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市场化利率形成传导机制
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21评论丨如何落实落细适度宽松的货币政策?
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China emphasizes the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy to align with economic growth and price level expectations, while maintaining ample liquidity in the financial system [2][3]. Economic Outlook - Domestic economic conditions are improving, while uncertainties remain regarding overseas economic recovery. The growth in the second half of the year is expected to be supported by the acceleration of new growth drivers, continuous expansion of total demand, and more proactive macro policies [2][3]. Inflation Trends - The report indicates a moderate recovery in price levels, with positive factors increasing. It highlights the importance of promoting reasonable price recovery as a key consideration for monetary policy [3][6]. Monetary Policy Framework - The monetary policy remains focused on balancing multiple objectives, including short-term and long-term goals, growth stability and risk prevention, and internal and external equilibrium [3][4]. Credit Policy - The report calls for flexible measures to optimize the structure of credit, with a focus on maintaining ample liquidity and adjusting the pace of policy implementation based on economic conditions [4][5]. Liquidity Management - The report maintains the stance of ensuring ample liquidity but does not specify the use of certain monetary policy tools, indicating a potential shift towards a neutral loose policy orientation [5][6]. Structural Support - The report emphasizes the use of structural monetary policy tools to support technology innovation, consumption, small and micro enterprises, and stabilize foreign trade, with a particular focus on the housing market through guaranteed housing refinancing [6].
如何落实落细适度宽松的货币政策?
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China emphasizes the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy to support economic growth while addressing the challenges of insufficient effective demand and global economic uncertainties [2][3][4]. Economic Outlook - Domestic economic conditions are improving, supported by the development of new growth drivers, continuous expansion of total demand, and more proactive macro policies [2][6]. - The global economic recovery remains uncertain, with overall growth momentum described as weak and financial market volatility risks increasing [2][6]. Inflation Trends - The report indicates a moderate recovery in price levels, with positive factors contributing to the expectation of price increases [3][6]. - The implementation of policies aimed at promoting reasonable price recovery is highlighted as a key consideration for monetary policy [3]. Monetary Policy Framework - The monetary policy remains focused on maintaining a balance between multiple objectives, including short-term and long-term goals, growth stability, and risk prevention [3][4]. - The report suggests that the central bank will continue to monitor the support of financial systems for the real economy while ensuring the health of the financial system itself [3][4]. Credit Policy - The report emphasizes flexible policy implementation regarding credit, with a focus on optimizing the structure of credit allocation [4][6]. - Future attention will be directed towards the health of the overall financing structure in the country [4]. Liquidity Management - The report maintains a commitment to ensuring ample liquidity but does not specify the use of particular monetary policy tools [4][5]. - There is a noted shift towards a more neutral stance on policy tools, indicating a potential moderation in the approach to liquidity management [4]. Cost Reduction and Interest Rate Mechanism - The report discusses enhancing the transmission mechanism of market-based interest rates and the role of self-regulatory mechanisms in interest rate pricing [5]. - There is a possibility that commercial banks may lower deposit rates in response to pressure on interest margins [5]. Structural Policy Tools - The report outlines the use of structural monetary policy tools to support sectors such as technology innovation, consumption, small and micro enterprises, and stable foreign trade [6]. - Specific attention is given to the financial support for affordable housing through targeted policies [6].
二季度货币政策执行报告:落实落细适度宽松的货币政策
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-08-15 11:57
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China will implement a moderately loose monetary policy in the upcoming period, ensuring ample liquidity and aligning the growth of social financing and money supply with economic growth and price level expectations [1][2] - The report emphasizes the importance of promoting a reasonable recovery in prices as a key consideration for monetary policy [1] - There will be improvements in the interest rate adjustment framework, with a focus on enhancing the guidance of central bank policy rates and the transmission mechanism of market-based interest rates [1] Group 2 - The monetary policy tools will be utilized to support technological innovation, boost consumption, assist small and micro enterprises, and stabilize foreign trade [2] - The report highlights the importance of maintaining a managed floating exchange rate system and ensuring the stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level [2] - There is a commitment to explore and expand the central bank's macro-prudential and financial stability functions to maintain financial market stability and prevent systemic financial risks [2]
央行料持续完善市场化利率形成传导机制
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the trend of increased liquidity in corporate and household deposits, indicating a shift towards demand deposits while maintaining a significant level of time deposits [1][2] - In June, the proportion of demand deposits in new corporate and household deposits reached 83% and 95% respectively, compared to historical ranges of 40% to 70% [1] - The decline in deposit interest rates is identified as a key factor driving the trend towards liquidity in deposits, as banks adjust rates to stabilize interest margins [1][2] Group 2 - Despite the trend towards liquidity, the proportion of time deposits remains high, with household time deposits accounting for 73.5% as of mid-year, showing only a slight decrease from the previous month [2] - The asset side of banks has seen a more significant decline in interest rates compared to the liability side, contributing to a narrowing net interest margin [2][3] - The average interest rate for new corporate loans was approximately 3.3%, down about 45 basis points year-on-year, while personal housing loan rates were around 3.1%, down about 60 basis points [2] Group 3 - Financial regulatory authorities emphasize the importance of maintaining a reasonable net interest margin to support both the real economy and the health of the banking system [3][4] - The People's Bank of China aims to enhance the market-oriented interest rate transmission mechanism to support banks in lowering their funding costs [3][4] - Structural monetary policy tools are expected to play a more significant role in supporting key sectors and weak links in the economy, thereby reducing banks' funding costs [3]