炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 来源：中金宏观 美国第三季度实际GDP环比折年率为4.3%，高于市场预期的3.3%和上一个季度的3.8%。从分项来看， 主要贡献来自强劲的消费支出。三季度私人消费支出环比年化增长3.5%，较二季度的2.5%加快，对 GDP增长贡献高达2.4个百分点。其中，非耐用品与服务支出增速加快，耐用品支出增速则放缓。 强劲的消费支出或与资产价格上涨带来的财富效应有关。三季度美国股市在AI主题的带动下进一步反 弹，提振了消费者的购买力。此前也有Moody研究显示，当前美国近一半的消费支出由最富有的10%人 口贡献[1]，而该群体持有约87%的美国股票[2]，并在过去几年中持续受益于资本市场的显著回报。与 此同时，三季度居民实际可支配收入的环比年化增长为零，为2022年二季度以来的最低值，这也表明消 费支出的主要来源并非工资性收入。往前看，四季度以来美国股市呈现震荡走势，加上加密货币价格下 跌（例如比特币价格从10月初高点累计下跌超过20%），可能会削弱财富效应。而就业前景的弱化，加 上实际工资增速并未改善，也可能对消费产生拖累。 固定资产投资增速放缓 ...

周期开启跨年行情 20251221 摘要 股市短期或加速上涨，科技和非银板块仍被看好，周期和消费品中的转 型机会值得关注。机构保收益和降仓位对市场冲击已基本消化，创业板 表现强劲，科技行情远未结束。 中央经济工作会议强调推动投资止跌回稳及房地产去库存，旨在应对投 资增速和外商直接投资转负的局面，预计明年 3 月将公布大型基建项目， 财政和货币政策或将做出相应调整。 2026 年市场风格预计将倾向于质量成长或基本面策略回归，科技与非 科技、权重与小市值均有机会，但防守型策略资产可能面临挑战，重点 关注科技成长和周期成长方向。 航空业未来两年投资逻辑基于油价、汇率利好及国家提振消费政策，客 座率创新高后转向票价提升，供需关系改善将推动票价和盈利上升，建 议积极布局相关标的。 油运行业基本面稳健，原油轮运价维持高位，预计四季度及全年盈利将 创十年新高。合规市场供需关系持续向好，一年期期租价格上涨反映乐 观预期，春节前后运价回落时可逆向布局。 Q&A 对未来一段时间的市场行情有何看法？ 我们对未来市场行情持乐观态度。首先，政策预期有望上修，市场交投也将更 为活跃。在长时间的横盘震荡后，我们预计指数将逐步上升，并在春节 ...

（来源：新华日报） "十五五"时期是徐州鼓楼区优化经济结构、培育新质生产力、提升区域竞争力的关键五年。为精准对接 区域发展需求，充分发挥人大代表桥梁纽带与履职建言作用，鼓楼区人大琵琶街道工委以"察实情、汇 民智、献良策"为目标，围绕经济发展、民生保障、产业升级等重点领域，组织人大代表开展"我为'十 五五'规划献良策"系列活动，推动代表深度参与调研，为鼓楼区高质量发展凝聚智慧力量。 产业发展方面，代表们深入传统产业与新兴项目一线，提出2条针对性建议。董非代表针对建筑行业发 展困境，建言支持鼓楼区建筑行业转型升级；张岳虎代表从智能制造转型、绿色产业培育等五个维度， 为产业升级与绿色发展出谋划策。 生态文旅与民生保障领域同样亮点纷呈。张培代表结合徐州网红城市优势及鼓楼区文旅资源禀赋，提出 整合文旅资源、推动生态文明建设与文旅发展深度融合的建议；杜长记、陈士龙等代表聚焦社区集体经 济发展、历史遗留问题处置、老旧小区治理、智慧养老服务体系建设等民生痛点，提出4条切实可行的 建议，助力提升民生福祉。 此次活动的开展，为鼓楼区"十五五"规划编制提供了坚实的民意基础和决策参考。未来，人大琵琶街道 工委将继续支持和保障人大代表 ...

碧翰烽/文 一是全力增加居民收入，特别是扩大中等收入阶层。 只要现在口袋里有钱，不用担心消费问题；或者是相信未来会更有钱，也不用担心消费问题。 一方面是增加现实的收入。这是当下值得关注的一个问题，就是居民的收入是否保持持续增长？ 可以说，投资基础设施建设的钱，是非常可观的，也取得了显著的成效，对于经济社会的发展是显而易见的。 但是过度地投资于"物"，有两个问题不能忽视：一个是边际效益在逐步递减；还有一个是可能导致的贫富分化。 一个是基层干部群体，至少包括绩效奖励等在内的收入是有所下降的； 还有一个是农民，一部分农民工可能在城市无业可就，特别是建筑行业；还有一部分在家务农的农民，农业收入也恐怕受到了影响。 比如今年有的农村水果业虽然丰收丰产，但是销售价格下降了一半左右，而且销量也受到影响，收入相比去年明显缩水。 另一方面是增加预期的收入。这也是一个很现实的问题，就是今年我的收入虽然下降了，但明年有可能增加。 这是信心问题，希望问题。 有位村支书曾经坦言，农民眼下比较关注三个问题：一个是收入问题；一个是安全问题；还有一个是遇到了诉求困难有人解决的问题。 解决"增加收入"的问题，就是提高消费能力，让人"能消费"。 ...

12月2日，省政府新闻办举行新闻发布会，介绍贵州省"十四五"时期国资国企改革发展成就。 一是经营质效持续向上向好。"十四五"以来，贵州始终坚持高质量发展，全力以赴稳生产、稳经营、稳市场，经济运行持续保 持稳中向好态势。全省国有企业（不含省级金融企业）资产总额从2020年的8.56万亿元增长到2024年的11.23万亿元，营业收入 从5694亿元增长到7835亿元，利润总额从841亿元增加到1150亿元，年均增速分别达7%、8.3%、8.1%。其中，省国资委监管企 业资产总额从1.54万亿元增长到2.25万亿元，营业收入从3740亿元增长到4942亿元，利润总额从820亿元增加到1343亿元，年均 增速分别达9.9%、7.2%、13.1%。 二是产业布局持续优化改善。"十四五"以来，贵州聚焦主责主业大力发展实体经济，助力建设现代化产业体系，持续推动国有 资本布局优化和结构调整，服务全省重大战略实施和重大产业布局的能力持续增强。完成能源集团、民航集团、建投集团、贵 旅集团的战略性重组，完成铝业集团、西能集团、大数据集团、物流集团、习酒集团的专业化整合，新组建农发集团、纺织集 团、外经贸集团、产发公司，一批主责主业 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report - Commercial space is experiencing intensive catalysts, and investment opportunities in the industry are worth attention [2]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Commercial Space Faces Intensive Catalysts, Focus on Industry Investment Opportunities - **Three - year Action Plan for Commercial Space**: On November 25, 2025, the National Space Administration issued the "Action Plan for Promoting the High - quality and Safe Development of Commercial Space (2025 - 2027)", aiming to achieve high - quality development of commercial space by 2027, with significant growth in industry scale and innovation [3]. - **Establishment of the Commercial Space Department**: The National Space Administration has recently established the Commercial Space Department, which will promote the high - quality development of China's commercial space industry and benefit the entire industrial chain [4]. - **Satellite Internet of Things Business Commercial Test**: The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has launched a two - year commercial test of satellite Internet of Things business, marking the transition of China's satellite Internet industry to the commercial application exploration stage and bringing investment opportunities for the entire industrial chain [4]. - **Recommended Stocks**: In the rocket direction, recommended stocks include Chaojie Co., Ltd., Gaohua Technology, Zhongheng Design, etc.; in the satellite direction, recommended stocks include Shaanxi Huada, Shanghai Harbor, Shanghai Hanxun, etc. [4]. 3.2 Main Covered Company Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report provides earnings forecasts, valuations, and ratings for 28 companies from 2024 to 2027, including China National Building Material Group Corporation, Conch Cement, and China State Construction Engineering Corporation. Most of the investment ratings are maintained [13]. 3.3 Weekly Market Review - **Industry Index Performance**: The building and building materials industries showed certain increases this week. The building index increased by 2.43%, and the building materials index increased by 2.21%. Among them, the garden engineering index had the highest increase of 8.40% in the building sub - sectors, and the ceramic index had the highest increase of 5.60% in the building materials sub - sectors [17][19][22]. - **Stock Performance**: In the building materials industry, Hainan Ruizhe had the highest weekly increase of 22.16%, and *ST Lifang had the highest weekly decrease of 30.00%. In the building industry, Guosheng Technology had the highest weekly increase of 57.69%, and *ST Dongyi had the highest weekly decrease of 22.36% [25]. - **Infrastructure Public REITs Performance**: The average weekly increase of infrastructure public REITs was - 0.13%, the average monthly increase was - 1.23%, the average increase since the beginning of the year was 9.67%, the average 250 - day increase was 14.38%, and the average increase since IPO was 13.06% [28]. 3.4 Aggregate Data Tracking - **Real Estate Data**: It includes new construction, construction, completion, and sales area cumulative year - on - year data, land transaction data, real estate transaction data, social financing data, and infrastructure investment growth data. For example, the cumulative year - on - year growth rate of national real estate new construction area continued to decline [31]. - **Eight Major Construction Central Enterprises' New Contract Signing**: The report shows the quarterly new contract signing amounts and year - on - year growth rates of eight major construction central enterprises from 2022Q1 to 2025Q3 [73]. - **Special Bond Issuance**: It includes monthly and cumulative new special bond issuance amounts and replacement special bond issuance amounts from 2022 to 2025 [75][77][79][81]. 3.5 High - frequency Data Tracking - **Cement Data**: It includes national PO42.5 cement average price, East China regional cement price trend, cement - coal price difference index, cement inventory ratio, and cement production monthly year - on - year growth rate [84][85][87][91]. - **Float Glass Data**: It includes glass spot price, glass futures price, and glass inventory [91][92][96]. - **Photovoltaic Glass Data**: It includes glass daily melting volume, soda ash price, 2mm photovoltaic glass price, and photovoltaic glass inventory [98][102][99][104]. - **Glass Fiber Data**: It includes the prices of various types of glass fiber yarns and glass fiber inventory [106][109][110][116]. - **Carbon Fiber Data**: It includes carbon fiber average price, carbon fiber raw silk price, carbon fiber production, carbon fiber inventory, carbon fiber operating rate, carbon fiber gross profit margin, carbon fiber cost, and carbon fiber gross profit [113][117][120][122][124][126][129]. - **Magnesia and Alumina Prices**: It includes the ex - factory tax - included price of large - crystal electro - fused magnesia and alumina price [126][130]. - **Upstream Raw Material Prices**: It includes asphalt price, waste paper price, PVC price, HDPE price, etc. [134][137][135][139]. - **Physical Workload Data**: It includes acrylic acid price, titanium dioxide price, high - machine rental rate, and asphalt average operating rate [141][143][144][146].

每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——5年期大面积下线，3年期利率低至1.5%仍一单难求：要么"售罄"要么"额度 紧张"！中长期大额存单为何在消失？ （记者 曾健辉） 每经AI快讯，勘设股份（SH 603458，收盘价：8.23元）12月1日晚间发布公告称，截至2025年11月28日 收盘，股东薛淑华、马平均、田小波、杨胜波、杨培的减持期间已届满，上述股东本次实际减持合计 881,205股，占公司总股本的0.29%，本次减持未完成数量合计2,138,735股。 2024年1至12月份，勘设股份的营业收入构成为：公路行业占比67.61%，建筑行业占比21.68%，水运及 其他行业占比7.39%，市政行业占比3.01%，其他业务占比0.31%。 截至发稿，勘设股份市值为25亿元。 ...

Group 1 - The company Southeast Network Framework (SZ 002135) held its 29th meeting of the 8th Board of Directors on November 21, 2025, where it reviewed the proposal to amend the "Major Information Internal Reporting System" [1] - For the first half of 2025, the company's revenue composition was as follows: construction industry accounted for 68.92%, chemical fiber industry 27.28%, others 2.29%, and photovoltaic industry 1.52% [1] - As of the report date, the market capitalization of Southeast Network Framework is 5 billion yuan [1]

Company Overview - Southeast Network Framework (SZ 002135) announced on November 19 that its 28th meeting of the 8th board of directors was held, discussing the proposal not to adjust the conversion price of "Southeast Convertible Bonds" [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the revenue composition of Southeast Network Framework was as follows: construction industry accounted for 68.92%, chemical fiber industry 27.28%, others 2.29%, and photovoltaic industry 1.52% [1] Market Position - As of the report date, the market capitalization of Southeast Network Framework was 5.2 billion yuan [1]

Core Viewpoint - *ST Zhengping's stock price has experienced a significant increase of 221.93% from September 1 to November 18, which is substantially disconnected from the performance of the Shanghai Composite Index and the construction industry, indicating a serious deviation from the company's fundamentals [1] Group 1 - The company announced that it will conduct an investigation into the stock trading situation to protect investor interests [1] - The stock will be suspended from trading starting November 19, with a resumption expected within 10 trading days after the announcement of the investigation [1]