证券研究报告 | 朝闻国盛 gszqdatemark 2025 12 12 年 月 日 朝闻国盛 怎么看 2026 年美联储降息节奏？ 今日概览 ◼ 重磅研报 【宏观】增量信息不少—中央经济工作会议 6 大看点——20251211 【宏观】怎么看 2026 年美联储降息节奏？——兼评 12 月议息会议—— 20251211 【金融工程】低偏离度下的纯粹 Alpha 创造——兴银基金中小盘指增策 略探析——20251211 【非银金融】保险行业 2025 行情回顾——阶段性超额收益显著，全年跑 输大盘——20251211 ◼ 研究视点 【电子】蓝思科技（300433.SZ）-收购服务器业务公司，加码 AI 算力核 心布局——20251211 作者 | 分析师 | 杨润思 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 执业证书编号：S0680520030005 | | | | | 邮箱：yangrunsi@gszq.com | | | | | 行业表现前五名 | | | | | 行业 | 1 月 | 3 月 | 1 年 | | 通信 | 12.9% | 7.6% | 81.1% | | 国防 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported revenue of $17.1 million for the second quarter, representing a 24% sequential increase and the third highest quarterly revenue in the past decade [3][12] - Consolidated net income for the quarter was approximately $1.8 million, or $0.18 per share, compared to approximately $2.7 million, or $0.28 per share for the same period of the previous fiscal year [17] - The fully funded backlog at the end of the quarter was approximately $82 million, up from approximately $70 million at the previous fiscal year end [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue from commercial and U.S. government satellite programs was approximately $4.6 million, down from $9.4 million in the same period of the prior fiscal year [12] - Revenue from non-space U.S. government and Department of Defense customers was $11.9 million, up from $5.8 million in the same period of the prior fiscal year, accounting for approximately 69% of consolidated revenue [13] - Other commercial industrial revenues were approximately $560,000, slightly down from approximately $591,000 in the prior fiscal year [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates significant growth in sectors such as quantum sensing, proliferated satellites, and alternative position navigation and timing (ALT-PNT) programs [5][6] - The defense business is expected to grow sharply, driven by increasing defense spending, particularly in missiles and modernization initiatives [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to layer new growth opportunities on top of a strong and growing core business, focusing on next-generation defense technologies and strategic partnerships with major prime contractors [7][8] - The company is actively pursuing opportunities in international markets, although export controls present challenges [71][72] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the growth prospects in both defense and space sectors, independent of political changes [59] - The company is in a cautious hiring mode, preparing for anticipated business growth while managing costs effectively [47] Other Important Information - The company is debt-free and maintains a strong working capital position of approximately $31 million, with a current ratio of approximately 2.6 to 1 [18] - The company plans to continue investing in R&D to keep its products at the state of the art, despite a decrease in R&D expenses for the quarter [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide details on the Golden Dome Awards? - Management indicated that specifics are still being defined, but they anticipate participation in various aspects of the program, particularly in ground-based and space-based missile defense [22][24] Question: What activities are ongoing in Colorado operations? - The focus in Colorado is on quantum technology and low-phase noise oscillator technology, with several senior scientists hired from NIST [25][26] Question: Will margins normalize in the near term? - Management expects margins to normalize as program requirements have been cleared up and new contracts are anticipated [36] Question: How do you view the growth opportunities irrespective of political control? - Management believes growth in space and defense sectors is largely independent of political changes, driven by technological advancements and global security needs [58][59] Question: Is there potential for Turbo in commercial drones? - Management sees potential in both military and commercial applications, but anticipates more immediate opportunities in military [63][64] Question: What is the status of international business? - The company has active programs with allies but faces challenges due to export controls and a preference for domestic suppliers in defense contracts [71][72]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported revenue of $17.1 million for the second quarter, up 24% sequentially, marking the third highest quarter of revenue in the past decade [3][12] - Consolidated net income for the quarter was approximately $1.8 million, or $0.18 per share, compared to approximately $2.7 million, or $0.28 per share for the same period of the previous fiscal year [17] - The fully funded backlog at the end of October 2025 was approximately $82 million, up from approximately $70 million for the previous fiscal year [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue from commercial and U.S. government satellite programs was approximately $4.6 million, or 27%, down from $9.4 million, or 59%, in the same period of the prior fiscal year [12] - Revenue from non-space U.S. government and Department of Defense customers was $11.9 million, accounting for approximately 69% of consolidated revenue, compared to 37% for the prior fiscal year [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates significant growth in sectors such as quantum sensing, proliferated satellites, and alternative position navigation and timing (ALT-PNT) programs, which are expected to contribute to future revenue growth [5][6] - The defense business is experiencing a boom, with increased spending anticipated in missiles, munitions, and modernization initiatives [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on expanding its core business while also pursuing new growth opportunities in emerging markets [7] - Strategic partnerships with major prime contractors are crucial for current and future business, providing an advantageous position on many programs [8] - The company is actively hiring senior scientists in Colorado to enhance its capabilities in quantum technology and low-phase noise oscillator technology [25][26] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about a strong multi-year growth period, supported by a significant backlog and ongoing business development [3][10] - The company believes that defense spending will remain robust regardless of political changes, driven by global security concerns [59] Other Important Information - The company is debt-free and maintains a strong working capital position of approximately $31 million, with a current ratio of approximately 2.6-1 [18] - The company plans to continue investing in R&D to keep its products at the state of the art, despite fluctuations in R&D expenditures [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide details on the Golden Dome Awards? - Management indicated that specifics are still being defined, but they anticipate participation in various aspects of the program, particularly in ground-based and space-based missile defense [22][24] Question: What activities are ongoing in Colorado? - The focus in Colorado is on quantum technology and low-phase noise oscillator development, with several senior scientists hired from NIST [25][26] Question: Will margins normalize in the near term? - Management confirmed that they expect margins to normalize as program requirements have been cleared up and new contracts are anticipated [36] Question: How does the company view growth opportunities irrespective of political changes? - Management believes that growth in the space business is driven by technology rather than politics, and defense spending will likely remain stable due to global security concerns [58][59] Question: Is there potential for TURbO in commercial drones? - Management sees potential for TURbO in both military and commercial applications, but anticipates more immediate opportunities in military [63][64] Question: What is the status of international business? - The company has some significant business overseas and is actively pursuing additional opportunities, though export controls present challenges [71][72]

Group 1 - The convertible bond market is experiencing a surge in new issuances, with five new bonds set to be offered for online subscription, indicating a strong demand despite a shrinking market size [1][4] - The newly listed Maolai Convertible Bond saw a significant increase of nearly 70% in its first two days of trading, highlighting the market's enthusiasm for new offerings [1][2] - The overall market for convertible bonds has contracted significantly, with a reduction of over 170 billion yuan since 2025, leading to a current market size of 560.6 billion yuan, down from 733.7 billion yuan at the beginning of the year [7][8] Group 2 - The Maolai Convertible Bond, issued by Maolai Optics, has a total issuance size of 562.5 million yuan and is part of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, which has attracted considerable market interest [3][6] - Upcoming convertible bonds include those from Pulin, Shenyu, Aohong, Tianzhun, and Dingjie, with a focus on technology and digital solutions [5][6] - The scarcity of new convertible bonds is evident, with only three companies currently approved for issuance by the China Securities Regulatory Commission, indicating a tight supply in the market [7][8]

Group 1: RCEP Origin Certificates Impact - Shenzhen Zhaochi Co., Ltd. benefited from 544 RCEP origin certificates, resulting in a tax reduction of over 16.458 million yuan [1] - From January to November, Shenzhen Customs issued 384,000 RCEP origin certificates to over 5,170 enterprises, involving a total value of 104.64 billion yuan [1] - The RCEP tariff reduction policy has lowered export costs, enhancing product competitiveness in international markets [1] Group 2: BYD's Performance and RCEP Benefits - BYD has sold 464,300 new energy vehicles overseas in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 128.25%, making the overseas market a key growth driver [2] - In the first 11 months, BYD applied for over 4,600 origin certificates from Shenzhen Customs, involving export value exceeding 10.1 billion yuan [2] - The RCEP origin certificates have opened doors for BYD in foreign markets, enhancing product competitiveness and driving sales growth [2] Group 3: RCEP Overview - RCEP, the world's largest free trade agreement, was initiated by ASEAN and signed by 10 ASEAN countries along with China, South Korea, and others [2] - RCEP origin certificates serve as proof of regional origin for goods, allowing companies to enjoy tariff reductions and customs facilitation under the RCEP agreement [2] - The continuous release of RCEP policy benefits has made origin certificates a vital tool for companies to reduce costs and enhance international competitiveness [2]

Group 1 - Shenzhen Zhaochi Co., Ltd. benefited from RCEP origin certificates, reducing tariffs by over 16.458 million yuan through 544 certificates, with a total export value of 460 million yuan [1] - Shenzhen Customs issued 384,000 RCEP origin certificates to over 5,170 enterprises, involving a total value of 104.64 billion yuan, enhancing international market competitiveness [1] - The RCEP tariff reduction policy lowers export costs and improves product competitiveness in international markets, facilitating efficient customs clearance [1] Group 2 - BYD Auto Industry Co., Ltd. is a significant beneficiary of the RCEP policy, with overseas sales of new energy vehicles reaching 464,300 units in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 128.25% [2] - BYD applied for over 4,600 origin certificates from Shenzhen Customs, involving an export value exceeding 10.1 billion yuan, enhancing its competitiveness in foreign markets [2] - The RCEP origin certificate serves as a "golden paper" in international trade, providing companies with tariff reductions and customs facilitation, thus supporting high-quality exports [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company is focusing on the mass production of MEMS micro-mirrors, with significant orders already secured in the industrial sector, particularly in the automotive LiDAR and laser projection fields [1] Group 1: Product Development - The company offers MEMS micro-mirror products in various diameters: 4mm, 1mm, 1.6mm, and 8mm, with the 4mm version already receiving bulk orders in the industrial sector [1] - The company is currently engaged in custom R&D for major clients in smart transportation LiDAR, mobile, and automotive applications, having secured NRE contracts [1] Group 2: Market Focus - The company is prioritizing the automotive LiDAR and laser projection markets, aiming to meet the demands of leading clients [1] - Some automotive clients expect the MEMS LBS system to be implemented in vehicles by the end of 2026, and the company is committed to advancing the LBS project accordingly [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - If progress continues smoothly, the company anticipates a gradual release of related business performance as the LBS project advances [1]

近几个月来，劳动力市场的疲软预期持续压制消费者信心。密歇根大学12月初步调查结果显示，多数受 访者预计未来一年美国失业率将走高。 美联储官员在周三召开的议息会议上，连续第三次宣布降息，以支撑美联储主席鲍威尔口中"逐渐降 温"的劳动力市场。尽管相较于9月的经济预期，美联储并未上调明年失业率预测值，但鲍威尔直言，当 前就业市场面临"显著"下行风险。 据了解，初请失业金人数通常在节假日前后波动较大，预计这一趋势将持续至年底。不过，本周公布的 数据已处于2025年以来的高位区间。近几周，百事可乐(PEP.US)、惠普(HPQ.US)等企业相继公布裁员计 划，10月全美裁员规模更是创下2023年初以来的新高。 作为平滑短期波动的关键指标，上周初请失业金人数四周移动平均值微升至21.675万人;截至11月30日 (含感恩节假期)当周续请失业金人数183.8万人，市场预期为194.7万人。 美国劳工部周四发布的数据显示，在感恩节假期当周初请失业金人数大幅回落之后，上周该数据出现激 增，创下新冠疫情暴发以来的最大单周涨幅。 截至12月6日当周，美国初请失业金人数增加4.4万人，升至23.6万人。这一幅度刷新2020年3月以来 ...

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯 12月11日，维峰电子在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司高度关注并积极布局包括 人形机器人在内的新兴应用领域，积极进行新客户开发与导入。 ...

每经AI快讯，睿能科技（SH 603933，收盘价：25.33元）12月11日晚间发布公告称，公司第五届第二次 董事会会议于2025年12月11日以通讯方式召开。会议审议了《关于召开2025年第三次临时股东会的议 案》等文件。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——专访管涛：美国政府经济贸易政策正逐渐动摇美元本位国际货币体系，利 多因素下人民币汇率有可能破7 （记者 王瀚黎） 截至发稿，睿能科技市值为53亿元。 2025年1至6月份，睿能科技的营业收入构成为：分销业务占比61.91%，工业自动化业务占比36.82%， 其他业务占比1.27%。 ...