Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - From August 4 to August 8, 2025, the central bank conducted a net withdrawal of funds through 7 - day reverse repurchase operations and carried out 700 billion yuan of 3 - month outright reverse repurchase operations. After the cross - month period, the funding rate declined. From August 4 to August 10, the net payment scale of government bonds increased, the overall yield to maturity of inter - bank certificates of deposit (NCDs) decreased, and the average leverage ratio in the inter - bank bond market increased. From August 11 to August 17, the expected net payment of government bonds is 360.1 billion yuan, and the maturity scale of NCDs is about 907.1 billion yuan [2]. - The outright reverse repurchase operation has more flexible timing compared to the medium - term lending facility (MLF). The central bank's operations in different months are to address various pressures on the liquidity, such as large - scale NCD maturities, tax payment months, and new bond issuance policies. The 6 - month outright reverse repurchase in August may be operated in the middle of the month to assist in stabilizing the funding situation during the tax payment period [7]. - The funding situation eased at the beginning of the month. From August 4 to August 8, the average values of DR001 and R001 decreased by 5.6 and 8.7 basis points respectively compared to the period from July 28 to August 1. The average values of DR007 and R007 decreased by 8.2 and 11.4 basis points respectively. In the future, the funding situation is expected to remain stable and loose overall, but the central bank's goal of preventing "idle funds" may limit the significant decline of the funding rate center [8]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Funding Situation - **Outright Reverse Repurchase and 7 - day Reverse Repurchase**: From August 4 to August 8, 2025, the central bank's 7 - day reverse repurchase had a net withdrawal of 53.65 billion yuan. On August 8, it carried out 70 billion yuan of 3 - month outright reverse repurchase operations. The net investment of 3 - month outright reverse repurchase was 30 billion yuan. The maturity scales of 3 - month and 6 - month outright reverse repurchases in August are 40 billion and 50 billion yuan respectively [6]. - **Funding Rate**: From August 4 to August 8, the average values of DR001 and R001 were 1.31% and 1.35% respectively, down 5.6 and 8.7 basis points from July 28 - August 1. The average values of DR007 and R007 were 1.45% and 1.47% respectively, down 8.2 and 11.4 basis points from July 28 - August 1 [8]. - **Government Bond Net Payment**: From August 4 to August 10, the net payment scale of government bonds was about 37.06 billion yuan, an increase of about 8.3 billion yuan compared to July 28 - August 3. From August 11 to August 17, the expected net payment of government bonds is 36.01 billion yuan [8]. Inter - bank Certificates of Deposit (NCDs) - **Yield to Maturity**: As of August 8, 2025, the yields to maturity of 1 - month, 3 - month, and 1 - year NCDs were 1.4490%, 1.5300%, and 1.6175% respectively, down 4, 1, and 2 basis points from August 1 [9]. - **Net Financing Amount**: From August 4 to August 10, the net financing amount of NCDs was about 17.76 billion yuan, compared with about 1 billion yuan from July 28 to August 3. From August 11 to August 17, the expected maturity repayment amount of NCDs is 907.1 billion yuan, and the pressure of maturity renewal has increased compared to the previous week [9]. Institutional Behavior - **Leverage Ratio in the Inter - bank Bond Market**: From August 4 to August 8, the average calculated leverage ratio in the inter - bank bond market was 107.96%, up from the average of 107.63% from July 28 to August 1. On August 8 and August 1, the calculated leverage ratios were about 108.07% and 108.10% respectively [10].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the document Core Viewpoints of the Report - From July 28 to August 1, 2025, the central bank conducted a small - scale net injection of funds through 7 - day reverse repurchase operations. The liquidity situation showed minor fluctuations during the month - end transition but returned to stability afterward. From July 28 to August 3, the net payment scale of government bonds decreased, the yields of maturing inter - bank certificates of deposit (NCDs) declined overall, and the average leverage ratio in the inter - bank bond market remained basically stable. From August 4 to August 10, the expected net payment of government bonds is 33.9 billion yuan, and the maturing scale of NCDs is about 59.83 billion yuan [2]. - The central bank is expected to continue to support the liquidity situation. In August, with the maturity of MLF and outright reverse repurchase, considering the need to stabilize expectations, the central bank is likely to maintain its supportive stance towards the liquidity [5]. - The liquidity is expected to remain reasonably abundant in August, and the funding rates are likely to stay at a relatively low level. At the beginning of the month, the liquidity may experience seasonal easing, but attention should be paid to the issuance rhythm of government bonds and the large - scale maturity of NCDs during the month [6]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Funding Situation - **Central Bank Operations**: From July 28 to August 1, 2025, the central bank's 7 - day reverse repurchase operations had a net injection of 690 million yuan. From August 4 to August 8, 166.32 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchases will mature. In July, the central bank injected 10 billion yuan of liquidity through MLF and 20 billion yuan through outright reverse repurchase. In August, 30 billion yuan of MLF and 90 billion yuan of outright reverse repurchase will mature [5]. - **Funding Rates**: From July 28 to August 1, the average values of DR001 and R001 decreased by 7.3 and 5.2 basis points respectively compared with the period from July 21 to July 25. The average values of DR007 and R007 decreased by 0.7 and increased by 2.8 basis points respectively. In July, the funding rates fluctuated significantly, and in August, they are expected to remain low, but it is difficult to decline further compared with early July [6]. - **Government Bond Net Payment**: From July 28 to August 3, the net payment of government bonds was about 28.76 billion yuan, 2.84 billion yuan less than the previous week. From August 4 to August 10, the expected net payment is 33.9 billion yuan [7]. 2. Inter - bank Certificates of Deposit (NCDs) - **Yields of Maturing NCDs**: As of August 1, 2025, the yields of 1M, 3M, and 1Y NCDs decreased by 7, 4, and 4 basis points respectively compared with July 25. The decline was due to the stabilization of funding rates and the partial recovery of the bond market [8]. - **Net Financing of NCDs**: From July 28 to August 3, the net financing of NCDs was about 1 billion yuan, turning positive from - 56.08 billion yuan in the previous week. From August 4 to August 10, the maturing repayment amount of NCDs is expected to be 59.83 billion yuan, with an increased pressure on renewal compared with the previous week [8]. 3. Institutional Behavior - **Leverage Ratio in the Inter - bank Bond Market**: From July 28 to August 1, the average calculated leverage ratio in the inter - bank bond market was 107.63%, basically the same as the previous week. On August 1 and July 25, the calculated leverage ratios were about 108.10% and 107.27% respectively [11].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints - From July 14 - 18, 2025, the central bank conducted net 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with 100 billion yuan of MLF maturing and 140 billion yuan of outright reverse repurchase operations. The funding situation tightened during the tax period. After the tax - period disturbance ends, the funding situation is expected to return to a stable state. [2][5][6] - From July 14 - 20, 2025, the net payment scale of government bonds increased, most of the maturity yields of inter - bank certificates of deposit (NCDs) declined, and the leverage ratio of the inter - bank bond market decreased. [2][6][7][8] - From July 21 - 27, 2025, the expected net payment of government bonds is 28.49 billion yuan, and the maturity scale of NCDs is about 107.65 billion yuan, with an increased pressure on maturity renewal compared to the previous week. [2][6][7] Summary by Directory Funding Situation - **Central Bank's Liquidity Injection**: From July 14 - 18, 2025, the central bank's reverse repurchase injected 172.68 billion yuan and withdrew 42.57 billion yuan. 10 billion yuan of MLF matured, and on July 15, an outright reverse repurchase operation of 140 billion yuan was carried out. From July 21 - 25, with over 2 trillion yuan of funds maturing, it may bring some pressure to the funding situation, but the central bank is expected to continue to support the funding situation. [5] - **Slight Convergence of Funding Situation**: From July 14 - 18, 2025, the average values of DR001 and R001 increased by 14.6 and 13.4 basis points respectively compared to July 7 - 11. The average values of DR007 and R007 increased by 5.8 and 3.2 basis points respectively. After the tax - period disturbance, the funding situation is expected to return to a stable state. [6] - **Increase in Net Payment Scale of Government Bonds**: From July 14 - 20, 2025, the net payment scale of government bonds was about 42.88 billion yuan, an increase of about 17.77 billion yuan compared to July 7 - 13. From July 21 - 27, 2025, the expected net payment scale of government bonds is 28.49 billion yuan. [6] Inter - bank Certificates of Deposit - **Most Maturity Yields Declined**: As of July 18, 2025, the 1 - month NCD maturity yield was basically the same as on July 11, while the 3 - month and 1 - year NCD maturity yields decreased by 2 and 1 basis points respectively compared to July 11. [7] - **Positive Net Financing Scale**: From July 14 - 20, 2025, the net financing amount of NCDs was about 14.44 billion yuan, turning positive from - 8.41 billion yuan in July 7 - 13. From July 21 - 27, 2025, the expected maturity repayment amount of NCDs is 107.65 billion yuan, with increased pressure on maturity renewal. [7] Institutional Behavior - **Decrease in Leverage Ratio of Inter - bank Bond Market**: From July 14 - 18, 2025, the average leverage ratio of the inter - bank bond market was 107.58%, lower than the 108.18% in July 7 - 11. [8]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report In July 2025, liquidity is expected to remain relatively loose. From the perspective of bank assets and liabilities, July is not a traditional large credit month, and the maturity scale of inter - bank certificates of deposit (ICDs) in July is significantly lower than that in June. From the perspective of central bank liquidity injection, considering the external uncertainties caused by trade frictions, the central bank is expected to maintain a supportive attitude in terms of liquidity injection. However, the long - term bond yield is still at a relatively low level, and the leverage ratio in the inter - bank bond market has risen above 108% as the funding rate declines, so the room for further loosening of the funding situation is limited [8]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Funding Situation - **Central Bank's Net Injection**: From June 23 to June 27, 2025, the central bank's full - scale net injection was 126.72 billion yuan. The open - market reverse repurchase of 2027.5 billion yuan will expire from June 30 to July 4. In June, the MLF net injection was 11.8 billion yuan, and the net injection of outright reverse repurchase was 20 billion yuan [6]. - **Funding Rate**: From June 23 to June 27, 2025, the average values of DR001 and R001 were 1.37% and 1.44% respectively, with a decrease of 0.5 basis points and an increase of 0.6 basis points compared to June 16 - 20. The average values of DR007 and R007 were 1.65% and 1.82% respectively, with an increase of 12.8 basis points and 24.0 basis points compared to June 16 - 20 [7]. - **Government Bond Net Payment**: From June 23 to June 29, 2025, the government bond net payment scale was about 78.98 billion yuan, an increase of about 31.56 billion yuan compared to June 16 - 22. From June 30 to July 6, the government bond net payment scale is expected to be about - 0.594 billion yuan [7]. 2. Inter - bank Certificates of Deposit (ICDs) - **Yield Changes**: As of June 27, 2025, the maturity yields of 1M and 3M ICDs were 1.6650% and 1.6150% respectively, rising 4 basis points and 1 basis point compared to June 20, while the 1Y ICD yield was basically the same as that on June 20 [9]. - **Maturity Scale**: The ICDs have passed the peak maturity period. The maturity scale of ICDs in July is about 2.8 trillion yuan. From June 23 to June 29, 2025, the net financing of ICDs was about - 41.14 billion yuan [9]. 3. Institutional Behavior The leverage ratio in the inter - bank bond market increased. From June 23 to June 27, 2025, the average calculated leverage ratio in the inter - bank bond market was 108.45%, compared with 108.25% from June 16 to June 20 [10].

丨证券研究报告丨 固定收益丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 央行呵护流动性，资金面有望延续宽松 ——流动性和机构行为周度观察 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025 年 6 月 9 日-6 月 13 日，央行 7 天逆回购小幅净回笼资金，同时公告将在 6 月 16 日进行 4000 亿元买断式逆回购操作，体现央行对流动性的呵护态度；资金面较为宽松，DR001 周内 向下突破 1.40%。2025 年 6 月 9 日-6 月 15 日，政府债净缴款规模下降，同业存单到期收益率 多数下行，银行间债券市场杠杆率有所提升。2025 年 6 月 16 日-6 月 22 日政府债预计净缴款 4334 亿元，同业存单到期规模约为 10216 亿元。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵增辉 马月 SAC：S0490524080003 SAC：S0490125010043 SFC：BVN394 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 央行呵护流动性，资金面有望延续宽松 2] ——流动性和机构行为周度观察 [Tabl ...

丨证券研究报告丨 固定收益丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 资金价格显著回落——流动性和机构行为周 度观察 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025 年 5 月 6 日-5 月 9 日，央行逆回购净回笼资金，随着央行宣布降准降息，资金利率整体 下行。2025 年 5 月 5 日-5 月 11 日，政府债小幅净偿还；同业存单净融资规模提升，同业存单 到期收益率整体明显下行；银行间债券市场杠杆率延续偏低表现，国有大行及政策行净融出规 模有所修复。2025 年 5 月 12 日-5 月 18 日政府债预计净融资 6453 亿元。 赵增辉 马月 SAC：S0490524080003 SAC：S0490125010043 SFC：BVN394 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 资金价格显著回落 2] ——流动性和机构行为周度 观察 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] [Table_Summary2] 资金面 央行逆回购净回笼资金。2025 年 5 月 6 日-5 月 9 日，央行逆回购投放 8361 亿元、 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 固定收益丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 跨月资金利率整体平稳——流动性和机构行 为周度观察 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025 年 4 月 27 日-4 月 30 日，央行净投放资金，跨月资金利率整体平稳。2025 年 4 月 28 日 -5 月 4 日，政府债净融资规模提升；同业存单转为净偿还，同业存单到期收益率多数下行；银 行间债券市场杠杆率有所提升，国有大行及政策行净融出规模延续修复趋势。2025 年 5 月 5 日 -5 月 11 日政府债预计净偿还 1123 亿元。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵增辉 马月 SAC：S0490524080003 SAC：S0490125010043 SFC：BVN394 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 跨月资金利率整体平稳 2] ——流动性和机构行为 周度观察 [Table_Summary2] 资金面 央行净投放资金。2025 年 4 月 27 日-4 月 30 日，央行逆回购投放 12403 亿元、回笼 5045 亿 ...