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软商品日报-20251010
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-10-10 09:50
软商品日报 2025/10/10 咨询业务资格:沪证监许可【2012】1515号 研报作者:许亮 Z0002220 审核:唐韵 Z0002422 【免责声明 】 本报告基于本公司认为可靠的、已公开的信息编制,但本公司对该等信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告所载的意见、结论及预测仅反映报告发布时的观点、结论和 建议。在不同时期,本公司可能会发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告。本公司不保证本报告所含信息保持在最新状态。本公司对本报告所含信息可在不发出通知的情形 下做出修改, 交易者(您)应当自行关注相应的更新或修改。本公司力求报告内容客观、公正,但本报告所载的观点、结论和建议仅供参考,交易者(您)并不能依靠本报告以取代行使 独立判断。对交易者(您)依据或者使用本报告所造成的一切后果,本公司及作者均不承担任何法律责任。本报告版权仅为本公司所有。未经本公司书面许可,任何机构或个人不得以翻 版、复制、发表、引用或再次分发他人等任何形式侵犯本公司版权。如征得本公司同意进行引用、刊发的,需在允许的范围内使用,并注明出处为"东亚期货",且不得对本报告进行任何有 悖原意的引用、删节和修改。本公司保留追究相关 ...
光大期货软商品日报-20251010
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-10-10 05:29
软商品日报 光大期货软商品日报(2025 年 10 月 10 日) 一、研究观点 | 品种 | 点评 | 观点 | | --- | --- | --- | | 棉花 | 周四,ICE 美棉下跌 0.69%,报收 64.46 美分/磅,CF601 环比上涨 0.38%,报收 13295 | 上方承 | | | 元/吨,主力合约持仓环比上涨 15043 手至 55.05 万手,棉花 3128B 现货价格指数 | | | | 14500 元/吨,较前一日下降 45 元/吨。国际市场方面,近期市场关注重心仍更多 | | | | 在于宏观层面,美国政府依旧处于停摆状态中。美联储议息会议纪要显示,委员 | | | | 对后续降息路径仍有分歧,美元指数重新回到 99 以上,美棉价格低位窄幅震荡为 | | | | 主。国内市场方面,节后首日郑棉止跌,持仓环比增加。当前市场关注重心在于 | | | | 新棉,依据国家纤检中心,截止 10 月 8 日,本年度全国新棉累计公检量近 20 万吨, | 压 | | | 高于去年同期水平,上市进度稍有提前。未来 10 天,新疆北部气温偏低,仍有少 | | | | 量降雨,对籽棉收购进度仍 ...
软商品日报:美元走强打压下,棉花短暂调整-20251010
Xin Da Qi Huo· 2025-10-10 01:01
商品研究 | 走势评级: | 白糖——震荡 | | --- | --- | | | 棉花——震荡 | 张秀峰—分析师 从业资格证号:F0289189 投资咨询证号:Z0011152 联系电话:0571-28132619 邮箱:zhangxiufeng@cindasc.com 期货研究报告 美元走强打压下,棉花短暂调整 [T报ab告le日_R期ep:ortDate] 2025-10-10 报告内容摘要: [Table_Summary] 资讯:南宁白糖现货价 5800.0 元,昆明白糖现货价 5820.0 元,新疆棉花 现货价 14850.0 元。 软商品日报 盘面:美白糖收 16.25,涨跌幅-0.43%。美棉花收 64.46,涨跌幅-0.74%。 棉花——震荡 供需: 白糖:受暑期冷饮需求带动,食糖消费季节性回暖。由于国内外价差扩大, 近期食糖进口增长明显。 棉花:8 月新疆和长江流域棉区气温偏高、降水偏少,棉花遭受高温热害风 险较高。当前棉花商业库存持续下降,同时棉纺织旺季即将到来,棉价存在 底部支撑。 库存仓单:郑糖仓单 8898.0 张,涨跌幅为-0.78%;郑棉仓单 3030.0 张, 涨跌幅为-1. ...
光大期货软商品日报-20250930
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-09-30 05:43
软商品日报 光大期货软商品日报(2025 年 9 月 30 日) 一、研究观点 | 品种 | 点评 | 观点 | | --- | --- | --- | | 棉花 | 周一,ICE 美棉下跌 1.51%,报收 65.4 美分/磅,CF601 环比下跌 0.82%,报收 13350 | 偏弱震 | | | 元/吨,主力合约持仓环比下降 4260 手至 53.06 万手,棉花 3128B 价格指数为 14630 | | | | 元/吨,较前一日下降 25 元/吨。国际市场方面,近期宏观层面扰动需持续关注, | | | | 市场关注美国政府停摆危机,美元指数走弱,避险资产黄金走强,美棉依旧偏弱震 | | | | 荡。国内市场方面,郑棉依旧维持偏弱震荡走势,新棉集中、大量上市的压力是近 | | | | 期市场关注的主要因素,下游短期消化能力有限,郑棉维持偏弱震荡走势。但需要 | 荡 | | | 注意的是,当前市场并非毫无支撑因素,且郑棉期价已经到阶段性低位水平。综合 | | | | 来看,近期情绪偏弱,我们认为短期郑棉依旧维持偏弱震荡走势,关注籽棉收购情 | | | | 况。长假临近,提醒投资者注意持仓风险。 | | ...
软商品日报:长假将要到来,软商品减仓观望-20250929
Xin Da Qi Huo· 2025-09-29 01:34
商品研究 | 走势评级: | 白糖——震荡 | | --- | --- | | | 棉花——震荡 | 张秀峰—分析师 从业资格证号:F0289189 投资咨询证号:Z0011152 联系电话:0571-28132619 邮箱:zhangxiufeng@cindasc.com 期货研究报告 长假将要到来,软商品减仓观望 [T报ab告le日_R期ep:ortDate] 2025-09-29 报告内容摘要: [Table_Summary] 资讯:南宁白糖现货价 5780.0 元,昆明白糖现货价 5810.0 元,新疆棉花 现货价 15050.0 元。 软商品日报 盘面:美白糖收 16.35,涨跌幅 0.37%。美棉花收 66.33,涨跌幅 0.09%。 供需: 白糖:受暑期冷饮需求带动,食糖消费季节性回暖。由于国内外价差扩大, 近期食糖进口增长明显。 棉花:8 月新疆和长江流域棉区气温偏高、降水偏少,棉花遭受高温热害风 险较高。当前棉花商业库存持续下降,同时棉纺织旺季即将到来,棉价存在 底部支撑。 库存仓单:郑糖仓单 9464.0 张,涨跌幅为-3.36%;郑棉仓单 3397.0 张, 涨跌幅为-5.19%。 | ...
光大期货软商品日报-20250925
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-09-25 05:24
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - For cotton, on Wednesday, ICE U.S. cotton fell 0.75% to 66.14 cents per pound, and CF601 rose 0.07% to 13,555. The spot price index of cotton 3128B was 14,775 yuan per ton, up 20 yuan from the previous day. The international market's focus is on the macro - level, and the strong U.S. dollar index pressured the U.S. cotton futures price. The domestic Zhengzhou cotton stopped falling on the 24th, and the market sentiment improved. The fundamentals remain unchanged, and there is pressure from the large - scale listing of new cotton. In the short - term, Zhengzhou cotton faces upward pressure but has limited downward space due to multiple factors [2]. - For sugar, the consulting agency StoneX predicts that the sugar production in the central - southern region of Brazil in the 2026/27 season will reach 42.1 million tons, a 5.7% increase from the 2025/26 season, and the cane crushing volume will reach 620.5 million tons, a 3.6% year - on - year increase. The domestic sugar futures price rebounded above 5500 points, and before the holiday, with margin increases, it is expected to show weak oscillations. Attention should be paid to the crushing progress in Inner Mongolia [2]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Daily Data Monitoring - For cotton, the 1 - 5 contract spread was 15 (up 35), the main contract basis was 1507 (down 86). The spot price in Xinjiang was 15,024 yuan per ton (down 46), and the national spot price was 15,062 yuan per ton (down 71) [3]. - For sugar, the 1 - 5 contract spread was 37 (up 11), the main contract basis was 358 (down 53). The spot price in Nanning was 5780 yuan per ton (unchanged), and in Liuzhou was 5855 yuan per ton (unchanged) [3]. 2. Market Information - On September 24th, the number of cotton futures warehouse receipts was 3716 (down 199 from the previous day), and the effective forecast was 12. The arrival prices of cotton in different domestic regions were: 15,024 yuan per ton in Xinjiang, 15,044 yuan per ton in Henan, 15,064 yuan per ton in Shandong, and 15,135 yuan per ton in Zhejiang [4]. - On September 24th, the yarn comprehensive load was 50.2 (up 0.1), the yarn comprehensive inventory was 25.9 (unchanged), the short - fiber cloth comprehensive load was 52.5 (down 0.3), and the short - fiber cloth comprehensive inventory was 29.1 (up 0.1) [4]. - On September 24th, the spot price of sugar in Nanning was 5780 yuan per ton (unchanged), and in Liuzhou was 5855 yuan per ton (unchanged). The number of sugar futures warehouse receipts was 9854 (down 168 from the previous day), and the effective forecast was 0 [4][5]. 3. Chart Analysis - There are multiple charts for cotton and sugar, including the closing price, basis, 1 - 5 spread, warehouse receipts and effective forecasts, and price indices of both cotton and sugar, with data from 2021 - 2025 [7][15]. 4. Research Team Personnel Introduction - Zhang Xiaojin, the director of the resource product research at Everbright Futures Research Institute, focuses on the sugar industry and has won many industry - related awards [20]. - Zhang Linglu, an analyst at Everbright Futures Research Institute, is responsible for futures varieties such as urea and soda - ash glass and has also won many honors [21]. - Sun Chengzhen, an analyst at Everbright Futures Research Institute, is engaged in the fundamental research of cotton, cotton yarn, and ferroalloys and won the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange's textile senior analyst title in 2024 [22]. 5. Contact Information - The company is located at Unit 703, 6th Floor, No. 729, Yanggao South Road, China (Shanghai) Pilot Free Trade Zone. The company phone is 021 - 80212222, the fax is 021 - 80212200, the customer service hotline is 400 - 700 - 7979, and the postal code is 200127 [25].
光大期货软商品日报-20250924
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-09-24 05:46
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - Cotton is expected to maintain a weak and volatile trend in the short - term, affected by upcoming large - scale new cotton listings and supply pressure. The short - term decline space of ICE cotton is limited, and attention should be paid to ginneries' purchase intentions and opening prices [2]. - Sugar is expected to have a wide - range oscillation in the near future, but the supply pressure is not fully released. The domestic sugar market is in a weak fundamental pattern, and the future influencing factors include Inner Mongolia's sugar pressing progress and Guangxi's pre - sales situation. A weak view on sugar futures prices is maintained, and attention should be paid to the performance of raw sugar [2]. Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Research Views Cotton - On Tuesday, ICE US cotton rose 0.59% to 66.61 cents/pound, CF601 decreased 0.7% to 13,540 yuan/ton, and the main contract positions increased by 10,524 lots to 532,800 lots. The spot price index of cotton 3128B was 14,755 yuan/ton, down 40 yuan/ton from the previous day. After the Fed's September FOMC meeting, the overall drive has slowed, with the focus on the macro - level. The US dollar index is weak, and US cotton prices are strong. The number of net short positions of non - commercial positions in the latest week of CFTC has decreased significantly, limiting the short - term sharp decline of US cotton. Domestically, Zhengzhou cotton is in a weak trend due to upcoming new cotton listings and supply pressure, and downstream demand has limited short - term digestion capacity [2]. Sugar - In September, Brazil's sugar and molasses exports in the first three weeks were 2.4079 million tons, a decrease of 301,300 tons (11.12%) compared to the same period last year, with a daily average export volume of 160,500 tons. The spot prices of sugar groups in Guangxi and Yunnan decreased by 10 yuan/ton, and some processing sugar factories' quotes decreased by 10 - 50 yuan/ton. Raw sugar rebounded above 16 cents/pound, but the supply pressure remains, and the sustainability of the rebound needs to be observed. The domestic spot market sentiment is pessimistic, with sufficient short - term supply and fragile market sentiment. The futures market is led by raw sugar [2]. 2. Daily Data Monitoring Cotton - The 1 - 5 contract spread is - 20, down 15; the main basis is 1,593, down 21. The spot price in Xinjiang is 15,070 yuan/ton, down 76, and the national average is 15,133 yuan/ton, down 91 [3]. Sugar - The 1 - 5 contract spread is 26, up 7; the main basis is 411, down 2. The spot price in Nanning is 5,780 yuan/ton, down 20, and in Liuzhou is 5,855 yuan/ton, down 10 [3]. 3. Market Information - On September 22, the number of cotton futures warehouse receipts was 3,915, down 181 from the previous trading day, with 12 valid forecasts. - On September 23, the cotton arrival prices in different regions were: 15,070 yuan/ton in Xinjiang, 15,112 yuan/ton in Henan, 15,151 yuan/ton in Shandong, and 15,230 yuan/ton in Zhejiang. - On September 23, the comprehensive load of yarn was 50.1 (unchanged), the comprehensive inventory of yarn was 25.9 (down 0.1), the comprehensive load of staple fiber cloth was 52.8 (unchanged), and the comprehensive inventory of staple fiber cloth was 29 (unchanged). - On September 23, the spot price of sugar in Nanning was 5,780 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan/ton, and in Liuzhou was 5,855 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan/ton. - On September 23, the number of sugar futures warehouse receipts was 10,022, down 293 from the previous trading day, with 0 valid forecasts [4][5] 4. Research Team - Zhang Xiaojin is the research director of resource products at Everbright Futures Research Institute, focusing on the sugar industry. She has won many awards related to sugar analysis [20]. - Zhang Linglu is an analyst of resource products at Everbright Futures Research Institute, responsible for futures varieties such as urea and soda - ash glass. She has won many honors [21]. - Sun Chengzhen is an analyst of resource products at Everbright Futures Research Institute, mainly engaged in fundamental research and data analysis of cotton, cotton yarn, and ferroalloy. He won the honor of senior analyst of textile products at Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange in 2024 [22]
光大期货软商品日报-20250923
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-09-23 05:34
Group 1: Investment Ratings - No investment ratings are provided in the report. Group 2: Core Views - For cotton, the ICE U.S. cotton dropped 0.06% to 66.25 cents per pound, and CF601 decreased 0.98% to 13,610 yuan per ton. The main - contract positions increased by 13,028 lots to 522,300 lots. The 3128B cotton spot price index was 14,795 yuan per ton, down 75 yuan. Internationally, after the Fed's September meeting, the overall drive slowed and there are still differences in the future interest - rate cut path. The U.S. cotton is mainly in low - level oscillation. Domestically, with new cotton flooding the market, the supply pressure is high and the cotton price is moving down. In the short term, the supply pressure is hard to relieve, and the opening price is expected to adjust with the Zhengzhou cotton futures price. It is expected that Zhengzhou cotton will be in a weak oscillation, with limited downward space [2]. - For sugar, from January to August 2025, China imported 734,300 tons of syrup and white - sugar premixed powder, a year - on - year decrease of 716,700 tons. The spot prices of sugar groups in various regions have been lowered. The raw - sugar futures price continued to be weak, hitting a new low. With beet sugar about to be on the market, the domestic spot price has further declined. The market sentiment is cautious. The view on the futures market is still weak, and short positions can be held, with the downward depth adjusted dynamically. Attention should be paid to the pre - sale of new domestic sugar [2]. Group 3: Summary by Sections 1. Research Views - **Cotton**: The price of ICE U.S. cotton and CF601 decreased. The main - contract positions increased. The spot price index declined. Internationally, the post - meeting situation and differences in the interest - rate cut path affect the market. Domestically, new - cotton supply pressure is high. In the short term, the supply pressure persists and the price is expected to be weak [2]. - **Sugar**: The import volume of syrup and white - sugar premixed powder decreased year - on - year. Spot prices in various regions were lowered. The raw - sugar futures price was weak, and domestic prices declined with the upcoming beet - sugar supply. The market sentiment is cautious, and a weak view is held on the futures market [2]. 2. Daily Data Monitoring - **Cotton**: The 1 - 5 contract spread was - 5, down 20. The main - contract basis was 1,614, up 51. The Xinjiang spot price was 15,146 yuan per ton, down 52, and the national spot price was 15,224 yuan per ton, down 59 [3]. - **Sugar**: The 1 - 5 contract spread was 19, up 2. The main - contract basis was 413, down 31. The Nanning spot price was 5,800 yuan per ton, down 30, and the Liuzhou spot price was 5,865 yuan per ton, down 40 [3]. 3. Market Information - **Cotton**: On September 22, the cotton futures warehouse - receipt quantity was 4,096, down 136, with 12 valid forecasts. The cotton arrival prices in different regions were reported. The yarn comprehensive load remained unchanged, the yarn inventory decreased slightly, the short - fiber cloth comprehensive load remained unchanged, and the short - fiber cloth inventory remained unchanged [4]. - **Sugar**: On September 22, the sugar spot prices in Nanning and Liuzhou decreased. The sugar futures warehouse - receipt quantity was 10,315, down 49, with 0 valid forecasts [4][5]. 4. Chart Analysis - **Cotton**: Charts show the cotton main - contract closing price, main - contract basis, 1 - 5 spread, 1% tariff - quota internal - external spread, warehouse receipts and valid forecasts, and the China cotton price index [7][10][12]. - **Sugar**: Charts show the sugar main - contract closing price, main - contract basis, 1 - 5 spread, and warehouse receipts and valid forecasts [15][18]. 5. Research Team - The research team includes Zhang Xiaojin, a resource - product research director focusing on the sugar industry; Zhang Linglu, responsible for research on urea, soda - ash glass, etc.; and Sun Chengzhen, mainly engaged in the fundamental research of cotton, cotton yarn, etc. [20][21][22]
光大期货软商品日报(2025 年9月19日)-20250919
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-09-19 05:25
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - Cotton is expected to experience a slightly weak and volatile pattern in the short term, with limited downside space and the need for stronger drivers to break through previous support. Attention should be paid to market sentiment and the opening price of new cotton [2]. - Sugar is expected to continue its weak performance in the short term due to concerns about increased production and high supply [2]. Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Research Views - **Cotton**: On Thursday, ICE cotton fell 0.49% to 66.92 cents per pound, and CF601 dropped 1.08% to 13,765 yuan per ton. The main contract's open interest increased by 10,790 lots to 502,100 lots. The spot price index of cotton 3128B was 14,890 yuan per ton, down 120 yuan from the previous day. Internationally, the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September, but there were differences in the dot - plot's prediction of the future interest - rate cut path. The US dollar index strengthened, causing the price of US cotton to decline. Domestically, the market focuses on market sentiment and the upcoming large - scale listing of new cotton. This year's new cotton is expected to have a good harvest, with the expected opening price of machine - picked cotton at 6.2 - 6.3 yuan per kilogram and the processing cost around 14,000 yuan per ton. In August, the year - on - year growth rate of social retail sales slowed down, but the retail sales of clothing, footwear, and textiles increased by 3.1%. The operating load of downstream textile enterprises has improved seasonally, providing some support to the demand side [2]. - **Sugar**: In August 2025, China imported 830,000 tons of sugar, an increase of 62,700 tons year - on - year. From January to August 2025, China imported 2.6121 million tons of sugar, an increase of 121,000 tons or 4.86% year - on - year. As of August in the 2024/25 sugar - crushing season, China imported 4.0739 million tons of sugar, a decrease of 277,200 tons or 6.37% year - on - year. Spot prices have been lowered. After the release of Brazil's sugar production and sales data in August, concerns in the market subsided, and the certainty of increased production became stronger, putting pressure on futures prices. In China, the combination of multiple sugar supplies and high imports has weighed on market sentiment, causing prices to fall below previous lows [2]. Daily Data Monitoring - **Cotton**: The 1 - 5 contract spread was 40 yuan, unchanged from the previous day. The main contract basis was 1,554 yuan, up 134 yuan. The spot price in Xinjiang was 15,249 yuan per ton, up 23 yuan, and the national average was 15,319 yuan per ton, up 9 yuan [3]. - **Sugar**: The 1 - 5 contract spread was 24 yuan, unchanged from the previous day. The main contract basis was 451 yuan, up 45 yuan. The spot price in Nanning was 5,840 yuan per ton, down 30 yuan, and in Liuzhou was 5,925 yuan per ton, down 10 yuan [3]. Market Information - On September 18, the number of cotton futures warehouse receipts decreased by 177 to 4,438, with 12 valid forecasts [4]. - On September 18, the arrival prices of cotton in different regions were: 15,249 yuan per ton in Xinjiang, 15,309 yuan per ton in Henan, 15,344 yuan per ton in Shandong, and 15,429 yuan per ton in Zhejiang [4]. - On September 18, the comprehensive load of yarn was 50.1, up 0.1 from the previous day; the comprehensive inventory of yarn was 26.3, down 0.1; the comprehensive load of short - fiber cloth was 52.8, unchanged; and the comprehensive inventory of short - fiber cloth was 29.2, down 0.2 [4]. - On September 18, the spot price of sugar in Nanning was 5,840 yuan per ton, down 30 yuan, and in Liuzhou was 5,925 yuan per ton, down 10 yuan [4]. - On September 18, the number of sugar futures warehouse receipts decreased by 359 to 10,629, with 0 valid forecasts [5]. Chart Analysis - Multiple charts are presented, including those showing the closing prices, basis, 1 - 5 spreads, and warehouse receipts of cotton and sugar futures, with data spanning from 2021 - 2025 [7][15][18]. Research Team Personnel Introduction - Zhang Xiaojin is the research director of resource products at Everbright Futures Research Institute, focusing on the sugar industry. She has won multiple awards [20]. - Zhang Linglu is an analyst at Everbright Futures Research Institute, responsible for researching futures varieties such as urea and soda ash glass. She has also won several awards [21]. - Sun Chengzhen is an analyst at Everbright Futures Research Institute, mainly engaged in fundamental research and data analysis of cotton, cotton yarn, and ferroalloys. He won the title of senior analyst in textile products at Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange in 2024 [22].
光大期货软商品日报-20250916
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-09-16 09:06
Group 1: Investment Ratings - No investment ratings for the industry are provided in the report. Group 2: Core Views - For cotton, on Monday, ICE US cotton fell 0.01% to 66.82 cents per pound, and CF601 rose 0.4% to 13,885 yuan per ton. The main contract's open interest decreased by 8,077 lots to 498,300 lots. The cotton arrival price in Xinjiang was about 15,167 yuan per ton, down 15 yuan from the previous day, and the national average cotton market price was 15,249 yuan per ton, up 1 yuan. The market is focused on the macro - level with the Fed's September interest - rate meeting approaching and a nearly 100% probability of a 25 - BP rate cut. The USDA report made minor adjustments to US cotton data. New cotton is about to be listed in large quantities in China, with a strong expectation of a bumper harvest this year. The hand - picked cotton price remains relatively firm, and the opening price may be between 6.2 - 6.5 yuan per kilogram, supporting the Zhengzhou cotton futures price. The August social retail data showed a slowdown in the year - on - year growth rate, but the retail sales of clothing, footwear, and textiles increased by 3.1%. Overall, the Zhengzhou cotton futures price has some support below but weak upward momentum, and is expected to be in a short - term oscillatory pattern [2]. - For sugar, the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) expects Brazil's 2025 sugarcane planting area to be 9.358284 million hectares, up 1.5% from last month's forecast and 1.3% from last year, and the sugarcane output to be 695.491113 million tons, up 0.1% from last month's forecast but down 1.6% from last year. The spot quotes of Guangxi and Yunnan sugar - making groups remained stable, and only the Guangdong Jinling processing sugar factory raised its price by 10 yuan per ton. The raw sugar market was suppressed by the expectation of a bumper harvest. In the domestic market, the peak of spot market stocking has passed, and sales are now stable. The sugar - cane crushing in Inner Mongolia is delayed due to weather. The futures market rebounded slightly following the raw sugar, but caution is needed regarding the upside due to the supply from multiple sugar sources. Attention should be paid to the August import data [2]. Group 3: Summary by Sections 1. Daily Data Monitoring - For cotton, the 1 - 5 contract spread was 35 yuan, down 5 yuan; the main contract basis was 1364 yuan, down 24 yuan. The Xinjiang spot price was 15,167 yuan per ton, down 15 yuan, and the national average was 15,249 yuan per ton, up 1 yuan [3]. - For sugar, the 1 - 5 contract spread was 24 yuan, down 1 yuan; the main contract basis was 386 yuan, down 9 yuan. The Nanning spot price was 5,890 yuan per ton, unchanged, and the Liuzhou spot price was 5,935 yuan per ton, unchanged [3]. 2. Market Information - On September 15, the number of cotton futures warehouse receipts was 4,899, down 118 from the previous trading day, with 2 valid forecasts [4]. - On September 15, the cotton arrival prices in different regions were: 15,167 yuan per ton in Xinjiang, 15,217 yuan per ton in Henan, 15,282 yuan per ton in Shandong, and 15,300 yuan per ton in Zhejiang [4]. - On September 15, the yarn comprehensive load was 50, up 0.1 from the previous day; the yarn comprehensive inventory was 26.4, down 0.1; the short - fiber cloth comprehensive load was 52.5, up 0.5; and the short - fiber cloth comprehensive inventory was 29.5, down 0.3 [4]. - On September 15, the Nanning sugar spot price was 5,890 yuan per ton, up 10 yuan from the previous day, and the Liuzhou sugar spot price was 5,935 yuan per ton, unchanged [4]. - On September 15, the number of sugar futures warehouse receipts was 11,325, down 274 from the previous trading day, with 0 valid forecasts [5]. 3. Chart Analysis - The report presents multiple charts related to cotton and sugar, including the closing price, basis, 1 - 5 spread, 1% tariff quota internal - external spread, warehouse receipts and valid forecasts, and price index of cotton, as well as the closing price, basis, 1 - 5 spread, and warehouse receipts and valid forecasts of sugar [7][10][15][18]. 4. Research Team - Zhang Xiaojin is the director of resource product research at Everbright Futures Research Institute, focusing on the sugar industry. She has won many awards [20]. - Zhang Linglu, a master of accounting and finance from the University of Bristol, is a resource product analyst at Everbright Futures, responsible for research on futures varieties such as urea and soda ash glass [21]. - Sun Chengzhen, a financial master from Yunnan University, is a resource product analyst at Everbright Futures, mainly engaged in fundamental research and data analysis of cotton, cotton yarn, and ferroalloys [22].