早盘提示 | 板块 | 品种 | 多（空） | 推荐理由 | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 【行情复盘】 | 节前 | SR601 | 合约收盘价 | 5479 | 元/吨，日涨幅 | 0.02%。夜盘收于 | 5493 | 元/吨；SR605 | 合 | | | | | 约收盘价 | 5437 | 元/吨，日跌幅 | 0.09%。夜盘收于 | 5458 | 元/吨。 | 【重要资讯】 | | | | | | | | 1 | 昨日 | ICE | 原糖主力合约收盘价为 | 16.32 | 美分/磅，日跌幅 | 1.92%；伦白糖主力合约 | 收盘价 | 451.3 | 元/吨，日跌幅 | 1.57%。 | | | | 2.节前广西白糖现货成交价为 | 5658 | 元/吨，上涨 | 5 | 元/吨；广西制糖集团报价 | 5740~5850 | 元/吨；云南制糖集团报价 | 5680~5730 | 元/吨；加工糖厂主流报价区间 | | | | ...

近年来，在郑商所的大力支持下，国泰君安期货及其下属国泰君安风险管理有限公司通过"保险+期货"模式在云南省开展项目累计40余个，保险保障金额超 过13.5亿元，服务惠及农户、涉农企业等各类主体约12万户次。公司充分发挥专业优势，切实助力"三农"发展，全方位保障农户收益，推动农业现代化转 型。未来，国泰君安期货将继续扎根云南等多地，进一步强化"保险+期货"模式的服务效能，为更多农户编织更坚实的风险防保护屏障，为农业产业链的现 代化发展注入强劲而持久的金融动能。 勐海县隶属于云南省西双版纳傣族自治州，光热条件优越、雨热同期，是云南省糖料蔗的主要种植地区，糖料蔗作为当地农户重要的收入来源，蔗糖产业一 直都是政府开展乡村振兴工作的主要抓手。 会上，勐海县领导首先对项目参与各方表示衷心感谢，并强调高度重视该项目推进。该项目由国泰君安期货牵头，携手太平洋产险云南分公司、太平洋安信 农险、华泰期货、浙商期货、光大期货及华西期货联合承办。作为"东西部协作"的又一模范案例，成功引入上海市 "援滇资金"200万元，并获郑商所300万 元保费支持，显著减轻了农户的保费负担，同时提升了项目的可及性与普惠性。 近日，在云南省勐海县政府的 ...

启动仪式结束后，郑商所一行与田东县政府、国家发改委挂职田东县工作组开展了乡村振兴及深化普惠金融工作座谈会，随后 深入蔗田现场开展调研工作，了解糖料蔗产业发展情况。自治区金融办、百色市有关政府部门代表，保险公司、期货公司、制 糖企业等有关领导人员陪同参加。 2025年，郑商所率先在广西地区试点"糖业无忧"项目，探索白糖"保险+期货+糖企"模式。该模式一是稳步拓展"保险+期货"项目 服务成效，为蔗农稳定收益提供保险保障服务；二是鼓励制糖企业利用期货市场做好风险管理，并提供配套支持政策，降低制 糖企业风险管理成本。田东县项目预计总保费规模约665万元，预计覆盖糖料蔗承保面积约3.35万亩。 会上，国泰君安期货、申银万国期货、物产中大期货还与田东县财政局签订了乡村振兴合作协议，并组织开展业务培训。各方 将以此次项目合作为契机，一是进一步加强合作交流，扩大乡村振兴工作全面合作；二是通过专业培训提高制糖企业和蔗农对 保险和期货工具的认识和风险管理应用能力，增强风险管理意识，丰富风险管理应对措施，助力田东县糖料蔗产业稳健发展。 9月17日上午，为深入贯彻落实国家关于金融服务乡村振兴的战略部署，切实发挥期货市场服务实体经济发 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company held an investor relations event to discuss its stock performance, acquisitions, and financial results, indicating a proactive approach to engage with investors and address their concerns [1][2]. Group 1: Investor Relations Event - The event took place on September 19, 2025, via the "Investor Relations Interactive Platform," with participation from various investors [1]. - Key company representatives, including the chairman and financial officer, were present to discuss various topics with investors [1]. Group 2: Stock Performance and Confidence Measures - The company reported that since 2024, the controlling shareholder has taken measures to boost investor confidence, including a significant share purchase of 41.88 million shares for approximately 12.18 million yuan in August 2024 [2]. - In April 2025, the company repurchased 1.81 million shares using 5.52 million yuan of its own funds, further demonstrating commitment to enhancing shareholder value [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders, excluding non-recurring gains and losses, increased by 15.94% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, indicating improved profitability [2]. Group 3: Acquisition and Business Strategy - The company addressed investor inquiries regarding the acquisition of a 39.9996% stake in Asia Foods, stating that the pricing was based on an evaluation report from Zhonglian Asset Appraisal Group [2]. - The acquisition aims to resolve competition issues with a subsidiary and create synergies with the company's beverage business, enhancing market share and brand influence [2]. Group 4: Financial Performance and Future Outlook - The company noted a slight decline in overall revenue due to a drop in sugar product sales, but the net profit, excluding non-recurring items, showed growth [3]. - The beverage segment experienced revenue and gross margin growth through e-commerce and expansion into external markets [3]. - The company plans to continue focusing on its core business to enhance overall profitability [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that COFCO Sugar Industry has seen a significant increase in its stock price, rising by 5.09% to reach 17.54 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 352 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.96%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 37.515 billion CNY [1] - COFCO Sugar Industry, established on September 18, 1993, and listed on July 31, 1996, is primarily engaged in the manufacturing and sales of white sugar and related products, as well as the processing and sales of tomatoes and tomato products [1] - The revenue composition of COFCO Sugar Industry is as follows: sugar-related products account for 90.03%, tomato-related products for 7.83%, and other products for 2.15% [1] Group 2 - Tianhong Fund has a significant holding in COFCO Sugar Industry, with its Tianhong CSI Central Enterprise Dividend 50 Index Fund A (021561) reducing its holdings by 21,900 shares in the second quarter, now holding 90,000 shares, which represents 2.47% of the fund's net value, ranking as the eighth largest holding [2] - The Tianhong CSI Central Enterprise Dividend 50 Index Fund A has a current scale of 10.6713 million CNY and has achieved a year-to-date return of 8.17%, ranking 3609 out of 4222 in its category, with a one-year return of 29.27%, ranking 3310 out of 3805 [2]

Core Insights - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued the "Guidelines for Promoting Digital Transformation in Key Industries (2025 Edition)" on September 16 [1] - The guidelines include scenario maps for 14 key industries, such as steel, petrochemicals, engineering machinery, new energy vehicles, robotics, medical equipment, home appliances, sugar production, liquor, beauty and daily chemicals, lithium batteries, printed circuit boards (PCB), smart mobile terminals, and civil explosives [1] - The document emphasizes the dynamic updating of scenario maps based on technological advancements and industry developments [1] - Other industries are encouraged to explore the construction of "one map and four lists" [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Oils and Fats**: Expected to fluctuate [6] - **Protein Meal**: Expected to fluctuate [6] - **Corn and Starch**: Expected to fluctuate weakly [7] - **Hogs**: Expected to fluctuate [8] - **Natural Rubber and No. 20 Rubber**: Expected to fluctuate strongly in the short - term [9] - **Synthetic Rubber**: Expected to fluctuate [11] - **Cotton**: Expected to fluctuate in the short - term [12] - **Sugar**: Expected to fluctuate weakly in the long - term, and run in the 5500 - 5750 range in the short - term [14] - **Pulp**: Expected to fluctuate [15] - **Double - Glue Paper**: Expected to fluctuate [16] - **Logs**: Expected to stop falling and stabilize [19] 2. Core Views of the Report - **Oils and Fats**: Affected by the relatively bearish MPOB report, the market sentiment is weak, and it may continue to adjust. Pay attention to the effectiveness of the lower technical support [6]. - **Protein Meal**: The market has both long and short factors, and the market will continue to fluctuate narrowly. Hold long positions at 2900 - 2910 and add positions on dips. It is recommended that oil mills sell on rallies, and downstream enterprises buy basis contracts or fix prices on dips [6]. - **Corn and Starch**: Maintain the idea of shorting on rallies in the fourth quarter. There is a short - term tight supply, and a short - term long - term long pattern is expected [7]. - **Hogs**: The expectation of "anti - involution" boosts the market. In the short - term, the supply is abundant, and the cycle is still under supply pressure. In the long - term, if the capacity - reduction policy is implemented, the supply pressure in 2026 will be gradually weakened. Pay attention to the reverse arbitrage strategy [8]. - **Natural Rubber**: After the decline, it stabilizes, and there will still be fluctuations in the short - term. The short - term trend is expected to fluctuate strongly [9]. - **Synthetic Rubber**: It returns to the fluctuating trend. The short - term price of butadiene is expected to rise slightly, and the market may fluctuate strongly [11]. - **Cotton**: The cotton price fluctuates within the range. Try short - term long positions when the price reaches the lower limit of the range [12]. - **Sugar**: In the long - term, the sugar price has a downward driving force due to the expected supply surplus in the new season. In the short - term, it runs in the 5500 - 5750 range, and pay attention to the support at 5500 [14]. - **Pulp**: The pulp futures fluctuate sharply with the listing of double - glue paper. It is expected to fluctuate [15]. - **Double - Glue Paper**: The fundamentals are weak, but the listing price is neutral to low. Consider range operation between 4000 - 4500 [16]. - **Logs**: The market is in a game between weak reality and peak - season expectation. The price may stop falling and stabilize in September [19]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Oils and Fats - **Logic**: Due to the limited expected decline in US soybean yield per unit, combined with the impact of oil - meal arbitrage, US soybeans and soybean oil fell on Tuesday. The MPOB report is bearish, and domestic oils and fats fluctuated and fell yesterday. The US soybean is affected by drought, and the domestic soybean oil inventory may peak. The MPOB report on palm oil is bearish, and the domestic rapeseed oil inventory is slowly falling but still high year - on - year [6]. - **Outlook**: Affected by the bearish MPOB report, the market sentiment is weak and may continue to adjust [6]. 3.2 Protein Meal - **Logic**: Internationally, the Fed's rate cut in September is almost certain. There are factors such as the possible occurrence of La Nina and the expected increase in Brazil's soybean exports. Domestically, the state reserve plans to sell 22,500 tons of imported soybeans, and the soybean import volume is large. The demand for soybean meal may increase steadily [6]. - **Outlook**: Both domestic and international markets will continue to fluctuate within the range. Hold long positions at 2900 - 2910 and add positions on dips [6]. 3.3 Corn and Starch - **Logic**: The domestic corn price shows a differentiated trend. The supply is short - term tight, and the demand has a phased increase. With the approaching of the new grain listing, the selling pressure will gradually appear in the fourth quarter [7]. - **Outlook**: Look for short - selling opportunities on rallies when the new grain is concentratedly listed. Consider reverse arbitrage [7]. 3.4 Hogs - **Logic**: The Ministry of Agriculture plans to hold a symposium on hog production capacity regulation enterprises on September 16. In the short - term, the supply is abundant, and the demand is stable. In the long - term, the "anti - involution" policy may drive the price to strengthen in 2026 [8]. - **Outlook**: The spot price is expected to fluctuate. The futures market is in a pattern of "weak reality + strong expectation", and pay attention to the reverse arbitrage strategy [8]. 3.5 Natural Rubber and No. 20 Rubber - **Logic**: The rubber market stabilizes after a sharp decline. The short - term fundamentals are strong, and there are many speculative themes. The supply increase may be postponed, and the downstream purchasing enthusiasm recovers after the price decline [9]. - **Outlook**: The short - term trend is expected to fluctuate strongly [9]. 3.6 Synthetic Rubber - **Logic**: The BR market stabilizes after a large decline and returns to the fluctuating trend. It follows the natural rubber market, and the cost of raw material butadiene provides support. The supply and demand fundamentals support the market to fluctuate in a narrow range [11]. - **Outlook**: The short - term price of butadiene may rise slightly, and the market may fluctuate strongly [11]. 3.7 Cotton - **Logic**: The domestic cotton market has low inventory and marginal improvement in demand. The new cotton commercial inventory is tight, and the demand is improving but the upward driving force is insufficient. Wait for the new cotton purchase price to give direction [12]. - **Outlook**: Fluctuate in the short - term. Try short - term long positions when the price reaches the lower limit of the range [12]. 3.8 Sugar - **Logic**: In the new season, although the drought in Brazil reduces the sugarcane yield, the sugar production is expected to increase due to the high sugar - making ratio. The supply in Southeast Asia is expected to increase. The domestic supply marginally increases, and the sugar price has a downward driving force [14]. - **Outlook**: In the long - term, the sugar price may decline. In the short - term, it runs in the 5500 - 5750 range, and pay attention to the support at 5500 [14]. 3.9 Pulp - **Logic**: The pulp futures fluctuate sharply with the listing of double - glue paper. The supply and demand change little, and it may be due to emotional speculation. The needle - broadleaf pattern is differentiated, and the price may continue to decline [15]. - **Outlook**: The pulp futures are expected to fluctuate [15]. 3.10 Double - Glue Paper - **Logic**: The fundamentals are bearish, with over - supply in the industry, declining demand, and high inventory. The listing price is neutral to low, and consider range operation between 4000 - 4500. Pay attention to reverse arbitrage in the early stage of listing [16]. - **Outlook**: The fundamentals are weak, but the listing price is neutral to low. Consider range operation [16]. 3.11 Logs - **Logic**: The log market is in a game between weak reality and peak - season expectation. The inventory is decreasing, and the demand is expected to increase. The price may stop falling and stabilize in September [19]. - **Outlook**: The price may stop falling and stabilize in September [19].

Core Viewpoint - The successful issuance of China's first "carbon asset + rural revitalization" dual-labeled medium-term note by Shanghai Pudong Development Bank and Guangxi Guokong Capital Operation Group represents an innovative financial product that aligns with national "dual carbon" goals and rural revitalization strategies, providing a replicable model for green financing and regional economic development [1][4][6] Group 1: Financial Innovation - The medium-term note has a total issuance scale of 500 million yuan and a five-year term, linking carbon assets to create new pathways for green financing [1][4] - The note's core innovation lies in its carbon asset yield as the underlying support, offering investors additional carbon asset yield distribution linked to the issuer's subsidiaries' carbon quotas [4] - The issuance attracted significant market interest, with a subscription multiple of nearly three times, reflecting confidence in Guangxi Guokong Group's capabilities and strategic positioning in the green low-carbon sector [4][5] Group 2: Fund Utilization - Proceeds from the medium-term note will primarily support the procurement of raw materials for sugar production, specifically purchasing sugarcane from local farms to ensure stable supply [5] - The funding is strategically directed towards rural revitalization and the real economy, transforming financial resources into drivers for rural development and industrial upgrades [5] - This initiative aims to enhance employment and income for sugarcane farmers, thereby activating the rural economy's self-sustaining capabilities [5][6] Group 3: Strategic Positioning - Guangxi Guokong Group, established in June 2025 with a registered capital of 11 billion yuan, integrates resources from various state-owned enterprises under the Guangxi State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [4] - The group focuses on leveraging Guangxi's policy advantages and unique industries, aiming to become a leading state-owned capital operation company and a top food industry enterprise in China [4]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - On September 2, the A-share market and multiple futures varieties showed diverse trends, influenced by factors such as market supply - demand, policy restrictions, and international market conditions [1][2][3][4][5][7][8][9][11][12] Summary by Variety Stock Index Futures - On September 2, the three major A - share indexes collectively declined. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.45% to 3858.13 points, the Shenzhen Component Index dropped 2.14% to 12553.84 points, and the ChiNext Index decreased 2.85% to 2872.22 points. The trading volume of the two markets reached 2875 billion yuan, an increase of 125 billion yuan from the previous day. The CSI 300 index also adjusted downward, closing at 4490.45, a decrease of 33.26 [1][2] Coke and Coking Coal - Coke: On September 2, the weighted coke index showed weak consolidation, closing at 1599.6, a decrease of 6.9. There is a temporary supply contraction due to upcoming northern regional restrictions, while steel mills also face restrictions, and cost support is weakening [2][4] - Coking Coal: On September 2, the weighted coking coal index fluctuated weakly, closing at 1110.9 yuan, a decrease of 9.2. Some mines in major coal - producing areas have suspended production, and downstream enterprises will face restrictions, resulting in weak supply and demand [3][4] Zhengzhou Sugar - Affected by the reduction in spot prices and short - selling pressure, the Zhengzhou Sugar 2601 contract declined on September 2 and continued to fall slightly at night. India will allow unrestricted use of sugarcane juice, syrup, and molasses for ethanol production in the new season [4] Rubber - Shanghai rubber showed a narrow - range fluctuation on September 2 and closed slightly higher. Boosted by rising crude oil prices, it rose slightly at night. As of August 31, 2025, the total inventory of natural rubber in Qingdao decreased by 0.4 million tons, a decline of 0.6% [5] Soybean Meal - Internationally, on September 2, CBOT soybean futures were weak. The US soybean harvest will start in mid - to - late September, and Brazil's 2025/2026 soybean production is expected to reach a record 1.782 billion tons, a 5.6% increase year - on - year. Domestically, on September 2, soybean meal futures fluctuated. The M2601 contract closed at 3050 yuan/ton, a 0.13% decrease. High imports and high processing volumes have led to sufficient supply, and the price is under pressure [5] Live Hogs - On September 2, live hog futures fluctuated weakly. The LH2511 contract closed at 13595 yuan/ton, a 0.22% decrease. In September, supply is sufficient, and some areas face disease risks. Although there is a recovery in terminal demand due to the start of the school season, the support for prices is limited. In the medium - to - long - term, the supply pressure in the fourth quarter is high [7] Palm Oil - On September 2, palm oil futures continued a slight rebound but lacked upward momentum. The main contract P2601 closed at 9422, a 0.4% increase. Malaysia's August palm oil exports increased by 30.53% year - on - year, while production decreased by 2.65% [8] Shanghai Copper - Positive macro factors and supply - tightening expectations will support copper prices. With low inventory and high premiums in China, and the approaching peak consumption season, demand is expected to increase. However, high prices may suppress some purchasing intentions [8] Cotton - On the night of September 2, the main contract of Zhengzhou cotton closed at 14045 yuan/ton. The base - price quotation at Xinjiang's designated delivery warehouses was at least 900 yuan/ton, and the inventory decreased by 189 lots [9] Iron Ore - On September 2, the main contract of iron ore 2601 fluctuated and closed up 0.06%. Global shipments have reached a high for the year, and arrivals have increased. Short - term prices are in a fluctuating trend due to production cuts in the Beijing - Tianjin - Hebei region [9] Asphalt - On September 2, the main contract of asphalt 2510 fluctuated and rose 1.17%, closing at 3551 yuan. The capacity utilization rate has decreased, inventory reduction is slow, and with the approaching peak demand season, prices are expected to fluctuate [9] Logs - On September 2, the log futures contract 2511 opened at 820, closed at 810.5, and increased in positions by 755 lots. The price broke below the 60 - day moving average. The spot prices in Shandong and Jiangsu remained stable. There is a game between strong expectations and weak reality, and attention should be paid to factors such as peak - season prices, imports, and inventory [9][10][11] Steel Products - On September 2, rb2601 closed at 3117 yuan/ton, and hc2601 closed at 3298 yuan/ton. The market lacks strong macro - drivers, and the fundamentals are weak, which may continue to suppress prices [11] Alumina - On September 2, ao2601 closed at 3022 yuan/ton. Some domestic enterprises are under maintenance, and production and operating rates have slightly declined, but the supply is still relatively loose, and the market may continue to be weak [11] Shanghai Aluminum - On September 2, al2510 closed at 20720 yuan/ton. Macro sentiment is favorable, but the peak - season expectations have not been realized. The fundamentals are weak, and the price is in a range - bound trend [12]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that dividend low-volatility ETFs, particularly the Taikang Dividend Low-Volatility ETF (560150), are showing strong performance and growth, with significant increases in net value and scale over the past year [1][2] - As of September 1, 2025, the Taikang Dividend Low-Volatility ETF has achieved a net value increase of 20.00% over the past year, ranking first among comparable funds [1] - The A-share market has seen a record high in cash dividend announcements, with over 800 listed companies declaring a total dividend amount of 642.8 billion yuan, marking a historical peak [1] Group 2 - According to Everbright Securities, dividend assets are considered core assets in the A-share market, possessing irreplaceable value compared to growth stocks, especially with many companies announcing profit distribution plans for the 2024 fiscal year [2] - The Taikang Dividend Low-Volatility ETF closely tracks the CSI Dividend Low-Volatility Index, which selects 50 securities based on liquidity, continuous dividends, moderate dividend payout ratios, positive growth in earnings per share, and low volatility [2]