■朱宝琛 "史上最长春节假期"已经结束，一组组新鲜出炉的滚烫数据，勾勒出中国经济活力持续释放的生动图 景。透过火热的春节消费，我们可以感受到中国经济行稳致远的底气。 消费活力，照见发展底气。下一步，需做好"节后接续"文章，用制度、供给、服务等巩固消费大势，把 节日消费的热度转化为拉动经济增长的持久动力。 马年春节，"马"力十足的消费市场，是内需潜力不断释放的直观体现。中国经济持续向好态势不断巩 固，高质量发展的脉动愈发强劲有力。 看餐饮消费，国家税务总局增值税发票数据显示，2026年春节假期，餐饮收入同比增长31.2%。其中， 正餐服务同比增长26.5%，为家庭团聚增添浓浓年味；小吃服务增幅走高，同比增长42.1%。 看"指尖上的支付"，根据微信团队发布的2026春节数据报告，马年春节消费持续走高，微信支付旅行、 生活娱乐交易笔数涨幅均超20%。每一笔支付，都彰显出消费市场的旺盛活力，见证了数字经济与实体 经济的深度融合。 一组组鲜活数据，是中国经济社会活力与居民生活品质提升的直观体现，更是中国经济韧性与发展底气 的生动写照。这为2026年中国经济写下了精彩的"开篇"：中国经济基础稳、优势多、韧性强、潜能大的 ...

Core Insights - The latest GDP rankings reveal that Shanghai maintains its leading position with an economic total of 56,708.71 billion yuan, while Beijing becomes China's second city to surpass the 50 trillion yuan mark [1][4] - Hefei has made significant progress, ranking 18th in the top 20 cities and achieving a growth rate of 6.1%, the highest among these cities [1][12] GDP Rankings and Growth Rates - Shanghai: 56,708.71 billion yuan, growth rate 5.4% [2] - Beijing: 52,073.4 billion yuan, growth rate 5.4% [2] - Shenzhen: 38,731.8 billion yuan, growth rate 5.5% [2] - Chongqing: 33,757.93 billion yuan, growth rate 5.3% [2] - Guangzhou: 32,039.46 billion yuan, growth rate 4.0% [2] - Hefei: 14,210 billion yuan, growth rate 6.1% [3][12] Economic Structure and Key Industries - In Shanghai, the integrated circuit, biomedicine, and artificial intelligence sectors are projected to grow by 9.6%, with total output surpassing 2 trillion yuan [3] - Beijing's GDP is supported by key industries such as information transmission, software, IT services, finance, and industrial value-added, which together account for 51.8% of its GDP [4] - Shenzhen's new industries contribute significantly, with emerging sectors accounting for 43.0% of its GDP [5] - Chongqing's new energy vehicle sector shows a growth of 13.4%, contributing 60.9% to its industrial economy [5] Consumption and Market Dynamics - Cities with GDPs over 20 trillion yuan typically exhibit strong manufacturing bases, high-income populations, and large populations, which support rising consumption [9] - The consumption market in cities like Chengdu continues to grow, with retail sales reaching 1.14 trillion yuan [6] - The distinction of being a "trillion consumption city" is evident, with cities like Shanghai, Beijing, and Shenzhen leading the way [9] Hefei's Economic Performance - Hefei's industrial value-added grew by 17.6%, with significant contributions from sectors like computer and communication equipment manufacturing [14] - The city's total import and export volume reached 455.18 billion yuan, growing by 20.2% [15] - Fixed asset investments in advanced manufacturing and high-tech services are also on the rise, indicating a shift towards higher efficiency and growth [15]

1月26日，国务院新闻办公室举行新闻发布会，介绍2025年商务工作及运行情况，并答记者问。商 务部市场运行和消费促进司司长杨沐表示，2025年社会消费品零售总额首次突破50万亿元，消费对GDP 增长的贡献率达到52%，持续发挥了经济发展主引擎的作用，主要呈现四大特点。 新华社音视频部制作 【纠错】 【责任编辑:王雪】 ...

Economic Performance Overview - In 2025, China's GDP is projected to exceed 140 trillion yuan, achieving a growth rate of 5.0% at constant prices, meeting the annual target despite challenges from U.S. tariff policies and the transition of old and new economic drivers [1] - The economic growth rate for 2025 was 5.4% in Q1, followed by a decline to 5.2%, 4.8%, and 4.5% in subsequent quarters, ultimately stabilizing at 5.0%, consistent with the growth rate of 2024 [1] Consumption Insights - Social retail sales growth reached 3.7% in 2025, slightly above the 3.5% growth in 2024, with goods consumption growing by 3.8%, surpassing the restaurant revenue growth of 3.2% for the first time in three years [1] - The increase in consumption was driven by the expansion of the "old-for-new" policy, which significantly boosted durable goods consumption [2] Export Dynamics - Exports in 2025 grew by 5.5% in USD terms, despite the impact of U.S. tariff policies on global trade [2] - China's trade diversification strategy has been effective, with the country becoming a major trading partner for over 150 nations, focusing on high-tech and high-value-added products as the main drivers of export growth [2] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment in 2025 saw a decline of 3.8%, with infrastructure investment down by 2.2% and real estate development investment down by 17.2% [2] - The decrease in investment is attributed to the weakening of old economic drivers, particularly in the real estate market, while investments in high-tech manufacturing and services remained robust [2] Policy Measures and Future Outlook - The Central Economic Work Conference in 2025 emphasized "stabilizing and recovering investment," proposing measures such as increasing central budget investment and optimizing local government bond usage [3] - For 2026, it is anticipated that investment growth will rebound due to policy support and base effects, with consumption continuing to play a crucial role [3] - The government plans to shift from broad "old-for-new" subsidies to more targeted measures, alongside initiatives to increase urban and rural residents' income, which will further stimulate consumption [3] - Export resilience is expected to continue, supported by improved global economic forecasts and China's strong manufacturing capabilities [3][4]

转自：湖南日报 （2025年12月31日晚，湘潭万楼·芒果青年码头灯光璀璨。 湖南日报全媒体记者 童臻熙 周浩宇 摄） "5、4、3、2、1，新年快乐！"2025年12月31日晚，湘潭万楼·芒果青年码头人流如织。在摩天轮、万楼楼体投影秀的奇幻光影下，数万人齐声倒数，万千气 球瞬间放飞，喜迎2026。 元旦期间，湖南各地精心打造兼具仪式感与年轻活力的消费新场景，通过点亮城市地标、举办跨年庆典、开设年货市集等方式， 营造"可参与、可记忆、可消费"的节日氛围，汇聚人气拉动消费。 随着2025-2026李宁·中国羽毛球俱乐部超级联赛总决赛在长沙举行，长沙推出"羽超票根 经济"，凭赛事门票享全市120余家餐饮、酒店、景区、商超及新老品牌提供的专属优惠，让精彩赛事与城市体验无缝衔接。 岳阳港工业遗址公园举办"洞庭 渔火季・跨年夜音乐节"，2200架无人机现场表演，周边设置文创市集，汇集餐饮、手作、非遗产品等消费业态，烟火气与文艺范交织。益阳明清古巷以"古 韵新潮，巷迎新年"为主题，打造"唱享2026"音乐晚会、非遗花鼓戏展演等活动，传统韵味与新潮玩法碰撞融合。 南岳衡山风景区迎来新年首场大面积雾凇 景观，晶莹剔透的冰雪世 ...

▲湖北竹山县生娃"奖房子"的政策引发关注。图/纵览新闻 生娃真的"奖房子"了！近日，湖北竹山县奖励生育的政策引发关注。 12月25日，竹山县卫生健康局工作人员告诉纵览新闻，当地的确有该政策，具体为二孩奖补25平方米、三孩奖补 50平方米，两项还可叠加使用，具体要求以官方文件为准，目前市民反响普遍较好。 其实，早在2024年，竹山县政府官网就发布了"购房补贴、生育奖补......黄金十条助力竹山城镇化发展！"的文件， 其中在鼓励生育措施中就提到该购房奖补政策。今年3月，该官网又发布一则关于印发《竹山县以县城为重要载体 就地城镇化2025年政策措施》的通知，延续了以往的购房奖补政策。从政策设计的深层逻辑看，竹山县将生育奖 补纳入"就地城镇化"政策，凸显了鼓励生育与促进城镇化的联动思维。 因此，舆论关注的生娃"奖房子"的另一面，或许也能带动当地房地产去库存，进而降低农业转移人口市民化的门 槛。这种模式对人口基数小、城镇化需求迫切的中小城市，也不无借鉴意义。 从各地实践看，当前生育补贴的形式涵盖现金补贴、托育券、税收减免、购房优惠等，此次生娃直接"奖房子"， 等于在以实物鼓励生育方面又进了一步。这对地方政府而言，确实 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of enhancing social security and public services to boost consumer confidence and spending in China, particularly in the context of achieving common prosperity and addressing income distribution reform [3][4][5]. Group 1: Social Security and Consumer Confidence - The experience of observing full restaurants in Australia led to the realization of the importance of a legally confirmed social security net, which enhances consumer confidence [3][20]. - There has been significant investment in basic social security in China, resulting in noticeable growth in guaranteed income, but further legal confirmation of social security is necessary to stabilize consumer expectations [3][20]. - The need for a robust social security system is highlighted as a foundation for increasing consumer spending and ensuring a sense of safety among the populace [9][20]. Group 2: Income Distribution Reform - The "two-fold doubling plan" proposed by the National Committee aims to double national income and the middle-income group, which is seen as crucial for achieving common prosperity [3][4]. - The article discusses the necessity of narrowing the income gap between urban and rural residents, with recent improvements noted in rural income levels [16][17]. - Future reforms should focus on increasing the proportion of labor remuneration in national income, targeting a rise from 50% to 60% over the next decade [17]. Group 3: Economic Growth and Consumption - The article suggests that increasing the service consumption ratio from 46.1% to 60% could generate an additional 40 trillion yuan in consumer demand, indicating a significant opportunity for economic growth [8]. - The current economic model is criticized for being overly reliant on traditional investment, with a call for a shift towards a consumption-driven economy [9][10]. - The importance of investing in human capital, particularly in education, healthcare, and elder care, is emphasized as a means to stimulate service consumption and improve quality of life [11][12]. Group 4: Public Services and Urbanization - The "15th Five-Year Plan" aims to enhance the equality of basic public services, which is essential for urbanization and addressing the needs of a growing population [4][19]. - The article stresses the need for a balanced approach to investment in both physical infrastructure and human services to meet the evolving demands of society [10][14]. - Achieving basic public service equality is seen as a long-term goal that requires sustained effort and legal frameworks to ensure fairness and security for all citizens [19][21].

Economic Performance - The US economy showed strong performance in 2023 with a total output of $27.37 trillion, reflecting a 2.5% year-on-year growth after adjusting for inflation, which is an increase of $1.65 trillion compared to 2022 [1][3] - Consumer spending was a significant driver, with retail sales increasing by 3.2% for the year and a notable 5.6% year-on-year jump in December [1][3] - The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index surged nearly 30% from November to January, marking the fastest increase since the 1990s [1] Government Spending and Debt - The US national debt rose from $23 trillion in 2019 to $34 trillion in 2023, with an increase of $11 trillion over four years, largely due to government stimulus measures [3] - The quarterly GDP figures for 2023 were $6.55 trillion, $6.8 trillion, $6.93 trillion, and $7.09 trillion, each surpassing the annual output of Japan or Germany [3] Comparison with China - China's total output in 2023 was 126.06 trillion yuan, equivalent to approximately $17.89 trillion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.2%, which is more than double the US growth rate [3] - The gap between the US and China widened from $5.77 trillion two years ago to $9.48 trillion, with China accounting for only 65.36% of the US economy [3] - China's consumer contribution rate reached a historic high of 82.5%, while the export surplus was $822.3 billion [3] Investment and Market Trends - Corporate investment showed signs of recovery, particularly in the tech sector, with the Dow Jones index rising by 13.7% over the year [4] - The US economy's resilience is attributed to consumer spending, which constitutes nearly 80% of the total economic output [3][4] Future Projections - For 2024, the US GDP is projected to rise to $29.18 trillion, with a growth rate of 2.8%, while China's GDP is expected to reach 134.91 trillion yuan (approximately $18.80 trillion) with a growth rate of 5.0% [7] - The International Monetary Fund forecasts China's growth at 4.8% for 2024, while the US is projected to grow at 1.9% in 2025 [7][9] Structural Challenges - The US economy benefits from strong consumer demand and low unemployment, while China faces challenges such as real estate debt, low consumer confidence, and high youth unemployment [9] - The structural differences between the two economies are highlighted by the US's reliance on consumer spending and investment, while China's economy is more dependent on exports and manufacturing [9]

Core Insights - The International Financial Leaders Investment Summit was held on November 4, 2025, highlighting the importance of domestic consumption in China's economic growth [1] - Zhang Hui, Vice Chairman and President of the Bank of China, stated that domestic final consumption expenditure contributed 53.5% to economic growth in the first three quarters, driving GDP growth by 2.8 percentage points [1] - The Bank of China's research institute predicts that this contribution could rise to 60% in the future, indicating a significant role of consumption in the economy [1] - Zhang emphasized that China's consumption has a solid foundation, and with the growth of residents' income, the consumption potential will gradually expand, particularly in the service sector [1]

Core Insights - Consumption is a vital engine for economic growth, and individual businesses play a crucial role in stimulating economic microcirculation [1] - The Changzhou Economic Development Zone Tax Bureau focuses on providing precise and efficient services to support the development of individual businesses [1] Group 1: Tax Services and Support - A tax law promotion event was held at Gelin Park, a new commercial complex in Changzhou, featuring 18 first stores and 54 stores from the eastern city [1] - The "Jing Tax Pioneer" service team from the Tax Bureau provided personalized policy guidance and detailed explanations of tax-related processes to individual businesses [1][2] - The Tax Bureau launched a "one-on-one service" for first-time store owners to assist with tax-related business and invoice adjustments [2] Group 2: Event Outcomes - The event distributed over 120 tax promotional materials and provided policy consultations to 60 individuals, assisting 32 taxpayers with specific tax guidance [2] - Gelin Park achieved a cumulative sales revenue of over 380 million yuan within 9 days of opening, attracting over 880,000 visitors [2] - The Tax Bureau aims to continuously optimize tax services and enhance proactive outreach to effectively support market entities [2]