Workflow
资金面流动性
icon
Search documents
流动性和机构行为周度观察:资金面迎税期走款及政府债净缴款扰动-20251118
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-17 23:30
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core View of the Report From November 10 - 14, 2025, the central bank conducted net injections through short - term reverse repurchases. On November 17, an 800 - billion - yuan 6 - month买断式 reverse repurchase operation was carried out, with a net injection of 500 billion yuan for the month. From November 10 - 16, the net payment scale of government bonds increased, the yield to maturity of inter - bank certificates of deposit fluctuated within a narrow range, and the average leverage ratio of the inter - bank bond market decreased slightly. From November 17 - 23, the expected net payment of government bonds is 410.57 billion yuan, and the maturity scale of inter - bank certificates of deposit is about 907 billion yuan. On November 14, the median durations of medium - long - term and short - term interest - rate style pure bond funds decreased week - on - week by 0.55 years and 0.85 years respectively [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Funds - **Fund Injections**: From November 10 - 14, the central bank's 7 - day reverse repurchase had a net injection of 62.62 billion yuan. On November 17, an 800 - billion - yuan 6 - month买断式 reverse repurchase was conducted, with a net injection of 500 billion yuan for the month. The 12 - billion - yuan treasury cash fixed - term deposit will mature on November 20. The central bank's injection pattern is stable, which helps stabilize the market's expectation of the funds [6]. - **Fund Fluctuations and Interest Rate Changes**: From November 10 - 14, the average values of DR001 and R001 were 1.42% and 1.47% respectively, up 10.3 and 10.0 basis points compared to November 3 - 7. The average values of DR007 and R007 were 1.49% and 1.50% respectively, up 6.5 and 4.1 basis points compared to November 3 - 7. Tax payment and large - scale net payment of government bonds will affect liquidity [7]. - **Government Bond Net Payment**: From November 10 - 16, the net payment of government bonds was about 424.8 billion yuan, an increase of about 388 billion yuan compared to November 3 - 9. From November 17 - 23, the expected net payment is 410.57 billion yuan [2][7]. 3.2 Inter - bank Certificates of Deposit - **Yield Fluctuations**: As of November 14, 2025, the yields to maturity of 1 - month and 3 - month inter - bank certificates of deposit were 1.4950% and 1.5750% respectively, up 2.0 and 1.5 basis points compared to November 7. The yield to maturity of 1 - year inter - bank certificates of deposit was 1.6350%, up 0.5 basis points compared to November 7 [8]. - **Net Financing and Maturity Pressure**: From November 10 - 16, the net financing of inter - bank certificates of deposit was about - 4.16 billion yuan. From November 17 - 23, the expected maturity repayment is 907 billion yuan, with increased pressure on renewal [8]. 3.3 Institutional Behavior - **Leverage Ratio of the Inter - bank Bond Market**: From November 10 - 14, the average leverage ratio of the inter - bank bond market was 107.26%, lower than the 107.73% in the period from November 3 - 7 [9]. - **Duration Changes of Bond Funds**: On November 14, the median duration (MA5) of medium - long - term interest - rate style pure bond funds was 4.83 years, down 0.55 years week - on - week, at the 90.8% quantile since early 2022. The median duration (MA5) of short - term interest - rate style pure bond funds was 1.83 years, down 0.85 years week - on - week, at the 54.8% quantile since early 2022 [9].
流动性和机构行为周度观察:月初资金面宽松,3M买断式逆回购等量续作-20251111
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-10 23:30
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - From November 3 - 7, 2025, the central bank conducted a net withdrawal of funds through short - term reverse repurchases and carried out a 700 billion yuan 3M outright reverse repurchase on November 5. From November 3 - 9, 2025, the net payment scale of government bonds decreased, the 1M maturity yield of inter - bank certificates of deposit (NCDs) increased while the 3M - 1Y yields were relatively stable, and the average leverage ratio of the inter - bank bond market slightly increased. From November 10 - 16, 2025, the expected net payment of government bonds is 369.2 billion yuan, and the maturity scale of NCDs is about 751.8 billion yuan. On November 7, 2025, the median durations of medium - long - term and short - term interest - style pure bond funds increased by 0.06 years and 0.09 years respectively on a weekly basis [2]. Summary by Directory 1. Funding Situation - **Central Bank Operations**: From November 3 - 7, 2025, the central bank's 7 - day reverse repurchase had a net withdrawal of 157.22 billion yuan. On November 5, a 700 billion yuan 3M outright reverse repurchase was carried out, and the 3M outright reverse repurchase was renewed at the same amount this month [6]. - **Funding Rates**: From November 3 - 7, 2025, the average values of DR001 and R001 were 1.32% and 1.37% respectively, down 7.3 and 7.8 basis points compared to October 27 - 31. The average values of DR007 and R007 were 1.42% and 1.46% respectively, down 10.4 and 11.5 basis points compared to October 27 - 31. From November 3 - 6, the weighted average rate of DR001 was stable around 1.31%, and it increased marginally on November 7, possibly due to the 700 billion yuan outright reverse repurchase maturing on November 10 [7]. - **Government Bond Net Payment**: From November 3 - 9, 2025, the net payment scale of government bonds was about 36.8 billion yuan, about 96.9 billion yuan less than that from October 27 - November 2. The net financing of treasury bonds was about 24.9 billion yuan, and that of local government bonds was about 11.9 billion yuan. From November 10 - 16, 2025, the expected net payment of government bonds is 369.2 billion yuan, with treasury bond net financing of about 195.9 billion yuan and local government bond net financing of about 173.3 billion yuan [7]. 2. Inter - bank Certificates of Deposit - **Maturity Yields**: As of November 7, 2025, the 1M and 3M maturity yields of NCDs were 1.4750% and 1.5600% respectively, up 7.0 and 0.5 basis points compared to October 31. The 1Y maturity yield was 1.6300%, up 0.2 basis points compared to October 31 [8]. - **Net Financing**: From November 3 - 9, 2025, the net financing of NCDs was about 151 billion yuan. From November 10 - 16, 2025, the expected maturity repayment of NCDs is 751.8 billion yuan, and the maturity renewal pressure has increased [8]. 3. Institutional Behavior - **Inter - bank Bond Market Leverage Ratio**: From November 3 - 7, 2025, the average calculated leverage ratio of the inter - bank bond market was 107.73%, compared with 107.36% from October 27 - 31 [9]. - **Bond Fund Durations**: On November 7, 2025, the median duration (MA5) of medium - long - term interest - style pure bond funds was 5.38 years, up 0.06 years on a weekly basis, at the 96.5% quantile since early 2022. The median duration (MA5) of short - term interest - style pure bond funds was 2.69 years, up 0.09 years on a weekly basis, at the 99.5% quantile since early 2022 [9].
流动性和机构行为周度观察:同业存单利率下降,利率债基久期提升-20251104
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-04 12:02
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints - From October 27 to October 31, 2025, the central bank made net injections through short - term reverse repurchases, and the MLF had a net injection of 200 billion yuan. The money market faced short - term fluctuations due to tax payment periods and month - end effects. From October 27 to November 2, 2025, the net payment scale of government bonds decreased, the yields of inter - bank certificates of deposit (CDs) declined overall, and the average leverage ratio in the inter - bank bond market decreased slightly. From November 3 to November 9, 2025, the expected net payment of government bonds was - 38.2 billion yuan, and the maturity scale of inter - bank CDs was about 376.9 billion yuan. On October 31, 2025, the median durations of medium - long - term and short - term interest - rate style pure bond funds increased by 0.66 years and 0.20 years respectively on a weekly basis [2]. Summary by Directory 1. Funds - In October, the total net injection of outright reverse repurchases and MLF was 600 billion yuan. The central bank announced the restart of treasury bond trading. From October 27 to October 31, 2025, the central bank's 7 - day reverse repurchase had a net injection of 120.08 billion yuan. In November, 100 billion yuan of outright reverse repurchases and 90 billion yuan of MLF will mature [4]. - Affected by tax payment periods and month - end factors, the money market had short - term and slight fluctuations, but it loosened significantly in the last two days of the month. From October 27 to October 31, 2025, the average values of DR001 and R001 increased by 7.4 and 7.7 basis points respectively compared with October 20 - 24, 2025 [5]. - The net payment scale of government bonds decreased. From October 27 to November 2, 2025, the net payment of government bonds was about 133.72 billion yuan, 80.5 billion yuan less than that of October 20 - 26, 2025. From November 3 to November 9, 2025, the expected net payment of government bonds was - 38.2 billion yuan [6]. 2. Inter - bank Certificates of Deposit - The yields of inter - bank CDs declined overall. As of October 31, 2025, the yields of 1M and 3M inter - bank CDs decreased by 9.0 and 3.5 basis points respectively compared with October 24, 2025, and the yield of 1Y inter - bank CDs decreased by 4.8 basis points [7]. - The net financing of inter - bank CDs remained positive. From October 27 to November 2, 2025, the net financing of inter - bank CDs was about 17.06 billion yuan. The maturity repayment of inter - bank CDs from November 3 to November 9, 2025, is expected to be 376.9 billion yuan. The maturity scale of inter - bank CDs in November is about 2.8 trillion yuan, significantly higher than that in October (1.8 trillion yuan) [7]. 3. Institutional Behavior - The average leverage ratio in the inter - bank bond market decreased slightly. From October 27 to October 31, 2025, the average leverage ratio in the inter - bank bond market was 107.36%, compared with 107.56% from October 20 to October 24, 2025 [8]. - Based on the calculation results, the durations of medium - long - term and short - term interest - rate pure bond funds increased marginally. On October 31, 2025, the median duration of medium - long - term interest - rate style pure bond funds increased by 0.66 years on a weekly basis and was at the 96.5% quantile since early 2022; the median duration of short - term interest - rate style pure bond funds increased by 0.20 years on a weekly basis and was at the 98.7% quantile since early 2022 [8].
流动性跟踪与地方债策略专题:基金地方债投资关键词
Minsheng Securities· 2025-10-31 07:55
Group 1 - The overall liquidity in the third quarter remained loose, with a significant strengthening in equities, leading to an increase in market risk appetite. However, the bond market showed weak performance due to the impact of new fund sales fee regulations and the introduction of the ticket interest value-added tax policy on August 8, which resulted in a higher implied tax rate for newly issued local government bonds [3][12] - In the third quarter of 2025, funds increased their holdings in local bonds with maturities of 1 year or less and 3-5 years, focusing on short-duration high-coupon old bonds and benefiting from a relatively steep yield curve [4][21] - The top 10 holdings of local bonds by funds were primarily general bonds, mainly from Jiangsu and Anhui, with remaining maturities mostly within 1 year [4][33] Group 2 - As of the end of October, the cumulative issuance of replacement bonds reached 19,910 billion, with a progress rate of 99.55%. The cumulative issuance of new general bonds was 6,900 billion, with a progress rate of 86.25%, and the cumulative issuance of new special bonds was 39,646 billion, with a progress rate of 90.10% [5][36] - The supply of local bonds increased in late October, improving secondary market transaction conditions, with insurance companies showing a daily net purchase of around 60 billion [6][37] - The planned issuance scale for November is 7,284 billion, significantly increased from the previous week's estimate of 3,438 billion, indicating a shift in local bond issuance strategies [5][38]
大税期+跨月,资金面临考验
HUAXI Securities· 2025-10-25 13:14
Group 1: Liquidity Overview - The liquidity environment is currently stable, with R007 fluctuating around 1.47% during October 20-24, 2025[1] - The net issuance of negotiable certificates of deposit (NCDs) surged to 641.1 billion yuan in October, marking the second-highest level this year[1] - The weighted issuance rate of NCDs increased to 1.65%, up 2.1 basis points from the previous week[1] Group 2: Upcoming Challenges - The liquidity will face dual pressures from the large tax period and month-end cash flow requirements from October 27-30[3] - The upcoming week will see a total of 15,672 billion yuan in maturities, including 8,672 billion yuan in reverse repos[4] - The government bond net payment is expected to be 1,337 billion yuan, a decrease from the previous week's 2,142 billion yuan[6] Group 3: Market Trends - The 1-month bill rate fell by 43 basis points to 0.60%, while the 3-month and 6-month rates also declined[5] - Major banks have net purchased 1,267 billion yuan in bills during the week of October 20-23, with a total of 3,625 billion yuan net purchased in October[5] - The issuance of NCDs with maturities of 6 months or more has increased, now accounting for 39% of total issuance, up 15.3 percentage points[20] Group 4: Central Bank Actions - The central bank announced a net MLF injection of 200 billion yuan on October 27, 2025, to alleviate liquidity pressure[3] - Cumulatively, the central bank's net injection of medium- and long-term funds in October reached 600 billion yuan[3]
流动性和机构行为周度观察:税期及跨月前流动性预计延续宽松-20251020
Changjiang Securities· 2025-10-20 14:44
Key Points of the Report 1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Core View of the Report The report analyzes the liquidity and institutional behavior in the bond market from October 13 - 26, 2025. It shows that the overall liquidity is loose, and it is expected to remain so before the tax period and cross - month disturbances. The government bond net payment scale increases, the inter - bank certificate of deposit (NCD) maturity yield rises, and the leverage ratio of the inter - bank bond market and the duration of pure bond funds both increase marginally [2][7]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs **Funding Situation** - **Central Bank Operations**: From October 13 - 17, 2025, the central bank's 7 - day reverse repurchase had a net withdrawal of 3479 billion yuan, and the treasury cash fixed - term deposit matured for 1500 billion yuan. On October 15, a 6000 - billion - yuan 6M outright reverse repurchase was carried out. In October, the outright reverse repurchase had a net injection of 4000 billion yuan, and the MLF is due for 7000 billion yuan this month [6]. - **Funding Rate**: Overnight and 7 - day funding rates are mostly lower. From October 13 - 17, the average values of DR001 and R001 were 1.31% and 1.36% respectively, and the average values of DR007 and R007 were 1.43% and 1.47% respectively. It is expected that the funding situation will remain relatively loose before the tax period and cross - month disturbances [7]. - **Government Bond Net Payment**: From October 13 - 19, the government bond net payment scale was about 1402 billion yuan, an increase of about 1395 billion yuan compared with October 9 - 12. From October 20 - 26, it is expected to be 1583.7 billion yuan [8]. **Inter - bank Certificate of Deposit (NCD)** - **Maturity Yield**: As of October 17, 2025, the 1M, 3M, and 1Y NCD maturity yields increased by 4.1, 3.8, and 1.6 basis points respectively compared with October 11 [9]. - **Net Financing Amount**: From October 13 - 19, the NCD net financing amount was about 2247 billion yuan. From October 20 - 26, the NCD maturity repayment amount is expected to be 6179 billion yuan. The NCD maturity scale in the fourth quarter is about 8.1 trillion yuan, and the pressure for renewal upon maturity gradually increases [9]. **Institutional Behavior** - **Leverage Ratio of Inter - bank Bond Market**: From October 13 - 17, the average leverage ratio of the inter - bank bond market was 107.78%, slightly higher than that from October 9 - 11 [10]. - **Duration of Pure Bond Funds**: On October 17, 2025, the median duration (MA5) of medium - long - term interest - style pure bond funds was 5.31 years, up 0.59 years week - on - week, and the median duration (MA5) of short - term interest - style pure bond funds was 2.27 years, up 0.51 years week - on - week [10].
一周流动性观察 | 节后买断式逆回购操作释放积极信号 资金利率或低位运行
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-10-13 02:33
新华财经北京10月13日电(刘润榕)人民银行13日开展1378亿元7天期逆回购操作,操作利率为 1.40%,与此前持平;鉴于当日无逆回购到期,公开市场实现净投放1378亿元。 国庆假期前后(9月28日-10月11日)央行公开市场逆回购净回笼13304亿元,央行宣布10月9日开展1.1 万亿3M买断式逆回购操作,相较于其本月到期净投放3000亿元。节前央行逆回购净投放逐日缩减,跨 季当日已转为净回笼,但或受财政投放等因素影响,资金维持平稳,机构平稳跨季;节后首日逆回购到 期超2万亿元,央行1.1万亿3M买断式逆回购落地,叠加月初资金需求有限,DR001重回1.3%附近。 节后尽管面临大规模逆回购集中到期,资金价格依然逐步回归跨季前水平。截至10日,隔夜资金利率下 探至OMO利率之下,R001较节前下行21BP至1.33%,R007也下行13BP至1.49%。 本周(10月13日-17日)逆回购到期规模下降至10210亿元,其中周四到期6120亿元,周五到期4090亿 元;周二将有8000亿3M买断式逆回购到期,周三有1500亿元国库现金定存到期;政府债净缴款规模将 下降至1252亿元,主要集中在周一;此外,15 ...
流动性和机构行为周度观察:跨季阶段资金面波动,央行精准投放流动性-20250929
Changjiang Securities· 2025-09-29 08:12
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - From September 22 - 26, 2025, the central bank net - withdrew funds through 7 - day reverse repurchase and conducted 14 - day reverse repurchase operations during the quarter - end period. MLF was incrementally renewed. The inter - bank funding market fluctuated significantly due to the quarter - end effect [2][6]. - The net payment scale of government bonds decreased from September 22 - 28, 2025, and the majority of inter - bank certificate of deposit (NCD) yields rose. The net financing of NCDs turned negative. The average leverage ratio of the inter - bank bond market increased, and the durations of medium - long - term and short - term interest - style pure bond funds both marginally increased [2][8][9]. 3. Summary by Sections 3.1 Funding Market - **Central Bank Operations**: From September 22 - 26, 2025, the central bank's 7 - day reverse repurchase had a net withdrawal of 2594 billion yuan, 14 - day reverse repurchase was 9000 billion yuan, and MLF had a net injection of 3000 billion yuan. On September 29 and 30, 7 - day reverse repurchases totaling 5166 billion yuan were due, and on October 9, 7 - day reverse repurchases of 12325 billion yuan and 14 - day reverse repurchases of 3000 billion yuan were due [6]. - **Funding Rate Fluctuations**: From September 22 - 26, 2025, the average values of DR001 and R001 decreased by 5.0 and 5.5 basis points respectively compared to September 15 - 19, while the average values of DR007 and R007 increased by 1.9 and 9.9 basis points respectively. The funding market loosened from September 22 - 23, fluctuated significantly from September 24 - 25, and the funding rate dropped significantly on September 26 [7]. - **Government Bond Net Payment**: From September 22 - 28, 2025, the net payment of government bonds was about 716 billion yuan, a decrease of about 3764 billion yuan compared to September 15 - 21. From September 29 - 30, the expected net payment was 2121 billion yuan [7]. 3.2 Inter - bank Certificate of Deposits - **Yield Changes**: As of September 26, 2025, the yields of 1M, 3M, and 1Y NCDs increased by 7.5, 1.0, and 1.0 basis points respectively compared to September 19 [8]. - **Net Financing**: From September 22 - 28, 2025, the net financing of NCDs was about - 1782 billion yuan, turning negative from 1295 billion yuan in September 15 - 21. The expected maturity repayment from September 29 - October 5 was 1688 billion yuan, and the expected maturity in October was 18443 billion yuan, significantly lower than 35470 billion yuan in September [8]. 3.3 Institutional Behavior - **Leverage Ratio**: From September 22 - 26, 2025, the average leverage ratio of the inter - bank bond market was 107.65%, up from 107.32% in September 15 - 19 [9]. - **Bond Fund Duration**: On September 26, 2025, the median duration (MA5) of medium - long - term interest - style pure bond funds was 4.05 years, up 0.01 years week - on - week, at the 59.2% quantile since early 2022. The median duration (MA5) of short - term interest - style pure bond funds was 1.58 years, up 0.03 years week - on - week, at the 14.1% quantile since early 2022 [9].
流动性跟踪:跨季,主旋律
HUAXI Securities· 2025-09-27 15:22
Liquidity Trends - From September 22-26, the liquidity environment experienced significant fluctuations, with overnight rates (R001) rising from 1.46% to 1.52% and 7-day rates (R007) increasing from 1.52% to 1.80%[1][10][11] - On September 26, the central bank injected 600 billion CNY through 14-day reverse repos and continued with 165.8 billion CNY in 7-day reverse repos, leading to a rapid decline in rates, with R001 falling 18 basis points to 1.33% and R007 dropping 24 basis points to 1.55%[1][11] Future Outlook - The liquidity is expected to return to a more accommodative state in the week following the holiday (September 29-30), with R007 likely to remain below 2.0%[2][23] - The upcoming week will see a significant amount of reverse repos maturing, totaling approximately 1.95 trillion CNY, which may exert pressure on liquidity if the central bank does not continue its support[2][24] Market Operations - The central bank's net injection in the open market from September 22-26 was 940.6 billion CNY, with 7-day reverse repos totaling 1.5674 trillion CNY and 14-day reverse repos at 900 billion CNY[3][30] - The total amount of reverse repos maturing on October 9-10 is projected to be 1.9508 trillion CNY, indicating a substantial liquidity event post-holiday[3][30] Credit Market Insights - In the last week of September, the average 1-month bill rate increased by 4 basis points compared to the previous week, indicating a potential rise in bank credit issuance[4][33] - Despite the increase in rates, the overall credit issuance remains weaker than seasonal trends, with major banks showing a net purchase of 123.8 billion CNY in bills, slightly higher than the previous year's 113.2 billion CNY[4][33] Government Debt Activity - From September 29 to October 10, the net payment for government bonds is expected to be 188.2 billion CNY, with a notable decrease in issuance compared to the previous week[5][37] - The net payment before the holiday is projected at 192.7 billion CNY, while post-holiday payments are expected to be negative at -44 million CNY[5][37] Interbank Certificate of Deposit Trends - The weighted issuance rate for interbank certificates of deposit rose to 1.66%, reflecting a 1.6 basis point increase from the previous week[6][43] - The upcoming maturity pressure for certificates of deposit is relatively low, with 175.7 billion CNY maturing on September 29-30 and 132 billion CNY on October 9-10[6][49]
流动性和机构行为周度观察:税期资金面收敛,跨季仍有扰动-20250922
Changjiang Securities· 2025-09-22 14:13
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the document Core Viewpoints - From September 15 - 19, 2025, the central bank net - injected liquidity during the tax period, and the 14 - day reverse repurchase was changed to "American tender". The money market tightened under the influence of the tax period, and there may still be some volatility pressure in the second half of September due to the cross - quarter effect [2][6][7] - From September 15 - 21, 2025, the net payment scale of government bonds increased, and the net payment scale of government bonds from September 22 - 28 is expected to be 413.9 billion yuan [8] - As of September 19, 2025, the maturity yields of inter - bank certificates of deposit (NCDs) increased overall, and the net financing amount of NCDs turned positive. The maturity repayment volume of NCDs from September 22 - 28 is expected to be 969.2 billion yuan, with increased pressure on renewal [9] - From September 15 - 19, 2025, the average leverage ratio of the inter - bank bond market decreased, and the durations of medium - long - term and short - term interest - style pure bond funds both decreased marginally [10] Summary by Directory 1. Money Market - From September 15 - 19, 2025, the central bank's 7 - day reverse repurchase injected 1.8268 trillion yuan and matured 1.2645 trillion yuan, and the treasury cash injected 150 billion yuan and matured 120 billion yuan, with a total net injection of 592.3 billion yuan. On September 15, a 600 - billion - yuan 6 - month outright reverse repurchase operation was carried out, with an incremental renewal of 300 billion yuan. From September 22 - 26, 2025, 1.8268 trillion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchases and 300 billion yuan of MLF will mature [6] - On September 19, 2025, the central bank adjusted the 14 - day reverse repurchase operation to "fixed quantity, interest - rate tender, and multiple - price winning bids", which helps reduce bank liability costs and highlights the policy - rate position of the 7 - day reverse repurchase operation rate. It is expected that 14 - day reverse repurchases will be appropriately operated in late September to stabilize the money market [7] - From September 15 - 19, 2025, affected by the tax period, the average values of DR001 and R001 increased by 7.7 and 8.7 basis points respectively compared with September 8 - 12, and the average values of DR007 and R007 increased by 4.8 and 4.0 basis points respectively [7] 2. Government Bonds - From September 15 - 21, 2025, the net payment scale of government bonds was about 448 billion yuan, an increase of about 103.7 billion yuan compared with September 8 - 14. The net financing amount of treasury bonds was about 397.1 billion yuan, and that of local government bonds was about 50.9 billion yuan. From September 22 - 28, 2025, the net payment scale of government bonds is expected to be 41.39 billion yuan, with a net financing of about - 89.65 billion yuan for treasury bonds and about 131.04 billion yuan for local government bonds [8] 3. Inter - bank Certificates of Deposit (NCDs) - As of September 19, 2025, the maturity yields of 1 - month and 3 - month NCDs were 1.5750%, an increase of 2.4 and 1.5 basis points respectively compared with September 12, and the maturity yield of 1 - year NCDs was 1.6750%, an increase of 0.5 basis points compared with September 12 [9] - From September 15 - 21, 2025, the net financing amount of NCDs was about 134.4 billion yuan, compared with about - 468.3 billion yuan from September 8 - 14. The maturity repayment volume of NCDs from September 22 - 28 is expected to be 969.2 billion yuan, with increased pressure on renewal [9] 4. Institutional Behavior - From September 15 - 19, 2025, the average calculated leverage ratio of the inter - bank bond market was 107.32%, compared with 107.37% from September 8 - 12. On September 19 and 12, the calculated leverage ratios were about 107.45% and 107.44% respectively [10] - Based on the calculation results, the durations of medium - long - term and short - term interest - style pure bond funds both decreased marginally. On September 19, 2025, the median duration (MA5) of medium - long - term interest - style pure bond funds was 4.04 years, a weekly decrease of 0.70 years, at the 58.7% quantile since the beginning of 2022; the median duration (MA5) of short - term interest - style pure bond funds was 1.56 years, a weekly decrease of 0.17 years, at the 12.2% quantile since the beginning of 2022 [10]