Group 1: Precious Metals Prices - International platinum prices surged, with London gold rising 0.29% to $3759.895 per ounce, London silver increasing 2.46% to $45.994 per ounce, marking a new high since May 2011, international palladium up 1.7% to $1305.3 per ounce, and international platinum up 3.61% to $1611.52 per ounce [1] Group 2: U.S. Economic Indicators - The U.S. core PCE price index for August showed a year-on-year increase of 2.9%, consistent with previous values, while the overall PCE price index rose 0.3% month-on-month, with a year-on-year increase of 2.7% compared to 2.6% previously [2][4] - Personal income in August grew by $95.7 billion, a month-on-month increase of 0.4%, while personal consumption expenditure rose by $129.2 billion, a month-on-month increase of 0.6%, both exceeding prior expectations by 0.1 percentage points [4] Group 3: Consumer Confidence - The consumer confidence index in the U.S. fell to 55.1 in September, a decrease of about 5% from August, with the current economic conditions index dropping from 61.7 to 60.4, and the consumer expectations index falling from 55.9 to 51.7 [5] - Nearly 70% of U.S. consumers expect inflation to exceed income growth in the coming year, while about 65% anticipate an increase in unemployment rates [5] Group 4: Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy - Federal Reserve Vice Chair Michelle Bowman emphasized the need for decisive and preemptive interest rate cuts to address worsening labor market issues [7][8] - Recent data indicates a significant increase in labor market vulnerability, prompting calls for immediate action to prevent further deterioration [8] - The uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts has increased, with strong economic data complicating the outlook for potential rate reductions [10] Group 5: Gold Price Forecasts - Several institutions have raised their gold price forecasts, with JPMorgan predicting spot gold prices could exceed $4000 per ounce by Q1 2026, and Goldman Sachs maintaining a target of $3700 per ounce by the end of 2025 [11] - The potential impact of U.S. government shutdown risks and ongoing global central bank gold purchases are expected to support gold's long-term investment appeal [11]

Group 1 - The company primarily produces cathode copper, with by-products including gold, silver, and industrial sulfuric acid [2] - The company also recovers rare metals such as molybdenum, selenium, tellurium, platinum, palladium, and rhenium [2] - The high-quality cathode copper and the recovered precious and rare metals are essential materials for downstream industries such as telecommunications, new energy batteries, and electronic components [2]

因此为进一步完善公司黄金产业链，拓展公司黄金业务，取得向上海黄金交易所递金业务资质，实现公 司贵金属产业链闭环，公司下属子公司老凤祥首饰研究所拟与具有专业技术优势和市场规模的翠绿股 份、上海鑫派共同投资组建老凤祥精材公司，在上海市金山区建设一座符合国家环保标准和上海黄金交 易所认证标准的现代化精炼厂及配套检测实验室，并开展相关业务。老凤祥精材公司主要生产符合上海 黄金交易所认证标准、符合其递金业务资质的金锭并开展相关的贵金属配套检测业务，后续拟逐步拓展 至铂、钯、铑、银、钛等贵金属领域的精炼业务，形成新产能，进入工业产业新领域。 老凤祥（600612）(600612.SH)发布公告，据公司总体发展战略要求，拟由老凤祥首饰研究所申请成为 上海黄金交易所认定的精炼企业，开展旧金回收、精炼等业务。根据上海黄金交易所2025年7月10日最 新发布的《上海黄金交易所认定精炼企业管理办法》规定：精炼企业的注册资本和净资产均不低于 5,000万元人民币，同时精炼企业需要有符合上海黄金交易所认证标准、符合其递金业务资质的金锭精 炼厂。 通过上述项目，公司拟在上海市域内建成贵稀金属研发与生产加工基地，持续推动新材料、新工艺突 ...

Core Insights - Yunnan Copper reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.317 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 24.32% [1] - The rise in precious metal prices positively impacted the company's performance, although the low self-sufficiency in copper concentrate limited the overall growth from rising copper and precious metal prices [1] - The copper smelting processing fees have remained low this year, creating pressure on companies primarily engaged in smelting within the copper industry [1] Company Strategy - The company is strategically focusing on "digital transformation, expanding resources, refining mining, optimizing smelting, solidifying recycling (copper), and fine-tuning rare and scattered (metals)" [1] - There is an emphasis on increasing the extraction of urban mines and rare metals, as well as enhancing the contribution of by-products such as sulfuric acid, selenium, tellurium, platinum, palladium, and rhenium to profits [1] - The company plans to increase the procurement of urban mines and collaborate effectively to ensure raw material supply, thereby enhancing its overall competitiveness and mitigating challenges posed by low processing fees [1]

Market Overview - US companies are planning record stock buybacks, exceeding $1 trillion, indicating strong confidence in the economy [2] - Major companies like Nvidia and Apple have announced significant buyback plans, with Nvidia planning to repurchase $60 billion worth of stock [2] - The US stock indices showed mixed performance, with Dow futures up 0.13% and S&P 500 futures down 0.04% [1] Economic Data and Trends - Concerns are rising over the independence of the Federal Reserve, with suggestions for investors to bet on long-term US Treasuries underperforming [3] - Private firms are developing alternative economic data products in response to doubts about the credibility of US government data [4] - Citi analysts warn that the price premiums for palladium and silver in the US are underestimated given potential tariff risks [5] Company Performance - Nvidia's latest guidance indicates a slowdown in growth after two years of rapid expansion, forecasting third-quarter sales of approximately $54 billion, aligning with Wall Street expectations but below some analyst forecasts [6] - Best Buy reported Q2 revenue of $9.44 billion, a 1.6% year-over-year increase, exceeding market expectations [7] - Dollar General's Q2 sales reached $10.7 billion, a 5.1% increase year-over-year, with same-store sales up 2.8% [7] - Baozun's mid-year revenue was 4.617 billion yuan, a 5.63% increase year-over-year, driven by strong digital marketing demand [8] - Snowflake's Q2 revenue was $1.144 billion, a 32% increase year-over-year, surpassing analyst expectations [9] - HP's Q3 revenue grew 3.1% to $13.9 billion, exceeding market expectations [10] - CrowdStrike's Q2 revenue was $1.17 billion, a 21% increase year-over-year, but the Q3 guidance fell short of market expectations [11] - Trip.com reported a net profit of 4.846 billion yuan for Q2, a 26.43% year-over-year increase, driven by strong travel demand [12] Investment Activity - Cathie Wood's Ark Invest increased its stake in Bitmine, purchasing $15.6 million worth of shares [14]

Group 1 - Citigroup analysts indicate that the price gap between U.S. palladium and silver and international benchmark prices is too small, considering the tariff risks on key minerals [1] - Earlier this year, U.S. precious metal futures prices surged above the benchmark London spot prices due to traders' expectations of tariffs on imports, leading to significant profits for those who predicted U.S. trade policies accurately [1] - Following the exemption of palladium, platinum, and silver from tariffs in April, the price differentials significantly decreased [1] Group 2 - Silver has been added to the U.S. list of 54 critical minerals dependent on imports, pending a review under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act, which allows tariffs on goods deemed vital to national security [3] - Citigroup forecasts that certain metals on the list may face specific tariffs of up to 50% upon the release of the Section 232 report in October [3] - The U.S. Department of Commerce has initiated an anti-dumping investigation into unrefined palladium from Russia, suggesting that this precious metal, used in catalytic converters, may be impacted by tariffs [3]

Core Viewpoint - Yunnan Copper achieved significant growth in revenue and net profit in the first half of 2025, driven by optimized resource allocation and production efficiency [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 88.913 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.27% [1] - Total profit reached 1.895 billion yuan, up 2.94% year-on-year [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.317 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 24.32% [1] Production and Cost Management - Yunnan Copper's production of cathode copper reached 779,400 tons, marking a year-on-year increase of 53.22% [1] - The company has successfully reduced costs, with unit costs for copper concentrate and cathode copper better than annual reduction targets [1][3]. Industry Context - The copper price experienced high volatility, with a significant increase in the first quarter, surpassing 80,000 yuan per ton [2] - The demand from downstream processing enterprises surged, providing strong support for copper prices and boosting production in smelting companies [2]. Strategic Focus - The company is committed to high-quality development and cost reduction, enhancing the profitability of by-products such as sulfuric acid and molybdenum [2][4]. - Yunnan Copper is advancing towards intelligent mining and refining, investing over 80 million yuan in smart ore selection systems to improve efficiency and precision [4]. Environmental and Technical Improvements - The company has improved various technical indicators, including mining loss rates and overall recovery rates in copper smelting [3]. - Yunnan Copper aims to maximize resource utilization and promote green development through technological innovation [4].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025, the supply of platinum and palladium is expected to decline, with platinum's mineral supply dropping by 4% to 529.5 million ounces and palladium's by 5% to 616.5 million ounces. However, the global palladium recycling volume is expected to rise to 270.5 million ounces [21][24]. - The demand for platinum is expected to slightly increase to 720.5 million ounces in 2025, while the demand for palladium is expected to decline to 862.5 million ounces, mainly due to the decline in automotive industry demand [41]. - In 2025, the supply - demand pattern of platinum and palladium is expected to show a differentiated trend, mainly due to the relative low price of platinum compared to palladium and the impact of the Russia - Ukraine conflict on palladium circulation [48]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Platinum and Palladium Industry Chain Introduction - Platinum group metals include six elements: ruthenium (Ru), rhodium (Rh), palladium (Pd), osmium (Os), iridium (Ir), and platinum (Pt). Platinum and palladium are important industrial precious metals with wide applications in industry and jewelry [3][5]. - The mining and purification of platinum and palladium are complex. They are often symbiotic with copper - nickel sulfides and chromite, and the average grade of primary ore is only 2 - 10 g/t. Recycling accounts for about 30% of platinum supply and 20% of palladium supply. After refining, they are mainly used in automotive exhaust catalysts, as well as in chemical, electronic, glass, petroleum, medical, and other fields [12]. 3.2 Platinum and Palladium Supply Situation 3.2.1 Reserve Distribution and Major Production Enterprises - In 2024, the total proven reserves of platinum - group metals globally exceeded 81,000 tons, concentrated in southern Africa, North America, and the Far East of Europe. China's reserves are less than 1% of the global total [18]. - The top 10 global suppliers of platinum and palladium are mainly concentrated in South Africa, Russia, and North America [18]. 3.2.2 Platinum Supply - In 2025, the platinum mineral supply is expected to decline by 4% to 529.5 million ounces, with South Africa's supply expected to decrease by 170,000 ounces. The recycling supply in 2025 is expected to slightly recover [21]. 3.2.3 Palladium Supply - In 2025, the palladium mineral supply is expected to decline by 5% to 616.5 million ounces, mainly affected by the production decline in South Africa and North America. The global palladium recycling volume is expected to rise to 270.5 million ounces [24]. 3.2.4 Introduction of Major Supply Enterprises - Anglo American Platinum Ltd. is the world's largest platinum producer, with 80% of its assets in South Africa's Bushveld Complex. In 2025, its production is expected to be 3.8 million ounces, accounting for 30% of the global supply [29]. - OJSC MMC Norilsk Nickel is a leading global mining and metallurgy group. Its palladium production accounts for nearly 40% of the global total. In the first three quarters of 2024, its palladium production was 2.156 million ounces and platinum production was 521,000 ounces [29]. - Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd is a major global producer of platinum - group metals, with mines in South Africa, Zimbabwe, and Canada. In 2024, its total production of platinum - group metals was 3.65 million ounces, accounting for over 30% of the global supply [30]. - Stillwater Mining Co. is a leading global producer of platinum - group metals. In 2023, its annual production of platinum and palladium was about 408,000 ounces, accounting for about 7% of the global supply [30]. 3.3 Platinum and Palladium Downstream Applications 3.3.1 Automotive Catalysts - Platinum, palladium, and rhodium are key components of automotive catalysts. In the long - term, the demand for platinum and palladium in automotive catalysts is not optimistic due to the development of new energy vehicles. In the short - term, the sales increase of second - hand gasoline vehicles may boost the demand. In 2024, the demand for platinum and palladium in automotive catalysts accounted for 48% and 83% respectively [33]. 3.3.2 Jewelry - Platinum is regarded as a high - end jewelry representative, while palladium is rarely used in jewelry due to its discoloration. In the future, the application of platinum and palladium in jewelry faces a downward risk. In 2024, the demand for platinum and palladium in jewelry accounted for 19% and 1% respectively [34]. 3.3.3 Industry - Platinum's industrial demand is concentrated in glass manufacturing, chemical catalysis, and electronics. Palladium's industrial use is mainly in the chemical and electronic industries. In 2024, the demand for platinum and palladium in industry accounted for 32% and 15% respectively [35]. 3.3.4 Hydrogen Energy - Platinum - group metals play a crucial role in hydrogen energy development. The development of hydrogen energy is in its infancy, and the demand for platinum and palladium may increase in the future. In 2024, the demand for platinum and palladium in hydrogen energy accounted for 1% and 0.3% respectively [38]. 3.4 Price and Futures 3.4.1 Global Platinum and Palladium Supply - Demand Balance - In 2020, the prices of platinum and palladium rose significantly due to the shutdown of mining and smelting in South Africa. In 2021, the supply surplus intensified. In 2025, the supply - demand pattern of platinum and palladium is expected to show a differentiated trend [48]. 3.4.2 Global Platinum and Palladium Futures Market - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange is expected to launch platinum and palladium futures contracts this year. The London Platinum and Palladium Market (LPPM) is the most important global spot trading market, and the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) is the largest global platinum futures trading market [56][60].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the financial performance and market position of Haotong Technology, indicating a decline in revenue but an increase in net profit [1][2] - As of August 22, Haotong Technology's stock closed at 30.13 yuan, down 2.02%, with a rolling PE ratio of 38.50 times and a total market capitalization of 4.769 billion yuan [1] - The average PE ratio for the small metals industry is 76.53 times, with Haotong Technology ranking 13th among its peers [1][2] Group 2 - For the first half of 2025, Haotong Technology reported an operating income of 1.347 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 22.13%, while net profit was 84.0873 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.45% [2] - The company's sales gross margin stands at 7.37% [2] - Six institutions hold shares in Haotong Technology, with a total of 8.0577 million shares valued at 217 million yuan [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the precious metals sector is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The precious metals sector is experiencing fluctuations, with gold prices showing a slight decline while silver prices continue to rise. Recent data indicates that London spot gold has decreased by 0.34% to $3,335.50 per ounce, while Shanghai gold has increased by 0.66% to ¥775.80 per gram. Conversely, London spot silver has risen by 3.40% to $37.73 per ounce, and Shanghai silver has increased by 3.21% to ¥9,204 per kilogram [4][9][10] - The recent volatility in gold prices is attributed to geopolitical events and changing interest rate expectations, particularly following the conclusion of the "Putin-Trump" summit and the anticipation of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [4][5] - The report highlights that the U.S. employment market remains resilient, which may prolong the current interest rate cycle, but there is still significant policy space that could create opportunities for gold investments [5] Summary by Sections 1. Price Trends - Over the past two weeks, London spot gold has decreased by 0.34% to $3,335.50 per ounce, while Shanghai gold has increased by 0.66% to ¥775.80 per gram. London spot silver has risen by 3.40% to $37.73 per ounce, and Shanghai silver has increased by 3.21% to ¥9,204 per kilogram. Additionally, London spot palladium has decreased by 8.23% to $1,126 per ounce, while platinum has increased by 2.53% to $1,335 per ounce [9][10] 2. U.S. Economic Data and Federal Reserve Tracking - The report discusses the impact of U.S. economic data on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, noting that July's CPI data was below expectations while PPI data exceeded expectations, creating uncertainty around potential interest rate cuts [4][5][23] 3. Positions and Trading Volume - The report provides insights into trading volumes and positions in the precious metals market, indicating a decline in holdings for both gold and silver on the Shanghai exchange [4][9][10] 4. Domestic and International Price Differences and Gold Benchmark Ratios - The report notes that the domestic gold price difference compared to international prices has increased, indicating a shift in market dynamics [56] 5. Futures Basis Situation - As of the latest data, the international gold basis (spot-futures) has increased by $22.95 to -$46.20 per ounce, while the domestic gold basis has risen by ¥0.83 to -¥2.71 per gram [63]