2025.05. 19 工业生产是经济稳定增长的重要支撑。今年以来，随着存量政策持续显效、增量政策有效落实，政 策"组合拳"效果不断显现。工业生产保持较快增长，产业发展向高端化、智能化、绿色化转型。 4月份，规模以上工业增加值同比增长6.1%。41个大类行业中，36个行业同比增长，增长面超过八 成。 本文字数：2510，阅读时长大约4分钟 作者 | 第一财经 祝嫣然 面对外部冲击影响加大、内部困难挑战叠加的复杂局面，4月份我国主要经济指标顶住压力、平稳运 行。 国家统计局5月19日发布的数据显示，4月份，全国规模以上工业增加值同比增长6.1%，比上月回 落1.6个百分点；社会消费品零售总额同比增长5.1%，比前值放缓0.8个百分点。1-4月份，全国固 定资产投资（不含农户）同比增长4.0%，比一季度回落0.2个百分点。 国家统计局新闻发言人付凌晖同日在国新办发布会上表示，4月份外部冲击影响加大，但我国经济基 础稳、优势多、韧性强、潜能大，宏观政策协同发力，各方面积极应变、主动作为，国民经济应变克 难稳定运行，发展质量持续提升，进一步增强了我们应对各种风险挑战的信心和底气。但也要看到， 国际环境变数仍多，多重风 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the stable growth of China's economy in April, highlighting the resilience of external demand and the transition of new and old growth drivers, despite challenges such as declining real estate investment and low inflation pressures [6][21]. Supply Side: Stable Growth, Slowing Momentum - In April, the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increased by 6.1% year-on-year, exceeding the market expectation of 5.2%, but down 1.6 percentage points from March [7] - The service production index grew by 6.0% year-on-year, slightly down from March [7] - High-tech industries maintained robust growth, with production increasing by 10.0%, while equipment manufacturing grew by 9.8% [7] Fixed Asset Investment: Slowing Growth, Real Estate Drag - Fixed asset investment grew by 4% year-to-date, slightly down from the previous value [10] - Infrastructure investment increased by 10.9%, while real estate investment saw a decline of 10.3%, worsening by 0.5 percentage points from the previous value [10][11] - Manufacturing investment growth slowed to 8.2%, influenced by tariff impacts and reduced willingness to invest among enterprises [16] Consumption: High Levels with Notable Highlights - Retail sales growth in April was 5.1%, slightly below the market expectation of 5.5% [19] - Significant growth was observed in categories such as communication equipment and home appliances, with increases of 20-30% [19] - The consumption of gold and jewelry surged by 25.3%, driven by high gold prices [19] Outlook: Consolidating Foundations, Maintaining Stability - The article anticipates that tariff negotiations will yield positive outcomes, improving the economic environment and supporting the goal of achieving a 5% growth rate [21] - The article suggests that while external demand remains stable, inflation may continue to be low, and the real estate market may remain weak [21]

央视网消息：中国国家统计局5月19日发布2025年4月份中国国民经济运行数据。数据显示4月份，面对外部冲击影响加大、内 部困难挑战叠加的复杂局面，国民经济顶住压力稳定增长，延续向新向好发展态势。 4月份，货物进出口总额38391亿元，同比增长5.6%。全国城镇调查失业率为5.1%，比上月下降0.1个百分点。此外，全国居民 消费价格（CPI）同比下降0.1%，环比上涨0.1%。 国家统计局新闻发言人、国民经济综合统计司司长 付凌晖：总的来看，4月份，外部冲击影响加大，但宏观政策协同发力， 主要指标平稳较快增长，国民经济延续向新向好态势。也要看到，外部不稳定不确定因素仍然较多，国民经济持续回升向好基础 还需进一步稳固。 总台央视记者 梁爽：国家统计局相关负责人表示，下阶段，将坚定不移扩大高水平对外开放，着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市 场、稳预期，扎实推进高质量发展，推动经济持续回升向好。 4月份，中国规模以上工业增加值同比增长6.1%。装备制造业增加值同比增长9.8%，高技术制造业增加值增长10.0%，分别快 于全部规模以上工业增加值3.7和3.9个百分点。 国家统计局新闻发言人、国民经济综合统计司司长 付凌晖：4月份 ...

Economic Overview - The long-term positive fundamentals of the economy remain unchanged despite external shocks and internal challenges [1][2] - In April, major economic indicators showed stability under pressure, with industrial value-added increasing by 6.1% year-on-year, retail sales growing by 5.1%, and fixed asset investment rising by 4.0% [1][2] Industrial Production - Industrial production continues to be a key support for stable economic growth, with a notable increase in high-tech manufacturing, which grew by 10% in April [4][5] - Among 41 major industries, 36 experienced year-on-year growth, with significant increases in integrated circuit manufacturing (21.3%) and optoelectronic device manufacturing (19%) [5][6] - The "Two New" policies are driving industrial technology upgrades and expanding market demand, contributing to industrial production growth [6] Consumer Spending - Policies aimed at boosting consumption are showing effects, with retail sales of consumer goods increasing by 4.7% year-on-year in the first four months of the year [8][9] - Specific categories such as home appliances and cultural office supplies saw substantial growth, with increases of 38.8% and 33.5% respectively in April [8] - Service consumption, particularly in travel and communication, is also experiencing rapid growth, indicating a recovery in consumer confidence [8] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment grew by 4% in the first four months, driven by significant increases in equipment investment (18.2%) [11][12] - Manufacturing investment rose by 8.8%, with consumer goods and equipment manufacturing investments growing by 13.4% and 8.2% respectively [11] - Infrastructure investment remains stable, with a year-on-year increase of 5.8%, supported by the issuance of local government bonds and increased corporate loans for infrastructure projects [12]

央视网消息：国务院新闻办公室5月19日上午举行新闻发布会，国家统计局发布4月份经济数据。4月份，我国加紧实施更加积极有为的宏观政 策，经济顶住压力稳定增长，延续向新向好态势。 4月全国规模以上工业增加值同比增长6.1% 4月份，生产供给较快增长。从工业来看，宏观政策组合效应持续释放，工业保持较快增长。4月份，规模以上工业增加值同比增长6.1%，是 2024年以来月度增速中比较快的速度。 4月装备制造业增加值同比增长9.8% 国家统计局新闻发言人付凌晖介绍，从服务业来看，在扩大内需政策的作用下，服务业增势平稳。4月份，服务业生产指数同比增长6%，这也 是2025年以来月度增速中次高的水平。数字化转型持续深入，旅游交通出行增多，带动信息和商务服务业等稳定增长。 4月份社会消费品零售总额同比增长5.1% 在"两新"政策加力扩围和产业升级带动下，装备制造业持续较快增长。4月份，装备制造业增加值同比增长9.8%，对规模以上工业增长的贡献 率达到55.9%。 国内需求稳步扩大。从消费来看，消费品以旧换新政策效应持续释放，市场销售保持稳定增长。4月份，社会消费品零售总额同比增长5.1%， 其中，消费品以旧换新相关商品销售大 ...

国务院新闻办今天举行新闻发布会，国家统计局新闻发言人付凌晖介绍，4月份，我国加紧实施更加积 极有为的宏观政策，经济顶住压力稳定增长，延续向新向好态势。 4月份，生产供给较快增长。从工业来看，宏观政策组合效应持续释放，工业保持较快增长。4月份，规 模以上工业增加值同比增长6.1%，是去年以来月度增速中比较快的速度。在"两新"政策加力扩围和产业 升级带动下，装备制造业持续较快增长，4月份装备制造业增加值同比增长9.8%。对规模以上工业增长 的贡献率达到55.9%。 今年以来，我国外贸韧性持续彰显。就业形势总体稳定。4月份，全国城镇调查失业率为5.1%，比上月 下降0.1个百分点，连续两个月下降。 今年，我国新质生产力成长壮大。4月份，规模以上高技术制造业增加值同比增长10%，其中，航空航 天相关设备制造、集成电路制造增加值快速增长，数字产业蓬勃发展。 国家统计局新闻发言人 付凌晖：4月份，外部冲击影响加大，但我国经济基础稳、优势多、韧性强、潜 能大，宏观政策协同发力，各方面积极应变、主动作为，国民经济应变克难稳定运行，发展质量持续提 升，进一步增强了我们应对各种风险挑战的信心和底气。 来源：央视新闻客户端 国家统 ...

Economic Performance Overview - In April, external shocks increased, but China's economic foundation remains stable, with strong advantages, resilience, and potential, supported by coordinated macro policies [1][4] - The overall economic performance in April reflects a complex international environment, making stable economic operation more challenging [1] Industrial Growth - Industrial production showed rapid growth, with the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increasing by 6.1% year-on-year in April, marking one of the fastest monthly growth rates since last year [1] - The equipment manufacturing sector experienced significant growth, with an added value increase of 9.8% year-on-year, contributing 55.9% to the industrial growth [1] Service Sector Performance - The service sector maintained stable growth, with the service production index rising by 6% year-on-year in April, the second-highest monthly growth rate this year [1] - Digital transformation and increased travel boosted information and business services, with the production indices for information transmission software and IT services, and leasing and business services growing by 10.4% and 8.9% respectively [1] Domestic Demand - Domestic demand expanded steadily, with retail sales of consumer goods increasing by 5.1% year-on-year in April, supported by the effects of the trade-in policy [2] - Fixed asset investment grew by 4% year-on-year from January to April, with equipment and tool purchases increasing by 18.2%, contributing 64.5% to total investment growth [2] Foreign Trade Resilience - Despite a rapidly changing international environment, China's foreign trade demonstrated resilience, with total goods imports and exports increasing by 2.4% year-on-year from January to April [2] - Exports of mechanical and electrical products grew by 9.5% in the first four months, highlighting the effectiveness of diversifying trade partnerships [2] Employment Stability - The employment situation remained generally stable, with the urban unemployment rate at 5.1% in April, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month [3] - Policies supporting employment and entrepreneurship for key groups contributed to this stability [3] High-tech Industry Growth - High-tech industries experienced rapid growth, with the added value of high-tech manufacturing increasing by 10% year-on-year in April [3] - Significant growth was observed in aerospace equipment and integrated circuit manufacturing, with increases of 21.4% and 21.3% respectively [3] Future Outlook - The government aims to implement more proactive macro policies to stabilize employment, businesses, and market expectations, while promoting high-quality development [4] - The focus will be on strengthening the domestic economic cycle and ensuring sustainable and healthy economic growth [4]

Core Insights - The National Taxation Administration of China is monitoring national enterprise sales revenue using value-added tax invoice data, reflecting the macroeconomic situation [1] Group 1: Sales Revenue Growth - In April, the sales revenue growth rate of national enterprises accelerated, with a year-on-year increase of 4.3%, continuing the steady growth trend since the fourth quarter of last year [2] - Domestic sales revenue of enterprises engaged in exports to the U.S. increased by 4.7% year-on-year, with the proportion of domestic sales in total sales rising by 2 percentage points compared to the first quarter [4] Group 2: Sector Performance - Among 31 manufacturing categories, 21 industries saw an increase in the proportion of domestic sales for enterprises exporting to the U.S. compared to the same period last year, with notable increases in the leather and footwear industry (10 percentage points) and in computer communication equipment, black metals, furniture, and food industries (over 5 percentage points) [4] - The sales revenue of industrial enterprises showed significant growth in April, with a year-on-year growth rate of 3.7%, and manufacturing sales revenue increased by 4.4%, driven by policies such as "two new" [4] Group 3: Regional Performance - Economic provinces like Zhejiang, Guangdong, and Beijing experienced strong growth in sales revenue in April, with year-on-year increases of 7.3%, 6.6%, and 5.4% respectively, significantly outpacing the national average [4] - The growth in these regions is particularly driven by innovative industries such as artificial intelligence, leading to accelerated development in equipment manufacturing and high-tech industries [4]

Group 1: CPI Trends - In April, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) shifted from a decrease of 0.4% in March to an increase of 0.1% month-on-month, while year-on-year it decreased by 0.1% [1] - The core CPI increased by 0.2% month-on-month and 0.5% year-on-year, indicating resilience despite the overall CPI decline [1][4] - Food prices rose by 0.2% month-on-month, contributing to the CPI increase, alongside significant rises in travel service prices, such as a 13.5% increase in airfare [4] Group 2: PPI Trends - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 0.4% month-on-month and year-on-year, with the decline attributed to both international and domestic factors, including seasonal drops in energy prices [5] - Some industrial sectors are showing positive signals, with demand in high-tech industries increasing and leading to price recoveries in certain areas, such as home appliances and new energy vehicles [7] Group 3: Policy Implications - Analysts expect that the government's macroeconomic policies aimed at boosting consumption will support demand and potentially lead to structural positive changes in the PPI [8] - There is an emphasis on the need for the government to expedite the implementation of existing policies, particularly in technology, consumption, and foreign trade, to stimulate domestic demand and support core CPI trends [4]

Core Insights - Jiangsu's 13 cities reported a stable economic performance in Q1, with keywords like "steady" and "good start" frequently mentioned, indicating a solid foundation for the year ahead [1][2] - The total GDP of all 13 cities exceeded 1000 billion yuan, with Suzhou leading at 609.57 billion yuan, followed by Nanjing at 471.87 billion yuan [2][3] - The industrial sector played a crucial role in Suzhou's growth, with a significant increase in industrial output and contributions from key industries such as electronics and machinery [2][4] Economic Performance - Suzhou's GDP reached 6095.68 billion yuan, up from 5549.0 billion yuan last year, showcasing a robust economic momentum [2] - Nanjing's GDP was 4718.70 billion yuan, maintaining its position above the 4000 billion yuan mark [2] - Other cities like Wuxi and Nantong surpassed 3000 billion yuan, while Changzhou and Xuzhou exceeded 2000 billion yuan [2] Growth Rates - Huai'an led the growth rates with a 7.0% increase, followed by Suqian at 6.6% and Changzhou at 6.1% [3] - Huai'an's consistent high growth is attributed to strong industrial performance and effective project implementation [4] Industrial Development - Huai'an's industrial output saw a 19.6% increase in fixed asset investment, with 292 new projects signed, indicating a strong focus on attracting investment [4] - Jiangsu's cities are focusing on new industries and technologies, with Yangzhou emphasizing low-carbon and digital sectors, achieving significant growth in manufacturing [5][6] Green Development - Yancheng is exploring green development through zero-carbon industrial parks, achieving significant growth in renewable energy sectors [7] - The city has become a leader in offshore wind power and solar energy production, contributing to its industrial growth [7] Consumer Market Dynamics - Jiangsu's "old-for-new" policies have stimulated consumer spending across various sectors, with Nanjing reporting a 7.5% increase in retail sales [8][9] - The automotive sector has seen significant growth due to incentives, with Suzhou and Wuxi implementing attractive trade-in programs [9][10] - Lianyungang's home renovation subsidy program has also driven consumer demand, resulting in notable retail sales growth [10]