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税返退坡压力增大,警惕产能关停风险
Dong Zheng Qi Huo· 2025-08-19 09:13
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for cast aluminum alloy is "Bullish" [1] Group 2: Core Views of the Report - The implementation of policies such as the "Notice on Matters Related to the Implementation of Policies on Regulating Investment Promotion Behaviors" may have a significant impact on aspects like local tax rebates and reverse invoicing in the recycled aluminum industry, increasing production costs and potentially leading to production cuts or shutdowns [2][3][10] - Under the influence of reverse invoicing investigations and tax rebate declines, the demand for invoiced resources and imported raw materials is expected to increase, and the production costs of ADC12 in East and South China may change structurally, providing strong support for the price of ADC12 [4][24] - Considering the cost - increase expectations on the smelting side and the supply shortage of scrap aluminum, it is recommended to pay attention to the opportunity of going long on AD2511 at low prices. In terms of arbitrage, going long on AD2511 and shorting AL2511 is more secure, and attention can be paid to the position - building opportunity when the price difference is below - 500 [4][24] Group 3: Summary According to the Table of Contents Event Overview - Since August 1, 2024, the "Regulations on the Review of Fair Competition" has clearly restricted tax incentives for specific operators. Recently, the "Notice on Matters Related to the Implementation of Policies on Regulating Investment Promotion Behaviors" may have a major impact on local tax rebates and reverse invoicing in the recycled aluminum industry [10] Event Analysis - Due to the low entry threshold of the recycled aluminum industry and local tax rebate policies, a large amount of production capacity has expanded, resulting in intensified competition, thin profits, and low capacity utilization. As of July 2025, the monthly production capacity of 158 sample recycled cast aluminum enterprises reached 1264,500 tons, but the output was only 528,000 tons, with a capacity utilization rate of 41.7%. In 2024, the operating production capacity of recycled aluminum in China was 23 million tons, and the actual output was 10.5 million tons, with a capacity utilization rate of 45%, a year - on - year decrease of 2.5 pcts [10] - There are "tax havens" in the recycled aluminum industry. The comprehensive tax burden of recycled aluminum enterprises in Anhui is about 6.5%, and the lowest can reach 5.5%, which can reduce the operating cost by 300 - 400 yuan/ton. In 2024, the production capacity of recycled aluminum in Anhui exceeded 2 million tons, accounting for more than 10% of the national total [11] - The policy aims to promote fair competition. The cancellation of local tax rebates may increase the comprehensive tax burden by about 4% and the production cost by up to 800 yuan/ton. Some enterprises in tax - haven areas may face production cuts or shutdowns. However, the policy implementation has a gradual nature, and most enterprises are given a buffer period [17][18] - The policy may reduce the demand for scrap aluminum, but if local governments investigate the compliance of reverse invoicing, the demand for invoiced and imported scrap aluminum will increase sharply. The cost in East China may increase significantly [21] Investment Suggestions - It is recommended to pay attention to the opportunity of going long on AD2511 at low prices. In terms of arbitrage, going long on AD2511 and shorting AL2511 is more secure, and attention can be paid to the position - building opportunity when the price difference is below - 500 [4][24]
最新!李嘉诚旗下港口出售外媒报道,外交部回应
中国基金报· 2025-07-18 10:57
Group 1 - The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs responded to reports regarding the sale of ports by Cheung Kong Holdings, emphasizing that the Chinese government will protect fair competition in the market and uphold public interests [1][2] - The spokesperson, Lin Jian, stated that if China COSCO Shipping Group is not involved in the sale of the Panama port, Beijing may block the sale of over 40 ports [1] - The Chinese government firmly opposes the use of economic coercion and bullying tactics that infringe upon the legitimate rights and interests of other countries [2]
外交部回应外媒关于长和出售港口报道:中方将保护公平竞争
news flash· 2025-07-18 07:36
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government may block the sale of over 40 ports by CK Hutchison Holdings if China COSCO Shipping Corporation does not participate in the transaction [1] Group 1: Company Actions - CK Hutchison Holdings is reportedly selling its ports in Panama, which includes over 40 port facilities [1] - China COSCO Shipping Corporation's involvement is seen as crucial for the completion of this sale [1] Group 2: Government Stance - The Chinese government, represented by the State Administration for Market Regulation, emphasizes the protection of fair market competition and public interest [1] - A strong opposition to economic coercion and bullying tactics that infringe on the legitimate rights of other countries is reiterated by the Chinese authorities [1]
法治是市场公平竞争的护身符
第一财经· 2025-07-17 01:23
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of fair competition in the market and highlights the negative impacts of aggressive price subsidy wars initiated by certain platforms, which disrupt market order and threaten the sustainable development of the industry [1][2]. Group 1: Market Competition and Subsidy Wars - The China Chain Store & Franchise Association has called for the regulation of low-price subsidy competition to maintain market fairness and protect consumer rights [1]. - A recent initiative from the restaurant industry association in Zunyi urged delivery platforms to stop extreme subsidy practices, which have led to a vicious cycle of businesses facing losses if they do not participate in the subsidy wars [1][2]. - The ongoing delivery subsidy wars have resulted in increased orders and consumer benefits, but they also pose risks to the quality of goods and services [1][2]. Group 2: Regulatory and Self-Regulatory Measures - Industry associations advocate for timely intervention by market regulators against monopolistic behaviors such as "choose one from two," price manipulation, and other unfair competition practices [2][3]. - If the subsidy wars lead to consumer rights violations, it is deemed a violation of business conduct, warranting strong condemnation and self-regulatory investigations by associations [2][3]. - The complexity of the decision-making process for businesses regarding participation in subsidy activities necessitates careful analysis to avoid oversimplifying the relationship between subsidies and business challenges [2][3]. Group 3: Distinguishing Competition Types - It is crucial to differentiate between normal market competition and "involution" type of harmful competition, as the latter involves damaged participants and infringement behaviors [3]. - Normal market competition should enhance the welfare of all participants, while harmful competition leads to losses for some, thus requiring legal protection for the former [3][4]. - The article stresses the need for a legal framework to uphold fair competition, referencing laws such as the Anti-Monopoly Law and the Consumer Rights Protection Law [3][4]. Group 4: Enhancing Consumer Rights - Strengthening market self-regulation and introducing collective litigation and dispute resolution mechanisms are essential for empowering consumers in the marketplace [4]. - Consumers must have more avenues to protect their rights and balance power in transactions, which is vital for fostering genuine fair competition [4]. - The article concludes that a robust legal system is fundamental to distinguishing between harmful competition and fair practices, ultimately promoting a market environment that benefits all participants [4].
一财社论:法治是市场公平竞争的护身符
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-07-16 13:39
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the need to distinguish between normal market competition and "involutionary" competition, highlighting the importance of maintaining fair competition in the market while addressing the challenges posed by extreme price subsidies in the food delivery sector [1][4]. Group 1: Market Competition and Subsidies - The China Chain Store and Franchise Association has raised concerns about recent price subsidy wars initiated by certain platforms, which disrupt fair competition and threaten the sustainable development of the industry [2][3]. - A call to action was made by the Zunyi City Honghuagang District Catering Industry Association, urging food delivery platforms to cease extreme subsidy practices that lead to a vicious cycle of low-cost competition, endangering many restaurants [2][3]. - The ongoing food delivery subsidy wars have resulted in increased orders and consumer benefits, but they also pose risks to the quality of goods and services provided by merchants [2][3]. Group 2: Regulatory and Self-Regulatory Measures - Industry associations advocate for the identification and condemnation of monopolistic and unfair competitive behaviors, urging market regulators to take action against such practices [3][4]. - The distinction between normal competition and "involutionary" competition is crucial, as the presence of harmed participants indicates the latter, while the absence suggests healthy market dynamics [4][5]. - Strengthening self-regulation and introducing collective litigation and dispute resolution mechanisms are recommended to enhance consumer rights and ensure fair competition [5][6]. Group 3: Legal Framework and Fair Competition - The article stresses that effective protection of fair competition relies on a robust legal framework, including adherence to antitrust and consumer protection laws [4][6]. - The concept of fair competition is described as fragile, necessitating a commitment to legal principles to safeguard market integrity and promote equitable competition [4][6]. - The ultimate goal is to create an environment where market transactions enhance the welfare of all participants, thereby fostering a culture of fair competition [6].
一财社论:用良法架起市场善治之桥
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-06-30 13:36
Core Points - The revised Anti-Unfair Competition Law aims to provide a legal framework for addressing unfair competition behaviors, enhancing market fairness and order [1][5] - The number of articles in the law has increased from 33 to 41, incorporating new issues such as "involution competition," data misuse, and malicious transactions [1][2] - The law emphasizes clarity and certainty in its provisions, which is expected to lower transaction costs and improve market competition [1][2] Summary by Sections Legislative Changes - The revised law includes new regulations on emerging unfair competition behaviors, reflecting the legislative body's responsiveness to economic and social changes [1][2] - It introduces specific provisions to address data rights violations, which are increasingly prevalent due to technological advancements [2][3] Market Impact - The law prohibits platform operators from forcing sellers to adhere to pricing rules that undermine their profitability, aiming to restore fair competition [3] - It seeks to create a competitive environment that prioritizes quality and service innovation over price manipulation [3] Implementation and Governance - Effective implementation of the law requires a supportive governance framework and clear enforcement mechanisms to ensure compliance and reduce moral hazards [4][5] - The law's success depends on enhancing stakeholders' ability to protect their rights and fostering a self-regulating market environment [5]
欧盟向两家美国科技巨头开罚单 欧盟《数字市场法》生效以来首次作出非合规认定
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-06-12 21:47
Core Points - The European Commission has fined Apple and Meta for violating the EU Digital Markets Act, with penalties of €500 million and €200 million respectively, marking the first non-compliance ruling since the law's enactment in November 2022 [1][2] - Apple is accused of restricting developers from informing users about alternative purchasing options outside its App Store, which hinders competition and user choice [1] - Meta's "consent or pay" advertising model violated the requirement for user consent when integrating personal data across platforms, leading to the penalty despite plans for a new option in November 2024 [2] Summary by Sections Apple - The European Commission identified restrictive practices in Apple's App Store operations, which prevent developers from informing users about alternative options [1] - Apple failed to demonstrate the necessity of these restrictions, leading to accusations of abusing its market dominance [1] - Apple plans to appeal the decision, claiming unfair treatment and potential harm to user privacy and innovation [3] Meta - Meta was penalized for its data service practices, specifically the "consent or pay" model that forced users to either consent to data integration or pay for an ad-free experience [2] - The penalty period is retroactive to the law's enactment, despite Meta's plans to introduce a new option in November 2024 [2] - Meta has expressed that the EU's actions are an attempt to create barriers for successful American companies [3] Regulatory Context - The penalties serve as a strong signal of the importance of the Digital Markets Act in ensuring fair competition and protecting user rights in the digital market [2] - The European Commission emphasizes its neutral stance, asserting that the penalties are based on user protection and market fairness, not targeting American companies specifically [3]