人民财讯8月5日电，招商证券研报表示，从短期角度，8月重点关注五大具备边际改善的赛道：AI应 用、AI硬件、非银金融、国防军工、创新药。从中长期角度，建议以周期为轴，供需为锚。关注新科 技周期下，全社会智能化的进展(大模型的持续迭代、算力基础设施与AI生态的完善、AI商业模式的落 地、以及AI对消费电子、机器人等赋能)，国产替代周期下相关产业链的自主可控(国产大模型、国产AI 应用与算力、国产集成电路产业链)，以及"双碳"周期下碳中和全产业链的降本增效(光伏、风电、储 能、氢能、核电)，电动化智能化大趋势下电动智能汽车渗透率增加。 ...

我们调整了华润微2025、2026 年盈利预测，下调目标价至人民币52.9元，潜在升幅15%，维持"买入"评 级。 重申华润微的"买入"评级：华润微今年一季度的利润在去年低基数上保持较好的恢复和增长。从下游景 气度来看，1）虽然汽车电子增速有所下降，但是总量仍然受益于电动化智能化行业趋势而增长；2）消 费电子领域逐渐进入旺季，随着AI 创新带来的变化，将保持成长；3）新能源领域的需求也有望保持上 行；4）工控领域需求保持稳定。因此，在今年重庆和深圳产能持续释放的过程中，公司有业绩增长的 基本动能。 目前，华润微远期市盈率为44.8x，相对历史高位估值还有上行空间，重申"买入"评级。 一季度收入和利润录得同比增长：1）华润微一季度营收23.6 亿元，同比增长11%，环比下降11%。毛 利率为25.3%，同比下降1.2 个百分点，环比下降2.1 个百分点。同比下降是受到高端掩膜产能工厂带来 的折旧影响，环比下降主要由于折旧和价格的影响。一季度营业费用率为19.3%，同比下降2.6 个百分 点，环比增长2.6 个百分点。公司营业利润为人民币1.4 亿元，同比增长46%，环比下降50%。公司录得 净利润8,322 万 ...

Core Insights - In 2024, the Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) saw a net inflow of nearly 840 billion yuan into ETFs, with total dividends exceeding 1.8 trillion yuan and share buyback limits surpassing 170 billion yuan [1][10][12] - The performance of companies listed on the SSE showed a mixed trend, with total operating income reaching 49.57 trillion yuan and net profit at 4.35 trillion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 1.9% and 2.4% respectively [1][3] - The R&D investment by SSE companies exceeded 1 trillion yuan, accounting for nearly 40% of the national R&D expenditure, with a median R&D investment to revenue ratio of 12.6% for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [1][4] Group 1: Market Performance - In 2024, 703 SSE main board companies received foreign capital increases totaling 389.3 billion yuan, indicating a growing interest from international investors [2][8] - The net profit of SSE main board companies exceeded 4 trillion yuan, with 80% of companies reporting profitability and 40% showing year-on-year net profit growth [3][4] - The overall cash flow from operations improved, with a year-on-year growth rate of 15% in the fourth quarter [3] Group 2: Industry Trends - Emerging industries such as electronics, communications, and automotive have seen a significant increase in the number of companies and profitability, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11% in net profit over the past decade [4][5] - The semiconductor and new energy vehicle sectors have doubled in the number of companies over the last ten years, contributing to the overall growth in net profit [4] - In the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, nearly 70% of companies achieved revenue growth, with 54 companies reporting over 50% growth [5][6] Group 3: Mergers and Acquisitions - From 2024 to the first quarter of 2025, over 1,500 new merger and acquisition transactions were recorded on the SSE main board, with a total transaction value exceeding 1.4 trillion yuan [1][7] - The introduction of new policies has led to a significant increase in merger and acquisition activities, with a 370% year-on-year growth in the value of major restructuring plans [7] Group 4: Dividend and Buyback Activities - In 2024, 1,259 SSE main board companies announced cash dividends, with a total amount reaching 1.77 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6% [11] - The trend of multiple dividends within a year has emerged, with 366 companies implementing mid-year dividends [11][12] - The SSE main board companies disclosed 400 new buyback plans and 380 significant shareholder increase plans in 2024, with proposed buyback and increase amounts reaching 843 billion yuan and 537 billion yuan respectively [11][12]

Core Viewpoint - The overall performance of companies listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) in 2024 shows stability and resilience, with significant revenue and profit growth supported by a series of incremental policies [1][2]. Group 1: Overall Performance - In 2024, SSE companies achieved a total operating revenue of approximately 51 trillion yuan and a net profit of about 4.4 trillion yuan [1]. - The main board companies reported operating revenue of 49.57 trillion yuan, maintaining stability year-on-year, with a net profit of 4.35 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.9% [2]. - 80% of companies reported profits, with 40% experiencing year-on-year net profit growth, and over 230 companies saw net profit increases exceeding 30% [2]. Group 2: Stability and Growth - Over the past five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for both revenue and net profit of main board companies has been 5% [3]. - A total of 744 "long-distance running" companies achieved positive growth in both revenue and net profit over the past five years, contributing nearly 70% of total revenue and over 80% of total profit [3]. - The financial, energy, construction, and transportation sectors have played a significant role in supporting overall profitability, contributing over 80% of profits [3]. Group 3: Emerging Industries - The structure of listed companies is evolving, with emerging industries such as electronics, communications, and automotive showing significant profit growth of 11%, 6%, and 4% respectively in 2024 [5]. - Over the past decade, the proportion of companies in emerging industries has risen to 40%, with a compound profit growth rate of 11%, outperforming traditional industries by 5 percentage points [5]. - The market capitalization of leading industries has shifted from traditional sectors to emerging sectors like automotive and biomedicine, with the market value of automotive companies reaching 2 trillion yuan [5]. Group 4: Science and Technology Innovation Board - The Science and Technology Innovation Board (STAR Market) reported a total operating revenue of 1.42 trillion yuan in 2024, with nearly 70% of companies experiencing revenue growth [3]. - Companies listed on the STAR Market that were unprofitable at the time of listing have increased their revenue significantly, with 54 such companies achieving a total revenue of 1.744 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 24% [6]. - The STAR Market has become a nurturing ground for technology-leading companies, with 22 companies achieving profitability after listing [6]. Group 5: Dividend Trends - In 2024, the total cash dividend announced by SSE companies reached a record high of 1.77 trillion yuan, with 93% of profit-making companies declaring dividends [7]. - The proportion of companies with a dividend payout ratio exceeding 30% has increased, with 366 companies implementing interim dividends [7]. - The trend of multiple dividends within a year has emerged, reflecting a growing awareness of investor returns among companies [7]. Group 6: Foreign Investment and Market Dynamics - In 2024, 703 companies on the main board saw foreign investment increase, with a total investment amounting to 389.3 billion yuan, marking a 10% increase year-on-year [8]. - The concentration of trading in the STAR Market has increased, with the top 10 companies accounting for 23.5% of the market capitalization [8]. - The market is increasingly favoring leading companies, with over 79 STAR Market companies being heavily invested by social security funds [8].

Core Viewpoint - The overall performance of companies listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) in 2024 shows stability and resilience, supported by a series of incremental policies, with total revenue reaching approximately 51 trillion yuan and net profit around 4.4 trillion yuan [1][3]. Group 1: Overall Performance - In 2024, SSE companies maintained a stable performance with total revenue of 49.57 trillion yuan, and net profit of 4.35 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.9% [3]. - Approximately 80% of companies reported profits, with 40% experiencing year-on-year net profit growth, and over 230 companies saw net profit increases exceeding 30% [3]. - The operating cash flow showed significant improvement, with a year-on-year growth rate of 15% in the fourth quarter, returning to the level of the previous year [3]. Group 2: Long-term Stability - Over the past five years, SSE companies have shown a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5% in both revenue and net profit, with 744 "long-distance running" companies contributing nearly 70% of revenue and over 80% of profits [4]. - Key sectors such as finance, energy, construction, and transportation have played a crucial role, contributing over 80% of profits, while emerging sectors like automotive, biomedicine, and intelligent manufacturing have shown a net profit CAGR of 10% over three years [4]. Group 3: Emerging Industries - The performance of emerging industries has been notable, with net profits in electronics, communications, and automotive sectors growing by 11%, 6%, and 4% respectively in 2024 [7]. - The proportion of companies in emerging industries has increased to 40% over the past decade, with a net profit CAGR of 11%, outperforming traditional industries by 5 percentage points [7]. Group 4: Science and Technology Innovation Board (STAR Market) - In 2024, the STAR Market achieved a revenue of 1.42 trillion yuan, with nearly 70% of companies reporting revenue growth [4]. - The STAR Market has become a nurturing ground for technology-leading companies, with significant revenue and profit growth compared to pre-listing levels [8]. Group 5: Dividend Trends - In 2024, the total cash dividend declared by SSE companies reached a record high of 1.77 trillion yuan, with 93% of profit-making companies participating in cash dividends [10]. - The trend of multiple dividends within a year has emerged, with 366 companies implementing mid-year dividends, reflecting a growing commitment to returning value to shareholders [10]. Group 6: Foreign Investment - In 2024, 703 SSE companies saw foreign investment increase by 3.893 billion yuan, with foreign holdings in the market rising by 10% compared to the previous year [11]. - The focus of foreign investment has shifted towards sectors such as banking, food and beverage, and public utilities, indicating a growing interest in stable and profitable industries [11].

Group 1 - The core theme of SAIC-GM at the 2025 Shanghai Auto Show is "Towards Better, Towards New," showcasing its latest achievements in accelerating electrification and intelligent transformation [1] - The company plans to launch six new "Zhijing" electric models in the next 12 months, aiming for over 50% of its sales to come from new energy products by 2026 and 60% by 2027 [1] - SAIC-GM will maintain a strategy of "oil-electric intelligence," retaining around eight fuel models by 2027, as it anticipates that fuel vehicles will still hold at least 25% of the market share [2] Group 2 - The company emphasizes its commitment to the highest safety standards while collaborating with key supply chain partners for R&D [1] - Recent team reforms have improved decision-making efficiency, particularly through a marketing and product interlocking mechanism implemented last year [2] - The company has a high localization rate, with at least 95% of its components being domestically sourced, which mitigates the impact of current tariff issues [2] Group 3 - Shareholder renewal negotiations are ongoing, with both parties having reached a high level of consensus on the future development strategy of SAIC-GM [3]

Core Viewpoint - Dongfeng Warriors Technology showcased its new luxury electric off-road vehicles at the 21st Shanghai International Automobile Industry Exhibition, emphasizing the integration of intelligence and customization in off-road vehicles [1][2][3] Group 1: Product Launch - The company launched the "world's first fully powered Huawei Qian Kun intelligent off-road SUV" M817, priced from 1.288 million yuan, and the "million-level high-end dual luxury flagship" Lorenz M900 Starship, starting at 1.098 million yuan [1] - The M817 features a full-stack Huawei solution, including the HUAWEI ADS 4 system, Harmony intelligent cockpit, and advanced digital key technology, promoting a versatile driving experience [1][3] Group 2: Design and Customization - The Lorenz M900 Starship incorporates a sci-fi design inspired by interstellar battleships, featuring a unique "starry blue" paint and a "Dragon Chant" themed interior with elements reminiscent of aircraft and dragons [2] - The Dragon Armor extended version allows for extensive customization, including interior materials and colors, and comes with a full piece of natural top-layer leather for personalized accessories [3] Group 3: Market Positioning - Dongfeng Warriors Technology aims to address unmet customer needs in the luxury electric off-road market, positioning itself as a pioneer in intelligent and customizable off-road vehicles [3] - Despite targeting a niche customer base, the company is expected to positively influence the luxury electric off-road market in China [3]