7月3日，早盘沪指窄幅震荡，创业板走势偏强，截至午间收盘，沪指涨0.07%，深成指涨0.75%，创业 板指涨1.36%。 华泰证券认为，短期横盘震荡和向下调整的概率各占一半；如果有调整，会是一件好事——如同5月下 旬和6月下旬的两个调整段，确认了4月反弹的有效性，本次调整将可能确认上周一至周三的三根大阳线 的有效性。在基本面上，依然在中长期对港股创新药保持看好，6月高点大概率不是本轮上涨的终点。 盘面上，题材轮动加速，主要聚焦医药和泛科技两大方向。具体来看，以创新药为首的的医药股再度强 势，塞力医疗3连板；消费电子板块走高，朝阳科技等涨停；商业航天概念拉升，西测测试20%涨停； 算力硬件端走强，胜宏科技续创历史新高；存储芯片概念再度活跃，盈方微、大为股份等多股涨停。下 跌方面，固态电池概念走低，兴业股份跌停，游戏、工程机械、多元金融、港口等板块跌幅居前。 展望后市，光大证券指出，市场整体的趋势和风格并未改变，接下来大概率将继续指数震荡、热点轮 动。 热门板块 1、创新药板块强势 创新药概念股反复活跃，塞力医疗3连板，神州细胞、微芯生物、赛升药业、长春高新、未名医药等跟 涨。 点评：消息面上，近日，在海南文昌卫 ...

【导读】创新药概念股再度活跃，电子元器件、商业航天板块多股涨停， 西测测试开盘不到1分钟，"垂直"20%涨停 中国基金报记者李智 一起来看下最新的市场情况及资讯。 7月3日早盘，A股三大指数涨跌不一。截至发稿，沪指跌0.21%，深成指涨0.32%，创业板指涨0.78%。 | 上证指数 | | 深证成指 | 北证50 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3447.61 | | 10445.52 | 1434.79 | | -7.19 | -0.21% | +32.89 +0.32% | -4.37 -0.30% | | 科创50 | | 创业板指 | 万得全A | | 981.94 | | 2140.22 | 5309.65 | | -0.70 | -0.07% | +16.51 +0.78% | +1.88 +0.04% | 板块方面，创新药概念股再度活跃，消费电子概念股强势走高，电子元器件板块多股涨停，而锂电、煤炭、多元金融等板块震荡调整。 | | | Wind热门概念指数 | | | | | Wind中国行业指数 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | -- ...

【导读】创新药概念股再度活跃，电子元器件、商业航天板块多股涨停， 西测测试开盘不到1分钟，"垂直"20%涨停 中国基金报记者 李智 一起来看下最新的市场情况及资讯。 7月3日早盘，A股 三大指数涨跌不一。 截至发稿，沪指跌0. 21 %，深成指 涨 0. 3 2%，创业板指 涨 0. 78 %。 | 上证指数 | 深证成指 | 北证50 | | --- | --- | --- | | 3447.61 | 10445.52 | 1434.79 | | -7.19 -0.21% | +32.89 +0.32% | -4.37 -0.30% | | 科创50 | 创业板指 | 万得全A | | 981.94 | 2140.22 | 5309.65 | | -0.70 -0.07% | +16.51 +0.78% | +1.88 +0.04% | 板块方面，创新药概念股再度活跃，消费电子概念股强势走高，电子元器件板块多股涨停，而锂电、煤炭、多元金融等板块震荡调整。 | | | Wind N 概念指数 | | | | | Wind中国行业指数 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...

Group 1 - SpaceX is a leading aerospace company founded by Elon Musk, known for its Falcon and Starship rockets [4][5] - The company has not disclosed detailed designs of its products and prefers to protect its core technologies as trade secrets rather than patents [7] - The U.S. aerospace industry is experiencing a transformation, with other companies like Blue Origin and Rocket Lab emerging as competitors to SpaceX [10][12] Group 2 - The Chinese aerospace industry is advancing rapidly, with companies like Landspace and the China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation making significant progress in rocket development [15][17] - Recent developments indicate that China is close to achieving parity with global aerospace technology, reducing the need to rely on foreign expertise [19] - The potential for a talent migration from the U.S. aerospace sector due to political instability may not significantly benefit China, as the country is not actively seeking to absorb these resources [19]

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has introduced guidelines for the establishment of a "Growth Layer" on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, aimed at enhancing the inclusiveness and adaptability of the system for companies that are not yet profitable [1][2]. Group 1: Guidelines and Regulations - The guidelines specify conditions for inclusion and removal from the Growth Layer, allowing companies that are unprofitable at the time of listing to be included immediately [1]. - Companies that were already listed and have not achieved profitability since the issuance of the guidelines will also be included in the Growth Layer [1]. - To be removed from the Growth Layer, companies must meet one of two conditions: either have positive net profits for the last two years with a cumulative profit of at least 50 million RMB or have positive net profit for the last year with revenue of at least 100 million RMB [1]. Group 2: Risk Management and Disclosure - The introduction of a "U" designation for stocks in the Growth Layer serves as a risk warning, indicating that these companies are unprofitable [1][4]. - The guidelines emphasize enhanced information disclosure and risk management, requiring investors to sign risk disclosure agreements before investing in unprofitable tech companies [2][4]. - There is a suggestion for further clarification on whether companies that are removed from the Growth Layer and later incur losses should be reclassified, to avoid a "lifetime exemption" from scrutiny [2][3]. Group 3: Market Impact and Future Considerations - Currently, around 200 companies on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board have negative net profits, but the immediate need to include them in the Growth Layer is considered low [3]. - The establishment of the Growth Layer is expected to strengthen capital market support for technological innovation and enhance market confidence in tech companies [3]. - A proposal is made to potentially include all loss-making companies in the Growth Layer in the future, which could help in risk management and encourage companies to improve their profitability [3].

今日早盘，A股小幅震荡上扬，科创50涨逾1%，再度冲击1000点大关，中证500、中证1000均创近3个 月来新高。上涨个股远多于下跌个股，成交略有萎缩的趋势。 泰伯智库发布的《2025年火箭发射服务市场全景深度研究报告》显示，2025年—2030年间，我国卫星发 射需求预计将超过7000颗。 中航证券指出，2025年，伴随多款商业火箭新型号首飞，巨型卫星互联网星座建设有望提速，相关商业 航天板块的上市公司的关注度有望提升，特别是卫星制造板块有望迎来基本面改善叠加估值提升的"戴 维斯双击"。 光刻机概念创历史新高 盘面上，国防军工、光刻机、游戏、人脑工程等板块涨幅居前，镍金属、银行、油气开采、证券等板块 小幅调整。 商业航天迎爆发 国防军工概念股早间继续走强，商业航天领域表现活跃，板块指数单边上扬，放量涨逾2%，创历史新 高。晨曦航空（300581）、博亚精工（300971）均快速20%涨停，国瑞科技（300600）、再升科技 （603601）、能科科技（603859）等逾10股涨停或涨超10%。 地面兵装板块指数再度飙升逾8%，创8年多来新高，军贸概念、军民融合、大飞机、核污染防治等多个 细分板块亦再创历史 ...

Core Insights - The Wenchang Satellite Super Factory project is accelerating its construction, with 26 companies already signed on, indicating a strong industrial cluster effect in Hainan's free trade port for commercial aerospace [1] - The successful launch of the Long March 8 rocket, which deployed 18 satellites, marks a significant milestone for China's first commercial launch site, enhancing the capabilities of the "Thousand Sails Plan" [1] - The factory aims to complete its first satellite by the end of this year, forming a "1+1+8" satellite manufacturing industrial cluster that integrates digital design and logistics [2] Company Developments - Hongqing Technology is the only domestic provider with satellite networking solutions that coordinate satellite and rocket operations, planning to produce 100 new flat satellites annually at the Wenchang facility [3] - The factory's construction is nearing completion, with the cleanroom and assembly line ready for production, which will significantly enhance production efficiency and reduce costs [3] - Hainan Guoxing Feice Technology Co., a subsidiary of Chengdu Sicore Microelectronics, focuses on high-precision automated testing for satellite components, leveraging AI to improve efficiency [4] Industry Trends - The Wenchang Satellite Super Factory is fostering a complete commercial aerospace industry chain, with various companies innovating in satellite production and testing technologies [2][4] - The integration of advanced technologies, such as AI and digital twins, is expected to reduce costs by up to 50% for companies involved in satellite component assembly and thermal testing [4]

围绕"灵犀计划"商业航天科技创新与产业创新融合发展主题，活动发布了商业航天领域"双五星"匹 配专利，邀请航天产业、金融领域专家围绕产业发展态势、助力产业创新升级、专利转化等话题分享经 验，多家商业航天企业现场进行专利技术路演及需求发布。 活动还举行了多项签约仪式，其中，西安交通大学、西北工业大学等6所高校分别与企业签订专利 转化项目协议，累计金额超5000万元，"秦知贷"合作银行与4家服务企业签订授信协议，授信金额共计 3500万元。 6月26日，西部地区专利转化运用对接活动暨"灵犀计划"第四期商业航天科技创新与产业创新融合 发展专题活动在西安举办。活动聚焦商业航天产业链，联动西部省份资源，搭建专利供给与产业需 求"双向奔赴"平台，为区域经济高质量发展注入新动能。 活动现场，陕西及广西、重庆、甘肃、西藏等10余个西部省（区、市）的知识产权管理部门签订 《西部省份知识产权赋能产业创新发展倡议书》，从共绘西部知识产权协同发展蓝图、共促知识产权成 果高效转化落地、共享知识产权资源对接机制、共育知识产权服务复合型人才队伍、共优知识产权服务 行业规范化建设、共塑西部知识产权服务影响力等6方面倡议深化区域协同创新，推动知 ...

Core Insights - The report suggests that the A-share market is experiencing a significant upward trend, driven by improved global risk appetite and expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a new high of 3462.75 points in 2025 [8][9] - The upcoming "14th Five-Year Plan" completion and the "15th Five-Year Plan" formulation are expected to provide policy guidance, with a focus on technological innovation and improving people's livelihoods [9][19] - The report maintains a positive outlook on the economic transformation bull market that began on September 24, 2024, viewing external challenges, such as the U.S.-China trade war, as temporary clouds over the economic landscape [9][19] Market Review - The A-share market showed strong performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.91%, the Shenzhen Component by 3.73%, and the ChiNext Index by 5.69% during the week [7] - Growth sectors outperformed, with the technology and defense industries seeing significant gains, while sectors like oil and food showed weaker performance [7] - Market activity increased, with an average daily trading volume of 14,866.74 billion yuan, up by 2,716.45 billion yuan from the previous week [7] Performance Correlation - The report highlights a strong correlation between market performance and quarterly earnings announcements, particularly during the mid-year reporting season, indicating that market movements are closely tied to financial results [10][11] - Historical data shows that the correlation between stock price performance and earnings growth is highest in late April, followed by late October and mid-July [11] Investment Strategy - The report advocates for a "barbell strategy" focusing on sectors with solid fundamentals and relatively low valuations, particularly in technology and defense, while suggesting a cautious approach to crowded sectors [19] - The upcoming clarity on the "15th Five-Year Plan" and potential U.S. interest rate cuts are seen as key catalysts for market movement [19]

投资策略 | 定期报告 攻势未歇，蓄力再攀 策略周报 20250629 研究结论 ⚫ 利率未变，心弦已动 美联储主席表态维持"按兵不动"：美联储主席鲍威尔出席国会参众两院的半年度 货币政策听证会，重申在经济数据未明朗前不会贸然降息，暗示政策调整窗口或在 9 月，而 7 月按兵不动旨在争取时间评估风险。 市场降息预期边际升温：虽然鲍威尔表态只是暗示了政策调整的窗口期，但市场已 经开始预计 9 月降息，有交易员预计美联储将于 9 月开始降息，增加了美联储将在 2025 年降息 3 次的押注。另一方面，本周多位美联储官员也释放了鸽派信号，比如 监管副主席鲍曼和美联储理事沃勒。 全球市场对降息升温反应积极：本周全球主要市场普遍上涨，日经上涨 4.55%，纳 斯达克指数上涨 4.25%，恒生指数上涨 3.2%，我们认为全球市场本周上涨是因为风 险偏好受降息预期升温的影响，正在提升。 ⚫ 下周是加仓点：市场短暂整理后有望继续进攻 A 股市场风险偏好回升，但仍有犹豫：本周市场风险偏好明显回升，上证指数涨 1.91%，并突破前期压制许久的 3400 点位，但和海外市场相比，仍然有明显的犹 豫，周四周五回踩明显。我们认为本周一 ...