Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the Chinese asset revaluation process and its challenges, drawing comparisons with Japan's economic history in the 1990s and 2000s [1][5][12]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Chinese Asset Revaluation Drivers**: The revaluation is primarily driven by valuation enhancement, AI industry growth, and capital inflows. However, challenges such as population issues, real estate, and local government debt persist [1][4][12]. - **Market Performance**: The Hong Kong stock market experienced a significant rise during the New Year holiday, with the Hang Seng Index up nearly 3%. However, the lack of substantial trading volume and capital inflow raises questions about the sustainability of this rally [2][4]. - **Sector Performance**: The non-ferrous metals sector is expected to perform strongly in 2026, driven by geopolitical factors, green energy transitions, and AI technology. Prices for gold, copper, and aluminum are anticipated to reach new highs due to supply constraints and demand recovery [2][19][21]. - **Policy Changes**: The 2025 national subsidy policy emphasizes quality and efficiency, with adjustments in energy efficiency product subsidies and a focus on stabilizing market expectations [1][13][23]. Important but Overlooked Content - **Japan's Economic Lessons**: Japan's experience in the 1990s highlights the importance of avoiding reliance on infrastructure investment, timely real estate reforms, and addressing structural issues to ensure long-term economic stability [5][11][12]. - **Investment Trends**: Historical data indicates that fixed asset investment in the first year of a five-year plan may not significantly exceed the previous year, suggesting a need for careful observation of specific investment volumes [14][15]. - **Service Consumption**: There are signs of improvement in service consumption, which is crucial for overall economic recovery. Monitoring upcoming data, especially during the Spring Festival, will be essential [20]. Conclusion - The conference call emphasizes the need for China to learn from Japan's past economic challenges while navigating its own asset revaluation process. The focus on policy adjustments, sector performance, and investment trends will be critical for future economic stability and growth [1][5][12].

证券研究报告|宏观点评报告 [Table_Date] 2026 年 01 月 05 日 [Table_Title] 资产配置日报：股牛再出发 [Table_Title2] [Table_Summary] 1 月 5日，股市迎来新一年的首个交易日，债市则迎来交易力量的回归。开门行情之下，股债两市的喜悲却不 相通，股市强势开局，上证指数单日上涨 1.38%，新年伊始重返 4000 点之上；债市则经历大幅调整，各期限收益 率几乎全面上行。 权益市场放量上涨。万得全 A上涨 1.99%，全天成交额 2.57 万亿元，较上一交易日（12 月 31 日）放量 5015 亿元。港股方面，恒生指数上涨 0.03%，恒生科技上涨 0.09%。南向资金净流入 187.23 亿港元，其中快手 和小米集团分别净流入 15.56 亿港元和 10.19 亿港元，而腾讯控股、中国移动分别净流出 9.19 亿港元和 4.06 亿港 元。 指数突破前高，关注市场 FOMO（害怕踏空）情绪。万得全 A 强势突破 10-11 月高点，意味着前高附近的兑 现筹码基本出尽，做多资金掌握定价权，行情有望走出 10 月以来的震荡区间，形成上涨趋势。往后看 ...

【导读】沪指12连阳创出33年纪录，机构解读：A股春季行情或仍有上行空间 中国基金报记者 方丽 曹雯璟 同时，今日市场成交额大幅放量5000亿元至2.57万亿元，创下近两月新高。行业层面，仅有 石油石化、银行、交通运输和商贸零售微跌，传媒、医药生物、电子领涨市场。 春季行情是否开启？后市将如何演绎？中国基金报记者第一时间采访了博时、招商、广发、 景顺长城、长城、泉果、恒生前海等基金公司。他们认为，由于假期外围市场上涨以及春季 行情预期共同驱动了"开门红"，A股春季行情或仍有上行空间，看好消费电子、顺周期、AI等 领域。 多因素引发"开门红" 元旦假期港股市场大涨。2025年12月中国制造业PMI超预期回升至扩张区间，人民币汇率走 强助推外资回流等因素，共同推动2026年A股市场"开门红"。 招商基金表示，今日A股市场上涨是多重因素共振的结果：第一，受元旦假期港股市场大涨提 振，恒生科技指数1月2日上涨4%。AI应用加速落地事件催化频繁与AI产业催化不断，AI科技 周期向上背景下港股科技、半导体板块领涨。 2026年首个交易日，A股喜迎"开门红"！ 数据显示，今日A股指数放量大涨，沪指不仅重新站上4000点关口 ...

本周，美国将迎来重磅数据发布的一周，周五，美国12月季调后非农就业人数、失业率及新屋开工数据 集体公布，从就业和房地产两个维度把脉美国经济，美联储明年政策路径基本敲定。 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 美联储方面对降息又有新的表态。 1月5日，美股三大指数集体高开。明星股英特尔一度涨逾5%。标普500能源板块创下一年多来最高水 平，最新上涨2.4%。 中概股方面，纳斯达克中国金龙指数突然大幅回调，截至发稿跌约1.2%，个股方面，网易跌超4%，百 度、小鹏汽车跌近4%。中概股今日出现回调或因此前跳空大涨，上一个交易日，纳斯达克中国金龙指 数跳空大涨逾4%。 晚间，受地缘政治紧张等因素影响，黄金与白银继续飙涨，截至发稿，现货黄金上涨超2%，现货白银 涨逾4%。 美联储方面，2026年FOMC票委、明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利周一发表了对降息前景的中性表态， 他认为，美国的基准利率可能已接近"中性水平"，未来的货币政策将取决于经济数据的走向。 卡什卡利指出，尽管过去两年市场一直预期经济会放缓，但美国经济表现出的韧性远超预期。 他认为，这说明目前的货币政策对经济的抑制作用并不 ...

今年以来该股累计进行2次回购，合计回购204.70万股，累计回购金额12.71亿港元。（数据宝） 证券时报·数据宝统计，腾讯控股在港交所公告显示，1月5日以每股617.000港元至627.500港元的价格回 购101.80万股，回购金额达6.36亿港元。该股当日收盘价624.500港元，上涨0.24%，全天成交额124.50 亿港元。 腾讯控股回购明细 自2025年11月18日以来公司已连续32日进行回购，合计回购3331.90万股，累计回购金额203.43亿港元。 其间该股累计下跌1.89%。 | 日期 | 回购股数（万股） | 回购最高价（港元） | 回购最低价（港元） | 回购金额（万港元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2026.01.05 | 101.80 | 627.500 | 617.000 | 63555.47 | | 2026.01.02 | 102.90 | 624.000 | 600.500 | 63581.26 | （文章来源：证券时报网） ...

成交活跃股方面，今日上榜个股中，南向资金成交金额最多的是阿里巴巴-W，合计成交额95.60亿港 元，中芯国际、盈富基金成交额紧随其后，分别成交87.99亿港元、68.45亿港元。以净买卖金额统计， 净买入的个股共有10只，盈富基金净买入额为68.26亿港元，净买入金额居首，该股收盘股价下跌 0.08%，快手-W净买入额为15.56亿港元，小米集团-W净买入额为10.19亿港元。净卖出金额最多的是腾 讯控股，净卖出9.19亿港元，该股收盘股价上涨0.24%，中国移动、南京熊猫电子股份遭净卖出4.06亿 港元、1.05亿港元。 今日上榜个股中，盈富基金、快手-W、小米集团-W等8只股同时上榜港股通（深）、港股通（沪）成 交活跃股， 盈富基金合计成交额68.45亿港元，成交净买入68.26亿港元，快手-W合计成交额53.10亿港 元，成交净买入15.56亿港元。腾讯控股合计成交额64.57亿港元，成交净卖出9.19亿港元。 从连续性进行统计， 有3只股获南向资金连续3天以上净买入，连续净买入天数较多的有华虹半导体、 小米集团-W、中芯国际，连续净买入天数分别为5天、3天、3天。以其间净买入金额统计，净买入金额 最多 ...

1月5日恒生指数上涨0.03%，报收26347.24点，全天南向资金通过港股通渠道合计净买入187.23亿港 元。 证券时报·数据宝统计，1月5日港股通全天合计成交金额为1436.06亿港元，成交净买入187.23亿港元。 具体来看，沪市港股通成交金额871.38亿港元，成交净买入98.09亿港元；深市港股通成交金额564.68亿 港元，成交净买入89.14亿港元。 成交活跃股方面，沪市港股通前十大成交活跃股中，阿里巴巴-W成交额为55.70亿港元，成交金额居 首；其次是中芯国际、盈富基金，成交金额分别为53.49亿港元、52.86亿港元。以净买卖金额统计，盈 富基金净买入额为52.72亿港元，净买入金额居首，该股收盘股价下跌0.08%。净卖出金额最多的是腾讯 控股，净卖出4.38亿港元，收盘股价上涨0.24%。 深市港股通前十大成交活跃股中，成交额居首的是阿里巴巴-W，成交金额39.90亿港元；其次是中芯国 际、腾讯控股，成交金额分别为34.50亿港元、30.33亿港元。以净买卖金额统计，有9只股为净买入，净 买入金额最多的是盈富基金，净买入15.54亿港元，该股收盘下跌0.08%。净卖出金额最多的是腾讯控 ...

腾讯控股、中国移动分别遭净卖出9.19亿港元、4.06亿港元。 上交所、深交所自2024年8月19日起调沪深港通交易信息披露机制。 在沪股通和深股通方面，调整后，每个沪股通和深股通交易日收市后，公布当日沪股通和深股通成交总 额及总成交笔数、ETF成交总额、前十大成交活跃证券名单及其成交总额，并按月度、年度公布前述数 据的汇总情况。 风险提示: 投资涉及风险，证券价格可升亦可跌，更可变得毫无价值。投资未必一定能够赚取利润，反 而可能会招致损失。过往业绩并不代表将来的表现。在作出任何投资决定之前，投资者须评估本身的财 政状况、投资目标、经验、承受风险的能力及了解有关产品之性质及风险。个别投资产品的性质及风险 详情，请细阅相关销售文件，以了解更多资料。倘有任何疑问，应征询独立的专业意见。 来源：华盛通 华盛资讯1月5日讯，港股日内窄幅震荡，截至收盘，三大指数涨跌不一，恒生指数微涨0.03%，国企指 数跌0.22%，恒生科技指数涨0.09%。 今日科网股普涨，其中快手-W涨超11%领跑，哔哩哔哩-W涨超5%，阿里巴巴-W涨超2%。"三桶油"普 跌，中国石油股份、中国海洋石油跌超3%，中国石油化工股份跌近2%。 南向资 ...

| 南京熊猫 | | 中国人寿 | 中芯国际 | 中国移动 | | 华虹公司 | 南京熊猫电子 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 分时图 | 日K线 | 周K线 | 月K线 | 13.44 | 1.22 9.98% | | 股份 | | | | 13.44 | | | | | | | | | 9.98% | | 13.03 | | | | | | | | | 6.63% | | 12.63 | | | | | | | | | 3.36% | | 12.22 | | | | | | | | | 0.00% | | 11.81 | | | | | | | | | 3.36% | | 11.41 | | | | | | | | | 6.63% | | 11.00 | | | | | | | | | 9.98% | | | | | | | | | | | 441万 | | | | | | | | | | | 294万 | | | | | | | | | | | 147万 | | | 09:30 | | 10:30 ...

Group 1: A-Share Market Performance - The A-share market opened high and closed strong, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.38% to close at 4023.42 points, surpassing the 4000-point mark again [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index reached a new high, increasing by 2.24% to close at 13828.63 points [1] - The total trading volume exceeded 2.56 trillion yuan, indicating significant market activity [1] - Sectors such as media and pharmaceuticals led the gains, while oil and banking sectors faced declines, with over 4100 stocks rising [1] - The market outlook remains bullish, supported by the New Year effect and macroeconomic policies [1] Group 2: Hong Kong Market and Technology Sector - The Hong Kong market showed strong performance during the mainland's holiday, with the technology ETF rising over 4% [3] - The Hang Seng Index increased by 28% in 2025, marking its best annual performance since 2017 [3] - Key factors supporting the technology sector include improved macroeconomic conditions and a truce in US-China tariffs, alongside expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [3] - China's GDP grew by 5.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, indicating economic resilience [3] - The AI industry's explosive growth has significantly boosted market confidence, exemplified by a 117% increase in shares of SMIC in 2025 [3] Group 3: ETF Insights - The Hong Kong Technology ETF tracks the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index, which includes major internet platforms and hard technology stocks [4] - The index structure allows it to benefit from both internet giants' profit releases and the growth in AI and semiconductor sectors [4] - Despite potential short-term volatility, the long-term outlook for the Hong Kong technology sector remains strong, with a favorable price-to-earnings ratio compared to US tech stocks [4] - Investors are encouraged to consider the Hong Kong Technology ETF for gradual investments to capitalize on the technology bull market [4] Group 4: Gaming Sector Performance - The gaming ETF rose by 4.55%, reflecting strong confidence in the sector's performance for 2026 [14] - The domestic gaming market's actual sales revenue surpassed 350 billion yuan in 2025, marking a 7.68% year-on-year increase [14] - The growth in the gaming sector is driven by the explosive performance of mini-program games, which generated 53.54 billion yuan in revenue, a 34.39% increase [14] - Chinese game developers are increasingly competitive globally, with overseas sales reaching $20.455 billion, a 10.23% increase [14] Group 5: Semiconductor and Storage Market - The semiconductor equipment ETF rose by 5.96%, indicating strong market interest [16] - The demand for storage products has surged, with DRAM and NAND Flash prices increasing over 300% since September [16] - The first quarter of 2026 is expected to see continued price increases in storage due to ongoing supply constraints and rising AI-related demand [16] - The semiconductor equipment sector is poised for significant growth, with order growth expected to exceed 30% in 2026 [16] Group 6: Gold Market Outlook - Gold ETFs saw increases of 2.09% and 2.41% for gold funds and gold stock ETFs, respectively [17] - Geopolitical tensions, particularly in Venezuela and ongoing conflicts in Ukraine, are expected to drive demand for gold as a safe haven [18] - The Federal Reserve's cautious stance on interest rate cuts and the ongoing trend of de-dollarization globally are likely to support gold prices in the medium to long term [18]