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货币政策逆周期调节
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货币政策逆周期调节效果明显
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-08-18 21:19
Core Insights - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has effectively implemented counter-cyclical monetary policy in 2023, resulting in stable financial growth and a favorable environment for high-quality economic development [1][2] Group 1: Monetary Policy Implementation - The PBOC reported a year-on-year increase of 8.9% in social financing scale and 8.3% in broad money supply (M2) as of June, with the RMB loan balance reaching 268.6 trillion yuan [1] - New corporate loans and personal housing loan rates decreased by approximately 45 and 60 basis points respectively in the first half of the year, indicating an optimization in credit structure [1] - The RMB exchange rate remained stable against the USD, with the mid-point rate at the end of June being roughly the same as at the end of the previous year [1] Group 2: Future Monetary Policy Directions - The PBOC aims to balance short-term and long-term goals, economic growth and risk prevention, as well as internal and external equilibrium, while enhancing the effectiveness and foresight of macroeconomic regulation [2] - The report emphasizes the need for a moderately loose monetary policy, ensuring liquidity remains ample and aligning the growth of social financing and money supply with economic growth and price level expectations [2] - The PBOC plans to improve the interest rate adjustment framework and enhance the transmission mechanism of market interest rates to lower bank funding costs and further reduce overall financing costs [3] Group 3: Support for Key Sectors - The PBOC will utilize structural monetary policy tools to support key areas such as technological innovation, consumption, small and micro enterprises, and stabilize foreign trade [3] - The focus will be on improving the efficiency of fund utilization and preventing fund idling while maintaining a balance between supporting the real economy and ensuring the health of the banking system [3]
详解二季度货币政策报告:下阶段将落实落细适度宽松的货币政策
21世纪经济报道记者张欣 北京报道8月15日,中国人民银行发布《2025年第二季度中国货币政策执行报 告》(以下简称《报告》)。该报告详述了上半年降准降息、结构优化等多维度施策的逆周期调节成 效,也展现了金融资源向实体高效配置的转型态势,更明确了未来信贷投放主线与下阶段政策路径。 一是保持货币信贷合理增长。5月降低存款准备金率0.5个百分点,向市场提供长期流动性约1万亿元, 并综合运用公开市场操作、中期借贷便利、再贷款再贴现等工具,引导金融机构提升服务实体经济质 效。 二是推动社会综合融资成本下降。健全市场化的利率调控框架,5月下调政策利率0.1个百分点,下调结 构性货币政策工具利率0.25个百分点,降低个人住房公积金贷款利率0.25个百分点,强化利率政策执 行,带动存贷款利率下行。 三是引导信贷结构调整优化。5月设立5000亿元服务消费与养老再贷款,增加科技创新和技术改造再贷 款额度3000亿元,创设科技创新债券风险分担工具,加力支持提振消费、科技创新等重点内需领域,落 实好存续的结构性货币政策工具,持续做好金融"五篇大文章"。 四是保持汇率基本稳定。坚持市场在汇率形成中起决定性作用,发挥好汇率对宏观经济、 ...
央行,重磅发布!
券商中国· 2025-08-15 12:34
Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the implementation of proactive macroeconomic policies under the leadership of the central government, resulting in a stable economic performance with a GDP growth of 5.3% year-on-year in the first half of the year, reflecting strong vitality and resilience in the economy [2]. Monetary Policy Implementation - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has adopted a moderately loose monetary policy, utilizing various tools to support high-quality economic development and create a favorable monetary environment for sustained economic recovery [2][3]. - Key measures include a 0.5 percentage point reduction in the reserve requirement ratio in May, providing approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity to the market [3]. Financing and Interest Rates - The PBOC aims to maintain reasonable growth in money and credit, with efforts to lower the overall financing costs in society. In May, the policy interest rate was reduced by 0.1 percentage points, and the rates for structural monetary policy tools and personal housing provident fund loans were lowered by 0.25 percentage points [3]. - As of June, the social financing scale and broad money supply (M2) grew by 8.9% and 8.3% year-on-year, respectively, with the balance of RMB loans reaching 268.6 trillion yuan [4]. Credit Structure and Risk Management - The PBOC is focusing on optimizing the credit structure by establishing a 500 billion yuan re-loan for consumption and elderly care, and increasing the re-loan quota for technological innovation and transformation by 300 billion yuan [3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of risk prevention and resolution, with ongoing improvements to the financial risk monitoring and assessment systems [3][5]. External Environment and Future Outlook - The external economic environment is becoming increasingly complex, with weakening global growth and rising trade barriers. However, China's economic fundamentals remain strong, and the PBOC is committed to maintaining strategic focus and advancing key strategic tasks related to modernization [5]. - The PBOC plans to enhance the monetary policy framework, balancing short-term and long-term goals, and ensuring the stability and continuity of policies to support employment, businesses, and market expectations [5][6].
央行:推动物价保持在合理水平
Wind万得· 2025-08-15 10:41
当前外部环境更趋复杂严峻,世界经济增长动能减弱,贸易壁垒增多,主要经济体经济表现有所分化, 我国经济运行依然面临不少风险挑战。同时,我国经济基础稳、优势多、韧性强、潜能大,长期向好的 支撑条件和基本趋势没有变,要保持战略定力,集中力量办好自己的事,推动事关中国式现代化全局的 战略任务取得重大突破。下阶段,中国人民银行将坚持以习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想为指导, 全面贯彻落实党的二十届三中全会和中央经济工作会议精神,坚持稳中求进工作总基调,完整、准确、 全面贯彻新发展理念,坚定不移走中国特色金融发展之路,进一步深化金融改革和高水平对外开放,持 续推动金融高质量发展和金融强国建设,加快完善中央银行制度,进一步健全货币政策框架。平衡好短 期与长期、稳增长与防风险、内部均衡与外部均衡、支持实体经济与保持银行体系自身健康性的关系, 提高宏观调控的前瞻性、针对性、有效性,保持政策连续性稳定性,增强灵活性预见性,强化宏观政策 取向一致性,着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期,努力完成全年经济社会发展目标任务,实现"十 四五"圆满收官。 8月15日,央行发布2025年第二季度中国货币政策执行报告表示, 把促进物价合理回升作 ...
潘功胜:今年将择机降准降息!
券商中国· 2025-03-06 08:00
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) plans to adjust monetary policy, including potential interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio (RRR) reductions, based on domestic and international economic conditions [2][3]. Group 1: Monetary Policy Adjustments - The average reserve requirement ratio for financial institutions is currently 6.6%, indicating room for further reductions [2]. - The PBOC aims to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, focusing on supporting key strategic areas and weak links in the economy [4]. Group 2: Financial Market Regulation - The PBOC will enhance the regulation of market behaviors that may hinder the transmission of monetary policy, ensuring effective implementation of interest rate policies [3]. - There is a commitment to strengthen the coordination between financial policies and industrial policies, ensuring targeted support while maintaining control [3]. Group 3: Support for Innovation and Capital Markets - The PBOC plans to expand the scale of re-loans for technological innovation and transformation, emphasizing support for strategic sectors [4]. - Collaboration with the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is being explored to establish a regular framework to support capital market development [4].