广告等商务合作，请点击这里 他表示，服务出口表现亦受惠于蓬勃的金融市场，以及访港旅客量增加至疫情后的新高。今年前11个 月，访港旅客人数超过4500万人次，已超越去年全年水平，按年增幅12%。访港旅客量增加，也支持了 零售与餐饮的市场表现。 陈茂波希望即将到来的新年假期、各类活动，以及业界的不同优惠推广，能吸引更多旅客到来，为香港 消费市场乃至整体经济注入更大的动力。(完) 来源：中国新闻网 编辑：王永乐 本文为转载内容，授权事宜请联系原著作权人 香港财政司司长：新一年度财政预算案即将展开公众咨询 中新社香港12月14日电 香港特区政府财政司司长陈茂波14日发表网志称，新一年度财政预算案公众咨 询即将展开，如何进一步扩大经济发展的面向与领域、加快创新科技的培育与应用，加速优化产业结 构，创造更多优质的就业职位，为高质量发展增添动能，将是其中重要课题。 陈茂波认为，过去多年，全方位推动创科及经济发展的政策，正逐步为香港的进一步发展增添有利条 件，也让香港有更大韧性应对外围挑战。 陈茂波引述最新数据指出，今年以来香港的货物出口按年录得双位数增长，加上本地需求改善，私人消 费开支轻微加快，零售、餐饮、住宅物业市道均 ...

Core Points - The Bank of England decided to maintain the base interest rate at 4%, aligning with market expectations [1][2] - The decision reflects a pause in the previous trend of quarterly rate cuts since August 2024 [1][2] - The current economic conditions indicate a high overall inflation rate, but risks from weak demand are more pronounced [2][4] Economic Outlook - The Bank of England predicts that the inflation rate will approach 3% by early 2026 and reach the 2% target by the second quarter of 2027 [3] - GDP growth forecasts have been adjusted, with 2025 expected at 1.5% (up from 1.25%), 2026 at 1.2% (down from 1.25%), 2027 at 1.6% (up from 1.5%), and 2028 at 1.8% [3] Monetary Policy Insights - The decision to keep rates unchanged was passed with a 5-4 vote, with Governor Bailey casting the decisive vote [5] - Bailey indicated that future rate cuts are likely but depend on confirming that inflation is moving towards the 2% target [5][4] - The upcoming autumn budget announcement is expected to influence future monetary policy decisions [7][8] Currency Impact - Following the announcement, the British pound fell approximately 30 points against the US dollar, trading at 1.30606 [6] - Analysts predict continued pressure on the pound, with potential further depreciation if rate cuts occur in December [6][8] Fiscal Considerations - The upcoming autumn budget is anticipated to include tax increases to address fiscal shortfalls, which may suppress consumer demand and alleviate inflationary pressures [7][8] - Uncertainty surrounding the budget has led to a cautious approach from businesses and households, potentially stifling economic activity [8]

Core Viewpoint - The Bank of England decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4%, aligning with market expectations, and pausing the trend of quarterly rate cuts that began in August 2024 [2][4][8]. Group 1: Interest Rate Decision - The decision to keep the interest rate unchanged reflects concerns over high overall inflation in the UK, despite a more balanced risk outlook regarding inflation and a more pronounced risk from weak demand [9]. - The Monetary Policy Committee voted 5 to 4 in favor of maintaining the rate, with Governor Bailey casting the decisive vote [12][13]. Group 2: Economic Forecasts - The Bank of England raised its GDP growth forecast for 2025 to 1.5% from 1.25%, while slightly lowering the CPI forecast for the same year [10]. - Inflation is expected to decline to around 3% by early 2026 and reach the 2% target by the second quarter of 2027 [10]. Group 3: Currency Impact - Following the announcement, the British pound fell approximately 30 points against the US dollar, indicating potential ongoing pressure on the currency [5][16]. - Analysts predict that if the Bank of England cuts rates in December, the pound may depreciate further, with expectations for the euro to rise against the pound [16]. Group 4: Upcoming Fiscal Considerations - The upcoming autumn budget is anticipated to influence future rate decisions, with expectations of tax increases to address fiscal deficits, which could further suppress consumer demand and alleviate inflationary pressures [18]. - The uncertainty surrounding the budget has led to a cautious approach from businesses and households, potentially stalling economic activity [18].

Core Points - The Canadian federal government has released its first budget since Prime Minister Carney took office, focusing on strategic investments to enhance economic resilience against global uncertainties and reduce reliance on the U.S. [1] - The budget proposes a net increase in spending of 89.7 billion CAD over the next five years, while also implementing a "comprehensive spending review" to cut public service and project expenditures [1] - The funds saved will be redirected towards key areas such as housing, infrastructure, defense, productivity, and competitiveness, with the aim of attracting more private capital to drive a total investment of 1 trillion CAD [1] Financial Projections - The budget document forecasts a fiscal deficit of 78.3 billion CAD for the fiscal year 2025-2026, which is expected to decrease to 56.6 billion CAD by the fiscal year 2029-2030 [2] - A key vote on the budget is scheduled for November 18, with the necessity for support from at least one major opposition party due to the minority government status of the Liberal Party [2] - The budget vote is considered a confidence vote, and a rejection could lead to early federal elections [2]

Core Points - The Canadian federal government has released its first budget titled "Strong Canada," aimed at enhancing economic self-reliance and resilience in response to global uncertainties and reducing dependence on the U.S. [1] - The budget proposes a net increase in spending of 89.7 billion CAD over the next five years, while also implementing a "comprehensive spending review" to cut public service and project expenditures [1] - The budget focuses on key areas such as housing, infrastructure, defense, productivity, and competitiveness, with the goal of attracting stronger private capital investments to drive a total investment of 1 trillion CAD [1] Financial Projections - The budget document forecasts a fiscal deficit of 78.3 billion CAD for the fiscal year 2025-2026, which is expected to decrease to 56.6 billion CAD by the fiscal year 2029-2030 [2] - A key vote on the budget is scheduled for November 18, and its approval requires support from at least one major opposition party due to the minority government status of the Liberal Party [2] - The budget vote is viewed as a confidence vote, and a rejection could trigger early federal elections [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant political implications of the U.S. government shutdown, emphasizing that it reflects deep partisan divides and the strategic maneuvers of President Trump [2][30][28] - The shutdown is a result of the failure to pass the federal budget due to disagreements between the Republican and Democratic parties, particularly over healthcare funding and immigration policies [11][22][28] - Historical context is provided, noting that the U.S. government has experienced 14 shutdowns in the past, with durations ranging from one day to a record 35 days [9][43] Group 2 - Trump's attitude towards the shutdown has shifted from trying to avoid it to seemingly welcoming it, indicating a strategic use of the situation to achieve political goals [30][32][36] - The article discusses the potential consequences of the shutdown, including economic losses estimated at $400 million per day and significant impacts on federal employees and public services [43][44][42] - The financial markets appear to have absorbed the initial shock of the shutdown, with major indices showing resilience, although concerns may arise if the shutdown extends beyond two weeks [57][58]

Group 1 - Silver prices are showing a weak trend, currently at $36.70 per ounce with a decline of 0.11% [1] - The uncertainty from Trump's tariffs set to be implemented on August 1, along with potential punitive tariffs, is impacting market sentiment [1] - Strong economic data is diminishing the safe-haven premium for precious metals like silver [1] Group 2 - Lombard Odier expresses skepticism regarding the U.S. government's fiscal plan, predicting it will worsen the fiscal outlook rather than improve it [2] - The budget plan is expected to increase the federal deficit by approximately $4 trillion over the next decade, with potential for even higher deficits if tax cuts are made permanent [2] - Public debt as a percentage of GDP is projected to rise to 119% by around 2034, despite some relief from tariff revenues [2] - The anticipated economic growth rates are modest, with predictions of 1.3% in 2025 and 1.4% in 2026 [2] Group 3 - Technical analysis of silver indicates traders are waiting for a deeper correction before re-entering the market [3] - The mid-term upward trend remains intact, but the failure to hold the 13-year high suggests current levels are showing signs of fatigue [3] - A drop below $36.30 could lead to a support range of $35.40 to $34.87, which may attract value investors due to the strong mid-term trend structure [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Thai Finance Minister expresses confidence that the parliament will approve the budget for the fiscal year 2026 [1] Group 1 - The Thai government is preparing for the fiscal year 2026 budget proposal [1] - The approval of the budget is seen as crucial for the country's economic planning and development [1]

Group 1 - The U.S. International Trade Court has ruled that Trump's tariff policy announced on April 2 is invalid, stating that tariff regulation is a power reserved for Congress, not the President [3][6] - The White House has responded by claiming that the judges are unauthorized to comment on Trump's tariff policy, indicating that Trump will likely continue to push for tariffs, potentially escalating the legal battle to the Supreme Court or Congress [5][6] - This ruling marks the first significant legal challenge to Trump's policies, reflecting a strong signal of opposition within the U.S. legal system [6] Group 2 - Elon Musk has officially distanced himself from the Trump administration by resigning from the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), indicating a shift in his stance towards Trump [8] - Musk has previously criticized Trump, particularly regarding the administration's fiscal budget, which he believes contradicts the goals of DOGE [8] - The decline in Tesla's stock price has intensified Musk's feelings of discontent towards Trump's policies [9]