子行业周度核心观点： 风电：金风科技发布强势半年报，制造端盈利同比大幅改善 4.2pct，带动风机制造分部盈利实现自 22 年以来的首次 转正，海外业务开拓继续加速；国家能源集团等多个央国企启动风机集采招标，8月以来央国企风机招标规模约8.3GW， 环比 6、7 两月实现明显修复，中标均价维持较好水平，持续推荐整机环节。 AIDC：本周液冷板块盘整，我们长期且坚定地看好国内企业在全球液冷市场的地位提升所带来的持续性的板块投资机 会；英特尔 UQD（快接头）互插互换联盟正式成立；DeepSeek-V3.1 正式发布，使用的 UE8M0 FP8 Scale 参数精度为 针对下一代国产芯片设计的 8 位浮点精度格式。 光伏&储能：光伏产业座谈会"召集"与"参会"主体扩容，"反内卷"行动规格再次提升，后续行政力量加码值得期 待；美国对印关税临近实施、出口退税政策存调整预期影响下，7 月光伏出口淡季不淡；海外储能市场高景气持续， 后续展望乐观，持续推荐：阳光电源、阿特斯 等。 锂电：关注 6F 提价。六氟磷酸锂价格持续拉升，原料端支撑叠加市场现货偏少，实际成交价格走高，企业普遍非高 价不成交，截至到本周四，六氟磷酸锂市 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook for selected companies within the electric power equipment and new energy sector [3]. Core Insights - The photovoltaic sector is experiencing demand front-loading, with supply-side reforms needing close observation. The report emphasizes that significant demand growth is essential for market expansion, but limited absorption capacity and mismatched demand in overseas markets complicate the situation. Policy intervention is deemed crucial for the industry's recovery [1][13]. - In the energy storage segment, demand remains robust, but market dynamics are shifting. The report expresses optimism about large-scale storage despite concerns that it may follow the path of photovoltaics. The focus is on high-quality products and integrated service solutions, with expectations for profit margins to stabilize around 20-25% [2][7]. - The lithium battery sector faces challenges due to weak pricing power in the materials segment, driven by supply-demand imbalances. The report notes that the industry's effective capacity utilization is projected to hover around 60-65%, with leading battery manufacturers exerting significant influence over pricing and production cycles [6][12]. Summary by Sections Photovoltaics - Demand has been front-loaded, leading to a significant increase in installations, with 212.21 GW added in the first half of 2025, a 107.1% year-on-year increase. However, the market saw a sharp decline in June, indicating potential overcapacity and absorption issues [13][16]. - The report highlights the need for supply-side reforms and policy support to stabilize the industry, as the current market dynamics are characterized by a mismatch between supply and demand [1][19]. Energy Storage - The report indicates a positive outlook for large-scale energy storage, with expectations for profit margins to stabilize at 20-25%. The competitive landscape is evolving, with a focus on high-quality integrated solutions [2][7]. - The report also notes that the distributed energy storage market is entering a new phase, with competition intensifying and previous easy profits becoming harder to achieve [5][12]. Lithium Batteries - The lithium battery sector is experiencing a lack of pricing power in the materials segment, with effective capacity utilization projected at 60-65%. The report suggests that leading manufacturers are likely to dominate pricing and production cycles, impacting smaller players [6][12]. - The report emphasizes the need for material suppliers to adapt through cost reduction and technological advancements to remain competitive in a challenging market [6][12]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the electric new energy sector is in a phase of "repeated games," with expectations for growth and recovery being tempered by market realities. The priority for sector recovery is seen as energy storage, followed by power batteries and photovoltaics [7][8]. - Selected companies such as Tongwei Co., Longi Green Energy, and Aiko Solar are highlighted as potential investment opportunities due to their competitive advantages in management, cost, and technology [8].

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Outperforming the Market" [1] Core Insights - The commercial and industrial energy storage sector is experiencing a boom, while the rhythm of photovoltaic shipments is adjusting. In June 2025, China's total export value of solar cells and modules was $2.2 billion, down 24.2% year-on-year and 8.6% month-on-month, with an estimated total export volume of 30.03 GW, up 9.3% year-on-year and down 8.4% month-on-month [2] - The inverter exports in June 2025 totaled $917 million, with a year-on-year and month-on-month change of -0.06% and +10.64%, respectively. The export scale reached 5.1289 million units, down 12.4% year-on-year and 13.06% month-on-month [2] - The European inverter channel status has returned to health, with strong demand for commercial energy storage. The overall export value remains stable above 2 billion yuan, with active demand in key Asian markets such as India, Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Southeast Asia [2] - The past year has seen a decline in the photovoltaic storage industry, with no clear bottom performance in financial reports. However, the production changes and price trends suggest that 2024-2025 may represent a bottoming period for industry profits [3] - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Canadian Solar, JA Solar, Junda Co., Sungrow Power, Foster, Deye, Jinlang Technology, Shenghong Co., Dike Co., and Flat Glass [3] Summary by Sections - In June 2025, the export volume of photovoltaic modules to Europe was 9.03 GW, down 6.95% month-on-month, while exports to non-European markets reached 221 GW, up 19.26% year-on-year [2] - The report highlights the performance of various provinces in inverter exports, with Zhejiang exporting 1.9836 million units, Jiangsu 426,500 units, Guangdong 1.6482 million units, and Anhui 59,400 units in June 2025 [2] - The report emphasizes that the supply-side issues in the photovoltaic industry have led to losses in old capacities and delays in new projects, with irrational competition and policy guidance accelerating capacity clearance [3]

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Outperforming the Market" [1] Core Insights - The solar storage industry in Asia remains vibrant, while the European market is returning to a reasonable state. In May 2025, China's total export value of solar cells and modules was $2.407 billion, down 14.8% year-on-year but up 7% month-on-month, with an estimated total export volume of 32.79 GW, up 22% year-on-year and 12.7% month-on-month [2][3] - The European market continues to recover, with demand and inventory replenishment both showing positive trends. In May, China's exports of solar modules to Europe reached 9.7 GW, marking a new high in recent months, up 7.38% month-on-month. The export volume to markets outside Europe was 23.09 GW, up 44.83% year-on-year and 15.16% month-on-month [2][3] - In terms of inverters, the total export value in May 2025 was $831 million, with a year-on-year and month-on-month increase of 6.52% and 2.63%, respectively. The export scale reached 5.8994 million units, up 26.18% year-on-year and 30.25% month-on-month [2][3] Summary by Sections Export Data - In May 2025, the Netherlands exported 3.57 GW of solar modules, down 36.94% year-on-year and down 0.56% month-on-month. Spain exported 0.74 GW, down 16.23% year-on-year and down 17.40% month-on-month. Germany's exports were 0.49 GW, up 24.95% year-on-year and 14.68% month-on-month [14] - Notable performances include Pakistan, which exported 2.45 GW, up 156.30% year-on-year, and Australia, with 0.64 GW, up 57.84% year-on-year [14] Market Dynamics - The report indicates that the solar storage industry has experienced a decline in market conditions over the past year, with no clear bottom in performance metrics. However, the period of 2024-2025 may represent a bottoming out for industry profits, with potential differentiation in financial performance among companies [3] - The demand for solar storage installations globally is driven by grid parity and energy transition, while supply-side issues have led to losses in older capacities and delays in new projects. The inverter segment is expected to recover first due to higher competitive barriers, indicating a more favorable market structure and larger market space for leading solar storage companies [3]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the offshore wind sector, particularly highlighting the potential for significant growth in European offshore wind projects and the expected increase in orders for related companies [7][6]. Core Insights - The offshore wind sector is experiencing a positive outlook with successful project milestones, such as the Jiangsu Guoxin Dafeng offshore wind project achieving its first power delivery and aiming for grid connection [7]. - The U.S. "Great American Outdoors Act" has introduced more lenient supply chain requirements, which is expected to benefit energy storage projects significantly [8]. - The lithium battery sector is seeing a resurgence in traditional orders and advancements in solid-state battery technology, with major manufacturers receiving large-scale orders [14][11]. Summary by Relevant Sections Offshore Wind - Jiangsu Guoxin Dafeng offshore wind project successfully completed its first power delivery, with expectations for initial grid connection within the month [7]. - The 2025 Offshore Wind Conference in Liaoning set a target of 13.1GW for offshore wind development, indicating strong future demand [7]. - European offshore wind demand is projected to double this year, with significant order growth anticipated [7]. Solar & Energy Storage - The U.S. Senate's version of the "Great American Outdoors Act" has relaxed certain supply chain restrictions, which is favorable for energy storage projects [8]. - After a peak in domestic installations, solar exports have rebounded, with May exports showing a month-on-month increase [8]. - The report highlights the potential for overseas markets to support solar demand in the second half of 2025 [8]. Lithium Batteries - The solid-state battery sector is moving towards industrialization, with major manufacturers receiving MWh scale orders [14]. - The report emphasizes the need for equipment upgrades in solid-state battery production, which is expected to yield higher value compared to traditional equipment [14]. - LG Energy Solution has secured an 8GWh order for cylindrical batteries from Chery, marking a significant contract in the lithium battery market [11]. New Energy Vehicles - The Chinese government has confirmed the continuation of the vehicle trade-in subsidy program, which is expected to stabilize market demand [15]. - The report notes a strong recovery in the overall vehicle market, particularly in the second half of the year, driven by new vehicle launches and subsidy support [15]. - The report anticipates a robust demand for new energy vehicles, with significant sales growth expected in the coming months [15]. Power Grid - The export of major electrical equipment has shown strong growth, with May exports reaching $6.49 billion, a year-on-year increase of 18% [18]. - The report highlights the ongoing demand for power grid equipment, particularly in overseas markets, which is expected to remain high [18]. - The report suggests that leading companies in the power grid sector are well-positioned to capture greater market share due to their comprehensive capabilities [20].

Core Viewpoint - The company aims to expand its solar power capacity significantly while navigating regulatory changes and enhancing its project portfolio both domestically and internationally [2][5]. Group 1: Company Operations and Strategy - By the end of 2025, the company targets a total operational, under construction, and planned solar power capacity exceeding 13.6 GW [2]. - As of the end of 2024, the company operates approximately 6.076 GW of solar power stations, with about 2.081 GW under construction and a project reserve of around 17 GW [3]. - The company is actively exploring various types of energy storage projects, including commercial storage and independent storage, while also researching advanced storage technologies [4]. Group 2: Regulatory and Market Environment - The implementation of the 136 document and its guidelines is a critical focus for the renewable energy sector, influencing future development strategies [2]. - The company is closely monitoring the rollout of electricity trading policies across different provinces to adapt its operational strategies accordingly [2]. Group 3: International Expansion - The company has established an overseas business department and is in discussions with relevant authorities in Sri Lanka, Indonesia, and Uzbekistan, with a signed MOU with the Kyrgyzstan National Investment Agency [5]. - The focus for the next two years will be on accelerating investments in solar power projects along the Belt and Road Initiative [5]. Group 4: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a main revenue of 1.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.8%, and a net profit of 289 million yuan, down 17.62% year-on-year [8]. - The company has a debt ratio of 52.22% and financial expenses amounting to 141 million yuan, with a gross profit margin of 44.79% [8].

Group 1: Industry Impact and Company Strategy - The release of Document No. 136 significantly influences the industry, promoting technological advancements to reduce the cost of solar power generation and fostering high-quality development in the renewable energy sector [3] - The company aims to optimize its investment model, conduct thorough research, assess risks, and select projects to achieve cost-effectiveness and maximize value creation [3] Group 2: Financial Projections and Capital Expenditure - In 2025, the company targets a total scale of over 13.6 GW for operational, under-construction, and planned solar power stations, with an expected increase of approximately 1.5 GW compared to 2024 [4] - The estimated total investment for solar power stations in 2025 is around 6 billion CNY, assuming a cost of approximately 4 CNY per watt, with a capital ratio typically between 20%-30% [4] Group 3: Profit Growth Drivers - Future profit growth will stem from three main areas: expanding solar power station capacity, optimizing investment models, and enhancing operational management to improve revenue stability [5] - The company plans to transition towards an integrated energy-saving solar solution provider, focusing on differentiated products and brand development to enhance competitiveness and profitability [5] Group 4: Regional Development and Market Expansion - The company has a higher installed capacity in the central and eastern regions due to favorable consumption and pricing conditions, with plans to continue developing projects in these areas [6] - There is an ongoing effort to expand into overseas solar power markets, particularly in countries along the "Belt and Road" initiative, with a balanced regional development strategy [6] Group 5: Market Value Management - The company emphasizes market value management through enhancing intrinsic value, improving asset quality, optimizing information disclosure, and maintaining stable annual dividends [7] - Share repurchase plans have been approved by the shareholders' meeting, and the company will proceed with related actions as authorized [7]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Insights - The inverter growth trend is stabilizing, and there are signs of recovery in battery components. In March 2025, China's total export value of solar battery modules was $2.463 billion, down 23.5% year-on-year but up 47.8% month-on-month, corresponding to an export volume of 31.80 GW, which is an increase of 8.7% year-on-year and 46.3% month-on-month. The export of solar battery components to Europe reached 8.1 GW, the highest in recent months, while exports to markets outside Europe amounted to 23.7 GW, up 23.84% year-on-year [2] - In March 2025, the total export value of inverters was $633 million, up 5.68% year-on-year, with an export scale of 3.7324 million units, an increase of 12.83% year-on-year. The recovery of downstream demand in Europe and the restoration of channel inventory have contributed to this growth [2] Summary by Sections Export Data - In March 2025, the export volume of solar modules to various countries included: Netherlands 3.05 GW (-37.27% YoY, +28.85% MoM), Spain 0.84 GW (+10.22% YoY, +116.00% MoM), Germany 0.33 GW (-24.41% YoY, +50.29% MoM), and others [14] Market Dynamics - The report indicates that the solar storage industry has experienced a decline in prosperity over the past year, but 2024 may represent a bottoming out for industry profits. The demand for grid parity and energy transition remains a fundamental driver for solar storage installations globally [4]

Key Points - The article discusses the recent developments in the renewable energy sector, particularly focusing on solar energy, wind energy, electric vehicles, and hydrogen fuel cells, highlighting the positive trends and potential investment opportunities in these industries [1][15][43]. New Energy - Shanghai Marine Bureau released the "Shanghai Marine Industry Development Plan (2025-2035)" focusing on offshore renewable energy [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission issued guidelines to promote high-quality development of the renewable energy green power certificate market [1] - Domestic solar power installations in January-February reached 39.47 GW, a year-on-year increase of 7% [4] - The export of solar battery components remained stable, with a total export of 47.7 GW in January-February, a decrease of 3% year-on-year [8] Wind Energy - The Shanghai Marine Bureau announced plans to promote deep-sea wind power projects, indicating a strong push for offshore wind energy development [15] - The global wind turbine market saw a total installation of 121.6 GW in 2024, with offshore wind accounting for 11.7 GW [18] - Domestic wind turbine manufacturers are expected to increase their market share overseas, driven by competitive pricing [19] Electric Vehicles & Lithium Batteries - NIO and CATL signed a strategic cooperation agreement to build a comprehensive battery swap network [38] - The sales of electric vehicles in China showed significant growth, with 42.7 million units sold in the first half of March, a year-on-year increase of 41% [28] - BYD launched its new models, Han L and Tang L, with competitive pricing and advanced technology [31] Hydrogen and Fuel Cells - Central state-owned enterprises are leading green hydrogen demonstration projects, with a significant increase in project bids [43] - The installation of fuel cell systems in January-February remained stable, with a total installed capacity of 40.84 MW [44]

Investment Rating - The report rates the electricity energy industry as "Outperforming the Market" [1][53]. Core Viewpoints - The industry is expected to outperform the CSI 300 index over the next six months due to favorable fundamentals [1][53]. - Recent performance shows that the electricity equipment index has outperformed the CSI 300 index by 1.40 percentage points, with a decline of 0.83% compared to a 2.22% drop in the CSI 300 [5][11]. Market Performance - During the period from February 24 to February 28, 2025, the CSI 300 index fell by 2.22%, while the electricity equipment index decreased by 0.83%, ranking 15th among 31 first-level industries [5][12]. - The top-performing sub-sectors within the electricity energy category included batteries and photovoltaic materials, with increases of 8.32%, 4.93%, and 2.83% respectively [15]. Electricity Industry Operations - In December 2024, the total electricity consumption reached 883.5 billion kWh, marking a year-on-year growth of 3.27%. The cumulative electricity consumption for the entire year was 9,852.1 billion kWh, reflecting a 6.81% increase [17][18]. - The newly added power generation capacity for the year 2024 was 43,323 MW, which is a year-on-year increase of 17.38% [20]. New Power System Situation Photovoltaics - As of February 26, 2025, the prices of upstream raw materials for photovoltaics are at a low point, with signs of a turning point for components and photovoltaic glass [30]. Energy Storage - By the end of 2024, China's operational energy storage projects had a cumulative installed capacity of 137.9 GW, a year-on-year increase of 59.9% [36]. Lithium Batteries - As of February 28, 2025, the price of lithium carbonate was 74,700 RMB per ton, showing a slight decrease [39]. Charging Infrastructure - By the end of January 2025, the total number of charging facilities in the country reached 13.21 million, a year-on-year increase of 49.12% [43].