 - week, and 1 - month interest rates all increased, and the weighted average DR007 rate rebounded to around 1.65%. The yields of Treasury bonds weakened, with 1 - 7Y yields rising by 3.5 - 7.3bp, and 10Y and 30Y yields rising by 5.9bp and 6.3bp to 1.74% and 1.96% respectively. The spreads between Chinese and US 10 - year and 30 - year Treasury bond yields narrowed slightly [66][70]. - **Central Bank Open - Market Operations**: The central bank conducted 1.6563 trillion yuan in reverse repurchases, 400 billion yuan in MLF injections, with 1.7268 trillion yuan in reverse repurchases and 200 billion yuan in MLF maturing, resulting in a net injection of 109.5 billion yuan. The weighted average DR007 rate rebounded to around 1.51% [73]. - **Bond Issuance and Maturity**: This week, bonds worth 1.578232 trillion yuan were issued, with a total repayment of 1.757588 trillion yuan, resulting in a net financing of - 179.357 billion yuan [77]. - **Market Sentiment**: The central parity rate of the US dollar against the RMB was 7.1419, with a cumulative increase of 79 basis points this week. The spread between the offshore and onshore RMB weakened. The 10 - year US Treasury bond yield and the VIX index both decreased slightly. The 10 - year Treasury bond yield increased significantly, and the A - share risk premium increased [82][87][90]. 3.4. Market Outlook and Strategies - The domestic economy continues to recover, but the price level is under pressure. Overseas, the US economy is resilient, but policy uncertainty increases. Affected by policy themes, the bond market continues to adjust. It is recommended to observe the adjustment of Treasury bond futures in the short term and allocate after the market stabilizes [93][94].

Core Viewpoint - The central government has allocated 735 billion yuan for investment this year, focusing on various key areas such as modern industrial systems, infrastructure, new urbanization, rural revitalization, regional coordinated development, openness, green development, and social welfare projects [1] Investment Focus - The allocation of central budget investments has been optimized this year, with increased support for social welfare and other key areas [1] - There is a notable increase in the proportion of investment support directed towards local governments, which helps alleviate their financial burdens [1] Implementation and Oversight - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) plans to expedite the execution of investment plans and project construction to generate more tangible outcomes [1] - There will be a focus on regular monitoring and post-event supervision to ensure that funds are effectively utilized and to enhance overall benefits [1]

Group 1 - The central budget investment for 2025 has been largely allocated, focusing on key areas such as modern industrial systems and infrastructure [1] - The investment supports projects related to new urbanization, rural revitalization, regional coordinated development, and opening up to the outside world [1] - Additional focus areas include green development, social welfare, national security modernization, and post-disaster recovery [1]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content Group 2: Report Core View - Macroscopically, Trump's tax letter will impose tariffs ranging from 25% to 40% on 14 countries such as Japan and South Korea starting August 1st, and the EU may be close to an agreement. Goldman Sachs has advanced the expected time for the Fed to cut interest rates by three months, possibly in September, with a terminal interest rate of 3% - 3.25%. Fundamentally, there is significant uncertainty about the resumption progress of tin mines in Myanmar's Wa State, and Thailand has banned the transit of tin mines from Myanmar, restricting tin ore import supply. The Bisie mine in Congo plans to resume production in phases, and currently, tin ore processing fees remain at historically low levels. On the smelting side, the Yunnan production area faces a combination of raw material shortages and cost pressures, while the waste recycling system in the Jiangxi production area is under pressure, and the operating rate remains at a low level. On the demand side, after the rush to install photovoltaic equipment ended, the operating rates of some producers decreased, and the electronics industry entered the off - season with a strong wait - and - see sentiment. Recently, tin prices have corrected, the spot premium has been maintained at 400 yuan/ton, and downstream purchasing enthusiasm at low prices has increased, leading to a slight decrease in domestic inventories. Overseas inventories continue to decline, LME cancelled warrants have increased, and the premium has risen. Technically, positions have decreased, and both long and short sides are cautious. Attention should be paid to the support of MA60, and the price has returned to the previous trading range. It is recommended to wait and see for now, with a reference range of 262,000 - 268,000 yuan/ton [3] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Futures Market - The closing price of the main futures contract of Shanghai tin was 263,520 yuan/ton, a decrease of 3,730 yuan; the price of LME 3 - month tin was 33,770 US dollars/ton, a decrease of 35 US dollars. The closing price difference between the August - September contracts of Shanghai tin was - 150 yuan/ton, a decrease of 70 yuan. The position of the main contract of Shanghai tin was 28,262 lots, a decrease of 2,457 lots. The net position of the top 20 futures was - 398 lots, an increase of 362 lots. The total inventory of LME tin was 2,110 tons, a decrease of 55 tons. The inventory of tin in the Shanghai Futures Exchange was 7,198 tons, an increase of 243 tons. The cancelled warrants of LME tin were 640 tons, a decrease of 25 tons. The warehouse receipts of tin in the Shanghai Futures Exchange were 6,868 tons, an increase of 61 tons [3] 2. Spot Market - The spot price of SMM 1 tin was 264,700 yuan/ton, a decrease of 2,100 yuan; the spot price of 1 tin in the Yangtze River Non - ferrous Metal Market was 267,110 yuan/ton, a decrease of 710 yuan. The basis of the main contract of Shanghai tin was 3,280 yuan/ton, an increase of 3,230 yuan. The LME tin premium (0 - 3) was 22 US dollars/ton, an increase of 64 US dollars [3] 3. Upstream Situation - The import volume of tin ore and concentrates was 12,100 tons, a decrease of 2,900 tons. The average price of 40% tin concentrate was 255,300 yuan/ton, a decrease of 1,700 yuan; the processing fee of 40% tin concentrate was 10,500 yuan/ton, unchanged. The average price of 60% tin concentrate was 259,300 yuan/ton, a decrease of 1,700 yuan; the processing fee of 60% tin concentrate was 6,500 yuan/ton, unchanged [3] 4. Industry Situation - The monthly output of refined tin was 14,000 tons, a decrease of 1,600 tons; the import volume of refined tin was 3,762.32 tons, an increase of 143.24 tons [3] 5. Downstream Situation - The price of 60A solder bars in Gejiu was 173,170 yuan/ton, a decrease of 1,180 yuan. The cumulative output of tinplate (strip) was 1.6014 million tons, an increase of 144,500 tons. The export volume of tinplate was 140,700 tons, a decrease of 33,900 tons [3] 6. Industry News - Trump issued tariff letters to 14 countries, imposing a 25% tariff on imported goods from Japan and South Korea starting August 1st, 25% - 40% tariffs on countries such as Malaysia, South Africa, Indonesia, Myanmar, and Thailand, and an additional 10% tariff on any country that aligns with the anti - US policies of the BRICS countries. He also signed an executive order to extend the suspension period of reciprocal tariffs until August 1st. White House officials said that specific country tariffs would not be叠加 with industry tariffs. China has newly allocated 10 billion yuan in central budgetary investment to carry out a work - for - relief action to expand employment and increase income for key groups [3]

Core Viewpoint - The National Development and Reform Commission emphasizes the need to enhance effective investment and implement "two heavy" constructions, focusing on both "hard investment" and "soft construction" to improve project execution and investment efficiency [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The commission plans to optimize the direction of central budget investments and expedite the issuance of central budget investment plans [1] - There will be a management system for local government special bonds, including a "negative list" for investment directions and a "positive list" for project capital contributions [1] - The establishment of new policy-based financial tools aims to address the issues of insufficient project construction capital and matching funds [1] Group 2: Encouraging Private Investment - The initiative includes support and encouragement for the development of private investment [1] - There will be efforts to promote high-quality projects to private capital [1] - The implementation of a new mechanism for public-private partnerships (PPP) will be standardized [1]