宏观经济风险

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美股投资风险怎么评估?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-08 03:20
在参与美股投资的过程中,准确评估风险是至关重要的一步,它关乎着投资者资产的安全与增值。以下 将从几个关键维度为投资者科普美股投资风险评估的要点。 宏观经济风险评估 美股市场规模庞大,但不同股票的流动性存在差异。部分低价股、小盘股交易清淡,流动性不足,投资 者在买卖这类股票时可能面临较大价差,交易成本较高,而且在需要快速变现时可能难以找到合适的买 家或卖家,造成损失。交易规则方面,美股有许多特殊的交易机制,如保证金交易、做空交易等,这些 机制在增加投资机会的同时也放大了风险。对于保证金交易,如果投资者判断失误,股价下跌幅度较 大,可能会面临追加保证金的要求,若无法及时追加,可能会被强制平仓。做空交易也存在风险,如果 股价不跌反涨,做空者将遭受巨大损失。 不同行业在美股市场面临的风险各异。一些行业对宏观经济周期较为敏感,比如汽车、房地产等周期性 行业,经济繁荣时需求旺盛,股价上升;经济衰退时需求大幅下降,股价面临下行风险。而像医疗保 健、公用事业等防御性行业,受经济周期波动影响相对较小,在经济不稳定时期往往表现出更强的抗跌 性。另外,科技行业虽然具有高增长潜力,但技术迭代迅速,行业竞争激烈,一家企业可能因技术掉队 ...
美股投资者异常乐观:无视坏消息,只想冲进去埋头搞钱
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-07-02 03:13
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the stock market remains stable despite the impending end of the tariff suspension period on July 9, with analysts expecting President Trump to extend the deadline based on his historical pattern of retreating from threats [1][4][6] - The S&P 500 index recently achieved its best quarterly performance since December 2023, surpassing the 6200-point mark, while the Nasdaq 100 index recorded its best quarterly performance since March 2023, driven primarily by technology stocks [1][3] - Institutional investors, who had been cautious since April, are beginning to increase their exposure to higher-risk areas of the market, reflecting a growing confidence among traders [2][3] Group 2 - The "smart money" is entering the market as earnings expectations stabilize following a significant drop in April, with systematic strategy funds increasing their stock risk exposure despite remaining underweight compared to historical averages [3][4] - Barclays' global equity strategist highlights positive factors supporting the economy, including regulatory easing in banking, continued investment in AI by large tech companies, and a $3.3 trillion tax and spending bill passed by the Senate [4][6] - Despite the optimism, there are concerns about the potential for high tariffs to impact costs for companies and consumers in the future, indicating that market risks have not entirely dissipated [5][6]
银河期货原油期货早报-20250617
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-06-17 02:54
2025 年 6 月 17 日 银河能化-20250617 早报 【银河期货】原油期货早报(25-06-17) 【市场回顾】 原油结算价:WTI2507 合约 71.77 跌 1.21 美元/桶,环比-1.66%;Brent2508 合约 73.23 跌 1.00 美元/桶,环比-1.35%。SC 主力合约 2508 涨 14.8 至 529.2 元/桶,夜盘跌 6.2 至 523 元 /桶。Brent 主力-次行价差 1.39 美金/桶。 【相关资讯】 消息人士告诉路透,德黑兰已要求卡塔尔、沙特阿拉伯和阿曼向美国总统特朗普施压,利 用他对以色列的影响力,推动以色列立即停火。作为回报,伊朗将在核谈判中表现出灵活 性。 土耳其、俄罗斯等国均表示愿意充当以色列与伊朗冲突的调解人。 特朗普敦促所有人立即撤离德黑兰,并重申伊朗本应与美国签署核协议。 OPEC 周一表示,预计今年下半年全球经济将保持韧性,并下调了对 2026 年美国及其他非 OPEC+产油国石油供应增长的预测。OPEC 在报告中表示,到 2026 年,来自 OPEC+以外国 家的石油供应量将增加约 73 万桶/日,较上月的预测减少 7 万桶/日。OPE ...