8月25日晚间，珂玛科技（证券代码：301611）发布了2025年半年度报告。报告显示，公司上半年实现 营业收入5.20亿元，同比增长35.34%；归属于上市公司股东的净利润达1.72亿元，同比增长23.52%；扣 除非经常性损益后的净利润为1.71亿元，同比增长25.04%。公司经营稳健，现金流良好，经营活动产生 的现金流量净额为1.41亿元，同比增长2.46%。 半导体业务强势增长，国产替代持续推进 报告期内，珂玛科技核心业务——先进陶瓷材料零部件销售收入达4.77亿元，同比增长40.21%，占营业 收入比重超过91%。其中，半导体领域业务表现尤为突出，实现收入4.37亿元，同比增长43.5%，成为 公司业绩增长的主要驱动力。 公司深耕半导体设备用先进陶瓷零部件市场，产品涵盖氧化铝、氮化铝、碳化硅等多种材料，广泛应用 于刻蚀、薄膜沉积、离子注入、光刻等多种前道设备。尤其在"功能-结构"一体化模块产品方面，公司 已实现陶瓷加热器、静电卡盘、超高纯碳化硅套件等高端产品的批量交付，其中陶瓷加热器累计交付量 已超千支，标志着国产替代进程加速。 技术研发持续投入，核心竞争力进一步增强 2025年上半年，公司研发投入 ...

Core Viewpoint - The AiTech Forum on semiconductors, organized by Aijian Securities, aims to create a high-end dialogue platform for industry, research, and capital to address core challenges in the semiconductor industry, particularly in technology barriers, ecosystem construction, and capital collaboration [1] Group 1: Forum and White Paper - The forum focused on "Changes and Constants in the Semiconductor Industry in the AI Era" and released the "Semiconductor Industry White Paper," providing comprehensive insights and forward-looking guidance for industry development [1] - The white paper was jointly published by Aijian Securities and the Pudong New Area Economic and Information Commission, presenting a systematic view of the development trajectory and future trends of China's semiconductor industry, supported by extensive data [2] Group 2: Key Areas of Focus - The white paper highlights three frontier areas: advanced packaging technology, which is crucial for enhancing chip performance as the limits of Moore's Law approach, with AI computing power demands accelerating its commercialization [2] - High-performance storage is projected to exceed 1800EB in total storage capacity in China by 2025, with a focus on the technological upgrades of DRAM and NAND Flash products [2] - The demand surge in sectors like electric vehicles, 5G, and AI is driving the localization of high-performance semiconductor materials, with significant breakthroughs expected in subfields like photoresists and wet electronic chemicals within the next 3 to 5 years [2] Group 3: Industry Trends - The semiconductor industry is currently in a recovery phase, expected to return to positive growth by the end of 2024, with a forecast for restorative growth in 2025 [2] - Due to the long construction cycles of wafer fabs and rapid demand changes, cyclical fluctuations caused by supply-demand mismatches will continue, particularly evident in storage chips due to their high standardization [2] Group 4: Strategic Collaborations - Aijian Securities signed strategic cooperation agreements with several semiconductor companies during the event, aiming to harness the synergy between finance and industry to explore new paradigms of ecological collaboration [3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for investment [5][7][9]. Core Insights - The company is a leading OSAT manufacturer specializing in image sensor packaging, with a focus on advanced WLCSP technology. The growth in automotive CIS demand is expected to drive revenue recovery in 2024 [6][11]. - The company has established itself as a major supplier and technology leader in the global WLCSP advanced packaging market, with production lines for both 8-inch and 12-inch wafers [6][20]. - The report highlights the company's strategic acquisitions in optical devices and GaN technology, enhancing its competitive edge and market presence [11][57]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company, Suzhou Jingfang Semiconductor Technology Co., Ltd., focuses on image sensor packaging and has expanded into optical devices and GaN technology through acquisitions [17][20]. - The company has a strong historical performance, with significant milestones including the establishment of the first 12-inch TSV production line for automotive applications [17][27]. 2. Market Performance - In 2024, the company is projected to achieve revenue of 1.13 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.72%, and a net profit of 253 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 68.40% [6][8]. - The automotive CIS market is expected to grow significantly, with the company poised to benefit from this trend due to its established relationships with leading domestic CIS manufacturers [11][56]. 3. Financial Projections - The report forecasts net profits for the company to reach 391 million yuan in 2025, 534 million yuan in 2026, and 642 million yuan in 2027, with respective growth rates of 54.50%, 36.84%, and 20.15% [9][40]. - The company's gross margin is projected to be 43.28% in 2024, indicating a strong competitive position compared to peers [6][46]. 4. Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively pursuing international expansion and has established a production base in Malaysia to enhance its global supply chain capabilities [6][17]. - Recent acquisitions, including Anteryon and VisIC, are expected to create synergies and expand the company's market reach in optical devices and third-generation semiconductor technologies [11][57].

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor industry is expected to experience a comprehensive recovery by 2025, driven by self-innovation in key materials and an optimistic market outlook, benefiting related companies from market recovery and industrial upgrades [3]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of June 6, 2025, the National Semiconductor Chip Index (980017) showed mixed performance among its constituent stocks, with Zhaoyi Innovation (603986) leading with a 5.25% increase, while companies like WenTai Technology (600745) faced declines [1]. - The Semiconductor ETF (159813) has seen active buying, with over 100 million net subscriptions recorded [1]. Group 2: Industry Trends - In May, private equity institutions showed heightened interest in A-share listed companies, particularly in sectors such as semiconductors, medical devices, and general equipment [2]. - The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics Organization forecasts that the global semiconductor market will reach $700.9 billion by 2025, representing an 11.2% year-on-year growth [2]. Group 3: Investment Insights - Shanghai Securities maintains an "overweight" rating on the electronics sector, anticipating a recovery in the semiconductor industry and an improvement in the competitive landscape, which will enhance profitability for companies [3]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the National Semiconductor Chip Index account for 66.85% of the index, indicating concentrated investment in key players like SMIC (688981) and Cambrian (688256) [3].

Group 1 - The National Semiconductor Chip Index (980017) has shown a slight increase of 0.06% as of June 6, 2025, with notable gains from stocks such as Zhaoyi Innovation (603986) up by 4.75% and Geke Micro (688728) up by 1.45% [1] - The semiconductor ETF (159813) is experiencing mixed trading, with the latest quote at 0.78 yuan, reflecting a 0.26% increase [2] - Over the past nine trading days, there have been net inflows of funds on six days, totaling 108 million yuan, with an average daily net inflow of 12.05 million yuan [2] Group 2 - The "5th China Integrated Circuit Design Innovation Conference and IC Application Ecological Exhibition" (ICDIA) is scheduled for July 11-12, 2025, in Suzhou, focusing on themes such as AI computing, photonic integrated circuits, and 5G/6G semiconductors [3] - Shanghai Securities maintains a bullish outlook on the electronics sector, predicting a comprehensive recovery in the semiconductor industry by 2025, with an optimistic overall development outlook [3] - The semiconductor ETF closely tracks the National Semiconductor Chip Index, reflecting the market performance of listed companies in the semiconductor industry [3] Group 3 - As of May 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the National Semiconductor Chip Index account for 66.85% of the index, including companies like SMIC (688981) and Cambrian (688256) [4] - The semiconductor ETF has various connection options, including A, C, and I classes [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is downgraded to "Accumulate" [7] Core Views - The company's 2024 performance is under pressure due to a slower-than-expected recovery in the semiconductor market, with a projected revenue of 3.39 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.18%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -970 million yuan [1][2] - The company is expanding its silicon wafer production capacity, which is expected to support future growth despite current challenges [2][3] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 3.39 billion yuan, with a net profit of -970 million yuan and a non-recurring net profit of -1.24 billion yuan [1] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 802 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.60%, with a net profit of -209 million yuan [1][2] - The average selling price of products has declined, particularly for 200mm wafers, impacting profitability alongside high fixed costs and goodwill impairment from acquisitions [2] Capacity Expansion and Development - The company has completed the construction of a new 300mm silicon wafer production line, increasing its capacity to 600,000 wafers per month, with over 5 million wafers shipped in 2024 [3] - Ongoing projects in Shanghai and Taiyuan aim to further enhance 300mm silicon wafer production capacity, targeting an additional 600,000 wafers per month [3] - The company is also advancing its R&D in high-end silicon-based materials, with plans to increase production capacity to 160,000 wafers per year by 2025 [4] R&D Investment and Achievements - R&D expenses for 2024 reached 266.82 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.12%, accounting for 7.88% of revenue [5] - The company applied for 130 invention patents in 2024, with 24 granted, and holds a total of 630 invention patents and 108 utility model patents as of the end of 2024 [5] Future Profitability Forecast - The company's profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 has been revised down, with expected net profits of 23 million yuan and 114 million yuan, respectively, and a new estimate for 2027 at 281 million yuan [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is downgraded to "Accumulate" [7] Core Views - The company's 2024 performance is under short-term pressure, with a revenue of 3.388 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.18%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -970 million yuan [1] - The semiconductor market is recovering slower than expected, impacting the company's performance, particularly due to high inventory levels in the global semiconductor industry [2] - The company is expanding its 300mm silicon wafer production capacity, which is expected to support future growth despite current challenges [3][4] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 3.388 billion yuan, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -970 million yuan, and a net profit after deducting non-recurring items of -1.243 billion yuan [1] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 802 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.60%, but still reported a net loss of -209 million yuan [1] - The average selling price of products has decreased, particularly for 200mm wafers, which has significantly impacted profitability [2] Capacity Expansion and Development - The company has completed the construction of a new 300mm silicon wafer production capacity of 300,000 pieces per month, with total capacity reaching 650,000 pieces per month [3] - The company is also advancing its 300mm ultra-low oxygen and high-resistance silicon wafer technologies, which are being applied in various fields such as renewable energy and RF [3] - The subsidiary Okmetic is expanding its 200mm silicon wafer production, with plans to start operations in Q2 2025 [4] Research and Development - The company increased its R&D expenditure to 266.82 million yuan in 2024, accounting for 7.88% of revenue, with a focus on various market applications including electric vehicles and RF [5] - The company applied for 130 invention patents in 2024, with 24 granted, and has a total of 630 invention patents and 108 utility model patents as of the end of 2024 [5] Investment Recommendations - Due to the slower-than-expected recovery in the global semiconductor industry and the overall decline in silicon wafer shipments, the company's profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised downwards [5] - The expected net profit for 2025 is adjusted from 304 million yuan to 23 million yuan, and for 2026 from 416 million yuan to 114 million yuan [5]