以下文章来源于人神共奋 ，作者思想钢印 人神共奋 . 财经专栏作家，虎嗅&雪球2020年度十佳作者 本文来自微信公众号： 人神共奋 （ID：tongyipaocha） ，作者：思想钢印，题图来自：AI生成 一、看似投资，实为投机？ 教育是一项长远的投资，这个理念已经深入人心，特别是在中国这个全球最注重家庭教育的国家，但 如果从投资的定义来看，教育并不是投资，而更像是投机。 首先要给一个大家都认可的投资与投机的区别，下面的两组观点，你觉得哪一组更属于投资而不是投 机？ 很多人认为教育是投资，因为回报的差异是明确的，985高校毕业生的平均起薪，可能是普通双非本 科的一倍以上，未来还会越拉越大。 A：买彩票，希望中大奖 B：指数基金长期定投 A：买ST博重组，希望短期快速翻番 B：买入红利基金，希望获得长期的股息回报 A：听别人的小道消息，买入所谓有"内幕"的公司 B：对上市公司进行大量基本面的研究，并制定详细的投资计划 虽然投资与投机没有绝对的界限，但每一组的A明显都比B更符合投机的特点： 投资：回报概率高、风险相对可控，有确定性，同时决策过程也是理性。 投机：风险大、结果不确定，可能高收益，也可能大亏，或者决策 ...

一、看似投资，实为投机？ 教育是一项长远的投资，这个理念已经深入人心，特别是在中国这个全球最注重家庭教育的国家，但如 果从投资的定义来看，教育并不是投资，而更像是投机。 首先要给一个大家都认可的投资与投机的区别，下面的两组观点，你觉得哪一组更属于投资而不是投 机？ A：买彩票，希望中大奖 B：指数基金长期定投 投机：风险大、结果不确定，可能高收益，也可能大亏，或者决策过程很随意。 对照这两个特征，教育其实更近似于投机而不是投资。 很多人认为教育是投资，因为回报的差异是明确的，985高校毕业生的平均起薪，可能是普通双非本科 的一倍以上，未来还会越拉越大。 但投资考虑的不是回报，而是投入回报比。如果有一个方法，可以保证你家孩子考入985/211，未来拿 高薪，那教育当然算投资，可存在这样的方法吗？就连大概率考上的方法都不存在。 高学历的家长付出十几年的时间，搞坏了亲子关系，最后子女学历仍然是不确定的；花几百万去欧美留 学一圈，回国能提高的收入，大概率赚不回学费钱，想留下，更是小概率事件。 A：买ST博重组，希望短期快速翻番 B：买入红利基金，希望获得长期的股息回报 A：听别人的小道消息，买入所谓有"内幕"的公司 ...

Core Viewpoint - Harmony Health Insurance has been reducing its holdings in several listed companies due to its operational needs, while its financial disclosures remain outdated, raising concerns about transparency and governance [2][11]. Group 1: Shareholding and Reduction Activities - Harmony Health Insurance has reduced its stake in Goldwind Technology by 8.77 million shares, with the latest reduction occurring on September 12, 2025 [2]. - The company plans to reduce its holdings in Wanda Information by up to 3% over the next three months, which would lower its stake to below 2% [2]. - Since March 2023, Harmony Health Insurance has made multiple reductions in its holdings of Goldwind Technology, totaling approximately 4.71 billion yuan [5]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Reporting - The company has not disclosed its annual report since 2016, and its solvency report is only updated to the first quarter of 2017, leading to a lack of clarity regarding its current operational status [2][9]. - As of 2024, Harmony Health Insurance reported total assets of 452.05 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.64%, and operating revenue of 75.33 billion yuan, up 30.27% year-on-year [9][10]. - The company has shifted its product strategy to focus on regular premium products, which has begun to show positive results in its operational performance [10]. Group 3: Management and Governance - Following a change in shareholders in 2020, the company has been under a transitional period, which has now ended, yet it still has not published key operational reports [9][11]. - The management structure remains unsettled, with several key positions still filled temporarily, indicating potential instability in governance [10][11]. - The company has approved a strategic development plan for 2025-2027, which aims to enhance its operational framework and investment strategies [10].

Core Insights - Sunshine Insurance reported a stable performance for the first half of the year, with total premium income reaching 80.81 billion yuan, an increase of 5.7% [2] - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.39 billion yuan, growing by 7.8% [2] - Total investment income for the first half amounted to 10.7 billion yuan, reflecting a significant growth of 28.5% [2] Insurance Business Performance - Sunshine Life, a subsidiary of Sunshine Insurance, generated total premium income of 55.44 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 7.1% [2] - The new business value for Sunshine Life was 4.01 billion yuan, with a comparable year-on-year growth of 47.3% [2] - Sunshine Property & Casualty Insurance reported original insurance premium income of 25.27 billion yuan, up by 2.5% year-on-year [2] Financial Position - Sunshine Insurance's total assets surpassed 600 billion yuan for the first time, reaching 625.56 billion yuan as of June 30 [2] - The equity attributable to shareholders decreased by 10.1% compared to the end of the previous year, amounting to 55.84 billion yuan [2] - The fluctuation in net assets is a challenge faced by multiple insurance companies following the new accounting standards [2] Investment Performance - As of June 30, the total investment asset scale of Sunshine Insurance was 591.86 billion yuan, with total investment income of 10.7 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 28.5% [2] - Investment income reported in the profit statement was 6.35 billion yuan, an increase of 42.3%, primarily due to higher dividend income and trading gains from investment assets [2]

Group 1: Investment-Linked Insurance - Investment-linked insurance combines protection and investment features, where part of the premium covers basic risks (such as death or total disability) and the other part is invested by the insurance company, allowing users to receive dividends or investment returns based on the company's profits [1] - Advantages include dual functionality of protection and investment, potential for premium refunds or cash value accumulation after a certain holding period, and higher flexibility in adjusting coverage or accessing cash value for financial planning [1] - It can help mitigate inflation expectations if investment returns perform well over the long term [1] Group 2: Disadvantages of Investment-Linked Insurance - Disadvantages include uncertain returns, lower coverage amounts compared to pure protection insurance for the same premium, high premium costs, poor liquidity, and complex terms that may lead to user misunderstandings [3] Group 3: Critical Aspects of Disease Insurance - Disease insurance focuses on providing financial protection against medical expenses, income loss, or rehabilitation costs due to illness, categorized into fixed benefit and reimbursement types [5] - It offers high coverage leverage for significant medical expenses, with clear payout mechanisms such as "payout upon diagnosis" for critical illness and reimbursement for actual medical expenses [6] - Premiums are generally stable, allowing for easier financial planning, and the terms are straightforward, making it easier for users to understand their coverage [7][8] Group 4: Comparison of Insurance Types - Investment-linked insurance focuses on both protection and investment, suitable for users with sufficient budgets seeking stable financial management, while disease insurance is purely for risk protection, ideal for those prioritizing disease risk transfer [9] - The cost of investment-linked insurance is typically higher, while disease insurance can be categorized as low to medium cost depending on the type [9] - The risk of investment returns is borne by the user in investment-linked insurance, whereas the insurance company assumes the risk in disease insurance, providing users with guaranteed coverage [9] Group 5: Recommendations for Insurance Selection - It is recommended to prioritize basic protection (such as critical illness and medical insurance) before considering investment-linked products for asset planning [9] - Users with limited budgets should opt for pure protection disease insurance first, while those with ample funds seeking long-term investment can cautiously consider investment-linked products, being aware of their investment limitations [9]

Group 1: Insurance Shareholding Trends - In 2025, insurance companies made a total of 19 shareholding announcements, involving 16 companies, with 13 of these being Hong Kong stocks[1] - Out of the 19 announcements, 9 were related to bank stocks, with 7 specifically targeting Hong Kong banks[4] - As of the end of Q1 2025, the market value of bank shares held by insurance companies was approximately CNY 265.78 billion[5] Group 2: Investment Concentration in Banking Sector - Among the top 7 banks in the Hang Seng Financial Index, insurance institutions held a combined market value exceeding CNY 560 billion, accounting for over 58% of the total market value excluding general corporations[6] - The total market value of insurance companies' stock holdings was around CNY 2.8 trillion, with the aforementioned 7 bank stocks representing about 20% of this total[6] - The market value of bank shares held by insurance companies reached CNY 116.94 billion, with over half of this amount in bank stocks[26]