证 券 研 究 报 告 华创交运|航空强国月报（第 1 期） 运输端春运启示：高客座率下高价格弹性初 推荐（维持） 现；制造端继续看好国产大飞机产业链 四、海外视角之航空制造：主机厂继续爬坡，核心供应链业绩快速增长。 1、主机厂：波音公司（BA.N）与空客集团（AIR.PA）：产能继续爬坡，在手 订单超 1.5 万架。1）交付，2025 年空客交付 793 架，恢复至 19 年的 92%， 波音交付 600 架，为此前高峰 2018 年的 74%。2）订单，空客与波音在手订 单合计超过 1.5 万架，其中空客截至 26 年 1 月 8783 架，波音截至 25 年末 6777 架。3）产能提升计划：波音公司 737 月产量稳定在 42 架/月计划提升至 47 架/月，之后进一步提升至 52 架/月，787 周产量稳定在 8 架/周，计划 2026 年提升至 10 架/周；空客 A320 系列预计到 2027 年底达到每月 70-75 架飞机的 生产速度。4）交付指引：空客指引 2026 年约 870 架商用飞机交付。 2、供应链： GE 航空航天全年交付商用发动机 2386 台，其中 LEAP 系列 1802 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 华创交运|航空强国月报（第 1 期） 运输端春运启示：高客座率下高价格弹性初 推荐（维持） 现；制造端继续看好国产大飞机产业链 四、海外视角之航空制造：主机厂继续爬坡，核心供应链业绩快速增长。 1、主机厂：波音公司（BA.N）与空客集团（AIR.PA）：产能继续爬坡，在手 订单超 1.5 万架。1）交付，2025 年空客交付 793 架，恢复至 19 年的 92%， 波音交付 600 架，为此前高峰 2018 年的 74%。2）订单，空客与波音在手订 单合计超过 1.5 万架，其中空客截至 26 年 1 月 8783 架，波音截至 25 年末 6777 架。3）产能提升计划：波音公司 737 月产量稳定在 42 架/月计划提升至 47 架/月，之后进一步提升至 52 架/月，787 周产量稳定在 8 架/周，计划 2026 年提升至 10 架/周；空客 A320 系列预计到 2027 年底达到每月 70-75 架飞机的 生产速度。4）交付指引：空客指引 2026 年约 870 架商用飞机交付。 2、供应链： GE 航空航天全年交付商用发动机 2386 台，其中 LEAP 系列 1802 ...

Group 1 - The company is involved in the C929 large aircraft project, focusing on T800 grade and above carbon fiber materials, currently in the verification stage, which may benefit from the long-term growth of the domestic aircraft industry chain [1] - The controlling shareholder, China National Building Material Group Corporation, plans to reduce its holdings by up to 27 million shares, accounting for 3% of the total share capital, with the reduction period from March 10 to June 9, 2026, potentially impacting short-term market sentiment [1] Group 2 - The company's stock price has decreased by 9.80% over the past 7 days (February 5 to 12, 2026), with a volatility of 16.30% [2] - On February 9, the stock price fell by 2.65% to 30.08 yuan, likely due to the announcement of the share reduction; however, it showed slight recovery with a 0.27% increase on February 10 and a 0.90% increase on February 11, closing at 30.82 yuan on February 12, up 1.28% [2] - As of February 12, there was a net inflow of 9.72 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 9.73 million yuan; on February 11, institutional investors had a net inflow of 5.76 million yuan [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Xin Jing Gang (300629.SZ) has successfully integrated its subsidiary Kuan Pu Technology's RF amplifier products into the domestic large aircraft C919 supply chain, achieving small batch deliveries [1] - The RF amplifier products are designed to support specific systems of the C919 model, providing technical support for the stable performance of the entire aircraft [1] - The company plans to continue focusing on its main business, dynamically optimizing its operational strategies to seize opportunities in industry development and create long-term value for investors [1]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The military industry shows significant differentiation in fundamentals, with traditional internal installation sectors under pressure and varying performances among individual stocks. Longjiang Securities recommends a bottom-up stock selection approach, focusing on companies with a second growth curve, such as commercial aerospace and overseas computing power [1][3]. Key Companies and Their Insights - **Guangdong Hongda** has developed into a military industrial group through both organic and external growth, achieving progress in exporting advanced ammunition and high-end equipment. The company has a robust order book in its traditional civil explosives and mining services business, with orders nearing 40 billion yuan. Its future prospects are promising due to a market-oriented mechanism [1][5][10]. - **AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group (中航西飞)** and **Aero Engine Corporation of China (航发动力)** are highlighted as key stocks for 2026, with AVIC Xi'an benefiting from its positioning in commercial aircraft and high-end military trade, while Aero Engine is noted for its significant role in the engine supply chain and high premium in military trade [2][6]. Market Trends and Catalysts - The commercial large aircraft and domestic engine sectors are expected to be major themes in the military industry for 2026, with projects like C919 and Changjiang 1,000 set to see important industry information releases. These developments will benefit companies like AVIC Xi'an and Aero Engine [6][8]. - The high-end military trade breakthrough is most favorable for main engine manufacturers, including AVIC Shenfei, AVIC Xi'an, and Aero Engine. Upcoming global aviation exhibitions, such as the Singapore Airshow and the Saudi World Defense Show, are crucial for promoting China's high-end weaponry exports [7]. Investment Opportunities - The domestic commercial aerospace industry presents significant investment opportunities, with a complete and independent supply chain. Key companies in this sector include Aerospace Electronics and Fudan Microelectronics, which align with the development direction promoted by SpaceX [13][14]. - Guangdong Hongda's second growth curve is characterized by the high-end military trade breakthrough and low-cost sustainable development, supported by strategic acquisitions that enhance its capabilities in ammunition and aerospace components [11][12]. Additional Insights - The differentiation in the military sector is more pronounced at the individual stock level, with companies like Beimo High-Tech and Ruichuang Weina showing strong performance. Longjiang Securities emphasizes the importance of market-driven incentives for companies like Guangdong Hongda, which is actively expanding into overseas markets [3][4][9]. - The company’s unique development advantages stem from its state-owned background and market-oriented mechanisms, which include competitive procurement strategies and performance-linked management incentives [10].

Group 1 - Anji Precision Casting, a subsidiary of AVIC Heavy Machinery, has successfully passed the QSL registration audit by COMAC, establishing a solid foundation for formal registration by the end of the year [1] - The audit confirmed Anji Precision Casting's technical strength and highlighted AVIC Heavy Machinery's advantages in integrating the industrial chain within the aerospace forging and casting sector [1] - The approval allows Anji Precision Casting to enter the domestic large aircraft supply chain, marking a significant milestone in its production of precision castings made from titanium, aluminum, and high-temperature alloys [1] Group 2 - AVIC Heavy Machinery, as the largest shareholder of Anji Precision Casting, focuses on the forging and casting main business and is a leading enterprise in China's aerospace forging and casting field [2] - The registration of Anji Precision Casting is expected to provide stable growth in civil aviation business for AVIC Heavy Machinery, enhancing its integration into the domestic large aircraft industry chain [2] - The Chinese aerospace forging market is steadily growing, with civil aviation becoming a core area of structural growth, which will further strengthen AVIC Heavy Machinery's key position in the domestic aviation supply chain [2]

Core Viewpoint - Tongda Co., Ltd. (002560.SZ) is experiencing strong growth in its core wire and cable business, with robust military orders and positive performance expectations for 2025 [1][2] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company expects a net profit of 108 million to 152 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 50.01% to 111.12% [1] - The expected non-net profit is projected to be between 105 million and 150 million yuan, indicating a growth of 61.49% to 130.70% compared to the same period last year [1] - In the first half of 2025, the company reported over 30% revenue growth year-on-year, with net profit increasing by over 60% and non-net profit surging by nearly 90% [1] Business Segments - Tongda Co., Ltd. operates in three main segments: wire and cable production, precision processing and assembly of aircraft components, and aluminum-based composite materials [1] - The wire and cable segment is described as the company's "ballast stone," benefiting from ongoing domestic power grid construction and accelerated deployment of new energy supporting power facilities [1] - The aircraft component business is emerging as a new "growth pole," driven by the domestic large aircraft industry and its trillion-yuan supply chain [1] Recent Developments - In Q3 2025, the company anticipates a net profit of 56 million to 80.5 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 59.00% to 128.57% [2] - The expected non-net profit for the same period is projected to be between 55 million and 79 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 66.44% to 139.06% year-on-year [2] - The company has focused on optimizing its customer structure and enhancing high-quality development, leading to sustained rapid revenue growth and stable product gross margins [2] Market Reaction - Following the positive performance expectations, Tongda Co., Ltd.'s stock opened with a limit-up on October 15, reaching 8.26 yuan per share, a 9.99% increase [2]

Group 1: Customer Structure and Risk Management - The company has established a diversified customer matrix, effectively reducing reliance on single clients and enhancing long-term risk resilience and profitability stability [3] - Core customers span critical sectors such as aviation, aerospace, and shipbuilding, aligning with industry consolidation trends [3] Group 2: Capacity Optimization and Business Growth - The company is optimizing capacity layout and extending composite material business upstream and downstream, enhancing supply chain control and delivery capabilities [3] - A localized operation model is being implemented to improve capacity utilization and profit margins, supporting new growth trajectories [3] Group 3: Collaboration and Innovation - The company emphasizes collaboration with universities to accelerate technology transfer and breakthroughs in key areas like deep-sea equipment and smart factories [4] - This collaboration aims to bolster core business technology support and reserve talent for emerging business sectors [4] Group 4: Drone Business Development - The company is focusing on large fixed-wing drone product research, anticipating market demand and policy support to transition from research to mass production [5] - Future plans include enhancing drone design and manufacturing capabilities while exploring applications in unmanned vessels and underwater vehicles [5] Group 5: Strategic Vision for Unmanned Systems - The company aims to develop a comprehensive "sea-land-air-space" equipment system, continuously deepening its presence in the unmanned systems sector [5] - Investment in smart factory systems and advanced manufacturing processes is expected to convert national policy advantages into competitive industry strength [5]

Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing a decrease in sales revenue due to external factors affecting product delivery and some products not yet contracted, leading to increased financing needs and financial expenses in the first half of 2025 [2][3] Group 1: Financial Performance - Sales revenue in the first half of 2025 decreased year-on-year due to external factors impacting product delivery and delayed contract signings [2] - Increased financing needs were driven by slower-than-expected receivables collection, resulting in higher financial expenses compared to the previous year [2] Group 2: Product Structure and Profitability - The company is undergoing a product structure upgrade, with a significant increase in the proportion of new product models, which has impacted profitability [3][4] - The adjustment in product structure is seen as a necessary and positive move for long-term growth, despite causing short-term challenges and pressure on overall profit margins [4][5] Group 3: Market Strategy and Opportunities - The company plans to leverage its advantages in technology and product similarity to expand into the domestic commercial engine market [4] - The company is focusing on the low-altitude economy sector through its subsidiaries, enhancing market penetration with specific engine series [4] - The company aims to capitalize on long-term growth opportunities presented by the domestic large aircraft industry chain while continuously improving market share [5]

Core Insights - The summit held in Xi'an focused on leveraging industrial opportunities and fostering development momentum in the aviation sector [1][2] - Xi'an Yanliang District is recognized as the largest aviation industry cluster in Asia, aiming to build a comprehensive "R&D-manufacturing-service" ecosystem [1] - The district has established a significant industrial cluster with 4 leading enterprises and 1,500 supporting companies, enhancing its aviation technology and manufacturing capabilities [1] Group 1 - The summit featured 20 financing projects across new materials, equipment manufacturing, and drones, attracting attention from 18 investment institutions [2] - Notable projects included a drone composite materials production line with an annual capacity of 500,000 units and a drone system with integrated data collection capabilities [2] - Several quality projects successfully established intent for cooperation, creating a long-term communication bridge for future collaborations [2] Group 2 - Yanliang District received recognition as the "Best Urban Area for High-Quality Development Business Environment" for 2024, highlighting its effective service mechanisms [2] - Future plans include strengthening the domestic large aircraft industry chain and accelerating the implementation of low-altitude economy applications in tourism and logistics [2] - The district aims to become the preferred destination for aviation industry investment in China by deepening the integration of aviation and financial capital [2]