光大期货煤化工商品日报 光大期货煤化工商品日报 光大期货煤化工商品日报（2025 年 6 月 6 日） 一、研究观点 | 品种 | 点评 | 观点 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 周四尿素期货价格震荡下行，主力09合约收盘价1722元/吨，跌幅2.88%。现货市场 | | | | 局部稳定，局部回落10~30元/吨。昨日山东、河南地区市场价格分别下调至1850元/ | | | | 吨、1840元/吨。基本面来看，昨日尿素供应略有回落，日产量降至20.07万吨，但同 | | | 尿素 | 比仍偏高。需求端暂无实质性改善，主流地区现货产销率多数回落至5%~25%区间。 | 偏强震荡 | | | 麦收结束后尿素需求及出口仍有跟进预期，但刚需空间或将受限。整体来看，尿素 | | | | 市场暂无明显利好驱动，后续需求有望带来一定支撑。昨日 盘 煤期价上 、 | | | | 观利好 素 出，尿素期价向下突破近5个月低点后日内也有望反弹。关注需求力度 | | | | 、原料价格走势、商品市场情绪等变化。 | | | | 周四纯碱期货价格弱势震荡，主力09合约收盘价1203元/吨，微幅下跌0.5%。现货 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the need for high-quality development in the western regions of China, particularly in Xinjiang, which is focusing on building ten industrial clusters to support economic growth [1] - Xinjiang is experiencing a significant shortage of skilled talent in modern coal chemical projects, with investment amounts reaching thousands of billions, highlighting the mismatch between project construction pace and talent availability [1][2] - The article discusses the necessity of reforming the workforce training system to cultivate high-quality skilled talent, which is essential for supporting the modern industrial system in Xinjiang [3] Group 2 - There is a large gap in high-quality skilled talent in western regions, and many vocational education graduates are not finding jobs that match their fields of study, indicating a lack of foresight in vocational training programs [2] - Leading enterprises are encouraged to play a pivotal role in training skilled workers, with examples such as Yili New Tian Coal Chemical Co., which operates the world's largest coal-to-gas project, serving as a training base for new projects [2] - The establishment of a talent recruitment and training system is crucial, focusing on local resource development and creating a cycle of local selection, training, growth, and employment [3]

2025 年 6 月 5 日 行业研究 2025 年欧美 SAF 政策落地，国内 SAF 出口渠道顺利打通 ——石化化工交运行业日报第 73 期（20250604） 要点 生物柴油下游应用领域持续扩大，发展空间可期。生物柴油具有环保性能 好、发动机启动性能好、燃料性能好、原料来源广泛、可再生等特性。大力 发展生物柴油对经济可持续发展、推进能源替代、减轻环境压力、控制城市 大气污染具有重要的战略意义。目前，生物柴油主要应用于道路交通领域， 航海、航空领域已经开始逐步推广试用。根据国际航空运输协会（IATA）的 分析，到 2050 年，航空领域 65%的减排将通过使用生物航煤来实现。与此 同时，在法国、英国等西欧国家，生物柴油用于发电正在加速发展。在我国 "3060"双碳战略目标背景下，国家《"十四五"可再生能源发展规划》提 出"大力发展非粮生物质液体燃料，支持生物柴油、生物航空煤油等领域先 进技术装备研发和推广使用"。国家《"十四五"生物经济发展规划》中强 调，要积极推进生物柴油等生物能源的应用，推动化石能源向绿色低碳可再 生能源转型。政策推动背景下，随着生物柴油应用领域持续拓宽，未来需求 增长空间可期。 20 ...

2025 年 6 月 5 日 行业研究 2025 年欧美 SAF 政策落地，国内 SAF 出口渠道顺利打通 ——石化化工交运行业日报第 73 期（20250604） 要点 生物柴油下游应用领域持续扩大，发展空间可期。生物柴油具有环保性能 好、发动机启动性能好、燃料性能好、原料来源广泛、可再生等特性。大力 发展生物柴油对经济可持续发展、推进能源替代、减轻环境压力、控制城市 大气污染具有重要的战略意义。目前，生物柴油主要应用于道路交通领域， 航海、航空领域已经开始逐步推广试用。根据国际航空运输协会（IATA）的 分析，到 2050 年，航空领域 65%的减排将通过使用生物航煤来实现。与此 同时，在法国、英国等西欧国家，生物柴油用于发电正在加速发展。在我国 "3060"双碳战略目标背景下，国家《"十四五"可再生能源发展规划》提 出"大力发展非粮生物质液体燃料，支持生物柴油、生物航空煤油等领域先 进技术装备研发和推广使用"。国家《"十四五"生物经济发展规划》中强 调，要积极推进生物柴油等生物能源的应用，推动化石能源向绿色低碳可再 生能源转型。政策推动背景下，随着生物柴油应用领域持续拓宽，未来需求 增长空间可期。 20 ...

2025 年 6 月 5 日 行业研究 2025 年欧美 SAF 政策落地，国内 SAF 出口渠道顺利打通 ——石化化工交运行业日报第 73 期（20250604） 要点 生物柴油下游应用领域持续扩大，发展空间可期。生物柴油具有环保性能 好、发动机启动性能好、燃料性能好、原料来源广泛、可再生等特性。大力 发展生物柴油对经济可持续发展、推进能源替代、减轻环境压力、控制城市 大气污染具有重要的战略意义。目前，生物柴油主要应用于道路交通领域， 航海、航空领域已经开始逐步推广试用。根据国际航空运输协会（IATA）的 分析，到 2050 年，航空领域 65%的减排将通过使用生物航煤来实现。与此 同时，在法国、英国等西欧国家，生物柴油用于发电正在加速发展。在我国 "3060"双碳战略目标背景下，国家《"十四五"可再生能源发展规划》提 出"大力发展非粮生物质液体燃料，支持生物柴油、生物航空煤油等领域先 进技术装备研发和推广使用"。国家《"十四五"生物经济发展规划》中强 调，要积极推进生物柴油等生物能源的应用，推动化石能源向绿色低碳可再 生能源转型。政策推动背景下，随着生物柴油应用领域持续拓宽，未来需求 增长空间可期。 增持 ...

行业 甲醇日报 日期 2025 年 6 月 5 日 请阅读正文后的声明 每日报告 数据来源：Wind，建信期货研究发展部 研究员：李金（甲醇） 021-60635730 lijin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3015157 研究员：任俊弛（PTA、MEG） 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯烃） 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业 ...

证券研究报告：基础化工 | 公司点评报告 发布时间：2025-06-04 股票投资评级 买入|维持 个股表现 -29% -26% -23% -20% -17% -14% -11% -8% -5% -2% 1% 4% 2024-05 2024-08 2024-10 2024-12 2025-03 2025-05 华鲁恒升 基础化工 研究所 分析师:张泽亮 SAC 登记编号:S1340523100003 Email:zhangzeliang@cnpsec.com 分析师:许灿杰 SAC 登记编号:S1340525040002 Email:xucanjie@cnpsec.com 华鲁恒升(600426) 低成本煤化工龙头，回购彰显信心 市场有风险，投资需谨慎 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 20.86 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）21.23 / 21.19 | | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）443 / 442 | | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 29.08 / 19.88 | | 资产负债率(%) | 2 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In June, the domestic urea market will face an expected increase in supply and a phased release of demand, with enterprise inventories likely to decline seasonally. However, the upside of urea prices is significantly limited, and the futures market is expected to show wide - range fluctuations [4]. - In the short term, the downside of the soda ash futures market is limited, but in the long term, the market will continue to face pressure. In June, production device maintenance or emergencies may still disrupt the market, and there is an expectation of a continued recovery in rigid demand [5]. - In June, the glass market will still face expectations of increased supply and weakened demand, with enterprise inventory pressure likely to further increase, and the market downturn is difficult to improve significantly [6][7]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Futures Market and Raw Material Situation in the Industrial Chain - **Futures Prices**: As of May 30, the monthly decline of the urea main contract was 3.9%, the soda ash main contract was 11.58%, and the glass main contract was 9.83%. In May, the prices of related futures varieties were weak, with urea performing relatively strongly and soda ash the weakest [4][5][6][13][14]. - **Futures - related Varieties**: In May, the prices of related futures varieties trended weakly, with urea showing relative resilience and soda ash being the weakest [14]. - **Coal Prices**: In May, the prices of some coal varieties declined. For example, the monthly changes in the ex - works price of Qinhuangdao Youhun steam coal (5500) and the pit - mouth price of Shaanxi Yulin smoky coal (Q5500) were - 41 yuan/ton and - 51 yuan/ton respectively [15]. - **LNG Prices**: In May, the prices of some LNG products declined. For example, the monthly changes in the prices of Zhongmei Ordos, Ningxia Hanas, and Shaanxi Hancheng were - 320 yuan/ton, - 170 yuan/ton, and - 190 yuan/ton respectively [18]. - **Raw Salt Prices**: In May, the prices of raw salt in some regions declined slightly [19]. - **Synthetic Ammonia Prices**: In May, the price of Shandong synthetic ammonia decreased by 5.41% [20]. 3.2 Urea: Demand May Follow Up in June, but the Upside of Prices is Significantly Limited - **Spot Prices**: In May, the spot prices of urea showed mixed trends, with the mainstream regional price fluctuations ranging from - 40 to + 40 yuan/ton [23]. - **Supply**: In May, the urea supply fluctuated at a high level, with the daily output remaining above 200,000 tons. In June, if two new plants in Xinjiang are put into operation as planned, the supply level will further increase [4]. - **Demand**: In May, the follow - up of urea demand was relatively cautious. After the wheat harvest in the north, the demand for corn fertilizer and export demand will support the demand, but the price is difficult to rise significantly [4]. - **Inventory**: In May, the urea enterprise inventory first decreased and then increased, remaining at a high - level year - on - year. If the agricultural and export demand follows up smoothly in June, the enterprise inventory is expected to continue to transfer to ports and the middle and lower reaches [4]. - **Export**: In April, China's urea export volume was 0.23 million tons, with little impact on the domestic market. The total export volume from May to September is about 2 million tons, and the export volume is unlikely to change significantly later [4]. - **International Market**: In May, the international urea prices mostly declined, while China's FOB price increased significantly. At the end of May, India issued a new round of international urea tenders [67][69]. - **Related Products**: In May, most phosphate fertilizer prices rose, while potash fertilizer prices showed partial declines and partial increases [71]. 3.3 Soda Ash: The Downside of the Short - term Futures Market is Limited, but the Long - term Market Continues to Face Pressure - **Spot Prices**: In May, the spot prices of soda ash showed local weak declines [78]. - **Basis**: In May, the basis of soda ash (market average price) strengthened slightly [84]. - **Supply**: In May, the soda ash supply level decreased significantly, with the industry's start - up rate dropping to a year - on - year low, and the output at the end of May decreased by 8.48% compared to the end of April [90][95]. - **Inventory**: At the end of May, the soda ash enterprise inventory was 1.6243 million tons, a decrease of 2.86% compared to the end of April. In June, the enterprise inventory may be depleted, but there is a risk of anti - seasonal accumulation [5][100]. - **Export**: In April, China's soda ash export volume was 170,600 tons, a decrease of 12.21% compared to March. The export volume remains at a relatively high level in recent years, and the possibility of maintaining a high level in the future is still relatively high [5]. - **Profit**: In May, the production profits of ammonia - soda and combined - soda enterprises decreased compared to the same period last year [107]. 3.4 Glass: Demand in June Still Faces Challenges, and the Market Downturn is Difficult to Improve Temporarily - **Futures Prices**: In May, the glass futures prices continued the unilateral downward trend, with the main 09 contract breaking through the 1000 - yuan mark [6]. - **Spot Prices**: In May, the spot prices of glass mostly declined, with the mainstream 5mm large - plate market prices dropping by 20 - 120 yuan/ton throughout the month [6]. - **Supply**: In May, the glass production lines had alternating water - release and ignition, with supply first decreasing and then increasing. In June and July, there is an expectation of increased supply, but the implementation of production line commissioning needs attention [6]. - **Inventory**: In May, the glass enterprise inventory remained at a relatively high level in recent years, and in the later rainy season, the enterprise inventory pressure may continue to increase [6][7]. - **Demand**: The demand decline rate exceeds the glass production capacity decline rate. In June, after the rainy season starts, the glass demand will be restricted, and the enterprise inventory pressure may reappear [7].

Core Insights - The report outlines the future industrial carbon neutrality technology evolution path, projecting that by 2060, China's industrial carbon emissions could drop to 450 million tons, a reduction of approximately 95% from 2025 levels [1] - Four common technologies—raw material substitution, waste recycling, electrification and clean power substitution, and hydrogen substitution—are expected to contribute nearly 80% to industrial carbon neutrality technology emissions reduction [1] Industrial Carbon Neutrality Technology Pathways - Climate change is a significant global challenge, with China's industrial sector accounting for nearly 70% of national emissions, necessitating research into industrial carbon neutrality technologies [2] - The report proposes a three-phase technology development path: - 2025-2035: Large-scale application of low-carbon process technologies, focusing on raw material substitution, waste recycling, and energy efficiency improvements [2] - 2035-2050: Explosive application of disruptive technologies such as hydrogen, electrification, and CCUS, aiming to restructure the industrial system [2] - 2050-2060: Deep application of carbon removal technologies, with CCUS expected to contribute 24% to emissions reduction [2] Sector-Specific Insights - In the steel industry, short-process electric furnace steel and energy efficiency technologies are mature, with hydrogen metallurgy and CCUS in demonstration stages; crude steel production is projected to drop to 700 million tons by 2060 [3] - The cement industry has large-scale applications of raw material and fuel substitution technologies, with CCUS expected to contribute over 50% of emissions reduction by 2050 [3] - The non-ferrous metals sector has mature waste aluminum recycling technologies, with total aluminum production stabilizing at 50 million tons by 2060 [3] - The petrochemical industry is in early application stages for green hydrogen substitution and electrification, with CCUS expected to contribute 23% to emissions reduction by 2060 [3] - The coal chemical industry is in demonstration stages for green hydrogen coupling and electric drive technologies, with CCUS expected to achieve a penetration rate of 50%-60% by 2060 [3] Challenges and Recommendations - Industrial carbon neutrality faces challenges such as low technology maturity, high costs, and insufficient industry chain collaboration [4] - The report recommends planning and deploying a comprehensive set of key industrial carbon neutrality technologies, which could cumulatively reduce carbon emissions by 14%-35% through early deployment [4] - It suggests enhancing the carbon market's incentive role, with expectations of driving 250-350 billion yuan in emission reduction investments by 2027 [4] - The report emphasizes the need for a supportive fiscal and tax policy framework, projecting a cumulative investment of 42 trillion yuan in industrial carbon neutrality from 2025 to 2060 [5]

证券代码：600691证券简称：阳煤化工 公告编号：2025-026 阳煤化工股份有限公司 关于召开2024年年度股东大会的通知 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 召开的日期时间：2025 年 6 月 24 日 9 点 30 分 召开地点：山西省太原市迎泽区双塔西街 72 号潞安戴斯酒店 (五)网络投票的系统、起止日期和投票时间。 网络投票系统：上海证券交易所股东大会网络投票系统 网络投票起止时间：自2025 年 6 月 24 日 至2025 年 6 月 24 日 采用上海证券交易所网络投票系统，通过交易系统投票平台的投票时间为股 东大会召开当日的交易时间段，即 9:15-9:25,9:30-11:30，13:00-15:00；通过 互联网投票平台的投票时间为股东大会召开当日的 9:15-15:00。 (六)融资融券、转融通、约定购回业务账户和沪股通投资者的投票程序 涉及融资融券、转融通业务、约定购回业务相关账户以及沪股通投资者 的投票，应按照《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 1 号 — 规 ...